SERVICE PLAYS FOR TUESDAY 2/12
- Thread starter GIANTS007
- Start date
CTO
*MINNESOTA over Illinois...With Minnesota requiring every home win to keep fading NCAA at-large hopes alive, willing to buck floundering Illinois, showing no discernable progress, based on 83-75 home setback vs. youthful Purdue Feb. 2; Illini hit brickish 3 of 16 treys, committed 18 TOs & had only 8 assists. Tubby?s relentless fullcourt presses help ignite transition game vs. unsteady Illinois backcourt, and Weber?s squad unable to cut anticipated deficit by converting Big-10 worst 31% from arc. Double revenge works for motivated Gophers, who lead loop in key TO margin. *MINNESOTA 78 - Illinois 65 RATING - 11
*MINNESOTA over Illinois...With Minnesota requiring every home win to keep fading NCAA at-large hopes alive, willing to buck floundering Illinois, showing no discernable progress, based on 83-75 home setback vs. youthful Purdue Feb. 2; Illini hit brickish 3 of 16 treys, committed 18 TOs & had only 8 assists. Tubby?s relentless fullcourt presses help ignite transition game vs. unsteady Illinois backcourt, and Weber?s squad unable to cut anticipated deficit by converting Big-10 worst 31% from arc. Double revenge works for motivated Gophers, who lead loop in key TO margin. *MINNESOTA 78 - Illinois 65 RATING - 11
Arthur Ralph heating up??
Arthur Ralph heating up??
Eddie, Is AR back to posting winners??
I see his site says 8 super picks in a row - but how are his other plays too??
You know him best, is he a good play again??
Thanks for the help!!
Arthur Ralph heating up??
Eddie, Is AR back to posting winners??
I see his site says 8 super picks in a row - but how are his other plays too??
You know him best, is he a good play again??
Thanks for the help!!
Mike Jacobs??
Mike Jacobs??
Does anyone have Mike Jacobs...
100* COLLEGE HOOPS
DOUBLE YOUR WAGER
GAME OF THE YEAR #2
His first 100* college hoops play was a BIG winner!!
Mike Jacobs??
Does anyone have Mike Jacobs...
100* COLLEGE HOOPS
DOUBLE YOUR WAGER
GAME OF THE YEAR #2
His first 100* college hoops play was a BIG winner!!
Arthur Ralph
Arthur Ralph
Super Pick: Atlanta Hawks NBA DOG TUESDAY
900 GOLD KEY:College Pennsylvania
He has won 8 superpicks in a row. His regular plays go hot and cold. I strictly advise playing his superpicks only when he is on a streak. The regular plays I would probably lay off unless you personally like it.
Arthur Ralph
Super Pick: Atlanta Hawks NBA DOG TUESDAY
900 GOLD KEY:College Pennsylvania
He has won 8 superpicks in a row. His regular plays go hot and cold. I strictly advise playing his superpicks only when he is on a streak. The regular plays I would probably lay off unless you personally like it.
Black Magic Sports
Black Magic Sports
NBA:
5 Unit Kings/Grizzlies BEST BET on OVER 210.5 points
The OVER in this clash is your best bet in the NBA Tuesday. Sacramento and Memphis have gone OVER the total in 3 out of their last 4 match-ups. At least 212 points were scored in all 4 of their most recent meetings, paving the way for another shootout tonight. Sacramento is 44-16 OVER versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Sacramento is 14-3 OVER versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Both teams shoot a ton of 3-point shot which will either be converted to 3 points per possession or great fast break opportunities for each offense on missed shots. Cash in with the OVER 210.5 points.
NCAA Basketball:
4 Unit Big East Game of the Week on Marquette -2.5
Marquette travels to play a Seton Hall squad that has dropped 3 straight games now. Seton Hall lost their last home game to Notre Dame by 36 points. This was the same Notre Dame squad that Marquette beat by 26 points back on January 12th. Seton Hall is giving up over 82 points per game at home. So their 2-7 ATS record in their last 9 home games can be pointed to one thing, their lackluster defensive effort. Marquette is 16-6 ATS after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Tom Crean is 11-3 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses as the coach of Marquette. Cash in with Marquette as the favorite.
3 Unit Sharp Play on Bradley -1
Bradley has owned Indiana State as of late. Bradley beat Indiana State by 19 points at home already this season. So to say that home court for Indiana State will make up for this loss tonight would be absurd. Bradley has won their last 3 meetings with Indiana State by 19, 16 and 17 points respectively. Indiana State is 1-9 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making less than 72% of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Bradley held Indiana State to just 16 made field goal attempts on 33% shooting and 44 points in their first meeting. Expect more of the same Tuesday. Cash in with Bradley as the favorite.
Black Magic Sports
NBA:
5 Unit Kings/Grizzlies BEST BET on OVER 210.5 points
The OVER in this clash is your best bet in the NBA Tuesday. Sacramento and Memphis have gone OVER the total in 3 out of their last 4 match-ups. At least 212 points were scored in all 4 of their most recent meetings, paving the way for another shootout tonight. Sacramento is 44-16 OVER versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Sacramento is 14-3 OVER versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Both teams shoot a ton of 3-point shot which will either be converted to 3 points per possession or great fast break opportunities for each offense on missed shots. Cash in with the OVER 210.5 points.
NCAA Basketball:
4 Unit Big East Game of the Week on Marquette -2.5
Marquette travels to play a Seton Hall squad that has dropped 3 straight games now. Seton Hall lost their last home game to Notre Dame by 36 points. This was the same Notre Dame squad that Marquette beat by 26 points back on January 12th. Seton Hall is giving up over 82 points per game at home. So their 2-7 ATS record in their last 9 home games can be pointed to one thing, their lackluster defensive effort. Marquette is 16-6 ATS after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Tom Crean is 11-3 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses as the coach of Marquette. Cash in with Marquette as the favorite.
3 Unit Sharp Play on Bradley -1
Bradley has owned Indiana State as of late. Bradley beat Indiana State by 19 points at home already this season. So to say that home court for Indiana State will make up for this loss tonight would be absurd. Bradley has won their last 3 meetings with Indiana State by 19, 16 and 17 points respectively. Indiana State is 1-9 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making less than 72% of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Bradley held Indiana State to just 16 made field goal attempts on 33% shooting and 44 points in their first meeting. Expect more of the same Tuesday. Cash in with Bradley as the favorite.
Deano's Free B
Deano's Free B
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Josh Dean
***20 Dimes out today***
Record: 61-34 OA 2-0 Yesterday >33-19-2 NBA<
Top Picks: 21-12-2
15* Pistons -5
--------------------------------
5* Purdue -2 (-1)
Free B: Virginia +9
Deano's Free B
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Josh Dean
***20 Dimes out today***
Record: 61-34 OA 2-0 Yesterday >33-19-2 NBA<
Top Picks: 21-12-2
15* Pistons -5
--------------------------------
5* Purdue -2 (-1)
Free B: Virginia +9
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Winners Edge
2/12/08
NBA:
2 units Atlanta Hawks + 5.5
2 units Miami Heat +7
CBB:
2 units Minnesota - 4.5
1 unit Butler - 6
1 unit Purdue -2
2/12/08
NBA:
2 units Atlanta Hawks + 5.5
2 units Miami Heat +7
CBB:
2 units Minnesota - 4.5
1 unit Butler - 6
1 unit Purdue -2
Comps
Detroit (-5') at ATLANTA By Karl Garrett
Featured Handicapper
The G-Man scored with another comp winner on Monday as Villanova nearly won outright at Detroit. That makes it a 23-11 comp play run.
Tonight in the Association I will lay the road wood with the Pistons to come through at Atlanta.
The Hawks are much-improved this season, but they have not figured out a way to break through against Detroit, as the Pistons have been able to win and cover both meetings this season, and they have won 8 of the last 10 meetings in this series overall.
Detroit does bring a solid 8-game winning streak into this one, and they have gone a positive 14-11-1 against the spread on the road thus far this season.
Atlanta will keep things close for a while, but in the end it will be Detroit pulling away for their 9th straight win on the year, and their 4th straight series win - 3rd straight cover.
Lay the wood
3♦ DETROIT
Detroit (-5') at ATLANTA MichaelCannon
Featured Handicapper
A winner on Villanova last night makes it 10-4 with my last 14 overall free plays!
Take the Pistons as the road chalk tonight over the Hawks.
Atlanta is definitely a club on the rise, but they're still not ready to step it up to the necessary level to compete with the Pistons tonight.
The Hawks lost to the Pistons by just one point on the road in the second game of the season, but since then have lost and failed to cover versus Detroit 106-95 at home and 91-81 on the road.
Look for Detroit to continue their success tonight on the road, where they have posted an impressive 17-9 SU record.
Take the Pistons as the road chalk as they grab the win and cover.
2♦ DETROIT
Denver (-5') at MIAMI By Sports Gambling Hotline Featured Handicapper
We gave you a comp winner last night on Texas to make it 103-79-4 for free!
The price on tonight's Denver-Miami contest seems very cheap to us, so mark us down for a play on the visiting Nuggets minus the points.
Denver comes into this game fresh off a Sunday night rout of Cleveland at Cleveland, as George Karl's team has won their last pair, and 5 of their last 6 both straight up and against the spread.
The Nuggets also own the first win of the season played between the teams, as Denver cruised to a 115-89 win at home back in early December. No reason they won't cruise to another win here, as Miami is in the midst of a 7-game slide, and they have dropped 22 of their last 23 overall while going just 4-18-1 against the spread in that span.
Those are not numbers that inspire us to take the measly home impost this evening.
Play on Denver.
4♦ DENVER
North Carolina at VIRGINIA (+9) Bobby Maxwell
Featured Handicapper
It's off to Virginia today for a FREE play in the ACC matchup between North Carolina and the Cavaliers. We're going with the home team in this one to keep it close against the Tar Heels.
This is the game of the year for the Cavaliers and they are going to play with so much emotion and show so much heart in the second half that we have to take them and the large amounts of points we're getting in this one.
Virginia is at home where they are a respectable 9-4 SU and 4-4 ATS and average 78.9 points per game. On the defensive end, the Cavs hold the opposition to 66.8 points per game at home and 40.3 percent shooting from the field.
North Carolina relies on outscoring the opposition on the road, scoring 88 a game and giving up 75.
The home team is 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings between these two and the Cavs got the cash last time these two met in Virginia, winning 72-68 as a three-point 'dog back in 2006.
This game means everything to the Cavaliers and the crowd will be rocking and the shots will be falling. We like the way Sean Singletary plays for Virginia and Ryan Pettinella just wants to bang around on the inside. If Jamil Tucker can get his game going, this is going to be a dogfight to the end.
And remember, we don't need the Cavs to win, just hang close and not get blown out. We'll take the points and play Virginia in this one.
2♦ VIRGINIA
Detroit (-5') at ATLANTA By Karl Garrett
Featured Handicapper
The G-Man scored with another comp winner on Monday as Villanova nearly won outright at Detroit. That makes it a 23-11 comp play run.
Tonight in the Association I will lay the road wood with the Pistons to come through at Atlanta.
The Hawks are much-improved this season, but they have not figured out a way to break through against Detroit, as the Pistons have been able to win and cover both meetings this season, and they have won 8 of the last 10 meetings in this series overall.
Detroit does bring a solid 8-game winning streak into this one, and they have gone a positive 14-11-1 against the spread on the road thus far this season.
Atlanta will keep things close for a while, but in the end it will be Detroit pulling away for their 9th straight win on the year, and their 4th straight series win - 3rd straight cover.
Lay the wood
3♦ DETROIT
Detroit (-5') at ATLANTA MichaelCannon
Featured Handicapper
A winner on Villanova last night makes it 10-4 with my last 14 overall free plays!
Take the Pistons as the road chalk tonight over the Hawks.
Atlanta is definitely a club on the rise, but they're still not ready to step it up to the necessary level to compete with the Pistons tonight.
The Hawks lost to the Pistons by just one point on the road in the second game of the season, but since then have lost and failed to cover versus Detroit 106-95 at home and 91-81 on the road.
Look for Detroit to continue their success tonight on the road, where they have posted an impressive 17-9 SU record.
Take the Pistons as the road chalk as they grab the win and cover.
2♦ DETROIT
Denver (-5') at MIAMI By Sports Gambling Hotline Featured Handicapper
We gave you a comp winner last night on Texas to make it 103-79-4 for free!
The price on tonight's Denver-Miami contest seems very cheap to us, so mark us down for a play on the visiting Nuggets minus the points.
Denver comes into this game fresh off a Sunday night rout of Cleveland at Cleveland, as George Karl's team has won their last pair, and 5 of their last 6 both straight up and against the spread.
The Nuggets also own the first win of the season played between the teams, as Denver cruised to a 115-89 win at home back in early December. No reason they won't cruise to another win here, as Miami is in the midst of a 7-game slide, and they have dropped 22 of their last 23 overall while going just 4-18-1 against the spread in that span.
Those are not numbers that inspire us to take the measly home impost this evening.
Play on Denver.
4♦ DENVER
North Carolina at VIRGINIA (+9) Bobby Maxwell
Featured Handicapper
It's off to Virginia today for a FREE play in the ACC matchup between North Carolina and the Cavaliers. We're going with the home team in this one to keep it close against the Tar Heels.
This is the game of the year for the Cavaliers and they are going to play with so much emotion and show so much heart in the second half that we have to take them and the large amounts of points we're getting in this one.
Virginia is at home where they are a respectable 9-4 SU and 4-4 ATS and average 78.9 points per game. On the defensive end, the Cavs hold the opposition to 66.8 points per game at home and 40.3 percent shooting from the field.
North Carolina relies on outscoring the opposition on the road, scoring 88 a game and giving up 75.
The home team is 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings between these two and the Cavs got the cash last time these two met in Virginia, winning 72-68 as a three-point 'dog back in 2006.
This game means everything to the Cavaliers and the crowd will be rocking and the shots will be falling. We like the way Sean Singletary plays for Virginia and Ryan Pettinella just wants to bang around on the inside. If Jamil Tucker can get his game going, this is going to be a dogfight to the end.
And remember, we don't need the Cavs to win, just hang close and not get blown out. We'll take the points and play Virginia in this one.
2♦ VIRGINIA
****BOOTLEGS PERSONAL PLAYS****
---CBB----
(7*) PITTSBURGH -9
(7*) MINNESOTA -4.5
(6*) VANDERBILT -3.5
(5*) BRADLEY -1
OVERALL
62 - 56 - 2
+47 UNITS
MIGHT ADD AN NBA PLAY OR TWO LATER ON. GOOD LUCK EVERYONE!!!
---CBB----
(7*) PITTSBURGH -9
(7*) MINNESOTA -4.5
(6*) VANDERBILT -3.5
(5*) BRADLEY -1
OVERALL
62 - 56 - 2
+47 UNITS
MIGHT ADD AN NBA PLAY OR TWO LATER ON. GOOD LUCK EVERYONE!!!
DOC SPORTS
4 Unit Play. #719 Take Bradley -1 over Indiana State (7:00 pm) The Braves have won six of their last seven games with their only loss coming to Illinois State. They are now healthy and thus they have went on a winning run. The Sycamores have lost five straight games and seven out of their last eight when you stretch that out. They cannot wait for this season to end and will have no answer to Daniel Ruffin on Tuesday.
4 Unit Play. #722 Take Western Michigan -5 over Miami (7:00 pm) Don?t look now, but the Broncos have climbed to the top of the standing in the MAC West having won six out of their last eight games. Miami still have trouble scoring points and that does not bode well on the road even though they play tough defense. The Redhawks have won five straight games, but those victories came against bottom feeder teams in the MAC. University Arena has been very kind to the Broncos, as they have won eight of their nine games played in Kalamazoo this season.
4 Unit Play. #738 Take Minnesota -4 ? over Illinois (9:00 pm BTN) Minnesota still has energy to finish out the season strong and it is only a matter of time before Tubby Smith gets the players needed to be successful. Illinois is the complete opposite, as they have thrown in the towel on a very disappointing season and cannot wait for this season to end. They are coming off a disappointing performance against Indiana on Thursday in which they missed numerous free throws that would have won that game. The Gophers are 9-3 when playing at the barn this year and all three losses were against good teams (Wisconsin, Indiana, & Michigan State). They also have added motivation in that Illinois has won 17 straight in this series and you can be sure that Coach Smith wants to end that streak right now. Minnesota has won three out of their last four and still has an outside chance of making the tournament and cannot afford a loss to Illinois. They cruise to a double-digit victory on Tuesday.
4 Unit Play. #719 Take Bradley -1 over Indiana State (7:00 pm) The Braves have won six of their last seven games with their only loss coming to Illinois State. They are now healthy and thus they have went on a winning run. The Sycamores have lost five straight games and seven out of their last eight when you stretch that out. They cannot wait for this season to end and will have no answer to Daniel Ruffin on Tuesday.
4 Unit Play. #722 Take Western Michigan -5 over Miami (7:00 pm) Don?t look now, but the Broncos have climbed to the top of the standing in the MAC West having won six out of their last eight games. Miami still have trouble scoring points and that does not bode well on the road even though they play tough defense. The Redhawks have won five straight games, but those victories came against bottom feeder teams in the MAC. University Arena has been very kind to the Broncos, as they have won eight of their nine games played in Kalamazoo this season.
4 Unit Play. #738 Take Minnesota -4 ? over Illinois (9:00 pm BTN) Minnesota still has energy to finish out the season strong and it is only a matter of time before Tubby Smith gets the players needed to be successful. Illinois is the complete opposite, as they have thrown in the towel on a very disappointing season and cannot wait for this season to end. They are coming off a disappointing performance against Indiana on Thursday in which they missed numerous free throws that would have won that game. The Gophers are 9-3 when playing at the barn this year and all three losses were against good teams (Wisconsin, Indiana, & Michigan State). They also have added motivation in that Illinois has won 17 straight in this series and you can be sure that Coach Smith wants to end that streak right now. Minnesota has won three out of their last four and still has an outside chance of making the tournament and cannot afford a loss to Illinois. They cruise to a double-digit victory on Tuesday.
FERRINGO
1.5-Unit Play. Take #739 Air Force (+13) over UNLV (10 p.m., Tuesday, Feb. 12)
I?ll play on the team that apparently not many people want to play on in this spot. Air Force beat UNLV by 12 in January and their deliberate style should keep both teams under 65 points. Air Force is a poor road team, but they won at TCU and Wyoming and I think they can hang around with the Rebels. The Falcons shoot just well enough from deep to make this one interesting and I think UNLV lets off the gas a bit as they start to look forward to a key game with BYU this weekend.
2.5-Unit Play. Take #723 Northern Illinois (+18) over Akron (8 p.m., Tuesday, Feb. 12)
The Zips are a bit less explosive without leading scorer and rebounder, Jeramiah Wood. Maybe that won?t matter against the hapless Huskies, but it doesn?t look like the oddsmakers adjusted the line very much to compensate. I figured this game would be around 14, but instead it?s in Massive Blowout range. The Zips have two other beat up starters ? Ced Middleton (sore knee) and Nick Dials (hip flexor) so I think they will be content with just a win over NIU instead of some kind of statement or blowout.
2.5-Unit Play. Take #719 Bradley (-1) over Indiana State (7 p.m., Tuesday, Feb. 12)
1.5-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 132 Bradley at Indiana State (7 p.m., Tuesday, Feb. 12)
We have to go to the well until the well is dry. We?ve been earning with Bradley, which has an extra bounce in its step since regaining its leader, Daniel Ruffin. Indiana State hasn?t mailed it in yet this year, but they are a young team and they may be waning a bit. They are 2-5-1 ATS over their last eight games and were hammered by the Braves just two weeks ago.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #738 Minnesota (-4.5) over Illinois (9 p.m., Tuesday, Feb. 12)
Here?s the Super Square play of the day, but we?re going for it anyway. The Gophers are hopefully ready to earn a tough home win over a sagging Illinois squad. The Illini have to be wondering what they?re playing for right now and a trip to face a Minnesota team clawing for a tournament berth isn?t a great spot. The bottom line is that Illinois is a bad team. They don?t play well unless they?re in a marquee game ? and even then they do the little things to lose games. This one is close on paper, and Illinois has the historic edge, but we?ve seen a lot of teams snap huge losing streaks to conference foes lately.
2-Unit Play. Take #716 Penn (-2.5) over Princeton (7 p.m., Tuesday, Feb. 12)
No writeup.
1-Unit Play. Take #736 Vanderbilt (-3.5) over Kentucky (9 p.m., Tuesday, Feb. 12)
If this line was much higher I don?t think I?d bite, but I think this a good number to attack. Vandy is 14-0 at home this year and they shoot a light?s out 44.5 percent from deep in their own gym. Kentucky has some turnover problems and I think they?re due for an off shooting night. Vandy should take care of business here and score a decent home W in front of a raucous crowd
That's it for today. Good luck.
FREE PLAYS
Take #731 Virginia (+8.5) over North Carolina (8 p.m., Tuesday, Feb. 12)
The Cavaliers stink. I mean, they are really, really bad. But North Carolina is exhausted and I think it?s a lot to ask them to come back after their double-OT win on Sunday night (which followed closely after the Duke loss) and hammer the Cavaliers in Charlottesville. Virginia was embarrassed in their last home game and I think they rally with a decent performance in front of the home faithful. They can knock down some outside shots and are coming off their worst three shooting performances of the season (combined: 36 percent). I think they knock down just enough triples to keep this one close and they end up within this cushion.
Take #714 Purdue (-1.5) over Michigan State (7 p.m., Tuesday, Feb. 12)
I just think that Purdue is the better team right now. I think they?ve performed better against stronger competition and I?m not sure what it is or why it is but the Spartans are slipping. I think it?s a chemistry issue, and right now that?s the last thing MSU needs heading into a brutal venue.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #739 Air Force (+13) over UNLV (10 p.m., Tuesday, Feb. 12)
I?ll play on the team that apparently not many people want to play on in this spot. Air Force beat UNLV by 12 in January and their deliberate style should keep both teams under 65 points. Air Force is a poor road team, but they won at TCU and Wyoming and I think they can hang around with the Rebels. The Falcons shoot just well enough from deep to make this one interesting and I think UNLV lets off the gas a bit as they start to look forward to a key game with BYU this weekend.
2.5-Unit Play. Take #723 Northern Illinois (+18) over Akron (8 p.m., Tuesday, Feb. 12)
The Zips are a bit less explosive without leading scorer and rebounder, Jeramiah Wood. Maybe that won?t matter against the hapless Huskies, but it doesn?t look like the oddsmakers adjusted the line very much to compensate. I figured this game would be around 14, but instead it?s in Massive Blowout range. The Zips have two other beat up starters ? Ced Middleton (sore knee) and Nick Dials (hip flexor) so I think they will be content with just a win over NIU instead of some kind of statement or blowout.
2.5-Unit Play. Take #719 Bradley (-1) over Indiana State (7 p.m., Tuesday, Feb. 12)
1.5-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 132 Bradley at Indiana State (7 p.m., Tuesday, Feb. 12)
We have to go to the well until the well is dry. We?ve been earning with Bradley, which has an extra bounce in its step since regaining its leader, Daniel Ruffin. Indiana State hasn?t mailed it in yet this year, but they are a young team and they may be waning a bit. They are 2-5-1 ATS over their last eight games and were hammered by the Braves just two weeks ago.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #738 Minnesota (-4.5) over Illinois (9 p.m., Tuesday, Feb. 12)
Here?s the Super Square play of the day, but we?re going for it anyway. The Gophers are hopefully ready to earn a tough home win over a sagging Illinois squad. The Illini have to be wondering what they?re playing for right now and a trip to face a Minnesota team clawing for a tournament berth isn?t a great spot. The bottom line is that Illinois is a bad team. They don?t play well unless they?re in a marquee game ? and even then they do the little things to lose games. This one is close on paper, and Illinois has the historic edge, but we?ve seen a lot of teams snap huge losing streaks to conference foes lately.
2-Unit Play. Take #716 Penn (-2.5) over Princeton (7 p.m., Tuesday, Feb. 12)
No writeup.
1-Unit Play. Take #736 Vanderbilt (-3.5) over Kentucky (9 p.m., Tuesday, Feb. 12)
If this line was much higher I don?t think I?d bite, but I think this a good number to attack. Vandy is 14-0 at home this year and they shoot a light?s out 44.5 percent from deep in their own gym. Kentucky has some turnover problems and I think they?re due for an off shooting night. Vandy should take care of business here and score a decent home W in front of a raucous crowd
That's it for today. Good luck.
FREE PLAYS
Take #731 Virginia (+8.5) over North Carolina (8 p.m., Tuesday, Feb. 12)
The Cavaliers stink. I mean, they are really, really bad. But North Carolina is exhausted and I think it?s a lot to ask them to come back after their double-OT win on Sunday night (which followed closely after the Duke loss) and hammer the Cavaliers in Charlottesville. Virginia was embarrassed in their last home game and I think they rally with a decent performance in front of the home faithful. They can knock down some outside shots and are coming off their worst three shooting performances of the season (combined: 36 percent). I think they knock down just enough triples to keep this one close and they end up within this cushion.
Take #714 Purdue (-1.5) over Michigan State (7 p.m., Tuesday, Feb. 12)
I just think that Purdue is the better team right now. I think they?ve performed better against stronger competition and I?m not sure what it is or why it is but the Spartans are slipping. I think it?s a chemistry issue, and right now that?s the last thing MSU needs heading into a brutal venue.
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JOHN RYAN
Guaranteed Pick: John Ryan
Game: Northern Illinois at Akron Feb 12 2008 8:00PM
Prediction: Akron
Reason: Ai Simulator 10* graded play on Akron - AiS
shows an 85% probability that Akron will win this game
by 18 or more points. There are several other game
dependent situations supporting Akron in a strong
manner. 90% probability that NI will not score 60
points in this game and Akron is 20-6 ATS when they
allow 60 or less points in a game over the last 3
seasons. 88% probability that Akron will score 75 or
more points in this game and Akron is on a 13-2 ATS in
home games when they score 75 to 80 points in a game
over the last 3 seasons. 91% probability that NI will
not hit 30+% of their 3-point attempts and note that
Akron is a perfect 6-0 ATS when their opponents make
23% to 30% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last
2 seasons. NI is a terrible shooting team especially
from 3-point land where they are hitting just 30% on
the season and 29% in road games. They don?t have much
of a defensive presence either noting that they allow
opponents a 48% shooting percentage and 83.8 PPG in
road games this season. Note that Akron is 7-0 ATS
versus poor 3 point shooting teams making <=31% of
their attempts after 15+ games over the last 3
seasons. Take Akron.
Guaranteed Pick: John Ryan
Game: Northern Illinois at Akron Feb 12 2008 8:00PM
Prediction: Akron
Reason: Ai Simulator 10* graded play on Akron - AiS
shows an 85% probability that Akron will win this game
by 18 or more points. There are several other game
dependent situations supporting Akron in a strong
manner. 90% probability that NI will not score 60
points in this game and Akron is 20-6 ATS when they
allow 60 or less points in a game over the last 3
seasons. 88% probability that Akron will score 75 or
more points in this game and Akron is on a 13-2 ATS in
home games when they score 75 to 80 points in a game
over the last 3 seasons. 91% probability that NI will
not hit 30+% of their 3-point attempts and note that
Akron is a perfect 6-0 ATS when their opponents make
23% to 30% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last
2 seasons. NI is a terrible shooting team especially
from 3-point land where they are hitting just 30% on
the season and 29% in road games. They don?t have much
of a defensive presence either noting that they allow
opponents a 48% shooting percentage and 83.8 PPG in
road games this season. Note that Akron is 7-0 ATS
versus poor 3 point shooting teams making <=31% of
their attempts after 15+ games over the last 3
seasons. Take Akron.
Winning Points Online
NCAAB
TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 12
7 pm
**PREFERRED
Princeton over Penn* by 7
Let's take this opportunity to utilize the wonders of
modern technology and reverse a weirdo margin
in the main paper that would suggest Penn is 9 points
better than anybody, let alone their Ivy League archrival.
Princeton started to stink first, beginning two years ago,
and now they are on the way up, with a more veteran
team and a healthier leading scorer -- Kyle Koncz -- than
they had a year ago. Actually, Koncz is no longer the
leading scorer. Two guys have vaulted over him into
double-digits. Princeton actually had zero (0), none,
nary an individual, not a one, nobody in double-digits
per game a year ago. The players also like the new
head coach much better -- they couldn't stand the other
one who they chased away all the way to Denver
University. Penn is in the early stages of learning to
live with stinking, with a second-season head coach in
the first season after key seniors recruited by the prior
regime left.
Penn couldn't hit water from the back of a clam
boat. They are shooting about 28% on three-pointers
for the season, and their leading scorer -- freshman
Tyler Bernardini -- has missed the last two games.
He might return tonight. That's just fine. If anyone out
there is fearing the return of a 13 ppg freshmen
playing against Princeton for the first time in his life,
it ain't gonna be us doing the fearing. Penn's poor
shooting gives them an opportunity to fall behind.
Princeton's clock-bleeding pace (58 possessions) will
be jarring to Penn's kids that have been going at 70.1
possessions per game this season, making a comeback
attempt a real pain in the neck.
PRINCETON 56-49
NCAAB
TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 12
7 pm
**PREFERRED
Princeton over Penn* by 7
Let's take this opportunity to utilize the wonders of
modern technology and reverse a weirdo margin
in the main paper that would suggest Penn is 9 points
better than anybody, let alone their Ivy League archrival.
Princeton started to stink first, beginning two years ago,
and now they are on the way up, with a more veteran
team and a healthier leading scorer -- Kyle Koncz -- than
they had a year ago. Actually, Koncz is no longer the
leading scorer. Two guys have vaulted over him into
double-digits. Princeton actually had zero (0), none,
nary an individual, not a one, nobody in double-digits
per game a year ago. The players also like the new
head coach much better -- they couldn't stand the other
one who they chased away all the way to Denver
University. Penn is in the early stages of learning to
live with stinking, with a second-season head coach in
the first season after key seniors recruited by the prior
regime left.
Penn couldn't hit water from the back of a clam
boat. They are shooting about 28% on three-pointers
for the season, and their leading scorer -- freshman
Tyler Bernardini -- has missed the last two games.
He might return tonight. That's just fine. If anyone out
there is fearing the return of a 13 ppg freshmen
playing against Princeton for the first time in his life,
it ain't gonna be us doing the fearing. Penn's poor
shooting gives them an opportunity to fall behind.
Princeton's clock-bleeding pace (58 possessions) will
be jarring to Penn's kids that have been going at 70.1
possessions per game this season, making a comeback
attempt a real pain in the neck.
PRINCETON 56-49
STRIKE POINT SPORTS
2-Unit Play. #716 Penn -2.5 over Princeton (7 pm)
The Tigers have not won a game on the road all season, and even more so they are just 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games away from home. Penn has won the last three meetings at home, and here again they'll hold serve in this Ivy league match-up.
2-Unit Play. #721 Miami Ohio +5 over Western Michigan (7 pm)
The Redhawks are flourishing right now, winners of five straight, going 4-1 ATS in those games. I think they are the overall better team in the MAC in this one, and getting a good amount of points adds further value to the play. This game will be competitive, and we'll the number will be good here, if not see Miami Ohio take it outright.
6-Unit Missouri Valley Game of the Year. #719 Bradley -1 over Indiana State (7 pm)
Outside of leaders Drake, no one else is hotter in the league. Bradley has won six of its last seven and are 6-0 ATS in its last six overall. The Braves have won and covered the last three meetings in this series. They will continue their successful push against a Sycamores team that is reeling, having lost five straight eight of their last ten. Bradley gets in done here.
2-Unit Play. #716 Penn -2.5 over Princeton (7 pm)
The Tigers have not won a game on the road all season, and even more so they are just 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games away from home. Penn has won the last three meetings at home, and here again they'll hold serve in this Ivy league match-up.
2-Unit Play. #721 Miami Ohio +5 over Western Michigan (7 pm)
The Redhawks are flourishing right now, winners of five straight, going 4-1 ATS in those games. I think they are the overall better team in the MAC in this one, and getting a good amount of points adds further value to the play. This game will be competitive, and we'll the number will be good here, if not see Miami Ohio take it outright.
6-Unit Missouri Valley Game of the Year. #719 Bradley -1 over Indiana State (7 pm)
Outside of leaders Drake, no one else is hotter in the league. Bradley has won six of its last seven and are 6-0 ATS in its last six overall. The Braves have won and covered the last three meetings in this series. They will continue their successful push against a Sycamores team that is reeling, having lost five straight eight of their last ten. Bradley gets in done here.
Drew Gordon
Drew Gordon
Drew Gordon
Todays Picks:
1. 200,000♦ Pennsylvania
2. 50,000♦ Purdue
3. 50,000♦ Heat
1. Pennsylvania- While we no longer talk about these two teams in the upper-echelon of the Ivy League, that doesn't mean there isn't value to be had in this match up. In fact, despite their questionable record, you've got to love the Quakers tonight at home, and here's why:
First, make no mistake, the Tigers are pathetic on the road, going winless 0-8 SU in true road games & 0-3 in neutral court match ups. Biggest issue is they leave their offense back at home when they travel, averaging a high school-like 49 ppg on 39% shooting away this season!
Defensively, their numbers are deceiving, because Princeton will slow the game down, making it appear like their 61 ppg allowed away is decent. But, when you consider its 12 points more than they score on the road AND the fact they allow their opponents to shoot 48%, you can see just how bad this Tigers team is on the highway.
We know the Quakers offense is relatively solid at home, averaging 69 ppg on 43% shooting, but critics will argue its their defense that we have to worry about. That's partly true, but in this case, I believe the Quakers will amp up the defensive intensity in this rivalry match up. Penn is also coming off consecutive road losses, so you know damn well they'll be looking to bounce back tonight at home.
Finally, while Penn is lead by their guards, which have a nice edge over Tigers backcourt. The emergence of of 6'9 F Andreas Shreiber in their last game at league-leading Cornell will be key to their victory here tonight. The Quakers have lacked production from their frontcourt, but in 36 minutes Saturday Schreiber dropped in 23 points and 9 rebounds! Coupled with the edge in the backcourt, if Shreiber (or Eggleston for that matter) can step up again, this game will be a cake walk for Penn. Quakers roll at home in this one!
Take Pennsylvania at home over Princeton as your top-rated play of the day.
2. Purdue- If odds makers want to make it a bargain for me to take the hottest team in the Big Ten, at home, with a slew of trends and motivational factors in their favor, that's fine by me! Make no mistake, this will be a competitive game, but in the end, the Boilermakers will grab the cash at Mackey Arena tonight.
How do they do it? The same way they've been doing it over their last 10 games, where they've gone a ridiculous 9-1 SUATS, with a strong and efficient 4-guard attack and defense. 3 of the 4 starting Purdue guards shoot over 42% from beyond the arc, while all 4 starting guards shoot over 41% from the floor... Making for a balanced attack, where one game Hummel might step up (21 points on 3 of 6 3-pointers against Wisconsin) and a couple games prior it was Moore (24 points 10 of 12 shooting at Illinois). Got to love that balance!
Defensively, both teams are excellent, which will ensure this game remains close. However, the one issue I do have with Michigan State is their offense can be inconsistent on the road, for example in ugly outright losses at Penn State and at Iowa. Granted, the Iowa game was disgusting, where the Spartans managed only 36 points, but we can all agree they're a better team now.
However, their most recent road loss at Penn State is absolutely unacceptable. The Spartans got throughouly exposed in that match up, as a great home team, that still hasn't learned how to win on the Big Ten trail. Note that Michigan State is just 3-9 ATS over their last 12 games in conference, and it won't get any easier at the surging Boilermakers' house tonight.
Finally, when I told you the Boilermakers were 9-1 over their last 10 games, did you wonder who the last team to beat them SU was? Yup, you guessed it, it was the Spartans. As if Purdue needed any more momentum/motivation for this match up... The Spartans are due some payback, and Purdue will be glad to provide it tonight at the Mackey Arena!
Take Purdue at home over Michigan State in this Big Ten showdown.
3. Heat- Odds makers are still trying to get a handle on this "new-look" Heat team, and while tonight's match up may look like a mismatch on paper, I'm not convinced a road-weary Nuggets will be able to cover in this contest.
Denver is 10-13 SU & 11-12 ATS on the highway this season. True, they just crushed the Cavaliers in Cleveland Sunday, but doing it again tonight won't be nearly as easy. The Nuggets defense on the road is terrible, allowing a mind-boggling 107 ppg on 46% shooting this season. While the Cavs weren't able to capitalize against Denver's defensive deficiencies, I believe this new-look Heat team can.
Its no secret that coach Riley will be using this final half of the season to audition the Shawn Marion and Wade duo. All reports point to a more up-tempo style of basketball, with Wade and Marion leading the way, and Jason Williams getting back to his run-and-gun days at the point. I'm not saying we're going to see some kind of resurgence from the Heat, but in this case, against a weak Denver road defense, Miami can run with the Nuggets in this one.
Also, consider the fact the Nuggets have a much more qualified opponent on deck tomorrow with Dwight Howard and the Magic waiting in the wings. Do you really believe this inconsistent Nuggets squad is going to put together back-to-back "max-efforts" on the road? Especially with the Magic on deck? More likely than not the Nuggets come out a little flat, taking this game against the 9-41 Heat way too lightly.
Bottom line, trust me, I know its hard to back a Heat team that has done nothing but lose. However, with a "new-look" comes new energy, and a new style of play, which could prove very profitable against teams like Denver, that play absolutely zero defense on the road. Miami might not win SU, but they'll keep this one within the number tonight at home.
Take the Heat plus the points over the Nuggets in this NBA match up.
Drew Gordon
Drew Gordon
Todays Picks:
1. 200,000♦ Pennsylvania
2. 50,000♦ Purdue
3. 50,000♦ Heat
1. Pennsylvania- While we no longer talk about these two teams in the upper-echelon of the Ivy League, that doesn't mean there isn't value to be had in this match up. In fact, despite their questionable record, you've got to love the Quakers tonight at home, and here's why:
First, make no mistake, the Tigers are pathetic on the road, going winless 0-8 SU in true road games & 0-3 in neutral court match ups. Biggest issue is they leave their offense back at home when they travel, averaging a high school-like 49 ppg on 39% shooting away this season!
Defensively, their numbers are deceiving, because Princeton will slow the game down, making it appear like their 61 ppg allowed away is decent. But, when you consider its 12 points more than they score on the road AND the fact they allow their opponents to shoot 48%, you can see just how bad this Tigers team is on the highway.
We know the Quakers offense is relatively solid at home, averaging 69 ppg on 43% shooting, but critics will argue its their defense that we have to worry about. That's partly true, but in this case, I believe the Quakers will amp up the defensive intensity in this rivalry match up. Penn is also coming off consecutive road losses, so you know damn well they'll be looking to bounce back tonight at home.
Finally, while Penn is lead by their guards, which have a nice edge over Tigers backcourt. The emergence of of 6'9 F Andreas Shreiber in their last game at league-leading Cornell will be key to their victory here tonight. The Quakers have lacked production from their frontcourt, but in 36 minutes Saturday Schreiber dropped in 23 points and 9 rebounds! Coupled with the edge in the backcourt, if Shreiber (or Eggleston for that matter) can step up again, this game will be a cake walk for Penn. Quakers roll at home in this one!
Take Pennsylvania at home over Princeton as your top-rated play of the day.
2. Purdue- If odds makers want to make it a bargain for me to take the hottest team in the Big Ten, at home, with a slew of trends and motivational factors in their favor, that's fine by me! Make no mistake, this will be a competitive game, but in the end, the Boilermakers will grab the cash at Mackey Arena tonight.
How do they do it? The same way they've been doing it over their last 10 games, where they've gone a ridiculous 9-1 SUATS, with a strong and efficient 4-guard attack and defense. 3 of the 4 starting Purdue guards shoot over 42% from beyond the arc, while all 4 starting guards shoot over 41% from the floor... Making for a balanced attack, where one game Hummel might step up (21 points on 3 of 6 3-pointers against Wisconsin) and a couple games prior it was Moore (24 points 10 of 12 shooting at Illinois). Got to love that balance!
Defensively, both teams are excellent, which will ensure this game remains close. However, the one issue I do have with Michigan State is their offense can be inconsistent on the road, for example in ugly outright losses at Penn State and at Iowa. Granted, the Iowa game was disgusting, where the Spartans managed only 36 points, but we can all agree they're a better team now.
However, their most recent road loss at Penn State is absolutely unacceptable. The Spartans got throughouly exposed in that match up, as a great home team, that still hasn't learned how to win on the Big Ten trail. Note that Michigan State is just 3-9 ATS over their last 12 games in conference, and it won't get any easier at the surging Boilermakers' house tonight.
Finally, when I told you the Boilermakers were 9-1 over their last 10 games, did you wonder who the last team to beat them SU was? Yup, you guessed it, it was the Spartans. As if Purdue needed any more momentum/motivation for this match up... The Spartans are due some payback, and Purdue will be glad to provide it tonight at the Mackey Arena!
Take Purdue at home over Michigan State in this Big Ten showdown.
3. Heat- Odds makers are still trying to get a handle on this "new-look" Heat team, and while tonight's match up may look like a mismatch on paper, I'm not convinced a road-weary Nuggets will be able to cover in this contest.
Denver is 10-13 SU & 11-12 ATS on the highway this season. True, they just crushed the Cavaliers in Cleveland Sunday, but doing it again tonight won't be nearly as easy. The Nuggets defense on the road is terrible, allowing a mind-boggling 107 ppg on 46% shooting this season. While the Cavs weren't able to capitalize against Denver's defensive deficiencies, I believe this new-look Heat team can.
Its no secret that coach Riley will be using this final half of the season to audition the Shawn Marion and Wade duo. All reports point to a more up-tempo style of basketball, with Wade and Marion leading the way, and Jason Williams getting back to his run-and-gun days at the point. I'm not saying we're going to see some kind of resurgence from the Heat, but in this case, against a weak Denver road defense, Miami can run with the Nuggets in this one.
Also, consider the fact the Nuggets have a much more qualified opponent on deck tomorrow with Dwight Howard and the Magic waiting in the wings. Do you really believe this inconsistent Nuggets squad is going to put together back-to-back "max-efforts" on the road? Especially with the Magic on deck? More likely than not the Nuggets come out a little flat, taking this game against the 9-41 Heat way too lightly.
Bottom line, trust me, I know its hard to back a Heat team that has done nothing but lose. However, with a "new-look" comes new energy, and a new style of play, which could prove very profitable against teams like Denver, that play absolutely zero defense on the road. Miami might not win SU, but they'll keep this one within the number tonight at home.
Take the Heat plus the points over the Nuggets in this NBA match up.
Tu Releases
Tu Releases
Does anyone get Cokin? He has a 3-0 "garauntee today.....also Tailgunner and MMST thanks for the ATS their Lock Club has been hot lately. Look forward to todays.
Tu Releases
Does anyone get Cokin? He has a 3-0 "garauntee today.....also Tailgunner and MMST thanks for the ATS their Lock Club has been hot lately. Look forward to todays.
