L. Ness' LEGEND Play-NFL (5-1 in FB '07, including 2-0 in the NFL!)
My LEGEND play is on the Det Lions at 1:00 ET.
The Chiefs came off their bye week 4-3 and in first place in the AFC West. They've since lost SEVEN straight, going 1-6 ATS. QB Huard has not played in FOUR of the last five games, as Brodie Croyle has taken over. After posting a 99.2 QB rating in a 13-10 loss at Indy, he hasn't topped 67.7 in any of the other three games and takes a 71.7 rating for the year into this game. He's led the Chiefs offense (if one could call it that), to an average of just 12.8 PPG in those four starts, including a total of just 17 points in the two road games. Terrific TE Gonzalez has been wasted in this pass offense, Kennison has barely played all year (is expected to miss again) and rookie Bowe has just one TD catch during the team's seven-game slide. The Lions have a similar tale of woe, losing six straight (1-5 ATS), after a 6-2 start. Kitna predicted 10 wins but with a trip upcomig at Green Bay, 8-8 seems a stretch. However, let's note that the Lions' slide started at Arizona (a dangerous home team) and the last five losses have come to teams which would right now, all qualify for the playoffs (combined record of 50-20 .714)! Despite the team allowing a league-high 52 sacks, Kitna should top 4,000 YP (has 3,707) for the 2nd straight year and I expect a HUGE effort from him (and his teammates here). The Chiefs pass D has shown some real weaknesses lately, allowing Cutler four TDPs two weeks ago in Denver and Vince Young (and his 70.1 QB rating) to have one of his best games of the year last week in KC (only game this year that Young has had more than one TDP and zero INTs!). The Detroit D has its issues but KC's offense ranks 31st in YPG and 30th in PPG. Remember, the Lions had the Cowboys beat on this field in Week 14 and in their final home game (in front of some very disappointed fans), can ill-ford a weak effort. It's almost impossible to believe the Chiefs made the playoffs last year. I can almost see Edwards' best effort coming next week, against his old team, the Jets. LEGEND Play on the Det Lions. Good Luck...L
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