Brandon Lang
SATURDAY
10-DIME
Xavier
Utah
Butler
5-DIME
UNC Charlotte
Pittsburgh
Bengals
10 Dime - Xavier
Uninspiring and lethargic ? a pair of adjectives that easily describe Xavier's win over rival Cincinnati. Inside the final four minutes of the Dec. 12 showdown, the Musketeers had been outworked, out-hustled and outmaneuvered for the most of the 75th Crosstown Shootout; and though they won the game, it was the lethargic effort that is giving us the value in this game, an easy low chalk play with the better team. Xavier, 8-1 SU and 4-2 ATS on the year, is outscoring its foes by an average margin of nine points away from Cincy-town, and I honestly don't believe the Sun Devils have a clue what they're about to face after seeing the likes of Coppin State and Delaware State the last two times out. ASU hasn't played the types of teams Xavier has, and that'll play a big part in this blowout for us. Lay the chalk as this will be all Xavier.
10 Dime ? Utah
The Missouri State Bears will get a rude awakening in the Huntsman Center today, as the Utes are a feisty team that can play an up-tempo game ignited by a stingy defense that held the 91.3-points-a-game Oregon Ducks to a season-low 75 points last Saturday. Rolling into this clash on a 13-5 all-time mark against foes from the Missouri Valley Conference, the Utes are looking to make their mark on the nation once again ? their first since the days of Rick Majerus. And while the defense is has stymied three-of-four guests this season and is helping the Utes outscore folks at Huntsman by an average final of 73-60, the offense currently ranks No. 1 in the Mountain West Conference and fourth in the nation in field-goal percentage, converting at a .523 clip. Play the home team in this one, as Utah continues to look solid in preseason action.
10 Dime - Butler
All of a sudden Butler is the 'next something or another', haven't you heard? Yes, the Bulldogs have attained the label "The Next Gonzaga," which means one of two things ? if not both ? and that is Gonzaga has arrived, or Butler is about to. The thing is, I've always considered Butler a part of the show, and once again the Dawgs are proving me right. Coming off their second Sweet 16 in the past five Big Dances, the Bulldogs are 8-1, ranked 18th and what's this ? oh my! - favored to beat big, nasty Florida State in today's Wooden Tradition. I'll lay the chalk at Conseco Fieldhouse, as the Dawgs are getting it done with an incredible chemistry between players who are playing team basketball - sharp-shooting players who have a keen eye from the arc ? and whose selfless ways become contagious up and down the roster. And get this: Butler has won nine of its past 10 games against schools from Bowl Championship Series conferences. Talk about being a big-game hunter, I'll take the Dawgs in this one.
5 Dime ? Charlotte
Give me Bobby Lutz's crew in this one, as it's won three in a row and four of their last five entering tonight's contest at Hofstra. Though this represents the 49ers' first true road game of the year, it's hard to ignore the fact Hofstra has lost four in a row, albeit each by four points or less, to Stony Brook, Fordham, UNC Wilmington and St. Francis. Not exactly the blockbuster bunch to brag about losing closely to, is it? Charlotte has held six of its first eight opponents below 40 percent shooting, including each of the last five (4-1), while bolting out to a 6-2 start on the season. Charlotte has also forced more turnovers in five of the first eight games, forcing 17.6 turnovers per game. This is enough for us to side with the Niners here, as they sink the Pride into humility.
5 Dime ? Pitt
Pittsburgh won its first six games by an average of 31 points per contest, and in all but one of those outings the Panthers led by double digits at halftime, with the average lead being 20 at the break in those games. So here comes this Oklahoma State team that is threatening to be just that ? the Panthers' first real threat ? and there are so many intangibles that say the Cowboys will give Pitt a good game. Then I look at the line. If this game is to be so contentious, why is this line so big? Don't let the oddsmakers fool you here, as the Panthers are the much better team, and are proving Aaron Gray is not missed this season. Our edge in this one is that Oklahoma State is a guard-oriented team that tends to stay beyond the arc. The Cowboys are averaging nearly 24 3-point attempts per contest, and though they're draining about 36 percent of those shots, the Panthers have vowed to improve on defense for this one by pressuring the rock at mid-court. Lay the chalk with the Panthers.
5 Dime - Bengals
Welcome to the 2007 season Cincy D, your offensive teammates have missed you all season. As it turns out, you've been here all along and you're final showing your face. This is a defense known for having more holes then Swiss cheese, but most recently, Cincy has won three of its last five by allowing just one team to gain more than 300 yards. And over this stretch, the defense is allowing only 262 yards of offense per game, while roughly 13 points per game the past three outings. Shaun Hill makes his first NFL start tonight, and he'll be introduced to Cincy's rejuvenated stop unit, as will the rushing game, which I expect to take some of the pressure off Hill. In the meantime, balancing things out on the other side will be an offense that we all know is capable of lighting up the scoreboard, and is long overdue for a blowout. Carson Palmer will be taking aim for his 100th career TD pass, and will get a balanced attack from Rudi Johnson, who has picked up his game as well. This is a pure blowout in the making, as we take the Bengals.