SERVICE PLAYS FOR TUESDAY 12/11
- Thread starter GIANTS007
- Start date
BEN BURNS
NBA
UNDER SONICS/BULLS (188 or better)
Game: Seattle SuperSonics vs. Chicago Bulls Game Time: 12/11/2007 8:35:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on Seattle and Chicago to finish UNDER the number. The Bulls have seen the "over" go a profitable 5-3 when listed as underdogs this season. However, its been a different story when they've been in the favorite role. In fact, the UNDER has gone 8-2 (8-1 if counting them as a favorite for the Pistons game on 11/8) when they've been laying points. Looking back at the last couple of seasons and we find the UNDER is also a profitable 16-6 when the Bulls have been listed as home favorites in the -6.5 to -9 range. Three of the last four series meetings at Seattle have finished above the total. However, each of the last two games at Chicago have stayed below the total which brings the UNDER to 8-5 the last 13 meetings here. The Sonics have started to play much better defense of late and have seen the UNDER go a profitable 6-1 their last seven games. The Sonics, who play at New York tomorrow, have also seen the UNDER go 3-1 the last four times they played the front end of back to back games. The Bulls, who play at Indiana tomorrow, have seen the UNDER go 6-2 the last eight times they played the front end of back to back games and 11-5 their last 16 in that situation. Look for tonight's game to be lower scoring than expected once again, with the UNDER improving to 7-1 when the Bulls have faced a team with a losing record. *WGN TOW
OVER HAWKS/RAPTORS (188 or better)
Game: Toronto Raptors vs. Atlanta Hawks Game Time: 12/11/2007 7:05:00 PM Prediction: over Reason: I feel this number is too low and am playing on the Raptors and Hawks to finish OVER the total. For starters, the Raptors have seen their road games average 194.8 points this season with the last three of them all finishing above the number. Meanwhile, the Hawks have played higher-scoring games at Atlanta than they have on the road and have seen their games here produce an average of 194.4 combined points. The Hawks scored an upset win at Orlando last night. That's noteworthy as we find the OVER at 5-2 the last seven times that they played a home game after having played the previous night. Note that six of those seven games produced a minimum of 192 points and that the seven games overall produced an average of 199 combined points. The fact that the Raptors are slight favorites is also worth mentioning as both teams have seen the "over" be profitable when they've been in this role. The Raptors have seen the OVER go 24-15-1 the last 40 times they've been listed as road favorites of -3 points or less, including a 2-0 mark this season. During the same stretch, the Hawks have seen the OVER go 42-30-1 when listed as a home underdog of three points or less. That includes a 14-6 mark their last 20 in that situation. Looking at the series history and we find that the OVER is a highly profitable 11-1 the last 12 series meetings and that even the lone game that finished below the number still produced 190 combined points. I'm expecting another relatively high-scoring affair that finishes above the relatively low number.
COLLEGE HOOPS *BEST BET
EVANSVILLE (+10 or better)
Game: Evansville vs. Valparaiso Game Time: 12/11/2007 8:00:00 PM Prediction: Evansville Reason: I'm taking the points with EVANSVILLE. The Aces have a new coach, Marty Simmons, and have been learning a new system. Therefore, it wasn't a complete surprise when they started the season by going 0-3. They've turned it around since though, winning two straight and three of their last four, both SU and ATS. Tonight, they'll face a solid Valparaiso team which has gotten off to a hot start. Off back to back conference road wins, I feel that the Crusader players are starting to pat themselves on the back a little bit though. Perhaps more importantly, they're also all already talking about upcoming big back to back games vs. Wisconsin and UNC. Looking past Evansville will prove costly though. The Aces defeated the Crusaders last season. Additionally, as we have learned over the years, teams from the Missouri Valley Conference are almost never pushovers and they almost play tough defense. Note that the Aces are currently allowing a mere 60 points per game. These teams have already had two commmon opponents and the results were relatively similar. Valparaiso beat Austin Peay by a score of 61-47. Meanwhile, Evansville faced Austin Peay last time out and won by 10 points, 52-42. Both teams also faced and defeated Ball State. Valparaiso won by 13 points (as 12 point favorites) while Evansville won 51-50, as 2.5 point underdogs. The significant difference there was that the Aces defeated the Cardinals at Ball State while the Crusaders did so at Valparaiso. The Aces have been profitable at this time of year and also when facing teams from outside the Valley. Back to back victories bring them to 11-3 ATS their last 14 lined games in December and 15-8 ATS their last 23 non-conference lined games. During the same stretch, the Aces are also a profitable 20-10 ATS on the road and 17-7 ATS after having played a non-conference game their previous time out. Last year's game was decided by five points. I feel that this year's spread is too high and am expecting another close game which comes down to the wire. *Best Bet
NBA
UNDER SONICS/BULLS (188 or better)
Game: Seattle SuperSonics vs. Chicago Bulls Game Time: 12/11/2007 8:35:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on Seattle and Chicago to finish UNDER the number. The Bulls have seen the "over" go a profitable 5-3 when listed as underdogs this season. However, its been a different story when they've been in the favorite role. In fact, the UNDER has gone 8-2 (8-1 if counting them as a favorite for the Pistons game on 11/8) when they've been laying points. Looking back at the last couple of seasons and we find the UNDER is also a profitable 16-6 when the Bulls have been listed as home favorites in the -6.5 to -9 range. Three of the last four series meetings at Seattle have finished above the total. However, each of the last two games at Chicago have stayed below the total which brings the UNDER to 8-5 the last 13 meetings here. The Sonics have started to play much better defense of late and have seen the UNDER go a profitable 6-1 their last seven games. The Sonics, who play at New York tomorrow, have also seen the UNDER go 3-1 the last four times they played the front end of back to back games. The Bulls, who play at Indiana tomorrow, have seen the UNDER go 6-2 the last eight times they played the front end of back to back games and 11-5 their last 16 in that situation. Look for tonight's game to be lower scoring than expected once again, with the UNDER improving to 7-1 when the Bulls have faced a team with a losing record. *WGN TOW
OVER HAWKS/RAPTORS (188 or better)
Game: Toronto Raptors vs. Atlanta Hawks Game Time: 12/11/2007 7:05:00 PM Prediction: over Reason: I feel this number is too low and am playing on the Raptors and Hawks to finish OVER the total. For starters, the Raptors have seen their road games average 194.8 points this season with the last three of them all finishing above the number. Meanwhile, the Hawks have played higher-scoring games at Atlanta than they have on the road and have seen their games here produce an average of 194.4 combined points. The Hawks scored an upset win at Orlando last night. That's noteworthy as we find the OVER at 5-2 the last seven times that they played a home game after having played the previous night. Note that six of those seven games produced a minimum of 192 points and that the seven games overall produced an average of 199 combined points. The fact that the Raptors are slight favorites is also worth mentioning as both teams have seen the "over" be profitable when they've been in this role. The Raptors have seen the OVER go 24-15-1 the last 40 times they've been listed as road favorites of -3 points or less, including a 2-0 mark this season. During the same stretch, the Hawks have seen the OVER go 42-30-1 when listed as a home underdog of three points or less. That includes a 14-6 mark their last 20 in that situation. Looking at the series history and we find that the OVER is a highly profitable 11-1 the last 12 series meetings and that even the lone game that finished below the number still produced 190 combined points. I'm expecting another relatively high-scoring affair that finishes above the relatively low number.
COLLEGE HOOPS *BEST BET
EVANSVILLE (+10 or better)
Game: Evansville vs. Valparaiso Game Time: 12/11/2007 8:00:00 PM Prediction: Evansville Reason: I'm taking the points with EVANSVILLE. The Aces have a new coach, Marty Simmons, and have been learning a new system. Therefore, it wasn't a complete surprise when they started the season by going 0-3. They've turned it around since though, winning two straight and three of their last four, both SU and ATS. Tonight, they'll face a solid Valparaiso team which has gotten off to a hot start. Off back to back conference road wins, I feel that the Crusader players are starting to pat themselves on the back a little bit though. Perhaps more importantly, they're also all already talking about upcoming big back to back games vs. Wisconsin and UNC. Looking past Evansville will prove costly though. The Aces defeated the Crusaders last season. Additionally, as we have learned over the years, teams from the Missouri Valley Conference are almost never pushovers and they almost play tough defense. Note that the Aces are currently allowing a mere 60 points per game. These teams have already had two commmon opponents and the results were relatively similar. Valparaiso beat Austin Peay by a score of 61-47. Meanwhile, Evansville faced Austin Peay last time out and won by 10 points, 52-42. Both teams also faced and defeated Ball State. Valparaiso won by 13 points (as 12 point favorites) while Evansville won 51-50, as 2.5 point underdogs. The significant difference there was that the Aces defeated the Cardinals at Ball State while the Crusaders did so at Valparaiso. The Aces have been profitable at this time of year and also when facing teams from outside the Valley. Back to back victories bring them to 11-3 ATS their last 14 lined games in December and 15-8 ATS their last 23 non-conference lined games. During the same stretch, the Aces are also a profitable 20-10 ATS on the road and 17-7 ATS after having played a non-conference game their previous time out. Last year's game was decided by five points. I feel that this year's spread is too high and am expecting another close game which comes down to the wire. *Best Bet
Scott Spreitzer
CBB Tuesday Night TKO! *53-17, 76% ATS!
Tuesday TKO Bradley Braves
Even though they have the revenge factor on their side, Wright State is in a tough situation on Tuesday. The Raiders just knocked off rival Butler in a physically and emotionally grinding, 43-42 tilt. WSU was quite fortunate. Butler shot horribly in the game, even when facing the basket without a defender in front of them. The Bulldogs hit just 32% of their attempts. I doubt the Raiders will be helped out again tonight. Bradley has had a week to get over their close loss to Michigan State. BU basically led from the opening tip until just over four minutes left in the game. They couldn't wrap it up because of their deficiency on the glass. But that was Izzo's Spartans, who are absolute beasts on the boards. Wright State is not a strong rebounding team and they have a lot of newcomers on the roster. It's a Raiders squad that barely escaped at home against Marshall; lost at home to Valpo; and were beaten on the road by Marist. Bradley, with Daniel Ruffin leading the way is my pick to win the Mo-Valley. Ten Bradley players have seen action in all nine games and nine of their players are averaging over nine minutes played per game. They had no problem at all with Wright State a season ago, and I believe they'll handle the Raiders on Tuesday. Bradley is my Tuesday TKO.
NBA TKO Game of the Week! *11-4, 73% ATS!
NBA GOW Raptors
Chris Bosh came back with a bang on Sunday and I expect another big night in Atlanta. Bosh scored 21 points and grabbed 10 boards in Toronto's 13-point win over Houston. And, they may get Andrea Bargnani back tonight. Whether he plays or not, this is a strong spot for Toronto. The Raptors have dominated this division, now on a 27-9 ATS run against the Southeast. More importantly, they're on a 7-3 run against the Hawks, winning two straight in the series. The Hawks played and won last night and now must suit up in a quick turnaround. I expect Toronto to pull away in the second half and gain an important win, playing nine of their next 11 away from home. I'll back the newly healthy Raptors, my NBA GOW on Tuesday.
CBB Tuesday Night TKO! *53-17, 76% ATS!
Tuesday TKO Bradley Braves
Even though they have the revenge factor on their side, Wright State is in a tough situation on Tuesday. The Raiders just knocked off rival Butler in a physically and emotionally grinding, 43-42 tilt. WSU was quite fortunate. Butler shot horribly in the game, even when facing the basket without a defender in front of them. The Bulldogs hit just 32% of their attempts. I doubt the Raiders will be helped out again tonight. Bradley has had a week to get over their close loss to Michigan State. BU basically led from the opening tip until just over four minutes left in the game. They couldn't wrap it up because of their deficiency on the glass. But that was Izzo's Spartans, who are absolute beasts on the boards. Wright State is not a strong rebounding team and they have a lot of newcomers on the roster. It's a Raiders squad that barely escaped at home against Marshall; lost at home to Valpo; and were beaten on the road by Marist. Bradley, with Daniel Ruffin leading the way is my pick to win the Mo-Valley. Ten Bradley players have seen action in all nine games and nine of their players are averaging over nine minutes played per game. They had no problem at all with Wright State a season ago, and I believe they'll handle the Raiders on Tuesday. Bradley is my Tuesday TKO.
NBA TKO Game of the Week! *11-4, 73% ATS!
NBA GOW Raptors
Chris Bosh came back with a bang on Sunday and I expect another big night in Atlanta. Bosh scored 21 points and grabbed 10 boards in Toronto's 13-point win over Houston. And, they may get Andrea Bargnani back tonight. Whether he plays or not, this is a strong spot for Toronto. The Raptors have dominated this division, now on a 27-9 ATS run against the Southeast. More importantly, they're on a 7-3 run against the Hawks, winning two straight in the series. The Hawks played and won last night and now must suit up in a quick turnaround. I expect Toronto to pull away in the second half and gain an important win, playing nine of their next 11 away from home. I'll back the newly healthy Raptors, my NBA GOW on Tuesday.
Stan Sharp
NBA Total
triple-dime bet
UTAH/PORT Under 203.5
Analysis: Tonight Stan's Top NBA TOTALS Bettor has Bet the UTAH/PORTLAND GAME UNDER. Utah returns home and puts the clamps on Portland tonight. Stan's people expect this game to land between 189-194 Points easily going UNDER. TAKE PORTLAND/UTAH UNDER as STAN'S NBA WESTERN CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE MONTH and make them a TRIPLE DIME PLAY.
NBA Total
triple-dime bet
UTAH/PORT Under 203.5
Analysis: Tonight Stan's Top NBA TOTALS Bettor has Bet the UTAH/PORTLAND GAME UNDER. Utah returns home and puts the clamps on Portland tonight. Stan's people expect this game to land between 189-194 Points easily going UNDER. TAKE PORTLAND/UTAH UNDER as STAN'S NBA WESTERN CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE MONTH and make them a TRIPLE DIME PLAY.
POINTWISE
COLLEGE HOOPS
TUESDAY, DECEMBER 11
(7:00) Bradley 73 - WRIGHT STATE 63
(7:00) CENTRAL FLORIDA 78 - La-Lafayette 61
(8:00) SOUTHERN ILLINOIS 76 - St Marys 67 (ESPNU)
(9:00) VALPARAISO 74 - Evansville 62
ADDED GAME
(10:00) OREGON 90 - Sacramento State 55
BEST BETS: BRADLEY, CENTRAL FLORIDA
NBA
TUESDAY, DECEMBER 11
(7:05) CLEVELAND CAVALIERS 104 - Indiana Pacers 99
(7:05) WASHINGTON WIZARDS 95 - Minnesota 83
(7:05) Toronto Raptors 94 - ATLANTA HAWKS 91
(7:35) NEW JERSEY NETS 105 - LA Clippers 98
(8:05) Detroit Pistons 96 - MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES 90
(8:35) CHICAGO BULLS 100 - Seattle Supersonics 99
(9:05) UTAH JAZZ 104 - Portland Trailblazers 89
(10:35) San Antonio Spurs 91 - GOLDEN STATE 86
BEST BETS: WASHINGTON, DETROIT, UTAH
COLLEGE HOOPS
TUESDAY, DECEMBER 11
(7:00) Bradley 73 - WRIGHT STATE 63
(7:00) CENTRAL FLORIDA 78 - La-Lafayette 61
(8:00) SOUTHERN ILLINOIS 76 - St Marys 67 (ESPNU)
(9:00) VALPARAISO 74 - Evansville 62
ADDED GAME
(10:00) OREGON 90 - Sacramento State 55
BEST BETS: BRADLEY, CENTRAL FLORIDA
NBA
TUESDAY, DECEMBER 11
(7:05) CLEVELAND CAVALIERS 104 - Indiana Pacers 99
(7:05) WASHINGTON WIZARDS 95 - Minnesota 83
(7:05) Toronto Raptors 94 - ATLANTA HAWKS 91
(7:35) NEW JERSEY NETS 105 - LA Clippers 98
(8:05) Detroit Pistons 96 - MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES 90
(8:35) CHICAGO BULLS 100 - Seattle Supersonics 99
(9:05) UTAH JAZZ 104 - Portland Trailblazers 89
(10:35) San Antonio Spurs 91 - GOLDEN STATE 86
BEST BETS: WASHINGTON, DETROIT, UTAH
GOLD SHEET
TUESDAY, DECEMBER 11
CLEVELAND 108 - Indiana 102?Let?s see if Cleveland maintains focus after
seeing 14-point 3rd Q lead slip away at Indiana Nov. 25 before rallying for wild
111-106 win. Cavs were ?jawing? a lot when cruising that night before Pacers
got back in game behind Marquis Daniels? 24 points in as many minutes
(Daniels since slowed by balky knee). LeBron (scored 30) bailed out Cleveland
with his fourth triple-double of season that night, but check status after
subsequent index finger injury. Cavs unreliable 0-4 as home chalk thru Dec. 3.
07-Cle -2 111-106 (204); 06-IND -2' 97-87 (185), CLE -8' 107-75 (190), CLE -10'
99-88 (185), Cle -2 105-94 (181) TV?NBA NETWORK
WASHINGTON 102 - Minnesota 91?Washington still had services of G
Arenas (scored 27) when team shot 52% from floor in 16-point cruise at Target
Center Nov. 16. Although Arenas now out with knee injury, Washington has
covered 9 of last 12 and 4 straight as a home favorite through Dec. 4. T-wolves
have the worst point differential in the league (-9 ppg). 07-Wash -3' 105-89
(192); 06-WASH -3 112-100 (203), MIN -5' 98-94 (207)
Toronto 100 - ATLANTA 92?Toronto on real pointspread uptick lately
(covered 6 of last 7 thru Dec. 2), and Raptors had dropped just 2 of first 8 spread
decisions on road thru Dec. 6. Raptor F Bosh (groin) should be ready to go, and
he?s getting help on frontline from Andrea Bargnani (12 ppg) and Rasho
Nesterovic (recently returned from a sprained ankle that sidelined him 6
games). 06-Atl +4' 111-102 (201), ATL -3 97-93 (203), TOR -7' 105-92 (195),
Tor -1 103-91 (190)
NEW JERSEY 100 - LA Clippers 92?Something has to give when these
recent negative trends clash (N.J. no covers last 7 as host thru Dec. 4, Clips 1-
10 vs. spread last 11 thru Dec. 3). 06-LA -6' 102-101 (191), NJ -5 101-95 (189)
MEMPHIS 108 - Detroit 103?Memphis displaying plenty of tenacity as home
dog in early going (3-0 in role entering game), but Grizzlies could be a small
favorite here. Detroit should be coming off a home win against Charlotte, and
the Pistons have Houston up tomorrow night. Detroit just 3-7 vs. number
following first 10 wins through Dec. 4. 06-DET -8 95-86 (183), Det -6' 92-89 (198)
CHICAGO 89 - Seattle 81?Neither anything to get excited about thus far
(Chicago 4-10 vs. line thru Dec. 2, Seattle 3?15 SU thru Dec. 4). Both, however,
trending ?under? lately (Bulls ?under? 9 of last 13 thru Dec. 2, Sonics ?under? 9-5 last
14 thru Dec. 1). 06-CHI -9 99-84 (197), Chi -2 107-101 (201) CABLE TV WGN
UTAH 107 - Portland 90?Home court edge meant something in this series
last season, when host team won all four meetings. Included was Utah?s 130-
93 blowout of Portland at Salt Lake City. Jazz mostly handling big imposts at
EnergySolutions Arena, covering 6 of first 8 as home chalk thru Dec. 2. Blazers
just 1-9 vs. spread last 10 on board thru Dec. 2. 06-UTA -11 96-86 (191), POR
-1' 103-100 (188), POR +8 94-89 (185), UTA -13' 130-93 (195)
San Antonio 106 - GOLDEN ST. 100?After G.S. got San Antonio?s attention
with 9-point win in fist meeting last season, Spurs were on alert for subsequent
rumbles vs. Warriors, winning and covering handily in next three (win margin 27
ppg). G.S. on significant uptick past few weeks (8-1 SU last 9 thru Dec. 2), but
so are Spurs (7-1 SU and vs. line last 8 thru Dec. 4). Availability of injured
Tim Duncan crucial for San Antonio. 06-GS +4 111-102 (196), SAN -8' 129-89
(203), San -4' 126-89 (202), SAN -10' 112-99 (206)
COLLEGE HOOPS
TUESDAY, DECEMBER 11
WRIGHT ST. over Bradley by 4 to 6?06-BRAD -11 88-49
UCF over La.-Lafayette by 13 to 16 06-DNP
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS 65 - Saint Marys 63 SIU as rugged as ever, but Salukis
not getting the sort of consistent production from backcourt that graduated stalwarts
Tatum (LYs MVC MVP) & Young provided for last Marchs Sweet 16 team. Matchups
a little tricky vs. versatile SMC bunch with plenty of size (6-11 Samhan & 6-7 Simpson)
to impede dread-locked Randal Falker and the necessary quicks in mercurial frosh PG
Mills to give Gaels a chance to atone for bitter losses vs. SIU LY and in ?05 Big Dance.
06-Siu -3 66-61 CABLE TV?ESPNU
VALPARAISO over Evansville by 13 to 16?06-EVANS (NL) 69-64
TUESDAY, DECEMBER 11
CLEVELAND 108 - Indiana 102?Let?s see if Cleveland maintains focus after
seeing 14-point 3rd Q lead slip away at Indiana Nov. 25 before rallying for wild
111-106 win. Cavs were ?jawing? a lot when cruising that night before Pacers
got back in game behind Marquis Daniels? 24 points in as many minutes
(Daniels since slowed by balky knee). LeBron (scored 30) bailed out Cleveland
with his fourth triple-double of season that night, but check status after
subsequent index finger injury. Cavs unreliable 0-4 as home chalk thru Dec. 3.
07-Cle -2 111-106 (204); 06-IND -2' 97-87 (185), CLE -8' 107-75 (190), CLE -10'
99-88 (185), Cle -2 105-94 (181) TV?NBA NETWORK
WASHINGTON 102 - Minnesota 91?Washington still had services of G
Arenas (scored 27) when team shot 52% from floor in 16-point cruise at Target
Center Nov. 16. Although Arenas now out with knee injury, Washington has
covered 9 of last 12 and 4 straight as a home favorite through Dec. 4. T-wolves
have the worst point differential in the league (-9 ppg). 07-Wash -3' 105-89
(192); 06-WASH -3 112-100 (203), MIN -5' 98-94 (207)
Toronto 100 - ATLANTA 92?Toronto on real pointspread uptick lately
(covered 6 of last 7 thru Dec. 2), and Raptors had dropped just 2 of first 8 spread
decisions on road thru Dec. 6. Raptor F Bosh (groin) should be ready to go, and
he?s getting help on frontline from Andrea Bargnani (12 ppg) and Rasho
Nesterovic (recently returned from a sprained ankle that sidelined him 6
games). 06-Atl +4' 111-102 (201), ATL -3 97-93 (203), TOR -7' 105-92 (195),
Tor -1 103-91 (190)
NEW JERSEY 100 - LA Clippers 92?Something has to give when these
recent negative trends clash (N.J. no covers last 7 as host thru Dec. 4, Clips 1-
10 vs. spread last 11 thru Dec. 3). 06-LA -6' 102-101 (191), NJ -5 101-95 (189)
MEMPHIS 108 - Detroit 103?Memphis displaying plenty of tenacity as home
dog in early going (3-0 in role entering game), but Grizzlies could be a small
favorite here. Detroit should be coming off a home win against Charlotte, and
the Pistons have Houston up tomorrow night. Detroit just 3-7 vs. number
following first 10 wins through Dec. 4. 06-DET -8 95-86 (183), Det -6' 92-89 (198)
CHICAGO 89 - Seattle 81?Neither anything to get excited about thus far
(Chicago 4-10 vs. line thru Dec. 2, Seattle 3?15 SU thru Dec. 4). Both, however,
trending ?under? lately (Bulls ?under? 9 of last 13 thru Dec. 2, Sonics ?under? 9-5 last
14 thru Dec. 1). 06-CHI -9 99-84 (197), Chi -2 107-101 (201) CABLE TV WGN
UTAH 107 - Portland 90?Home court edge meant something in this series
last season, when host team won all four meetings. Included was Utah?s 130-
93 blowout of Portland at Salt Lake City. Jazz mostly handling big imposts at
EnergySolutions Arena, covering 6 of first 8 as home chalk thru Dec. 2. Blazers
just 1-9 vs. spread last 10 on board thru Dec. 2. 06-UTA -11 96-86 (191), POR
-1' 103-100 (188), POR +8 94-89 (185), UTA -13' 130-93 (195)
San Antonio 106 - GOLDEN ST. 100?After G.S. got San Antonio?s attention
with 9-point win in fist meeting last season, Spurs were on alert for subsequent
rumbles vs. Warriors, winning and covering handily in next three (win margin 27
ppg). G.S. on significant uptick past few weeks (8-1 SU last 9 thru Dec. 2), but
so are Spurs (7-1 SU and vs. line last 8 thru Dec. 4). Availability of injured
Tim Duncan crucial for San Antonio. 06-GS +4 111-102 (196), SAN -8' 129-89
(203), San -4' 126-89 (202), SAN -10' 112-99 (206)
COLLEGE HOOPS
TUESDAY, DECEMBER 11
WRIGHT ST. over Bradley by 4 to 6?06-BRAD -11 88-49
UCF over La.-Lafayette by 13 to 16 06-DNP
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS 65 - Saint Marys 63 SIU as rugged as ever, but Salukis
not getting the sort of consistent production from backcourt that graduated stalwarts
Tatum (LYs MVC MVP) & Young provided for last Marchs Sweet 16 team. Matchups
a little tricky vs. versatile SMC bunch with plenty of size (6-11 Samhan & 6-7 Simpson)
to impede dread-locked Randal Falker and the necessary quicks in mercurial frosh PG
Mills to give Gaels a chance to atone for bitter losses vs. SIU LY and in ?05 Big Dance.
06-Siu -3 66-61 CABLE TV?ESPNU
VALPARAISO over Evansville by 13 to 16?06-EVANS (NL) 69-64
:SIB JEFFERSONSPORTS
3-0 last night.
On a 10-2 all sports run
On a 8-1 run in NCAA HOOPS
On a 8-2 run in the NBA
Hitting 60% in NCAA HOOPS
Hitting 63% in NBA
Hitting 67% in NHL
Hitting 71% in NCAA FOOTBALL
Hitting 50% in NFL
OVERALL RECORD since OCT. 6th is 108-65 (62.4%) in all sports
EARLY NBA RELEASE for tues
TORONTO-2
thanks and good luck guys
3-0 last night.
On a 10-2 all sports run
On a 8-1 run in NCAA HOOPS
On a 8-2 run in the NBA
Hitting 60% in NCAA HOOPS
Hitting 63% in NBA
Hitting 67% in NHL
Hitting 71% in NCAA FOOTBALL
Hitting 50% in NFL
OVERALL RECORD since OCT. 6th is 108-65 (62.4%) in all sports
EARLY NBA RELEASE for tues
TORONTO-2
thanks and good luck guys
Here is the last week result of some of these cappers :
Capper --------------------------------------- Result
JEFFERSONSPORTS ---------------------------- 17-9
Burns ----------------------------------------- 14-16
Cannon --------------------------------------- 9-11 (6 days)
Ness ------------------------------------------ 5-10
Moose ---------------------------------------- 9-8
Ferringo--------------------------------------- 24-13-1
ATS LOCK Club -------------------------------- 12-8-1
Vegas Experts Tip Of The Day ------------------ 3-3 (6 days)
Strike Points Sports --------------------------- 5-3 (only three days)
Tom Stryker ----------------------------------- 7-2 (6 days)
Mike Lineback --------------------------------- 11-7 (6 days)
Insider Sports Report -------------------------- 9-12-1
Elite Sports Picks ------------------------------ 5-2
Discount Sports Picks -------------------------- 9-5
Scott Sprietzer -------------------------------- 16-11
IndianCowboy --------------------------------- 14-10-1
Leni Del Genio --------------------------------- 9-8
Best : Robert Ferringo
Worst : Larry Ness
Capper --------------------------------------- Result
JEFFERSONSPORTS ---------------------------- 17-9
Burns ----------------------------------------- 14-16
Cannon --------------------------------------- 9-11 (6 days)
Ness ------------------------------------------ 5-10
Moose ---------------------------------------- 9-8
Ferringo--------------------------------------- 24-13-1
ATS LOCK Club -------------------------------- 12-8-1
Vegas Experts Tip Of The Day ------------------ 3-3 (6 days)
Strike Points Sports --------------------------- 5-3 (only three days)
Tom Stryker ----------------------------------- 7-2 (6 days)
Mike Lineback --------------------------------- 11-7 (6 days)
Insider Sports Report -------------------------- 9-12-1
Elite Sports Picks ------------------------------ 5-2
Discount Sports Picks -------------------------- 9-5
Scott Sprietzer -------------------------------- 16-11
IndianCowboy --------------------------------- 14-10-1
Leni Del Genio --------------------------------- 9-8
Best : Robert Ferringo
Worst : Larry Ness
WINNING POINTS
NBA
Tuesday, December 11
*Cleveland over Indiana by 5
Maybe the Pacers will catch a break and Jermaine O?Neal (check status) won?t be able
to play. He?s only been a shade of his former self this season. O?Neal?s low-post presence
doesn?t fit in with new coach Jim O?Brien?s fast-paced style. Indiana won five of
its first six games without O?Neal, who has been battling a knee injury. The Pacers
have averaged 108 points during this span and have defeated Dallas and Denver. They
were held to 90 points or less five times during November ? all five times O?Neal was
in the lineup. CLEVELAND 110-105.
*Washington over Minnesota by 8
Al Jefferson has emerged as a solid double/double man, averaging better than 20
points and 11 rebounds through the month of November. Unfortunately for
Minnesota, there is little else. The Timberwolves are 17-41-2 ATS heading into
December. The Wizards were 5-4 in their first nine games without Gilbert Arenas.
WASHINGTON 112-104.
Toronto over *Atlanta by 2
The Raptors have the superior guard depth, especially at point guard with T.J. Ford
and Jose Calderon. TORONTO 103-101.
*New Jersey over Los Angeles Clippers by 4
The Nets are banged-up in the fore-court, the Clippers have backcourt injuries. The
Clippers had failed to cover nine of their last 10 games entering December. NEW
JERSEY 101-97.
Detroit over *Memphis by 4
Often overvalued by the bookmaker, the Pistons have failed to cover 14 of their last
21 through Dec. 1. The Grizzlies have three shot-blockers with Pau Gasol, Stromile
Swift and Darko Milicic. DETROIT 110-106.
**PREFERRED
Seattle over *Chicago by 1
The Sonics have some serious deficiencies, with lack of a reliable point guard being
perhaps their No. 1 headache. But the team is better than the linesmaker often gives
them credit for and getting away from their unsettled and negative home situation
could be a positive thing. The Bulls opened with 10 losses in their first 13 games.
There is concern the players are turned off by Scott Skiles? in-your-face coaching style.
Ben Wallace has regressed and Ben Gordon?s shots haven?t been dropping. Chicago
isn?t nearly good enough to cover a medium pointspread without a strong effort.
SEATTLE 103-102.
**PREFERRED
*Utah over Portland by 16
Expect the Jazz to be fired-up since this is their only home game during a five-game
stretch. Carlos Boozer (check status) is turning into an MVP possibility, averaging better
than 25 points and 11 rebounds through November. The Jazz have covered six of
their first eight home games, while the Trail Blazers were 2-6 away from the Rose
Garden heading into December. UTAH 114-98.
San Antonio over *Golden State by 5
After dropping their first six games, the Warriors have gotten hot capturing eight of
their last nine through November. However, they still ranked second-from-last in
defense allowing 107.9 points per game, while the Spurs ranked in the top five defensively.
We prefer defense over offense. SAN ANTONIO 102-97
WINNING POINTS
COLLEGE HOOPS
Tuesday, December 11
Bradley over Wright State* by 7
Central Florida* over UL-Lafayette by 1
Southern Illinois* over St. Mary?s by 7
St. Mary?s won?t defend the Salukis as well as USC and Indiana did and the Gaels had
way too many free throws in non-conference home wins vs. Oregon and Seton Hall
to not be skeptical about. SOUTHERN ILLINOIS, 68-61.
Valparaiso* over Evansville by 5
:00hour
NBA
Tuesday, December 11
*Cleveland over Indiana by 5
Maybe the Pacers will catch a break and Jermaine O?Neal (check status) won?t be able
to play. He?s only been a shade of his former self this season. O?Neal?s low-post presence
doesn?t fit in with new coach Jim O?Brien?s fast-paced style. Indiana won five of
its first six games without O?Neal, who has been battling a knee injury. The Pacers
have averaged 108 points during this span and have defeated Dallas and Denver. They
were held to 90 points or less five times during November ? all five times O?Neal was
in the lineup. CLEVELAND 110-105.
*Washington over Minnesota by 8
Al Jefferson has emerged as a solid double/double man, averaging better than 20
points and 11 rebounds through the month of November. Unfortunately for
Minnesota, there is little else. The Timberwolves are 17-41-2 ATS heading into
December. The Wizards were 5-4 in their first nine games without Gilbert Arenas.
WASHINGTON 112-104.
Toronto over *Atlanta by 2
The Raptors have the superior guard depth, especially at point guard with T.J. Ford
and Jose Calderon. TORONTO 103-101.
*New Jersey over Los Angeles Clippers by 4
The Nets are banged-up in the fore-court, the Clippers have backcourt injuries. The
Clippers had failed to cover nine of their last 10 games entering December. NEW
JERSEY 101-97.
Detroit over *Memphis by 4
Often overvalued by the bookmaker, the Pistons have failed to cover 14 of their last
21 through Dec. 1. The Grizzlies have three shot-blockers with Pau Gasol, Stromile
Swift and Darko Milicic. DETROIT 110-106.
**PREFERRED
Seattle over *Chicago by 1
The Sonics have some serious deficiencies, with lack of a reliable point guard being
perhaps their No. 1 headache. But the team is better than the linesmaker often gives
them credit for and getting away from their unsettled and negative home situation
could be a positive thing. The Bulls opened with 10 losses in their first 13 games.
There is concern the players are turned off by Scott Skiles? in-your-face coaching style.
Ben Wallace has regressed and Ben Gordon?s shots haven?t been dropping. Chicago
isn?t nearly good enough to cover a medium pointspread without a strong effort.
SEATTLE 103-102.
**PREFERRED
*Utah over Portland by 16
Expect the Jazz to be fired-up since this is their only home game during a five-game
stretch. Carlos Boozer (check status) is turning into an MVP possibility, averaging better
than 25 points and 11 rebounds through November. The Jazz have covered six of
their first eight home games, while the Trail Blazers were 2-6 away from the Rose
Garden heading into December. UTAH 114-98.
San Antonio over *Golden State by 5
After dropping their first six games, the Warriors have gotten hot capturing eight of
their last nine through November. However, they still ranked second-from-last in
defense allowing 107.9 points per game, while the Spurs ranked in the top five defensively.
We prefer defense over offense. SAN ANTONIO 102-97
WINNING POINTS
COLLEGE HOOPS
Tuesday, December 11
Bradley over Wright State* by 7
Central Florida* over UL-Lafayette by 1
Southern Illinois* over St. Mary?s by 7
St. Mary?s won?t defend the Salukis as well as USC and Indiana did and the Gaels had
way too many free throws in non-conference home wins vs. Oregon and Seton Hall
to not be skeptical about. SOUTHERN ILLINOIS, 68-61.
Valparaiso* over Evansville by 5
:00hour
WINNING POINTS
NBA
Tuesday, December 11
*Cleveland over Indiana by 5
Maybe the Pacers will catch a break and Jermaine O?Neal (check status) won?t be able
to play. He?s only been a shade of his former self this season. O?Neal?s low-post presence
doesn?t fit in with new coach Jim O?Brien?s fast-paced style. Indiana won five of
its first six games without O?Neal, who has been battling a knee injury. The Pacers
have averaged 108 points during this span and have defeated Dallas and Denver. They
were held to 90 points or less five times during November ? all five times O?Neal was
in the lineup.
CLEVELAND 110-105
*Washington over Minnesota by 8
Al Jefferson has emerged as a solid double/double man, averaging better than 20
points and 11 rebounds through the month of November. Unfortunately for
Minnesota, there is little else. The Timberwolves are 17-41-2 ATS heading into
December. The Wizards were 5-4 in their first nine games without Gilbert Arenas.
WASHINGTON 112-104
Toronto over *Atlanta by 2
The Raptors have the superior guard depth, especially at point guard with T.J. Ford
and Jose Calderon.
TORONTO 103-101
*New Jersey over Los Angeles Clippers by 4
The Nets are banged-up in the fore-court, the Clippers have backcourt injuries. The
Clippers had failed to cover nine of their last 10 games entering December.
NEW JERSEY 101-97
Detroit over *Memphis by 4
Often overvalued by the bookmaker, the Pistons have failed to cover 14 of their last
21 through Dec. 1. The Grizzlies have three shot-blockers with Pau Gasol, Stromile
Swift and Darko Milicic.
DETROIT 110-106
**PREFERRED
Seattle over *Chicago by 1
The Sonics have some serious deficiencies, with lack of a reliable point guard being
perhaps their No. 1 headache. But the team is better than the linesmaker often gives
them credit for and getting away from their unsettled and negative home situation
could be a positive thing. The Bulls opened with 10 losses in their first 13 games.
There is concern the players are turned off by Scott Skiles? in-your-face coaching style.
Ben Wallace has regressed and Ben Gordon?s shots haven?t been dropping. Chicago
isn?t nearly good enough to cover a medium pointspread without a strong effort.
SEATTLE 103-102
**PREFERRED
*Utah over Portland by 16
Expect the Jazz to be fired-up since this is their only home game during a five-game
stretch. Carlos Boozer (check status) is turning into an MVP possibility, averaging better
than 25 points and 11 rebounds through November. The Jazz have covered six of
their first eight home games, while the Trail Blazers were 2-6 away from the Rose
Garden heading into December.
UTAH 114-98
San Antonio over *Golden State by 5
After dropping their first six games, the Warriors have gotten hot capturing eight of
their last nine through November. However, they still ranked second-from-last in
defense allowing 107.9 points per game, while the Spurs ranked in the top five defensively.
We prefer defense over offense.
SAN ANTONIO 102-97
COLLEGE HOOPS
Tuesday, December 11
Bradley over Wright State* by 7
Central Florida* over UL-Lafayette by 1
Southern Illinois* over St. Marys by 7
St. Marys wont defend the Salukis as well as USC and Indiana did and the Gaels had
way too many free throws in non-conference home wins vs. Oregon and Seton Hall
to not be skeptical about.
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS, 68-61
Valparaiso* over Evansville by 5
NBA
Tuesday, December 11
*Cleveland over Indiana by 5
Maybe the Pacers will catch a break and Jermaine O?Neal (check status) won?t be able
to play. He?s only been a shade of his former self this season. O?Neal?s low-post presence
doesn?t fit in with new coach Jim O?Brien?s fast-paced style. Indiana won five of
its first six games without O?Neal, who has been battling a knee injury. The Pacers
have averaged 108 points during this span and have defeated Dallas and Denver. They
were held to 90 points or less five times during November ? all five times O?Neal was
in the lineup.
CLEVELAND 110-105
*Washington over Minnesota by 8
Al Jefferson has emerged as a solid double/double man, averaging better than 20
points and 11 rebounds through the month of November. Unfortunately for
Minnesota, there is little else. The Timberwolves are 17-41-2 ATS heading into
December. The Wizards were 5-4 in their first nine games without Gilbert Arenas.
WASHINGTON 112-104
Toronto over *Atlanta by 2
The Raptors have the superior guard depth, especially at point guard with T.J. Ford
and Jose Calderon.
TORONTO 103-101
*New Jersey over Los Angeles Clippers by 4
The Nets are banged-up in the fore-court, the Clippers have backcourt injuries. The
Clippers had failed to cover nine of their last 10 games entering December.
NEW JERSEY 101-97
Detroit over *Memphis by 4
Often overvalued by the bookmaker, the Pistons have failed to cover 14 of their last
21 through Dec. 1. The Grizzlies have three shot-blockers with Pau Gasol, Stromile
Swift and Darko Milicic.
DETROIT 110-106
**PREFERRED
Seattle over *Chicago by 1
The Sonics have some serious deficiencies, with lack of a reliable point guard being
perhaps their No. 1 headache. But the team is better than the linesmaker often gives
them credit for and getting away from their unsettled and negative home situation
could be a positive thing. The Bulls opened with 10 losses in their first 13 games.
There is concern the players are turned off by Scott Skiles? in-your-face coaching style.
Ben Wallace has regressed and Ben Gordon?s shots haven?t been dropping. Chicago
isn?t nearly good enough to cover a medium pointspread without a strong effort.
SEATTLE 103-102
**PREFERRED
*Utah over Portland by 16
Expect the Jazz to be fired-up since this is their only home game during a five-game
stretch. Carlos Boozer (check status) is turning into an MVP possibility, averaging better
than 25 points and 11 rebounds through November. The Jazz have covered six of
their first eight home games, while the Trail Blazers were 2-6 away from the Rose
Garden heading into December.
UTAH 114-98
San Antonio over *Golden State by 5
After dropping their first six games, the Warriors have gotten hot capturing eight of
their last nine through November. However, they still ranked second-from-last in
defense allowing 107.9 points per game, while the Spurs ranked in the top five defensively.
We prefer defense over offense.
SAN ANTONIO 102-97
COLLEGE HOOPS
Tuesday, December 11
Bradley over Wright State* by 7
Central Florida* over UL-Lafayette by 1
Southern Illinois* over St. Marys by 7
St. Marys wont defend the Salukis as well as USC and Indiana did and the Gaels had
way too many free throws in non-conference home wins vs. Oregon and Seton Hall
to not be skeptical about.
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS, 68-61
Valparaiso* over Evansville by 5
WUNDERDOG COMP NHL PLAY
Game: Tampa Bay at Montreal (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Montreal -1.5 goals +190 (puckline)
Tampa Bay is 11-5 at home but just 2-12 on the road! While scoring 3.5 goals per game at home, they average just 2.4 on the road - a 1.1 goal difference. On defense, it gets worse. They give up just 2.3 goals per game at home but 4.1 per game on the road - a whopping 1.8 goals per game difference! Montreal is no defensive stalwart but it doesn't matter as the Lightning are 3-9 this year vs. defenses allowing 2.9+ goals per game. Montreal on the puckline here.
Game: Tampa Bay at Montreal (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Montreal -1.5 goals +190 (puckline)
Tampa Bay is 11-5 at home but just 2-12 on the road! While scoring 3.5 goals per game at home, they average just 2.4 on the road - a 1.1 goal difference. On defense, it gets worse. They give up just 2.3 goals per game at home but 4.1 per game on the road - a whopping 1.8 goals per game difference! Montreal is no defensive stalwart but it doesn't matter as the Lightning are 3-9 this year vs. defenses allowing 2.9+ goals per game. Montreal on the puckline here.
That's great info ice! Could we get this in a weekly basis? :00hour
FYI .. i'm a big fan of larry ness in baseball.. after a season of analyzing his picks, I won huge.
For other sports, I only trust his Legend play/24* plays.. i guess he is 5-1 this yr. The most recent win was NFL seattle -7.
Thanks for ur ranking again. I'll pay attention to ferringo. :142smilie
Larry Ness' Oddsmaker's Error-CBB (6-0 run since Nov 23!)
My Oddsmaker's Error is on Bradley at 7:00 ET. Wright St has played just five games this year and is coming off a HUGE 43-42 win over previously unbeaten Butler on Saturday. The win was very impressive, as the Bulldogs were pointing to their game with the Raiders, who had knocked them off twice last year (keeping the Bulldogs from the Horizon title). Wright St misses conference P-O-Y DeShaun Wood, who started all 119 games in his career and averaged 36 MPG last season. Two sophs man the backcourt TY, Brown (15.4-5.0) and Duggins (14.0-3.8), while the 6-6 Wilson (11.2-5.2) and the 6-8 Pleiman (6.4-5.8) are the best frontcourt players. Wright St really goes just six-deep and will have matchup problems with Bradley. Bradley was a Sweet 16 team two years ago and LY won 22 games. Ten players have appeared in all nine games this year and Bradley's perimeter game is superb. Seniors Ruffin (16.4-3.6-7.0) and Crouch (14.6-3.1-2.9) are joined by soph Warren (10.3), plus swingman Wilson (7.4-6.3) and the 6-7 Salley (5.4-5.0) round out the starting five. The 7-0 Collins ()7.1-4.4) gives Bradley height that Wright St can't match. Bradley is 6-3 but two of those losses have come vs No. 10 Michigan St (66-61) and unbeaten and 23rd-ranked Vandy. The other loss came in the Braves' first game, a trip to Illinois-Chicago where Bradley shot just 41 percent (8-of-28 on threes), while Illinois-Chicago shot 54 percent, including 9-of-13 behind the arc. Bradley CRUSHED Wright St last year 88-49 and with Wright coming off the Butler win, will win handily again tonight! Oddsmaker's Error on Bradley
My Oddsmaker's Error is on Bradley at 7:00 ET. Wright St has played just five games this year and is coming off a HUGE 43-42 win over previously unbeaten Butler on Saturday. The win was very impressive, as the Bulldogs were pointing to their game with the Raiders, who had knocked them off twice last year (keeping the Bulldogs from the Horizon title). Wright St misses conference P-O-Y DeShaun Wood, who started all 119 games in his career and averaged 36 MPG last season. Two sophs man the backcourt TY, Brown (15.4-5.0) and Duggins (14.0-3.8), while the 6-6 Wilson (11.2-5.2) and the 6-8 Pleiman (6.4-5.8) are the best frontcourt players. Wright St really goes just six-deep and will have matchup problems with Bradley. Bradley was a Sweet 16 team two years ago and LY won 22 games. Ten players have appeared in all nine games this year and Bradley's perimeter game is superb. Seniors Ruffin (16.4-3.6-7.0) and Crouch (14.6-3.1-2.9) are joined by soph Warren (10.3), plus swingman Wilson (7.4-6.3) and the 6-7 Salley (5.4-5.0) round out the starting five. The 7-0 Collins ()7.1-4.4) gives Bradley height that Wright St can't match. Bradley is 6-3 but two of those losses have come vs No. 10 Michigan St (66-61) and unbeaten and 23rd-ranked Vandy. The other loss came in the Braves' first game, a trip to Illinois-Chicago where Bradley shot just 41 percent (8-of-28 on threes), while Illinois-Chicago shot 54 percent, including 9-of-13 behind the arc. Bradley CRUSHED Wright St last year 88-49 and with Wright coming off the Butler win, will win handily again tonight! Oddsmaker's Error on Bradley
Ice or anyone do you have access daily To Arthur Ralph. His regular daily plays and especially his daily SUperpick?
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INSIDER SPORTS REPORT
4* TORONTO / ATLANTA (NBA) OVER 184-
RANGE 182- TO 186-
3* CLIPPERS +7 OVER NEW JERSEY (NBA)
RANGE +9 TO + 5-
3* DETROIT / MEMPHIS (NBA) OVER 202-
RANGE 201 TO 204-
4* TORONTO / ATLANTA (NBA) OVER 184-
RANGE 182- TO 186-
3* CLIPPERS +7 OVER NEW JERSEY (NBA)
RANGE +9 TO + 5-
3* DETROIT / MEMPHIS (NBA) OVER 202-
RANGE 201 TO 204-
