GREG SHAKER
Tue, 01/08/08 - 7:00 PMGreg Shaker | CBB Total
double-dime bet720 Wake Forest / 719 Brigham Young Over 139.5 BetUS
Analysis: NCAAB: Brigham Young Cougars at Wake Forest Demon Deacons - Over 139.5 -110 | Unit Value: 2 DIMES
Game Date: 1/8/2008
Note: Wake Forest has been one of my favorite OVER Teams for a very long time, and when given the chance, this team loves to run the court. They will given that chance tonight with the Cougars in town. In fact these teams are very much alike in that regard with BYU possessing the #43 Tempo Team in the country and Wake #50. That puts them high on the list of shots per contest. One would think that this Posted Total would be higher due to that fact, but these two squads also play a very good brand of D, with both in the top 20% of D efficiency and we will see a lot of that played tonight as well. While they both limit their opponents to less than average shooting, there are plenty of reasons to believe that we will see more than our share of Free Throw Opps in this contest. There is also a liklihood that we will see plenty of 3 point attempts as well. The Cougars regularly shoot 25+ of those and so do the Demon Deacons. The visitors are the better shooting squad and they also do something that is going to give them the edge in this contest. They have a very good inside-outside game and they often get good looks at the basket. They also get fouled quite often due to their style of play, and Wake Forest is very prone to the foul. It would not surprise me to see BYU shoot very often from the Free Stripe and top the 25 times mark. I can't see any reason why the number of shots in this contest will not be at least 120 and if we get that amount or higher, it would take some very poor shooting not to bring this game where we want it to be. I will take my chances that they will be able to muster enough percentage to do that. The Extra Bonus here is the fact that this is expected to be a close enough affair to give us bonus free shots toward the end, and with average or better than average connectivity by these two, that is indeed a big bonus. Trend people will be happy to know that the Cougars are 41-19-2 OVER last 63 road affairs. Play up to 144
Tue, 01/08/08 - 9:00 PMGreg Shaker | CBB Total
double-dime bet734 Alabama / 733 Florida Under 151.0 BetUS
Analysis: NCAAB: Florida Gators at Alabama Crimson Tide - Under 151 -110 | Unit Value: 2 DIMES
Game Date: 1/8/2008
Note: Conference Play in the SEC has begun and we are going to start seeing who has it,and who does not. The one thing that we will begin to see is lower scoring games by many of these schools as the overall competition level steps up a notch. Both of these teams have had extreme offensive efficiency in their first 1/2 of the regular season, but we have to put that in perspective as to who they have been on the court with. The Tide have played just 3 teams that I consider quality and in those games their scoring success has been limited to 61, 60, and 63 to Clemson, Georgetown, and Texas A&M. The Gators likewise, just 2 games with quality on the other bench, and they managed just 49 and 51 to Ohio State and Florida State. We can just throw out the other contests as they have been with very sub-par teams. The Gators lost a lot to graduation and they are not whooping up and down the court as they have done in the past. They have the #251 Tempo in the country and that is way down the ladder for them. The Tide is mid-range in the number of shots they take. The one thing that Florida is continuing to do is play good D, ranked in the top 30% and Bama is better than average in that department. Overall shooting percentages cannot be be judged correctly for the O and the D because many games have gotten well out of hand verses these lessor opponents that they have played. Last year's contest saw just 143 and that was with the Gators cracking on all cylanders. That was accomplished despite just 107 shots taken, and it was accomplished due to the Gators 51% shooting and 30 trips to the Free Throw Stripe. This team is not nearly as talented and we are not going to see that kind of performance. If things are equal this year in the number of shots, this game will not come close to the Posted Number that we have. Play down to 146
