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8-Unit Play. Take #540 Purdue (+1) over Louisville (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 15)
Note: This is our Nonconference Game of the Year.
The Cardinals are in trouble. With only seven scholarship players on the bench today I think they?re going to have an extremely difficult time with an up-and-coming Purdue squad. The Boilers had Missouri last Saturday, but an inexplicable collapse in the last five minutes robbed them of a key nonconference win. They?re not going to falter again. The Cardinals have no inside presence to speak of and I don?t think they shoot well enough to go on the road and score a win. Further, the lack of a big man on the inside is going to open up all sorts of lanes for Purdue to get to the basket. The Boilers have played well against Clemson and Missouri, and could have won both games against teams of similar composition to the Cardinals. Purdue is 6-1 ATS in neutral site games, while Louisville is just 3-7 ATS. Also, the Cardinals are just 2-5 ATS against the Big Ten while Purdue is 16-5-1 ATS following an ATS loss.
5-Unit Play. Take #545 Xavier (-2) over Arizona State (4 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 15)
The number on this game is just way too juicy to pass up. Xavier is an exceptional team ? one with Sweet 16 written all over it ? and they?re going on the road to tangle with an Arizona State team that is still trying to grasp its offensive system. Xavier has already played road games at Louisville and Miami, OH, two places that I think are more difficult to play than Tempe. If this were February I?d be worried about a letdown after the Cincy game, but right now I think they just didn?t play well against the Bearcats and are going to come out much sharper today in a key nonconference affair.
4-Unit Play. Take #565 Miami, OH (-2.5) over Wright State (7 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 15)
4-Unit Play. Take #568 South Alabama (-2) over Mississippi State (8:20 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 15)
3-Unit Play. Take #573 Western Kentucky (+9.5) over Tennessee (9:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 15)
3-Unit Play. Take #549 Wisconsin-Green Bay (+18.5) over Wisconsin (6 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 15)
2.5-Unit Play. Take #598 Austin Peay (-1) over Akron (8:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 15)
2.5-Unit Play. Take #599 Montana (+7) over Pacific (10 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 15)
2-Unit Play. Take #601 Northern Arizona (-2) over San Jose State (10:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 15)
2-Unit Play. Take #536 Nebraska (+4) over Oregon (2 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 15)
cal sports
4 ill chi, fla int
3 ark, loy mmt, rockets
Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Charlotte Bobcats @ Atlanta Hawks - Saturday December 15, 2007 7:00 pm
Pick: 3 unit(s) TOTAL: Under 184 (-114) (Normal)
#1 NBA Handicapper in America
Basketball 2007: 55-28 (66%)
31-8 NBA Run (76%) & (22-6 NBA Run)
NBA 2007: 44-20 (68%)
13-3 Run with NBA Totals
Total of 3 plays today. I believe in my research and it has allowed for a solid comp run as well and today is no different. I've reported relentlessly here that the Bobcats continue to struggle on back to back games as their legs simply give way and this team simply does not have the depth or the quality of depth to compete. You saw that against the Magic yesterday and this is exactly why Jordan was trying to get Varejo before the Cavs could resign him simply to add that much needed depth. The Hawks are defensive team as I've mentioned before and they continue to play the under and with the Bobcats on a back to back as Coach Sam Vincent himself has admitted that his team has no depth and a lack of legs late, and the Hawks at home, this is a good spot for an under here. The Under is 6-0 for the Hawks following a straight up loss and the under is 4-0 for the Bobcats when they are underdogs, feeding into the principle when this team plays the better teams in the league, depth is a factor.
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Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Sacramento Kings @ Washington Wizards - Saturday December 15, 2007 7:00 pm
Pick: 3 unit(s) TOTAL: Over 200.5 (-109) (Play of the Day)
#1 NBA Handicapper in America Basketball 2007: 55-28 (66%) 31-8 NBA Run (76%) & (22-6 NBA Run) NBA 2007: 44-20 (68%) 13-3 Run with NBA Totals 3 Plays on the card today. I've mentioned over and over again that the Wizards are a better offensive team without Gilbert Arenas as they play better as a team. Caron Butler spreads the ball as does Jamison and Haywood and this team has the bigs and guards to compete without Arenas. The Wizards have scored a 100 points in their last 6 ballgames and the Kings will are turning their season around as they are learning to play short handed and come off putting 109 points on the Sixers who are a very good defensive team. I told myself if this is anywhere around 200 at the onset of the opening I was going to be on the over and so is the case. I look for both teams to pop a 100 today as the over is 6-1 for the Kings playing with no rest - on back to backs - and the over is 7-1 in their last 8 games when they play the Western Conference.
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Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: NFL Football
Game: Cincinnati Bengals @ San Francisco 49ers - Saturday December 15, 2007 8:15 pm
Pick: 3 unit(s) ATS: San Francisco 49ers +9 (-113) (Normal)
3 Plays on the card today.
Research that went into this play:
Here is a barn-burner of a game today. The Bengals are a better team so they will kill the 49ers and it's an open and shut case right? Not necessarily. The Bengals are 5-8, have no hopes for the playoffs and this team's weakness is their defense and the fact they are 1-5 on the road. In fact, they have the same road record as the 49ers themselves. These 2 teams have not met since 2003, so revenge is no factor here. Cincy comes off a 19-10 win over the Rams, but was that really an impressive win considering it was against Brock Berlin? The Bengals have played in 3 straight unders and its because they have put up 10, 27, 21 and 20 in points on the road. The 49ers get another chance to prove themselves in front of the public eye today as they are 3-10 and come off a terrible game against the Vikings at home. But, the advantage is that they do face a defense that is 26th best in the league and 28th in points allowed. The 49ers are essentially dead last in many offensive categories but are 15th in the league in pass defense which should play a factor today. Despite Hill starting at quarterback today, the Bengals defense will make any quarterback look like they belong in the NFL. I believe the 49ers still have a lot to prove in this game in particular for Nolan who wants to remain as head coach and for Shaun Hill who does this give team a bit of a "spark" as Nolan describes it. I think you'll be surprised at how competitive the 49ers will be today.
Additional write-up:
Both of these teams are out of the playoffs, Shaun Hill did do a good job of leading this team when he was in the ballgame the last time out, I personally don't think a 1-5 team should be laying more than a touchdown on the road and the fact that Mike Nolan is fighting for his job is important here as well. Hill reminds me of a Jeff Garcia quarterback who when given the chance can shine as per him, this is his Super Bowl and I will take the 49ers as I think they give the Bengals all they can handle. Essentially one of the worst defenses in the league should not be laying this many points as this is not the Bengals of last year, but rather the Bengals of 2007 who have just 1 road win and 5 road losses. The Bengals are 1-6 ATS when a favorite by this margin and 1-4 ATS as a road favorite of late
