SERVICE PLAYS FOR SUN 2/24

the duke

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Winning Points


SUNDAY

***BEST BET
Boston over *Portland by 13
Boston defeated Portland by 10 points at home during the middle of last month when
the Trail Blazers were playing much better. The Celtics won and covered an eight-point
spread despite missing point guard Rajon Rondo. The Trail Blazers have trouble handling
Ray Allen and Kevin Garnett. The Celtics had covered 65 percent of their games
through the All-Star Game, while posting the league?s best mark.

BOSTON 104-91



***BEST BET
Sacramento over *Orlando by 5
The Kings may lack maturity, but they don?t lack for firepower with their main scorers
healthy. Their recent pattern has been play well against tougher teams, while laying
an egg against bad clubs. This month for example they?ve defeated the Hornets and
Jazz while covering versus the Warriors and Rockets. But they?ve also lost to the Sonics
and Grizzlies. The Magic came out of the break having lost three of their last four
home games.

SACRAMENTO 113-108
 

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CTO


Sunday,February 24

L.A. LAKERS over *Seattle (NBA)...Los Angeles has been an excellent play on the road this season, as its 8-1 spread mark on recent 9-
game road trip would attest. The re-tooled Lakers have covered 5 of 6 chances laying more than 6 points away from home this season.
Seattle?s retread HC P.J. Carlesimo has been underwhelming, to say the least, and ownership?s impending movement of the team out of
Seattle (?inevitable? according to NBA commissioner David Stern) has been an overriding distraction for the team. With L.A.?s Kobe Bryant
playing ?warrior? ball, Lakers will fight to the finish in the West.

L.A. LAKERS 109 - *Seattle 92 RATING - 11




*AUBURN over Alabama (Day Game)...Disappointing Bama has clearly been unable to compensate for the preseason loss of injured star PG
Steele, especially on the SEC road, where the Tide is 0-5 SU. See no trend reversal vs. fired-up, over-achieving Auburn, eager to avenge
its embarrassing 20-pt. defeat in Tuscaloosa Jan. 26. Tigers? dependable 6-4 sr. G Tolbert (13 ppg) is especially excited after scoring only
7 points before fouling out of earlier meeting. It?s a bonus if Auburn?s 6-7 jr. F Barber (14 ppg, 7 rpg), who has returned to practice after
breaking his finger in late December, is able to give it a go.

*AUBURN 76 - Alabama 67 RATING - 10
 

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#1 Sports comp


Wisconsin at Ohio State

Wisconsin (21-4, 14-2 BIG 10, #10 AP) topped the Golden Gophers of Minnesota on Saturday at the Kohl Center by the score of 65-56, using the balanced scoring (top five scorers 12, 11, 11, 11, and 11) and stiff defense that only Purdue (twice) has been able to crack amongst their conference opponents. Head coach Bo Ryan (163-59 in 7th season at Madison, 82-30 Big 10) has used his swing offense to rack up 546 wins in 24 college seasons, as well as six consecutive invitations to the NCAA Tournament. His offense is an approach that eschews the racking up of statistics by its stars in favor of swinging the ball to create angles on defenders for the open man. Player attitude is absolutely key and Buckey has bought-in players in spades.

Former Parade High School All-American 6'11" 235 senior F/C Brian "Polar Bear" Butch (12.6p, 7.0r, 23 blocks) and former First Team All-State Selection from New York 6'0" sophomore G Travon Hughes (12.4p, 3.0r, 2.5a, 35 of 105 from 3-point) could each be racking up huge numbers in other programs, yet are the biggest preachers of team basketball to their lesser-pedigreed mates. A five-game summer tour through Italy created lifelong bonds for these students athletes (we can actually use this term with a straight face in this case), and here's a good example of the love. Hughes lists his single, greatest career accomplishment as dunking on 6'11" 260 teammate and backup forward Greg Stiemsma (2.8p, 3.0r, 30 blocks)... in practice. It's an understatement to say these guys like playing hoops together.

Joining Hughes and Butch in the starting lineup are 6'7" 222 junior F Marcus Landry (11.0p, 5.2r, 1.4a), 6'2" senior G Michael Flowers (9.6p, 4.0r, 2.3a, 31 of 78 from 3-point), and 6'7" 220 G/F Joe Krabbenhoft (7.6p, 6.7r, 2.8a). Each are serious scrappers on the boards for a crew that averages a solid 36.5-30.0 rebounding advantage per game in 2007-2008. From the bench come 6'2" sophomore G Jason Bohannon (7.6p, 2.2r) and 6'10" 208 freshman F Jon Leurer (4.1p, 1.7r), each of whom can tinkle the twine from downtown, combining for 46 makes in 105 attempts from deep.

Wisconsin's team defense will test you as well, allowing just 55.4 points per game this season (versus the 68.7 they score) on .386 shooting from the field and .322 shooting from behind the arc.

Badger fans (and we count ourselves among that group, if you couldn't tell) will tell you that a special nod to the success of this program - as well as all of Wisconsin's teams - must be given to former Athletic Director Pat Richter. A 9-time letter winner at Wisconsin and 8-year tight end for the Washington Redskins, Richter inherited in 1989 an athletic program hampered by outmoded facilities and a $2.1 million yearly deficit. In 2004 he handed his successor and former Badger football coach Barry Alvarez a program with the state-of-the-art Kohl Center, a completely renovated Camp Randall Stadium, and a $6.4 million surplus. In the words of Ronald Reagan's 34th and final speech from the Oval Office, "All in all, not bad, not bad at all."

Ohio State (17-9, 8-5 BIG 10) dropped their third conference game in their last five opportunities with a 70-80 stumble to Michigan at Ann Arbor on Sunday, despite another strong performance by 7'0" 265 freshman C Kosta Koufos (13.8p, 7.0r, 47 blocks). Koufos might not fill the shoes of the departed Greg Oden (15.7p, 9.6r, 105 blocks in 2006-2007) in the minds of the Buckeye faithful, but he is actually a much more polished player than Oden was last season. Completely comfortable outside of the paint, Koufos can nail the jumper, put the ball on the floor, and attack the basket - making him more in the mold of a Nowitzki or Gasol than the man he replaces. With 34 points and 22 boards in his last two games, the Canton Colossus is certainly a tough assignment for any big man.

Joining the Greek Goliath (Our nicknames may be a little corny, but don't be surprised when you hear them on ESPN some day; it has happened, unaccredited, before) in the paint is 6'8" 225 senior F Othello Hunter (9.4p, 6.7r, 32 blocks), who has also been sharp lately with 35 points and 23 boards in his last three games, plus 6'9" 245 senior F/C Matt Terwilliger (3.3p, 2.5r) and 6'8" 260 freshman F Dallas Lauderdale (1.0p, 1.6), who bring the beef off the bench. Running the show for the Buckeyes' offense that averages 67.9 points per game on .457 shooting from the field is 6'1" senior Jamar Butler (14.2p, 3.5r, 6.3a, 39 steals). The former "Ohio Mr. Basketball," Butler has exploded from the decent stats he posted in 2006-2007 (8.5p, 2.1r, 3.6a) to become one of the premier point guards in college basketball, while remaining a bankable option from behind the arc with 71 makes in 183 attempts this year. Throw in starting swingmen 6'5" sophomore F/G David Lightly (8.7p, 3.7r, 2.3a) and 6'6" freshman Evan Turner (8.3p, 4.1p, 2.5a), plus 6'6" freshman Jon Diebler (6.8p, 2.4r, 1.2a, 40 of 134 from 3-point), and reigning Big 10 Coach of the Year Thad Matta (98-31 in 4th season at Columbus) has a decent mix of talent to make a run at his eighth consecutive 20+ win season in the college ranks.

This is the third Division I program that Coach Matta has succeeded at (24-8 at Butler, 78-23 at Xavier), and Ohio State is having solid success, but the off-season personnel losses are simply too much to overcome for Matta's crew to notch their third straight Conference Championship. In addition to Oden, the departure of Ron Lewis (12.7p, 3.6r, 64 makes from 3-point), Mike Conley Jr. (11.3p, 3.4r, 238 assists), and Daequan Cook (9.8p, 4.3r, 54 makes from 3-points) from the 2006-2007 Buckeye team (35-4, 15-1 BIG 10) that lost to the Florida Gators in the National Championship Game has certainly brought Ohio State back to the field, and would have likely crippled most other programs. For now, the faithful at Value City Arena will make do with a unit that grinds a little on offense, works hard on defense (60.1 points allowed on .378 shooting from the field and .303 from behind the arc), and has a legitimate shot at an invitation to The Big Dance.

The Badgers are in a dogfight with Purdue and Indiana for Conference Championship honors, while the Buckeyes are clearly part of the second tier this season, but playing road favorites in the Big 10 is a deep, dark place where handicappers go to curl up and die. Add in some of the unknowns that go with a first meeting between these clubs and we'll take Ohio State plus the points on Sunday.
 

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Bobby Maxwell comps


Wisconsin (pk) at OHIO STATE

We're 7-3 with our last 10 FREE selections and we're right back on the college hardwood today with a complimentary play on Wisconsin as the Badgers are in Columbus to take on Ohio State in a Big Ten battle.

The Badgers come into this one having won three straight and six of seven. They've got their game working while Ohio State has become one of the most inconsistent teams in the Big Ten.

Wisconsin has proven to be one of the best road teams in the country, going 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS on the road this season and they do it with defense when they hit the highway, allowing just 58 points and 40.3 percent shooting on the road.

The Badgers went to Illinois on Wednesday and scored a 71-57 win as a one-point road favorite, the four straight Big Ten victory for them (3-1 ATS). They are tied for the top spot in the conference and now go to Ohio State to face a Buckeyes squad that lost its last home game and is just above mediocrity in the confrence (8-5 SU, 7-7 ATS).

Wisconsin is 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS in the last 10 meetings with Ohio State. The Buckeyes are just 1-4 ATS in the last five Sundays while the Badgers are 7-3 ATS in Sunday tip-offs.

We like the way this Wisconsin team has come together this season and they will deliver a big road win today against the Buckeyes. Play Bo Ryan's Badgers today

3♦ WISCONSIN





Karl Garrett


La Salle (+8) at DUQUESNE

Payback time for the Explorers, as LaSalle got whipped up on at home by Duquesne 101-84 earlier this month in the City of Brotherly Love.

LaSalle may not be able to win this one outright, but the Explorers are easily playing their best basketball of the season, and do catch the Dukes in a bit of a rut, as Duquesne comes back home saddled with a two game slide, and losses in 4 of their last 7.

LaSalle is a perfect 9-0-1 against the spread on the road this season, and they come into the Steel City riding a 3-game winning streak, and wins in 5 of their last 7.

Overall on the road, LaSalle is a money-making 27-10-2 their last 39 games, while the Iron Dukes are on a 3-9 spread run on their home hardwood.

G-Man says the points are worth a look today with a LaSalle team that has a chance to hit the .500 mark for the first time this late in a season in a long time.

4♦ LA SALLE



Sports Gambling Hotline


Penn State at MINNESOTA (-11')

The SGH stands at 107-87-4 with our comp plays!

At 16-9, Minnesota faithful have belief that first year coach Tubby Smith is going to lead them into the Big Dance next month, so it is imperative the Golden Gophers handle the poor-traveling Nittany Lions this afternoon at the Williams Gym.

We say lay away with Minnesota today, as they put a hurting on Penn State!

Penn State is just 2-9 away from Happy Valley this season, and the points haven't been much of a help either, as they are just 3-8 against the spread away from home this year.

Minnesota is fresh off a nice comeback win and cover at home against Michigan earlier this week, as the Gophers improved their home mark to a respectable 10-4, while covering in 6 of 11 lined home games.

The Golden Gophers won the season's first meeting at Penn State 76-73, as they have now taken the last 6 series meetings both straight up, going 5-1 against the spread.

We say to lay the points in this one, as Minnesota notches another W to their season total.

Play on the Gophers.

3♦ MINNESOTA






Marc Lawrence


Play On: Auburn

Note: Tigers play host to arch-rival Alabama with major revenge on their minds from a 20-point loss at Tuscaloosa earlier this season. To make matters worse, Auburn checks into this contest off a 19-point loss against top-ranked Tennessee as they now dropped six of their last seven games. They are, however, 12-11 on the season and need this game like blood to keep any post-season (read: NIT) chances alive. The history book tells us they are 9-2 ATS at home in this series. They're also 9-1 ATS as a pick or dog of less than 16 points when playing with same season loss revenge of 20 or more points. With the Crimson Tide 0-6 SU on the road against lined teams this season, we'll cast a strong vote Auburn's way here today.



James Patrick Sports


Pistons vs Suns2:30 p.m. est. ABC

With the Pistons showing signs of fatigue of late we like #502 Phoenix Suns as our Sunday complimentary selection in NBA Hoop action. Don?t expect Phoenix to drop two in a row on their home court.


NELLY

Auburn
? over Alabama

The hardwood Iron Bowl has little meaning this season as both Auburn and Alabama barely float above the .500 mark and feature 3-8 records in the SEC. Alabama won by 20 in the first meeting this season as the teams played a fast-pace high scoring game that Alabama carried by delivering twelve 3-point shots and turning the ball over amazingly just four times. The Tide has averaged 17 turnovers per game in the last two contests so a repeat performance is highly unlikely. Auburn actually won both meetings last season including a 24-point blowout at home so the Tigers will be geared up for this game with little else to play for this season. Alabama has not won a road game since early November when they narrowly edged Mercer 90-83. Although Auburn is certainly beatable at home the Tigers have played respectable through a challenging stretch of the SEC schedule, winning at Mississippi and playing very close with Vanderbilt and Kentucky. This will be the biggest home game of the season for Auburn and in closely lined game the Tigers can deliver.



Dave Cokin



My free pick of the day is the game between (525) Syracuse and (526) Notre Dame. Take "(526) Notre Dame". Dave swept his Games of the Month, scoring with the upset call on Kent State in the college side and nailing the Spurs in the NBA. Need a big side for Sunday? Dave has a TOP LEVEL NBA play. Find out all about it 1-888-389-7223!... "Tough task for the Orange today. Notre Dame plays with incredible confidence on their home court, and the Irish also have a decided advantage in depth and upperclassman leadership. Big game for 'Cuse as far as their tourney hopes are concerned, but I don't think they can get it done at this locale. Notre Dame minus the points is the opinion."



Jim Feist


My free pick of the day is the game between (505) MEM Grizzlies and (506) CLE Cavaliers. Take "Under". It doesn't help a struggling offense to trade away its best offensive player, but that's what Memphis did in giving away Pau Gasol. Memphis is on a 9-4 run under the total. Cleveland is getting back to playing tough defense like they had a year ago when they won the East. It won't be difficult to shut down this struggling Memphis offense. Play the Grizzlies/Cavs under the total!



Jimmy The Moose


Game: Chicago Blackhawks at Anaheim Ducks
Prediction: over

Reason: Chicago played on Saturday vs. the Kings in a game where they come out on top, 6-5. The Blackahawks have played the over in 4 of their last 6 games. The Ducks are an oppotunistic team and they will take advanatge of a tired Chicago team. Look for Anaheim to be on the power play often tonight and to capatilize a few times. The over is 2-1-1 in Anaheim's last 4 games. The team's have played over the total in 3 of their last 5 meetings. Play the over.




Vegas Experts Tip Of The Day

North Carolina State Wolfpack at Virginia Cavaliers

Virginia team that can hardly win a game is favored by a fairly large number here. Cavs have only two wins in their last 12 games: both against Boston College. North Carolina State lost to Boston College, on the road, as well as at Maryland, home to Clemson and home to the Tar Heels in what has become a four-game losing streak but all those losses could be deemed excusable. The Wolfpack has this contest then a home date with FSU followed by home to Duke and at Wake Forest on its schedule so unless it gets this one and the FSU game it could be looking at an eight-game skid to end the season and bye-bye post-season hopes. The club has shown itself capable of winning on the road with wins at South Carolina, Seton Hall and FSU. And it has won and covered three of the last five in the series including last year here by a 79-71 score.

N.C. State



Robert Ross


Syracuse Orange at Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Not going to trifle with the Irish right now. Notre Dame is 18-3 its last 21 contests, 15-0 at home and 7-0 at home vs. Conference foes. Against this Syracuse brings a 2-5 record on the Big East road and three losses in its last four games. Sure, the Orange has been playing some ranked opponents: it gets another one here.

Notre Dame
 
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comps

HUDDLE UP SPORTS

Virginia -6



MIKE WYNN

LaSalle +9 Over Duquesne



TOTALS 4U

SACRAMENTO/ORLANDO OVER 216



TV HOTLINE COMP

DUQUESNE -9



VEGAS STEAMLINE

Idaho St +3? over Montana



RAZOR SHARP SPORTS

WRIGHT ST +9? over Illinois St



COMPUTER SPORTS

MINNESOTA-11



SCOUT
Penn St. +11 over Minnesota



DARK HORSE
Pittsburgh +1 over Louisville


BIG TIME SPORTS
NEW YORK / TORONTO OVER 200


NEVADA SHARPSHOOTER
MONTANA -3.5 OVER IDAHO ST


MADDUX
Portland +6.5


BIG AL
LA Lakers -9 over Seattle Sonics


BRW Sports Advisors
NHL New Jersey Devils ~vs~ Washington Capitals
Over 5.5 (+125)


Las Vegas Sports Advisor
Memphis at Cleveland
Memphis/Cleveland u196


Must Win Sports Picks
Detroit at Phoenix
Detroit +1.5
 
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THE SPORTS ADVISORS


COLLEGE BASKETBALL


(18) Louisville (21-6, 14-10-1 ATS) at Pitt (19-7, 12-9 ATS)
The Cardinals look to remain tied for the lead in the Big East when they take their six-game winning streak into the Petersen Events Center to take on Pittsburgh.
Louisville is 6-0 SU and ATS in conference play since the calendar flipped to February, including a 61-50 home win over Syracuse on Monday as a 9?-point favorite. The Cardinals have won three straight conference road games during their winning streak (3-0 ATS) and they?re 8-4 SU (8-3-1 ATS) away from home this season.
Dating back to last year, the Cardinals are on ATS rolls of 14-3-1 on the highway and 21-5-2 in Big East play.
Pitt has fallen out of contention for the conference regular season title, thanks in most part to a slew of injuries to key players. The Panthers have dropped two straight, losing on Feb. 15 at Marquette 72-54 as five-point pups then falling at Notre Dame on Thursday 82-70 as 4?-point underdogs.
Despite all the injuries, the Panthers have defended their home court, going 14-1 on the season inside Petersen Events Center (7-3 ATS) and have won three straight (2-1 ATS) since a surprising 77-64 loss to Rutgers on Jan. 26 as 18-point favorites.
These teams met twice last year ? once at Pitt in the regular season and once in the Big East tournament. Louisville took the first game 66-53 as 8?-point road ?dogs, but the Panthers returned the favor in the tournament, eliminating the Cardinals 65-59 as a three-point chalk.
The under has been the play in the last four head-to-head meetings the last two seasons, but the over is 6-2 in Pitt?s last eight Sunday tip-offs, 6-2 when the Panthers face a team with a winning road mark and 4-2 in Louisville?s last four on the road.

ATS ADVANTAGE: LOUISVILLE






Syracuse (17-10, 12-13 ATS) at (21) Notre Dame (20-5, 10-12 ATS)
Syracuse, which sits firmly on the NCAA Tournament bubble, hopes road domination continues in this series as it heads to South Bend, Ind., to take on the Fighting Irish in a Big East matchup.
The road team has won seven of the last nine regular-season series clashes and is 10-1 ATS in the last 11. The last time these two squared off was in the Big East tournament last March when Notre Dame got an 89-83 win as a one-point favorite. The Irish also got a 103-91 win at Syracuse last season, also getting the cash as four-point ?dogs. In fact, the underdog is on a 9-2 ATS streak in this rivalry.
Notre Dame has won seven of its last eight (3-5 ATS) overall and comes in off Thursday?s 82-70 home win over Pitt as 4?-point favorites. The Irish (10-3, 6-7 ATS in the Big East) are unbeaten in front of the home fans at 16-0 overall but just 7-6 ATS, including 4-3 ATS when hosting league foes.
Syracuse fell at Louisville on Monday 61-50 as a 9?-point ?dog, dropping to 7-7 SU and ATS in conference play. The Orange have dropped three of four overall, including two straight on the highway. Also, they?re just 2-5 in Big East road games this season (3-4 ATS).
Notre Dame?s high-flying offense puts up 83.4 points a game at home on 46.2 percent from the floor and allows just 66.6 points while holding the opposition to 39.4 percent shooting from the field. Meanwhile, Syracuse nets 66.8 ppg on 43.1 percent shooting as a visitor, while giving up 70.6 ppg on 42.6 percent shooting.
The Irish have lost consecutive games just once all year, way back on Nov. 18 and 19 in a preseason tournament in the Virgin Islands ? two losses that came by a combined five points.
The over is 14-3 in the Irish?s last 17 against Big East foes and 13-3 in their last 16 overall. On the flip side, Syracuse has stayed under the total in nine of its last 12 overall (all in Big East action) and six of its last eight on the highway.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE






(11) Wisconsin (22-4, 11-12 ATS) at Ohio State (17-9, 11-11 ATS)
The streaking Badgers, who have won three straight and six of seven, arrive at the Value City Arena in Columbus for a Big Ten showdown with suddenly inconsistent Ohio State.
Wisconsin went to Illinois on Wednesday and scored a 71-57 win as a one-point favorite, the fourth straight conference road win for the Badgers (3-1 ATS). Wisconsin is tied with Purdue atop the Big Ten standings at 12-2, but just 6-8 ATS).
The Badgers are 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS on the highway, and the main reason is Bo Ryan?s team does it with defense, limiting the opposition to 58 points and 40.3 percent shooting when it hits the road.
Ohio State has alternated wins and losses in its last six (2-4 ATS) and fell at Michigan on Sunday 80-70 as a five-point chalk. The Buckeyes (8-5, 7-7 ATS in the Big Ten) lost their last home game as well, falling 59-53 to Indiana as 2?-point home favorites.
The home team has won the last four regular-season meetings (2-2 ATS) between these schools (2-2 ATS). Also, in the Big Ten tournament title game last March, Ohio State got a 66-49 win as two-point favorites after edging the Badgers 49-48 as a 4?-point home chalk in the regular season. Still, Wisconsin is 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS in the last 10 head-to-head matchups.
Ohio State is 1-4 ATS in its last five Sunday games, while Wisconsin is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 on Sunday.
The over is 4-1 in the Badgers last five overall, including 3-0 on the road, but the under is 8-2 in Ohio State?s last 10. The Buckeyes have also stayed under the total in 13 of their last 16 Sunday games and seven of their last nine inside the Value City Arena

ATS ADVANTAGE: WISCONSIN and UNDER





NBA

Detroit (40-15, 31-23-1 ATS) at Phoenix (38-17, 25-28-2 ATS)
The Suns had their best defensive effort of the season Friday against Boston and now will try to repeat the effort as the Pistons visit the Valley of the Sun looking for their third straight victory on Phoenix?s home floor..
One game after allowing 130 points to the Lakers, Phoenix limited Boston, the NBA?s top team, to just 77 in an 85-77 win, getting the cash as a one-point favorite. In his second game with the Suns, Shaquille O?Neal played 26 minutes, made just one field goal in five attempts and finished with four points. But the Big Fella did grab a game-high 14 rebounds and Phoenix finished with an astounding 50-32 edge under the boards.
Detroit struggled with its offense out of the All-Star break, losing 103-85 to Orlando as 6?-point home favorites on Tuesday, then following it up with Wednesday?s 103-98 road loss in Milwaukee as a 6?-point chalk. But on Friday, the Pistons avenged the defeat to the Bucks in a big way, recording their best offensive showing in almost eight years in a 127-100 home rout of the Bucks, easily getting the cash as 12?-point favorites.
Detroit won 10 straight before the break (5-5 ATS), holding the opposition to less than 100 points in nine of the 10.
The Pistons have won seven of the last 10 series clashes (8-2 ATS), including a 105-83 rout in Phoenix last March, cashing as 5?-point favorites. In fact, Detroit has cashed in each of its last seven trips to the desert, going 4-1 SU (5-0 ATS) in its last five trips.
The Pistons are on ATS runs of 18-8-1 as a road underdog, 6-1 on Sunday, 15-5 when playing on one day of rest and 4-1 against a team with a winning record. On the downside, Flip Saunders? squad sports negative ATS streaks of 1-7 on the road, 1-4 against the Pacific Division and 0-4 after a spread-cover.
The Suns are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight against the Eastern Conference and 5-1 in their last six on Sunday. However, Phoenix is on negative pointspread slumps of 1-4 when favored by less than five points, 1-4 when playing on one day of rest and 1-4 after a SU win.
The over is 7-3 in Suns last 10 overall (3-1 in the last four), 17-4 in their last 21 against the Eastern Conference and 26-12 in their last 38 Sunday contests. The over is also 3-1 in the last four head-to-head matchups.

ATS ADVANTAGE: DETROIT and OVER



Boston (41-12, 31-20-2 ATS) at Portland (29-26, 27-28 ATS)
The Celtics will try to avoid their fourth straight loss tonight when they visit the Rose Garden to take on the struggling Blazers.
Boston opened this season with 16 straight wins over Western Conference teams but has dropped three straight to West foes since the All-Star break. The Celtics, who are in the midst of a five-game road trip, lost in Denver on Tuesday (124-118 as one-point ?dogs), Golden State on Wednesday (119-117 as three-point favorites) and Phoenix on Friday (85-77 as one-point pups).
Portland fell to1-2 (0-3 ATS) since the All-Star beak after Friday?s 99-87 loss at Seattle as a two-point road chalk. The Blazers have struggled in February, going just 3-7 SU (1-9 ATS). The problem for Nate McMillan?s team has been on offense, as the Blazers haven?t topped the century mark in seven straight games.
The Celtics have dominated this series the last five years, going 7-3 SU and ATS. That includes an ongoing five-game SU and ATS winning streak, as Boston swept the series the last two years and scored a 100-90 home win on Jan. 16, cashing as an eight-point favorite. Going back seven seasons, the road team has gotten the cash in 11 of the last 15 meetings, with Boston going 6-1 ATS in Portland.
Despite their current three-game SU and ATS slide on the highway, the Celtics are still 36-16-1 in their last 53 road games going back to last year. They?re also 25-9 ATS in their last 34 against teams with a winning road record, 9-4 ATS in their last 13 after a SU defeat and 4-1 ATS in their last five on Sundays.
The Blazers are on ATS skids of 0-8 at home, 5-16 overall, 4-9 against Atlantic Division squads, 1-4 as an underdog, 1-5 against the Eastern Conference, 1-11 after a non-cover, 0-9 after SU loss and 1-8 when playing on one day of rest.
The over is 4-1 in the last five head-to-head matchups, 24-5 in Boston?s last 29 against Northwest Division foes, 10-4 in the Celtics last 14 against the Western Conference and 6-3 in the Celtics? last nine overall. However, Portland has stayed under the total in six of its last seven overall, and the under is 18-10 at the Rose Garden this season.

ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON
 
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Cajun Sports


Game: (511) Dallas Mavericks vs. (512) Minnesota Timberwolves

Time: 6:35 PM EST
Line: Dallas Mavericks -6.5
Rating: TWO-Star

Selection: (511) DALLAS MAVERICKS -6.5
Analysis:
This series has seen the Mavericks fail to cover the large prices at home versus Minnesota but have little trouble covering the smaller price at the Target Center. The last three trips here by Dallas has seen them handle this T-Wolves team with ease. On Jan 6th Dallas defeats Minnesota 100 to 78, April 11th of last season saw them win 105 to 88 and on February 27th of last season the Mav?s won 91 to 65. Dallas is 14-7 ATS in games played in Minnesota since 1996. Minnesota is coming in off a 1-point loss to the Champs 100 to 99 against San Antonio on Thursday night a game in which T-Wolves guard Sebastian Telfair missed a shot at the buzzer which would have given Minnesota the win but it was not to be. We expect them to come out flat here and Dallas to be ready to play as Jason Kidd gets more productive each time out for his new team. We have a system that backs our position on the Mav?s and it tells us to Play Against NBA home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a game involving two teams who average shooting 33%-36.5% from behind the arc, a team that averages 14.5-16.5 turnovers per game against a team that averages 14.5 or less turnovers per game, 56-26 ATS since 2003.




Tony Mathews


Matchup: California vs. Stanford

Selection: Stanford -10 (-110)

Explanation: We will lay the points with Stanford as they face-off against California in Sunday's College Basketball contest.

Stanford holds a huge advantage on the defensive end. Stanford (at home) is allowing opponents to score an average of only 53.9 points per game, while California (on the road) is allowing opponents to score an average of 72.0 points per game. As you can see, Stanford holds a huge advantage on the defensive end.

Stanford has also proven they can beat California. In fact, Stanford is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings against California.

Stanford -10





John Fina

February 24, 2008

Selection: Duquesne -9 (-110)

Today La Salle will be on the road as they take on Duquesne. We will lay the points with Duquesne! The Duquesne offense is much better then the La Salle offense. Duquesne (at home) is scoring an average of 87.1 points per game, while La Salle (on the road) is scoring an average of only 71.5 points per game. That means the Duquesne offense is scoring an average of 15.6 points per game more then the La Salle offense. Duquesne is a perfect 2-0 SU & ATS in their last 2 meetings against La Salle, and should once again be able to get a blowout win! Lay the points! Take Duquesne




MATT RIVERS


For Sunday take the Celtics at the Rose Garden.

I was all about the Suns at home on Friday night against these same Celtics but I am jumping to the other side here as KG and the fellas will get back on the right track tonight.
Things have definitely not come as easy for Doc Rivers' team of late as they are in the midst of their first three game losing streak of the season but the way the Blazers have imploded of late I will take my chances with Garnett, Allen and Pierce and expect the C's to get a much needed win.
When Boston was winning every game I said how they are not as good as they have been playing and consequentially an overvalued club. Right now I am completely reversing course and telling you they are better than they are playing right now. Only scoring in the 70's at Phoenix was certainly not a good sign but Portland has been terrible over the past six or so weeks as they have covered something like four of their last 22 or so contests. I like the young Blazers led by Brandon Roy but they are in a ton of trouble right now as they are falling out of the playoff picture. If they were more experienced then maybe they could rebound but I just do not see things getting much better now after the amazing and overachieving start to the season.
Look for a workmanlike effort from the Celtics and an 8-10 point victory!



TONY WESTON

We keep our focus on the college hardwood with Xavier playing at Dayton today.
Xavier comes into this game a perfect 9-0 SU its last nine games, but only 4-5 ATS.
Luckily for Musketeers they play a Dayton team that?s 3-7 its last 10 games SU and only 2-8 its last 10 games ATS. In fact, before this 3-7 stretch, Dayton was 14-1 SU and 7-3 ATS to start the season.
One of those recent losses came at the hands of the Musketeers who beat Dayton 69-43 as 11-point favorites on Jan. 24. Since that game, Xavier is 7-0 SU and is beating opponents by an average of 9.1 points per game.
Early lines had Xavier favored at around 5 points, but that of course is subject to change up to tip off.
It won?t matter because the Musketeers will win this one by at least 15.
Take Xavier on the road.

3♦ XAVIER





Robert Ross


Syracuse Orange at Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Sunday, February 24th, 2:00 PM ET
Not going to trifle with the Irish right now. Notre Dame is 18-3 its last 21 contests, 15-0 at home and 7-0 at home vs. Conference foes. Against this Syracuse brings a 2-5 record on the Big East road and three losses in its last four games. Sure, the Orange has been playing some ranked opponents: it gets another one here.

Notre Dame



Ross Benjamin


Xavier @ Dayton 2:00 PM ET 2/24/2008
Play On: Dayton +5.0

Any home underdog of 8.5 or less that is off an away favorite SU loss, has lost at least 1 home game this season, has won 27 or more of their last 40 at home, versus an opponent off a home favorite ATS win, and has a win percentage of better than .750 is 7-0 ATS since 1990. The underdog has won 6 of the 7 games outright. Play on Dayton plus the points




JAKE TIMLIN


Sunday selection is the Denver Pioneers.
The Pioneers were more then a disappointment on Thursday, but even so I still believe in Denver when at home as I look for a rebound win today. You see like I always say it?s never easy to travel to the thin air of Denver and walk away with a win as evidence of the Pioneers 9-2 SU/ATS record at home this season for a team that only has 11 total wins. Plus given the fact that Denver will be looking for both revenge and a rebound performance I just don?t like New Orleans chances today. With that take the Pioneers at home as they improve on their home records.
 
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VEGAS SPORTS PICS



Louisville Cardinals - 1 over (at) Pittsburgh Panthers


Pittsburgh (19-7, 7-6) vs. No.18 Louisville (21-6, 11-3) enters on a momentum building six game win streak shooting 47.9 percent allowing 35.1 percent shooting. The Cardinals, who have won 11 consecutive February games, won at Pittsburgh 66-53 last season.



Notre Dame Fighting Irish - 6 over Syracuse Orange


Syracuse (17-10, 7-7) at No.21 Notre Dame (20-5, 10-3) is 16-0 at home averaging 83.7 points allowing 67.1 points. The Irish lead the Big East in both scoring and rebounding margin. They went 2-0 over Syracuse last season including an 89-83 win in the Big East tournament.



St. Joseph's Hawks + 2.5 over (at) Rhode Island Rams


Rhode Island (20-7, 6-6) vs. St. Joseph's (16-8, 7-4) is 9-5 away from home off losing at No.10 Xavier 76-72 on 02/10. The Hawks are 3-2 last five games at Rhode Island, the two losses coming by a combined six points.



Wake Forest Demon Deacons + 15.5 over (at) North Carolina Tar Heels


No.3 North Carolina (25-2, 10-2) vs. Wake Forest (16-8, 4-5) enters off an 86-73 home win over then No.2 Duke on 02/17, snapping the Blue Devils' 12 game win streak. The Deacons off a 6-1 run in this series are 0-3 (SU & ATS) last three meetings.



California Golden Bears +
10 over (at) Stanford Cardinal


No.9 Stanford (21-4, 10-3) vs. California (15-9, 6-7) with five players averaging double figures scoring leads the PAC 10 averaging 78.2 ppg. The Bears are 4-1 last five road games off winning at (17-9) Arizona State 76-73 on 02/16. Cal won at Stanford 67-63 last season.
 

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Sun (CBB) Notre Dame
Sun (CBB) Auburn




MIGHTY QUINN

Mighty hit with Boston College yesterday. Today it's Dayton.


Gamblers Data


Calgary-Minnesota over 5 -120
 
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Drew Gordon

Boston (-6) at PORTLAND

Hit both my Freebies Saturday, as New Mexico wins outright at Utah 72-71 & the Spurs take care of business against the Hornets 98-89! Those wins bring me to 298-274-5 over my L577 Free Play releases!

Healthy and now extremely motivated coming off three straight losses, this is not the time you want to be facing the Celtics. Enter the Trailblazers, once the hottest team in the league, but now, just another struggling team, losers of 6 of their last 7 games SUATS! The bubble appears to have bursted for the Blazers and the Celtics will make that perfectly clear tonight.

The return of Kevin Garnett is obviously a huge boost, but especially in this match up, as the talented bigman will be nightmare for LaMarcus Aldridge. Aldridge is the heart of the Blazers post game, and without his effectiveness (9 of 13 for team-leading 23 points last game), Portland's offense can become stagnant.

Another factor to consider is this Celtics team already beat Portland 100-90 back on January 16th in Boston. That win is significant, because at the time, the Blazers were playing much better basketball, and yet the Celtics still easily won and covered. More of the same tonight, as a highly motivated Boston team gets it done on the road against this sputtering Blazers squad.

Finally, at the heart of the Blazers problems has been their offense, which is already just about average, but is struggling mightily right now, scoring just 86 ppg on 41% shooting over their last 5 games. Boston's defense, albeit not impressive over their last 3, is more than capable of slowing down the Blazers, especially with a healthy Garnett.

Bottom line, the Celtics get back on track with a resounding victory over a seriously struggling Portland team in this one. Boston's 3 straight losses came against 3 of the more high-octane Western Conference teams, while tonight they get to play a slower more Eastern Conference style against Portland. End result: A solid road win and cover for the Celtics!

Take Boston comfortably over Portland in this NBA match up.

2♦ BOSTON



Joel Tyson


Wisconsin at OHIO STATE

The 22-4 Wisconsin Badgers travel today to take on the 17-9 Ohio State Buckeyes. The Badgers currently sit at 12-2 in Big 10 play, while the Buckeyes have struggled to get to 8-5 in the conference.

Wisconsin comes into today's match up beating the number seven of their last nine overall tries on the road, and I expect this trend to continue today.

The Badgers will be looking today to somewhat settle a score, as they have dropped the last two match ups to OSU. Remember however, this is not the same Ohio State team as it was las year, as they are much younger, and are smaller. The Badgers on the other hand are much more experienced over a year ago, and have size to boot.

OSU has dropped three of their last five overall, and five of their last 10, compared to Wisconsin that has won three straight, and eight of their last 10 overall.

Wisonsin gets the win today.

3♦ Wisconsin
 

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IRON HORSE


10* NBA REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR $45.00

Sunday's NBA action features a game that Carlo Campanella has had CIRCLED ON HIS CALENDAR for the past 2 months!!! He enters Sunday on a 12-4 Winning Streak in Hoops and serves up his "Revenge Game of the Year" that's supported by an exclusive Key Angle that's already WON 14 of 19 NBA games THIS SEASON.

NBA Revenge Game

Orlando Magic
 

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Comps


Donald Tran
Sport: College Hoops
Matchup: Syracuse at Notre Dame
Prediction: Notre Dame -6


Frank Patron
Date: Sunday February 24, 2008
Sport: College Hoops
Game: Wisconsin at Ohio State
Prediction: Ohio State (pick)


Jennifer Barry
Sport: College Hoops
Matchup: Louisville at Pittsburgh
Prediction: Pittsburgh Panthers +1.5


Hot Lock sports
NHL Calgary
Flames ~vs~ Minnesota Wild
Calgary Flames +130


Chad Jordan
Sport: College Basketball
Match up: Xavier at Dayton
Prediction: Dayton Flyers +5


Buck ShotBoys
NCAA Basketball
La Salle at Duquesne
Duquesne -9
 

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Dunkel Index

SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 24

Game 517-518: Louisville at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 74.651; Pittsburgh 71.505
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 3
Vegas Line: Louisville by 1
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-1)

Game 519-520: Wisconsin at Ohio State
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 71.644; Ohio State 68.733
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 3
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin

Game 521-522: LaSalle at Duquesne
Dunkel Ratings: LaSalle 55.676; Duquesne 66.539
Dunkel Line: Duquesne by 11
Vegas Line: Duquesne by 9
Dunkel Pick: Duquesne (-9)

Game 523-524: Penn State at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 56.505; Minnesota 68.244
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 12
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 11
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-11)

Game 525-526: Syracuse at Notre Dame
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 64.779; Notre Dame 73.976
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 9
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 6
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-6)

Game 527-528: Xavier at Dayton
Dunkel Ratings: Xavier 70.842; Dayton 64.648
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 6
Vegas Line: Xavier by 5
Dunkel Pick: Xavier (-5)

Game 529-530: St. Bonaventure at Massachusetts
Dunkel Ratings: St. Bonaventure 49.254; Massachusetts 65.716
Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 18 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Bonaventure (+18 1/2)

Game 531-532: Alabama at Auburn
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 62.857; Auburn 63.509
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 1
Vegas Line: Alabama by 1
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (+1)

Game 533-534: St. Joseph's at Rhode Island
Dunkel Ratings: St. Joseph's 65.355; Rhode Island 65.726
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Rhode Island by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Joseph's (+2 1/2)

Game 535-536: NC State at Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 59.933; Virginia 64.056
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 4
Vegas Line: Virginia by 6
Dunkel Pick: NC State (+6)

Game 537-538: New Orleans at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 50.744; Denver 50.841
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Denver by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+1 1/2)

Game 539-540: Wake Forest at North Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 67.541; North Carolina 80.746
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 13
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (+15 1/2)

Game 541-542: California at Stanford
Dunkel Ratings: California 62.849; Stanford 75.341
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Stanford by 10
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-10 )

Game 543-544: Montana at Idaho State
Dunkel Ratings: Montana 52.248; Idaho State 52.394
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Montana by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Idaho State (+3 1/2)

Game 545-546: Tennessee State at Northern Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee State 47.879; Northern Illinois 53.582
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 547-548: Wright State at Illinois State
Dunkel Ratings: Wright State 57.342; Illinois State 65.178
Dunkel Line: Illinois State by 8
Vegas Line: Illinois State by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wright State (+9 1/2)
 

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Dunkel Index

NBA

Game 501-502: Detroit at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 123.835; Phoenix 124.468
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 205
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 2; 199 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+2); Over

Game 503-504: New York at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: New York 114.427; Toronto 125.147
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 10 1/2; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 11 1/2; 200
Dunkel Pick: New York (+11 1/2); Under

Game 505-506: Memphis at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 110.989; Cleveland 120.771
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 10; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 11 1/2; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+11 1/2); Over

Game 507-508: Boston at Portland
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 122.959; Portland 115.083
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 8; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 5 1/2; 185
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-5 1/2); Over

Game 509-510: Sacramento at Orlando
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 118.356; Orlando 126.387
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 8; 220
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 6 1/2; 216
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-6 1/2); Over

Game 511-512: Dallas at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 121.231; Minnesota 115.832
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 5 1/2; 186
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 7; 191
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+7); Under

Game 513-514: Chicago at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 116.699; Houston 129.748
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 13; 197 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 515-516: LA Lakers at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 124.304; Seattle 117.448
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 7; 218 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 9; 215
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+9); Over
 

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comps

OTL Sports
Wright St +9.5 over Ill St


Arthur Ralph
Syracuse


RedZone Sports
Syracuse


Joe Wiz
Boston (-6)
Wright St. +9' over Illinois St.


PAUL LEINER
10* Rhode Island -2.5


Brian Marshall
Massachusetts -18.5


Jimmy Boyd
Orlando -6.5
 
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Rocketman Sports


5* Pittsburgh +100


5* Pittsburgh +100
San Jose is 1-5 this year when playing against a team with a winning record in the 2nd half of the season. Pittsburgh is 8-1 this year in non-conference games. Sharks are 1-4 in their last 5 road games. Sharks are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Sharks are 1-5 in their last 6 overall. Penguins are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. Pacific. Penguins are 12-1 in their last 13 vs. Western Conference. Penguins are 6-1 in their last 7 Sunday games. Penguins are 5-1 in their last 6 home games. Penguins are 8-2 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record. Penguins are 6-2 in their last 8 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation. Penguins are 6-2 in their last 8 overall. Penguins are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Home team is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. We'll play Pittsburgh for 5 units today
 
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Pointwise Newsletter

Best Bets:

Wisconsin

LaSalle

Syracuse

Virginia

Wright St
 
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