SERVICE PLAYS FOR TUESDAY 12/11
- Thread starter GIANTS007
- Start date
NORTHSTAR SPORTS
BRADLEY -1-
S. ILLINOIS -3- (BEST BET)
NHL
PITTSBURGH +131
FLORIDA -119 (BEST BET)
BRADLEY -1-
S. ILLINOIS -3- (BEST BET)
NHL
PITTSBURGH +131
FLORIDA -119 (BEST BET)
CAPPERS ACCESS
SPORT FAVORITE UNDERDOG LINE PICK
(TUE) CBB- VALPO/EVANSVILLE- 11 VALPO
(TUE) NBA- BULLS/SONICS- 8 BULLS
SPORT FAVORITE UNDERDOG LINE PICK
(TUE) CBB- VALPO/EVANSVILLE- 11 VALPO
(TUE) NBA- BULLS/SONICS- 8 BULLS
OVER CHICAGO 8:00 PM EST
Michael Cannon
Tuesday's Plays...
15 Dime ?
ST. MARY?S
Take the points with St. Mary?s tonight when they travel to take on Southern Illinois. St. Mary?s has plenty of experience and their overall talent level is its best in years. They could be the best defensive team in the conference after being second in points allowed and field-goal percentage defense last year. They have the versatility to adjust their lineup according to their opponent?s strength and style. St. Mary?s is also a strong rebounding team that blocks a lot of shots. The Gaels have a proven star in Diamon Simpson and another potential one in Patrick Mills. Mills has the ability to break down the defense off the dribble and his presence allows Todd Golden to move back to his natural shooting guard spot. Southern Illinois has dropped three in a row both SU and ATS. On Saturday they were blown out at 71-56 Charlotte as a 4 ?-point chalk. St. Mary?s is on ATS runs of 7-2 overall and 4-1 on the road. Southern Illinois is just 4-11 ATS in its last 15 following a straight-up loss. Take the points with St. Mary?s as they stay within the number against a struggling Southern Illinois squad.
10 Dime ?
SONICS
Take the points with Seattle tonight when they take on the Bulls in Chicago. I know Seattle is not a good team, but ask yourself what have the Bulls done this year to make you think they?re going to cover this medium pointspread? The fact that the Sonics are on the road away from its unsettled and negative home situation could be a positive for them. There is concern in Chicago that the players are turned off by coach Scott Skiles? in-your-face style. Ben Wallace is but a shell of his former self and Ben Gordon?s shots haven?t been dropping. Rookie Kevin Durant may be enough to keep Seattle within this number by himself. Take the points as Seattle grabs the cash for us tonight.
Tuesday's Plays...
15 Dime ?
ST. MARY?S
Take the points with St. Mary?s tonight when they travel to take on Southern Illinois. St. Mary?s has plenty of experience and their overall talent level is its best in years. They could be the best defensive team in the conference after being second in points allowed and field-goal percentage defense last year. They have the versatility to adjust their lineup according to their opponent?s strength and style. St. Mary?s is also a strong rebounding team that blocks a lot of shots. The Gaels have a proven star in Diamon Simpson and another potential one in Patrick Mills. Mills has the ability to break down the defense off the dribble and his presence allows Todd Golden to move back to his natural shooting guard spot. Southern Illinois has dropped three in a row both SU and ATS. On Saturday they were blown out at 71-56 Charlotte as a 4 ?-point chalk. St. Mary?s is on ATS runs of 7-2 overall and 4-1 on the road. Southern Illinois is just 4-11 ATS in its last 15 following a straight-up loss. Take the points with St. Mary?s as they stay within the number against a struggling Southern Illinois squad.
10 Dime ?
SONICS
Take the points with Seattle tonight when they take on the Bulls in Chicago. I know Seattle is not a good team, but ask yourself what have the Bulls done this year to make you think they?re going to cover this medium pointspread? The fact that the Sonics are on the road away from its unsettled and negative home situation could be a positive for them. There is concern in Chicago that the players are turned off by coach Scott Skiles? in-your-face style. Ben Wallace is but a shell of his former self and Ben Gordon?s shots haven?t been dropping. Rookie Kevin Durant may be enough to keep Seattle within this number by himself. Take the points as Seattle grabs the cash for us tonight.
LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): EVANSVILLE vs VALPARAISO
Play: VALPARAISO -10 ( WITH A HOOK)
Comments: LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) SELECTION: VALPARAISO -10 ( WITH A HOOK)^^^^ This is the advantage of purchasing early as we get this out to you in the early AM. We are going to take full advantage of this generous opening line. It starts out at 10.5 so purchase a hook and get it to 10 as that's a number we always like when we have a big spread. For tonight's action it's really a simple breakdown for handicapping so early in the season. Bottom line is you face many unknowns to start a new season in any sport and the easiest way to counter act that is to go with experience. We have an overwhelming edge there with Valparaiso who return all five of their starters from last years team giving us experience balance and cohesiveness. Evansville is a bi-polar opposite losing 3 of their 4 best scorers from last years team. Evansville has been struggling to say the least to adjust to the changes. Both teams have two common opponents already this early in the season. Austin Peay who Evansville beat by 10 points and Valparaiso beat by 14 and Ball State who Evansville struggled to beat by one point and Valparaiso dominated winning by 13 points. Evansville averages 58.4 points while Valparaiso averages 74.3 points. We have the more experienced team in what looks to be the better offensive minded team and we get them on their home court taking advantage of the opening line. Purchase that hook as once again we are being very line specific here. We are willing to see it go to 11 but to insure the win, we'd like to see out clients protected and take the 10 and lets cash this one in tonight on Valparaiso
LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) LATE ADDITION SELECTION: SEATTLE vs CHICAGO
Play: SEATTLE +8.5 (NBA)
Comments: LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) LATE ADDITION SELECTION: Always check back by 7pm est week days and 6pm est on the Week ends. Always remember that plays posted early are always LVTR primary plays. Today's Late addition play is : SEATTLE IN NBA +8.5 ( Seattle is 9-2 ATS at Chicago and the Sonics are 5-2 vs spread in their last seven games )
Play: VALPARAISO -10 ( WITH A HOOK)
Comments: LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) SELECTION: VALPARAISO -10 ( WITH A HOOK)^^^^ This is the advantage of purchasing early as we get this out to you in the early AM. We are going to take full advantage of this generous opening line. It starts out at 10.5 so purchase a hook and get it to 10 as that's a number we always like when we have a big spread. For tonight's action it's really a simple breakdown for handicapping so early in the season. Bottom line is you face many unknowns to start a new season in any sport and the easiest way to counter act that is to go with experience. We have an overwhelming edge there with Valparaiso who return all five of their starters from last years team giving us experience balance and cohesiveness. Evansville is a bi-polar opposite losing 3 of their 4 best scorers from last years team. Evansville has been struggling to say the least to adjust to the changes. Both teams have two common opponents already this early in the season. Austin Peay who Evansville beat by 10 points and Valparaiso beat by 14 and Ball State who Evansville struggled to beat by one point and Valparaiso dominated winning by 13 points. Evansville averages 58.4 points while Valparaiso averages 74.3 points. We have the more experienced team in what looks to be the better offensive minded team and we get them on their home court taking advantage of the opening line. Purchase that hook as once again we are being very line specific here. We are willing to see it go to 11 but to insure the win, we'd like to see out clients protected and take the 10 and lets cash this one in tonight on Valparaiso
LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) LATE ADDITION SELECTION: SEATTLE vs CHICAGO
Play: SEATTLE +8.5 (NBA)
Comments: LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) LATE ADDITION SELECTION: Always check back by 7pm est week days and 6pm est on the Week ends. Always remember that plays posted early are always LVTR primary plays. Today's Late addition play is : SEATTLE IN NBA +8.5 ( Seattle is 9-2 ATS at Chicago and the Sonics are 5-2 vs spread in their last seven games )
I second that emotion, but everyone please just ask once per day. Everyone reads every thread and they will see it.
Thanks to the mods and all the posters as always...
Master Lock Line anyone,they are a consensus service. Here is what they say
Master Lock Line
16-5 OVERALL, SAINTS & OVER MAKES IT 33-16 NFL; ?ODDS ANALYZER? AGREES WITH TANNER PLATINUM
Because MasterLockLine.... is a consensus service with power of 620 sports services behind every selection, they can and do have more LEGITIMATE ?Game of the Year? and other big sports service plays than any other source in the world.
Here is your locked and loaded menu for Tuesday, December 11, 2007
The No. 1 handicapper at site inspired by a recent claims to have had winning days 28 of 44. At $1 per unit, he?s up 10,360. A trio of 100*s
A former Las Vegas oddsmaker is the top tout on a high profile site and one of the most expensive handicappers in the world. His Odds Analyzer Plays?bets that are almost assured of beating the sports betting market are few and far between. Just his third basketball play of the year and it agrees with Bill Tanner?s only Platinum Play
MasterLockLine exclusive The top computer play combines several of the top programs such as Accuscore and power ratings from RPI/BCS simulators, Sagarin, Dunkel, SportsLine and many others to come up with the most accurate computer plays. It?s 5-1 this year!
tia
Master Lock Line
16-5 OVERALL, SAINTS & OVER MAKES IT 33-16 NFL; ?ODDS ANALYZER? AGREES WITH TANNER PLATINUM
Because MasterLockLine.... is a consensus service with power of 620 sports services behind every selection, they can and do have more LEGITIMATE ?Game of the Year? and other big sports service plays than any other source in the world.
Here is your locked and loaded menu for Tuesday, December 11, 2007
The No. 1 handicapper at site inspired by a recent claims to have had winning days 28 of 44. At $1 per unit, he?s up 10,360. A trio of 100*s
A former Las Vegas oddsmaker is the top tout on a high profile site and one of the most expensive handicappers in the world. His Odds Analyzer Plays?bets that are almost assured of beating the sports betting market are few and far between. Just his third basketball play of the year and it agrees with Bill Tanner?s only Platinum Play
MasterLockLine exclusive The top computer play combines several of the top programs such as Accuscore and power ratings from RPI/BCS simulators, Sagarin, Dunkel, SportsLine and many others to come up with the most accurate computer plays. It?s 5-1 this year!
tia
Robert Ferringo
3-Unit Play. Take #517 Bradley (-1.5) over Wright State (7 p.m., Tuesday, Dec. 11)
Weʼre catching Wright State in a letdown situation here after their big win over Butler on Saturday. The Raiders have been less than impressive to this point of the season as they still adjust to the loss of Deshaun Wood to graduation. Bradley has already scored road wins at Loyola-Chicago and they beat Wright State by 39 points at home last year.
1.5-Unit Play. Take First Half: #524 Valparaiso (-7) over Evansville (8 p.m., Tuesday, Dec. 12)
Valpo has been red hot lately and they should exact revenge over an Evansville squad that beat them just last year. The Crusaders have gotten off to hot starts recently, covering their last four halftime lines by taking leads of eight, four, 13 and 14 into the break. The Aces have been spotty on the road, and are just 1-2 versus the halftime line on the road. I think that this one is a blowout and I think that Valpo dominates from start to finish. But our money goes on a hot start for the home team.
1-Unit Play. Take First Half: #520 Central Florida (-7) over Louisiana-Lafayette (7 p.m., Tuesday, Dec. 11)
Lafayette isnʼt very good to begin with. But when you mix in an 11-day layoff and an opponent that has played five of its last six games against teams in the RPI 100 and I think you have the makings of a blowout here. The Cajuns donʼt have the athletes to keep up with the Knights in this one and I see it getting out of hand in a hurry. UCF has won its four home games by an average of 13.8 points and are 10-2 ATS after a loss.
3-Unit Play. Take #517 Bradley (-1.5) over Wright State (7 p.m., Tuesday, Dec. 11)
Weʼre catching Wright State in a letdown situation here after their big win over Butler on Saturday. The Raiders have been less than impressive to this point of the season as they still adjust to the loss of Deshaun Wood to graduation. Bradley has already scored road wins at Loyola-Chicago and they beat Wright State by 39 points at home last year.
1.5-Unit Play. Take First Half: #524 Valparaiso (-7) over Evansville (8 p.m., Tuesday, Dec. 12)
Valpo has been red hot lately and they should exact revenge over an Evansville squad that beat them just last year. The Crusaders have gotten off to hot starts recently, covering their last four halftime lines by taking leads of eight, four, 13 and 14 into the break. The Aces have been spotty on the road, and are just 1-2 versus the halftime line on the road. I think that this one is a blowout and I think that Valpo dominates from start to finish. But our money goes on a hot start for the home team.
1-Unit Play. Take First Half: #520 Central Florida (-7) over Louisiana-Lafayette (7 p.m., Tuesday, Dec. 11)
Lafayette isnʼt very good to begin with. But when you mix in an 11-day layoff and an opponent that has played five of its last six games against teams in the RPI 100 and I think you have the makings of a blowout here. The Cajuns donʼt have the athletes to keep up with the Knights in this one and I see it getting out of hand in a hurry. UCF has won its four home games by an average of 13.8 points and are 10-2 ATS after a loss.
Vegas Sports Informer's Picks For College Basketball
NCAAB BASKETBALL PLAYS
2 Unit Play. #521 Take St. Mary?s Ca +4 ? over S Illinois (Tuesday 12/11 8:00 PM ESPNU)
NCAAB BASKETBALL PLAYS
2 Unit Play. #521 Take St. Mary?s Ca +4 ? over S Illinois (Tuesday 12/11 8:00 PM ESPNU)
DR CHAD HOOPS
5 UNIT " NBA GAMES OF THE WEEK"
MEMPHIS AND GOLDEN STATE
2 UNITS ON THE PARLAY OF MEMPHIS & GOLDEN ST.
5 UNIT " NBA GAMES OF THE WEEK"
MEMPHIS AND GOLDEN STATE
2 UNITS ON THE PARLAY OF MEMPHIS & GOLDEN ST.
vegas runner
Tue, 12/11/07 - 7:00 PMvegas-runner | CBB Sides
triple-dime bet518 Wright St 2.0 (-110) Bodog vs 517 Bradley
Analysis:
** 3* NCAABB PLAY of the DAY **
Allright gentlemen, this is the 3* for tonight's NCAABB Action, and as soon as I saw this number posted...the first thing I thought, is that the wrong team is favored...Bradley came into the season with 7 new faces that they need to get playing as one team and although they are 6-3 so far this season, they are only 2-2 on the road, and at the college level, it remains the toughest part of a successful season...Wright St was fortunate to get 3 of their main part back for another run at the Horizon League Title and although they are only 3-2 so far this year, expect them to be in the mix, all the way to the end...
Wright St is 3-1 at home and is shooting 44% from the field and allowing only 40% FG by their opponents, which shows just how well this team plays defense...they are able to get to the line about 19-20 times per game and connect on almost 80% of those attempts...their 3 Pt shooting is excellent, as they are able to hit 47% from beyond the arc this year at home...the one other fact that I found which shows me just how well this team is capable of playing at times, is their ability to control the ball and not make those costly mistakes which turn into easy buckets...in fact they average only 12 TO per game which is just excellent...they should also have some success tonight from the perimeter, as Bradley is allowing 40% 3pt shooting against them...and with Wright St finally having some very decent size down low for the first time in years...we should be able to get the win and cash in on a nice 3* Wager...our first this week in the college ranks...
greg shaker....
Tue, 12/11/07 - 7:00 PMGreg Shaker | CBB Total
double-dime bet518 Wright St / 517 Bradley Under 139.5 BetUS
Analysis: NCAAB: Bradley Braves at Wright State Raiders - Under 139.5 -110 | Unit Value: 2 DIMES
Game Date: 12/11/2007
Note: These two teams played last year at Bradley and in that game we saw 137 points scored. However, the Braves got 88 of that and absolutely crushed this Raider team. But that was on the road where the Wright State offense has not been as prolific as it is here at home. What I mean by that is that they don't control the tempo as well when they travel, but they do here in a big way. They have certainly got to do that tonight and they certainly do know. This team can be as slow paced as anyone in the country with most games seeing 110 shots or less. Their last game verses Butler just 88 taken in what we all expected to be a yawner. That was with Butler, a team much like theirs. Wright took just 38 of those, and if they have their way tonight we will see them control the pace and work for the good shot. That "Good Shot" is going to be the 3 pointer in many cases and they can shoot the Big Shot well. They will have to to beat this very good Braves Squad. We have seen teams that possess good D slow down Bradley this year, including Iowa, Loyola Chicago, and Iowa State. All of those games went UNDER the Total, and all games saw a low number of shots taken. Certainly Michigan State did the same just the other day on 114 shots and just 127 points scored on a 144 Total. If you allow the Braves to play their kind of game, they are going to beat you. I doubt that Wright State has enough horses to win this game, but I know they know that and they will be using Mules tonight, and lot's of halfcourt and a D that is #90 out of 341 NCAA Teams this year. Barring outstanding shooting we should see a total end in the 120's. Play down to 134.
wunderdogsports (nba)
Game: Minnesota at Washington (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total OVER 196.5 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Washington is 11-8 OVER overall and 6-4 OVER at home this season. They are scoring 103.4 per game here while allowing 101. Minnesota is an awful team, but it's really their defense, not their offense. The Wolves are averaging 93 ppg both on the road and at home - not great but not terrible. They are allowing opponents 102 ppg. They are getting to the free throw line 20 times per game and Washington is 20-5 OVER the past two seasons vs. teams shooting 24 or fewer free throws per game. The Wizards are also 8-1 OVER after scoring 100+ points in two straight games.
Game: Toronto at Atlanta (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Atlanta +135 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 5.4)
The Hawks have won three straight, capped off by our moneyline pick on them yesterday (won outright as a 9.5 point dog). They have been a winning team at home all season, playing to a 6-5 mark which includes 4-1 in their last five. The Raptors are not off to the type of start many believed they would be, as they are hovering around .500 at 11-10. Part of the reason is their road play, which has seen them drop four of their last five. Home wins against Dallas and Phoenix show this team is capable of winning at home against good competition so we will ride the Hawks to again get the SU win.
Game: Detroit at Memphis (8:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total OVER 204.5 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Detroit is scoring this year. They are averaging 100 ppg and actually scoring more on the road than at home. Their defense remains great at home, but is average on the road (95.3 ppg allowed). Memphis can score with anyone. They are averaging 103 ppg and 110 per game at home, while allowing 106 per game. There's no way they keep Detroit under 100 and likely not under 110. And we think the Grizzlies also get to triple-digits. While 8-2 UNDER on the road, Memphis is 7-2 OVER at home this season and 31-18 OVER at home dating back to last season. That includes an 11-2 OVER mark when the total is between 200 and 210. Detroit is 8-3 OVER on the road!
Larry Ness' Oddsmaker's Error-CBB (6-0 run since Nov 23!)
My Oddsmaker's Error is on Bradley at 7:00 ET. Wright St has played just five games this year and is coming off a HUGE 43-42 win over previously unbeaten Butler on Saturday. The win was very impressive, as the Bulldogs were pointing to their game with the Raiders, who had knocked them off twice last year (keeping the Bulldogs from the Horizon title). Wright St misses conference P-O-Y DeShaun Wood, who started all 119 games in his career and averaged 36 MPG last season. Two sophs man the backcourt TY, Brown (15.4-5.0) and Duggins (14.0-3.8), while the 6-6 Wilson (11.2-5.2) and the 6-8 Pleiman (6.4-5.8) are the best frontcourt players. Wright St really goes just six-deep and will have matchup problems with Bradley. Bradley was a Sweet 16 team two years ago and LY won 22 games. Ten players have appeared in all nine games this year and Bradley's perimeter game is superb. Seniors Ruffin (16.4-3.6-7.0) and Crouch (14.6-3.1-2.9) are joined by soph Warren (10.3), plus swingman Wilson (7.4-6.3) and the 6-7 Salley (5.4-5.0) round out the starting five. The 7-0 Collins ()7.1-4.4) gives Bradley height that Wright St can't match. Bradley is 6-3 but two of those losses have come vs No. 10 Michigan St (66-61) and unbeaten and 23rd-ranked Vandy. The other loss came in the Braves' first game, a trip to Illinois-Chicago where Bradley shot just 41 percent (8-of-28 on threes), while Illinois-Chicago shot 54 percent, including 9-of-13 behind the arc. Bradley CRUSHED Wright St last year 88-49 and with Wright coming off the Butler win, will win handily again tonight! Oddsmaker's Error on Bradley
Larry Ness' Late-Breaking NBA Play (3:00 ET update!)
My Late-Breaking Play is on the GS Warriors at 10:35 ET. The Spurs are off two big wins without Duncan, first against the hated-Mavs (97-95) and then the Jazz (104-98). Ginobili stepped up in both games with 37-point efforts and now leads the team in scoring at 21.1 PPG (4.8 RPG and 4.5 APG). Parker (20.6-6.8 AP{G) is not far behind, with Duncan at 17.6-8.9. Duncan is expected to play in Oakland tonight and considering that since drafting Duncan first overall in 1997, the Spurs are 33-5 against the Warriors (19-0 in San Antonio and 14-5 in Oakland), the Spurs are the play, right? WRONG! I expect Duncan to be less than 100 percent for this one and while the Spurs' depth is usually a HUGE advantage for them against most teams, that's NOT the case against the very deep Warriors. Davis (23.1-5.2-8.4) and Jackson (21.8-4.8-4.0) are the stars but four other players are in double digits, plus Pietrus (7.9) and Barnes (7.7) are close. Guard Ellis (16.5) has is shooting touch back and forward Harrington (14.8-5.6) loves playing with this team. SF Azubuike, who played in just 41 games as a rookie averaging 7.1 PPG, has played in almost as many minutes this year in 20 games (603) as he did in all of LY (689), while posting averages of 13.2-5.0. Then there's center Biedrins (11.-0-10.0), who is averaging a double-double! Another key here is that while the Spurs have typically been near the top in opponents FG percentage, this year they rank 23rd, allowing 46.5 percent. That's NOT good news vs a team that's averaging 110.4 PPG! Late Breaking Play on the GS Warriors.
Tue, 12/11/07 - 7:00 PMvegas-runner | CBB Sides
triple-dime bet518 Wright St 2.0 (-110) Bodog vs 517 Bradley
Analysis:
** 3* NCAABB PLAY of the DAY **
Allright gentlemen, this is the 3* for tonight's NCAABB Action, and as soon as I saw this number posted...the first thing I thought, is that the wrong team is favored...Bradley came into the season with 7 new faces that they need to get playing as one team and although they are 6-3 so far this season, they are only 2-2 on the road, and at the college level, it remains the toughest part of a successful season...Wright St was fortunate to get 3 of their main part back for another run at the Horizon League Title and although they are only 3-2 so far this year, expect them to be in the mix, all the way to the end...
Wright St is 3-1 at home and is shooting 44% from the field and allowing only 40% FG by their opponents, which shows just how well this team plays defense...they are able to get to the line about 19-20 times per game and connect on almost 80% of those attempts...their 3 Pt shooting is excellent, as they are able to hit 47% from beyond the arc this year at home...the one other fact that I found which shows me just how well this team is capable of playing at times, is their ability to control the ball and not make those costly mistakes which turn into easy buckets...in fact they average only 12 TO per game which is just excellent...they should also have some success tonight from the perimeter, as Bradley is allowing 40% 3pt shooting against them...and with Wright St finally having some very decent size down low for the first time in years...we should be able to get the win and cash in on a nice 3* Wager...our first this week in the college ranks...
greg shaker....
Tue, 12/11/07 - 7:00 PMGreg Shaker | CBB Total
double-dime bet518 Wright St / 517 Bradley Under 139.5 BetUS
Analysis: NCAAB: Bradley Braves at Wright State Raiders - Under 139.5 -110 | Unit Value: 2 DIMES
Game Date: 12/11/2007
Note: These two teams played last year at Bradley and in that game we saw 137 points scored. However, the Braves got 88 of that and absolutely crushed this Raider team. But that was on the road where the Wright State offense has not been as prolific as it is here at home. What I mean by that is that they don't control the tempo as well when they travel, but they do here in a big way. They have certainly got to do that tonight and they certainly do know. This team can be as slow paced as anyone in the country with most games seeing 110 shots or less. Their last game verses Butler just 88 taken in what we all expected to be a yawner. That was with Butler, a team much like theirs. Wright took just 38 of those, and if they have their way tonight we will see them control the pace and work for the good shot. That "Good Shot" is going to be the 3 pointer in many cases and they can shoot the Big Shot well. They will have to to beat this very good Braves Squad. We have seen teams that possess good D slow down Bradley this year, including Iowa, Loyola Chicago, and Iowa State. All of those games went UNDER the Total, and all games saw a low number of shots taken. Certainly Michigan State did the same just the other day on 114 shots and just 127 points scored on a 144 Total. If you allow the Braves to play their kind of game, they are going to beat you. I doubt that Wright State has enough horses to win this game, but I know they know that and they will be using Mules tonight, and lot's of halfcourt and a D that is #90 out of 341 NCAA Teams this year. Barring outstanding shooting we should see a total end in the 120's. Play down to 134.
wunderdogsports (nba)
Game: Minnesota at Washington (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total OVER 196.5 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Washington is 11-8 OVER overall and 6-4 OVER at home this season. They are scoring 103.4 per game here while allowing 101. Minnesota is an awful team, but it's really their defense, not their offense. The Wolves are averaging 93 ppg both on the road and at home - not great but not terrible. They are allowing opponents 102 ppg. They are getting to the free throw line 20 times per game and Washington is 20-5 OVER the past two seasons vs. teams shooting 24 or fewer free throws per game. The Wizards are also 8-1 OVER after scoring 100+ points in two straight games.
Game: Toronto at Atlanta (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Atlanta +135 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 5.4)
The Hawks have won three straight, capped off by our moneyline pick on them yesterday (won outright as a 9.5 point dog). They have been a winning team at home all season, playing to a 6-5 mark which includes 4-1 in their last five. The Raptors are not off to the type of start many believed they would be, as they are hovering around .500 at 11-10. Part of the reason is their road play, which has seen them drop four of their last five. Home wins against Dallas and Phoenix show this team is capable of winning at home against good competition so we will ride the Hawks to again get the SU win.
Game: Detroit at Memphis (8:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total OVER 204.5 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Detroit is scoring this year. They are averaging 100 ppg and actually scoring more on the road than at home. Their defense remains great at home, but is average on the road (95.3 ppg allowed). Memphis can score with anyone. They are averaging 103 ppg and 110 per game at home, while allowing 106 per game. There's no way they keep Detroit under 100 and likely not under 110. And we think the Grizzlies also get to triple-digits. While 8-2 UNDER on the road, Memphis is 7-2 OVER at home this season and 31-18 OVER at home dating back to last season. That includes an 11-2 OVER mark when the total is between 200 and 210. Detroit is 8-3 OVER on the road!
Larry Ness' Oddsmaker's Error-CBB (6-0 run since Nov 23!)
My Oddsmaker's Error is on Bradley at 7:00 ET. Wright St has played just five games this year and is coming off a HUGE 43-42 win over previously unbeaten Butler on Saturday. The win was very impressive, as the Bulldogs were pointing to their game with the Raiders, who had knocked them off twice last year (keeping the Bulldogs from the Horizon title). Wright St misses conference P-O-Y DeShaun Wood, who started all 119 games in his career and averaged 36 MPG last season. Two sophs man the backcourt TY, Brown (15.4-5.0) and Duggins (14.0-3.8), while the 6-6 Wilson (11.2-5.2) and the 6-8 Pleiman (6.4-5.8) are the best frontcourt players. Wright St really goes just six-deep and will have matchup problems with Bradley. Bradley was a Sweet 16 team two years ago and LY won 22 games. Ten players have appeared in all nine games this year and Bradley's perimeter game is superb. Seniors Ruffin (16.4-3.6-7.0) and Crouch (14.6-3.1-2.9) are joined by soph Warren (10.3), plus swingman Wilson (7.4-6.3) and the 6-7 Salley (5.4-5.0) round out the starting five. The 7-0 Collins ()7.1-4.4) gives Bradley height that Wright St can't match. Bradley is 6-3 but two of those losses have come vs No. 10 Michigan St (66-61) and unbeaten and 23rd-ranked Vandy. The other loss came in the Braves' first game, a trip to Illinois-Chicago where Bradley shot just 41 percent (8-of-28 on threes), while Illinois-Chicago shot 54 percent, including 9-of-13 behind the arc. Bradley CRUSHED Wright St last year 88-49 and with Wright coming off the Butler win, will win handily again tonight! Oddsmaker's Error on Bradley
Larry Ness' Late-Breaking NBA Play (3:00 ET update!)
My Late-Breaking Play is on the GS Warriors at 10:35 ET. The Spurs are off two big wins without Duncan, first against the hated-Mavs (97-95) and then the Jazz (104-98). Ginobili stepped up in both games with 37-point efforts and now leads the team in scoring at 21.1 PPG (4.8 RPG and 4.5 APG). Parker (20.6-6.8 AP{G) is not far behind, with Duncan at 17.6-8.9. Duncan is expected to play in Oakland tonight and considering that since drafting Duncan first overall in 1997, the Spurs are 33-5 against the Warriors (19-0 in San Antonio and 14-5 in Oakland), the Spurs are the play, right? WRONG! I expect Duncan to be less than 100 percent for this one and while the Spurs' depth is usually a HUGE advantage for them against most teams, that's NOT the case against the very deep Warriors. Davis (23.1-5.2-8.4) and Jackson (21.8-4.8-4.0) are the stars but four other players are in double digits, plus Pietrus (7.9) and Barnes (7.7) are close. Guard Ellis (16.5) has is shooting touch back and forward Harrington (14.8-5.6) loves playing with this team. SF Azubuike, who played in just 41 games as a rookie averaging 7.1 PPG, has played in almost as many minutes this year in 20 games (603) as he did in all of LY (689), while posting averages of 13.2-5.0. Then there's center Biedrins (11.-0-10.0), who is averaging a double-double! Another key here is that while the Spurs have typically been near the top in opponents FG percentage, this year they rank 23rd, allowing 46.5 percent. That's NOT good news vs a team that's averaging 110.4 PPG! Late Breaking Play on the GS Warriors.
EZ Winners
Guys,
These are today's plays.....
NBA
1 STAR: (506) ATLANTA (+3) over Toronto
(Risking $110 to win $100)
1 STAR: (507) LA CLIPPERS (+6) over New Jersey
(Risking $110 to win $100)
1 STAR: (511) SEATTLE (+8.5) over Chicago
(Risking $110 to win $100)
NCAA Hoops
1 STAR: (521) ST. MARY'S (+4.5) over Southern Illinois
(Risking $110 to win $100)
Guys,
These are today's plays.....
NBA
1 STAR: (506) ATLANTA (+3) over Toronto
(Risking $110 to win $100)
1 STAR: (507) LA CLIPPERS (+6) over New Jersey
(Risking $110 to win $100)
1 STAR: (511) SEATTLE (+8.5) over Chicago
(Risking $110 to win $100)
NCAA Hoops
1 STAR: (521) ST. MARY'S (+4.5) over Southern Illinois
(Risking $110 to win $100)
