SERVICE PLAYS FOR WEDNESDAY 12/12

the duke

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Matty O'Shea

NBA Sides

double-dime bet TOR 4.5 (-110) vs DAL

Analysis: This line is moving in favor of the Mavericks due to Toronto point guard T.J. Ford's terrible fall in Tuesday's win at Atlanta. Ford left the game on a stretcher after a flagrant foul by Al Horford caused him to hit his head on the floor. While Ford has played an important role for the Raptors at times, he has perhaps the best backup point guard in the NBA ready to step up in Jose Calderon. Toronto went 4-1 SU without Ford earlier this season and a perfect 5-0 ATS. That should tell you the oddsmakers have underestimated Calderon and are doing the same thing here. Calderson also played better than Ford against Dallas in the first meeting back on November 20th, totaling 14 points and 6 assists. The Raptors are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings with Dallas, with 3 of the meetings decided by 2 points or less. The Mavs have not impressed me lately, and they are just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games, so I'm taking Toronto as my Double Dime NBA Underdog Play O' the Week.
 

the duke

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Stan Sharpe

double-dime bet UTAH 6.0 (-110) vs PHO

Analysis: Tonight Stan's Top NBA Bettors all Bet UTAH. There was no doubt that last night's stunning loss at home to Portland was more due to Utah looking ahead to tonight's game with Phoenix. This one will be a barn burner with UTAH winning at the end. TAKE UTAH as STAN'S NBA UNDERDOG BIG BET GAME OF THE WEEK and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY
 

the duke

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Robert Ferringo

Game of the Week

6-Units Vanderbilt (-3.5) over Depaul (8 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 13)

Are we walking head-long into a trap? Possibly. But I'm willing to take that chance. I really like this matchup and I think it?s a much more lopsided game from a talent perspective than the line indicates. Depaul lost at home to North Carolina A&T. Depaul only beat Northwestern at home by one. Um, Vandy would beat both of those schools by 25. This is only the Blue Devils? second game in two weeks and only their sixth game overall. Vandy has beaten Toledo, Valpo, Bradley, Georgia Tech, and Wake Forest ? five teams in the same RPI class as DePaul ? by an average of nearly seven points per game. Depaul is a bad defensive team and I don?t think they can trade buckets with an explosive Vandy squad. There is also the Jerry Wainwright Factor, and that he'll likely find a way to make sure we cash. The Commodores are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 nonconference games, 21-7 ATS after a win by 20 or more, and 7-0 ATS on the road after three straight home games. Again, the line and the movement may be indicators but I'm playing this one simply based on what I've seen and what I know in regards to each team.

3-Units San Diego +
over Nevada (10 p.m, Wednesday, Dec. 13)

I think this number is about four points too high ? at least. Both of these teams have common opponents ? U.C. Irvine and UNLV ? and both performed similarly against them. San Diego is a spectacular 27-7 ATS in their last 34 non conference games, 6-0 ATS in their last six against the WAC, and an incredible 39-16 ATS in their last 55 road games. Conversely, Nevada is just 3-7 ATS in its last 10 and 0-4 ATS in its last four non conference tilts. Neither of these teams is outstanding at any aspect of the game, neither scores a ton, and San Diego has the better defense. Nevada is young and is coming off a game in which it shot 52 percent yet still struggled to put away Montana State. San Diego played horrible and shot just 32 percent in The Pit but only lost to New Mexico by 10. All-in-all, I think this is a solid selection in a game the Toreros could win outright.
 

the duke

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Tony Stoffo Pick Pack

NHL Full Season Package

Member Plays
Matchup: NY Rangers at Washington
Time: 7:05 PM EDT (Wed)

Play: Over (5.0-105)


Posted on: December 11, 2007 @ 9:22:39 PM EST
NY Rangers at Washington Strong situational total trend in effect here calling for a high scoring game as the Rangers take a trip down to Washington. Play Over - Road teams where the total is 5 or less (NY Rangers) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (25 to 40%) in the first half of the season. This trend favoring the Over for tonight has gone 27-6 over the last 10 years hitting at a very profitable 82% With the odds makers posting just a 5 on the total for tonight only makes the Over that much more of a stronger play here.
 

the duke

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JWhip

CBB Sides

double-dime bet Ohio 8.0 (-110)vs Maryland

2 units Ohio Bobcats +8

The Maryland Terrapins host the Ohio University Bobcats in non-conference play at the Comcast Center tonight.

Maryland is in the middle of a six game home stand, but enter this game after dropping an 81-78 decision to Boston College in their ACC opener on Sunday. The Terrapins have a solid 6-1 win/loss record at home this year but the only big win in their last 10 games overall was an eight point win against Illinois.

Ohio enters this game on a high note, posting a 78-59 win over Delaware on Saturday. The win was the Bobcats third in a row, and are averaging 75 ppg over those three games. Ohio is just 1-2 on the road but both of those loses were just by 2 points.

Both teams have plenty of scoring options, with the Terrapins averaging 74 ppg, and the Bobcats averaging 79 ppg. Ohio is not only averaging more points, but they are also shooting 50% from the field while Maryland is shooting 44%.

Take the points with the Ohio Bobcats as they have covered this spread in every game so far this season.
 

Bootlegbobby

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JEFFERSONSPORTS

2-0 last night.
On a 12-2 all sports run
On a 9-1 run in NCAA HOOPS
On a 9-2 run in the NBA

Hitting 61% in NCAA HOOPS
Hitting 63% in NBA
Hitting 67% in NHL
Hitting 71% in NCAA FOOTBALL
Hitting 50% in NFL

These are his records since OCT 6th

OVERALL RECORD since OCT. 6th is 110-65 (63%) in all sports.

EARLY NHL RELEASE
ATLANTA-140
 

the duke

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Wunderdogsports (nba)


Game: Dallas at Toronto (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Toronto +190 (moneyline) (risk 2 to win 3.8)
Pick: 3 units on First Half UNDER 97 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)


Dallas is 9-2 at home but a sub-par 5-6 on the road. They are scoring 107.3 per game at home but just 99.5 on the road. They have allowed six of their last eleven opponents to score triple digits, allowing 103.3 per game on average and nearly 105 per game over their last five. Toronto is 7-5 at home, scoring 100 per game and playing solid defense. Home teams off a double-digit win are 93-30 in non-conference games over the past five seasons! Dallas beat Toronto in Dallas on November 20th but Toronto is 20-11 since last year revenging a same-season loss. They are likely without TJ Ford here but we think the rest of the team plays that much harder and we like Toronto's chances at the outright win here. Dallas is 24-11 UNDER in the first half when favored on the road by 6 points or less since last season. Toronto is 31-17 UNDER in the first half at home off a road game the past three seasons. We like Toronto on the moneyline and the first-half UNDER here.


Game: Golden State at Portland (10:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Portland +5 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)

Portland is really playing with confidence right now as they have rattled off four straight wins. The difference now is even showing up on the road. They started 0-7 on the road, but have now won their last two. They have gone from a team scoring 80.5 ppg in their last four prior to the winning streak, to a team scoring 108 ppg during it. This team obviously is hot right now, and the fact they can score will help against a Golden State team that never passes up a shot. The Warriors have played much better with Jackson back in the line-up, but have dropped three of their last five ATS. Playing a suddenly hot Portland team on the road, it won't be as easy as it looks.
 

the duke

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Alex Smart

7:05p
Philadelphia 76ers
-8.0 / 2 units





College Basketball

9:00p
New Orleans
+5.0 / 2 units


10:00p
San Diego
+8.0 / 2 units
 

the duke

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Jeff Alexander

NBA

3* Jazz +6.5

Utah is a team that matches up with the Suns better than anyone else in the NBA because of its size and athletic ability. These attributes have allowed the Jazz to win 2 of their last 3 games at Phoenix straight up and all 3 ATS. Utah has actually won 4 of the last 5 games in this series overall. Utah is 14-4 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons. The Jazz are also 22-9 ATS in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game since 1996. Take the points here.

NCAAB

3* Santa Clara -5

Pacific does not have the same caliber of team that it has had in recent years. Santa Clara will own the Tigers tonight in this in-state battle. Pacific is just 5-16 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons and 1-12 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons. Pacific is 0-6 ATS after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons and Santa Clara is 13-4 ATS after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Lay the points.

3* Colorado -5


This will be a tough road game against a Colorado team that has already made strides under coach Bzdelik. After back-to-back defeats, we'll take the Buffs in this solid bounce back spot at home. Colorado is 9-1 ATS after 2 straight games where they made 37% of their shots or worse since 1997 and 6-0 ATS after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. New Orleans is just 11-31 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games since 1997. Take the Buffs at home.
 

GIANTS007

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vernon croy.



Handicapper: Vernon Croy
Vancouver Canucks vs. Anaheim Ducks (NHL) - 10:05 PM EST Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: 150 Vancouver Canucks Play Title: 10 Unit NHL Super Smash of the Night
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
10 Units, Take Vancouver ML +150, We are getting solid line value here with the Canucks on the road who have not lost more than 2 games in a row this season. The Canucks have played better on the road this season than at home and they are 5-2 this season after a loss by 2 or more goals. The Canucks powerplay has been on fire this season on the road converting 24.6% of the time and the Ducks powerplay has struggled at home this season converting just 13.4% of the time. The Canucks penalty kill has been very solid over their last 5 games with opponents converting just 11.1% of the time and I look for it to remain strong tonight against the Ducks poor powerplay. The Canucks already dominated the Ducks winning 4-0 in Vancouver back on Nov.27 and I like them a lot to bounce back with a strong game tonight after their loss to the Kings
 

GIANTS007

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bryan leonard

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Philadelphia 76ers (NBA) - 7:05 PM EST Premium Play
Play: Total: 186/103 Under Play Title:
Click Here to View Play Analysis
Minnesota at Philadelphia Under The T Wolves have had a schedule loaded with teams who like to get out and run, therefore their numbers are a bit skewed at this point of the season. But when they play a halfcourt squad like the 76ers the totals have remained below the posted numbers. Minnesota will also be playing their fourth back to back set of games this season. In the second half of the prior three they had gone under the posted total twice while landing right on the number the third time. The Timberwolves are a young team who has struggled offensively all season, failing to reach the century mark in 5 of their last 6 games. Only once all year has Minnesota exceeded 103 points in any game. Philadelphia brings a three game winning streak into tonight?s action, and defense has been the key component. The Sixers have allowed just 88, 77 and 90 points in those three victories. In fact, Philadelphia has held the opposition to 90 points or better in regulation in 6 of their last 7 games. Like Minnesota this team doesn?t have a great deal of offensive talent, they win with hustle and defense. Look for points to be hard to come by for both teams tonight as this game stays under the posted total. PLAY UNDER
 
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eddieh8823

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BLACK MAGIC SPORTS - I will be back between 6:00 and 7:00 tonight with the rest of what I will have which includes (PPP, Maingate (IF they have a play), Dr Bob, California Sports, Spreitzer, Kelso, Preferred, Gameday, Underdog, JB Sports, ASA, Billy Coleman) - Please note, I only post plays that are available under their rating system, I certainly don't bother with their opinions nor do I take the time to look for it.

NBA:



5 Unit Black Magic NBA Letdown GOTM on Portland Trail Blazers +5.5



The Portland Trail Blazers catch the Golden State Warriors in a big letdown spot Wednesday. Golden State is coming off their win over San Antonio last night while the Blazers just beat up on Utah. The Warriors won?t be up for this contest after their huge win over the defending champs. Portland is one of the most underrated teams in all of the NBA. The Blazers have now won 4 straight games and this young, talented squad is soaring in confidence right now. Portland is 7-3 straight up at home this season. Portland is 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games as a home underdog. Portland is 16-5 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. Cash in with Portland as the underdog.



3 Unit Sharp Play on New Orleans Hornets +8.5



The Hornets will post a repeat performance from their earlier meeting with the Denver Nuggets this season. New Orleans got the best of Denver in a 93-88 upset in Colorado back in November. The Hornets have won 4 out of their last 5 games overall. The Hornets are 8-2 on the road this season which is even better than their home record. Going on the road doesn?t phase New Orleans so don?t be shocked when they come out on top tonight in Denver again. The Hornets are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog. The Nuggets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Denver has really struggled with some of the best teams in the league. Cash in with New Orleans as the underdog.



NCAA Basketball:



3 Unit Sharp Play on Santa Clara -5



We will play on the home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in this rivalry, an excellent shooting team making greater than 52% on the season, and a dominant rebounding team outrebounding opponents by 7 or more boards per game. This System is 31-9 with a 78% winning ratio over the last 10 seasons. Santa Clara is absolutely dominating opponents this season. Pacific is coming off an 18-point loss at home as a 13-point favorite against Pepperdine. Their true colors showed in that match-up and they cannot compete in this big road game. Santa Clara beat Pacific by 18 points in their last meeting a year ago. Santa Clara is 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. Cash in with Santa Clara as the favorite.

Eddie's Analysis - This guy won like 13 in a row 5* plays and now has lost his last 2. Granted, during that winning streak, his 5* plays seemed nutty (Clippers twice, Ball St) but I dunno. If I play any of this, it will be the 5* for a very small amount as his Pacers pick was my only loss last night.
 

MMST

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ATS LOCK
4 Santa Clara - 5
3 Maryland - 7 1/2

ATS FINANCIAL
3 Mass + 5
3 Wisc Milw + 13 1/2
 

GIANTS007

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Marco D'Angelo | CBB Sides Double-Dime Bet
725 Ohio 7.5 (-110) BetUS vs 726 Maryland
Analysis: Ohio travels to Maryland tonight to battle the Terrapins. Maryland is coming off a loss at home to Boston College. Maryland isn't that good this year and should not be laying 8 here. They are laying 7' based on name not talent. Expect a close game throughout and don't be surprised if Ohio pulls the Outright Upset. TAKE OHIO as MARCO'S COLLEGE UPSET GAME OF THE WEEK and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY.

Marco D'Angelo | CBB Sides Double-Dime Bet
738 Nevada -8.0 (-110) SportBet vs 737 San Diego
Analysis: After losing 3 in a row to UNLV,California and Pacific Nevada returned home on Saturday to win but not cover against Montana St. That was Nevada's first game in a week and they flat just going thru the motions or as I like to refer to this type of game as their Buffer Game. Now that they have a win under their belt I expect an even better performance tonight. I have Nevada winning this game by 11-14 Points. TAKE NEVADA and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY.
 
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