Service Plays Thursday 7/17/08

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Oscarxena Sports

The MLB season starts up again after the All-Star break tonight and there are only four games this evening with a full slate scheduled for tomorrow. On Sunday I went 1-2 for a loss of 3.24 units but I look forward to a very profitable couple of months in baseball. Here are my selections for today:

San Diego -1.05 (3 Unit Play) - I missed out on the Padres as an underdog but I still like them in this spot tonight. San Diego has been a very disappointing team this year but because they play in the weak NL West if they were to get hot they could make a run at a playoff spot although that would be highly unlikely. However, all we need is for them to win tonight and I think we have the right pitcher on the mound to do it in Jake Peavy. Peavy on the year has a 2.47 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP and although his numbers are elevated on the road it was due to a bad start or two. Peavy has pitched well when starting against St. Louis as he is 3-2 with a 2.89 ERA and he has won three straight appearances against them. He will be opposed on the hill by surprising Kyle Lohse who has been extremely hot lately and is 11-2 on the year but he is 0-2 with a 7.05 ERA in his career against San Diego. Getting Peavy at a low price like this against Lohse is a bargain in my book and I will take the lowly Padres to get a road win to get the second half started right.

Cincinnati +1.31 (3 Unit Play) - The Reds have been playing well at home all year as they are 26-19 and have actually fared well against left handed starting pitching as they are 18-17 so far this year. They will take on one of the toughest left handers tonight in Johan Santana and the red hot Mets. Santana has been a victim of a lack of run support recently but was able to finally break his losing streak with a win against the Giants in his last start. Santana hasn't really pitched great against Cincinnati in his career as he is 1-0 but has a 5.40 ERA in three career games. The Reds will have rookie Johnny Cueto on the hill and after going through a rough patch he has settled in nicely as he has allowed only seven earned runs in his last three starts which equaled 20 innings pitched. The Mets have went 23-26 so far on the road this year and have a losing record against right handed starting pitching at 32-34 and while it is tough to go against a team as hot as they are right now I think the Reds are worth a look tonight.

Because we have a very short card this evening those are my only plays that I am going to release today. I will be back on Friday with more winning selections and let's get the second half started on the right side with these two tonight. Best of luck to everyone and enjoy the games.

 

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THE SPORTS ADVISORS

NATIONAL LEAGUE

N.Y. Mets (51-44) at Cincinnati (46-50)
The red-hot Mets look to keep rolling as they open the second half of the season by sending ace Johan Santana (8-7, 2.84 ERA) to the hill at Great American Ball Park against the Reds. New York won nine straight games heading into the All-Star break, scoring five or more runs in six of those games while allowing three runs or less seven times. The Mets swept a three-game home set from the Rockies last weekend, allowing just one run in the series and closing it out with Sunday?s 7-0 Sunday.
New York is 10-1 in its last 11 games, climbing back into the N.L. East race after firing manager Willie Randolph and replacing him with Jerry Manuel. The Mets are on further runs of 7-0 against losing teams, 46-21 after an off day and 6-2 behind Santana in series openers. On the flip side, they are 1-6 in Santana?s last seven starts overall and 0-4 in his last four road outings.
Cincinnati, which will counter with rookie right-hander Johnny Cueto (7-9, 4.67), has won seven of its last 10 games and is 5-0 in its last five against the N.L. East, 12-4 in its last 16 at home against winning teams, 8-3 in its last 11 against left-handers and 5-1 behind Cueto in series openers. However, the Reds are 2-6 in their last eight games after an off day.
This is the second series this season between these two teams. The Mets took two of three at Shea Stadium in May and are 6-2 in the last eight clashes.
Santana is 1-4 with a pair of no-decisions in his last seven outings, despite giving up just 11 earned runs over 45 innings (2.20 ERA) in that stretch. However, in his most recent outing on July 9 against San Francisco, he yielded no runs on three hits in five innings in a 5-0 home victory, Santana?s first win since June 1. During Santana?s run of bad luck, he?s still pitched at least six innings in 12 of 13 starts, with the win over the Giants ? which was interrupted by a rain delay in the sixth inning ? being the lone exception.
Cueto had a two-game win streak snapped July 9 on the road against the Chicago Cubs, allowing five runs (four earned) on eight hits in 6 2/3 innings in a 5-1 setback. The 22-year-old is 5-5 in his last 10 starts, after starting the season 2-4 with three no-decisions in his first nine. The Reds are 5-2 in Cueto?s last seven starts at home.
Santana is 4-4 with a 3.01 ERA in 10 road starts this year, and he?s 1-0 with a 5.40 ERA in three career appearances (two starts) against the Reds. On May 10, he gave up 10 hits but just three runs in six innings of a 12-6 home victory over Cincy. Meanwhile, Cueto is 5-3 with a 4.08 ERA in 10 home starts this year, and in his lone career start against the Mets on May 11, he gave up six runs on eight hits over 4 2/3 innings of an 8-3 road loss.
The the under is on streaks of 5-1 for the Mets overall, 6-1-3 for Santana overall, 5-0 with Cueto starting, 8-2 when Cueto goes at home and 7-3 in Cincy?s last 10 series openers.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER

 

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Matty O'Shea

COL -1.5 (+150) vs PIT

Take a shot with the Rox on the runline here as my Single Dime MLB Value Play O' the Day.

 

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vegas-runner | MLB Money Line Triple-Dime Bet
951 NYM (-141) SportBet vs 952 CIN
Analysis:
*** 3* MLB BEST BET of the DAY ***
*** 3* WNBA BEST BET of the DAY ***



1.) WASHINGTON +7 (3*)

Thu, 07/17/08 - 7:05 PMvegas-runner | MLB Total Double-Dime Bet
958 BAL / 957 DET Under 10 Bodog
Analysis: ** 2* MLB TOTAL ** (UNDER -110)
Thu, 07/17/08 - 7:10 PMvegas-runner | MLB Total Single-Dime Bet
952 CIN / 951 NYM Over 8 Sportsbetting.com
Analysis: * 1* TOTAL * (OVER -120)
Thu, 07/17/08 - 9:05 PMvegas-runner | MLB Money Line Single-Dime Bet
956 COL (-150) Sportsbetting.com vs 955 PIT
Analysis: * 1* ML WAGER *

 

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Winners Inc. Guaranteed Selections
Date: Thursday, July 17, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: Today in Baseball we are featuring our 5000* BASEBALL BLOWOUT BOMBER! You can get this WINNER for just $25 and you are GUARANTEED TO WIN or you will not be charged! We are currently on a REMARKABLE 93-47 run with all of our guaranteed selections! So far this year in Baseball we are 60-33 for PLUS 16.8 UNITS! 7/17/2008

5000* BASEBALL BLOWOUT BOMBER
Baltimore w/Olson +100 7:05 EST

 

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Teddy June

Cincy Reds

 

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Stu Feiner





BALTIMORE ORIOLES

We do not like the way the Detroit Tigers finished up before the break folks. There was a time where the Tigers had finally got it going. They came all the way back to become .500 and above. You have to remember the Tigers started out atrocious but as we said they played good ball for a long time. The Tigers had a very important home series to close out the break. They had a four game set against the Twins. This wasn?t just any four game series folks. This was a series against a rival that they are chasing. They needed this series. At worst they needed a home split and get out of there. Detroit lost the series in tough fashion. The Tigers lost the first three games all by one run. The Twins bull-pen and late clutch hitting was very evident in this series. The Baltimore Orioles are a very good home baseball team folks. The Orioles are 25-16 in their building and are rested and ready to go. Look for the Tigers to still stumble and the Orioles to still surprise.


CINCINNATI REDS

The Mets are one of the few teams that didn?t want to have a break. Most teams are looking forward to getting to the all-star break; the Mets on the other hand wished they played another week. In all-star interviews Wagner and Wright both said that they wished the all-star break would come next week. The reason why the Mets wanted to continue on was their fantastic play the last week plus. This was a team that was sputtering around all season. They had to fire their manager and their pitching coach but they finally got their act together. Tonight is a different story though. The Mets have won nine straight, but six of those nine came at home against two teams that are a combined 25 games under .500 (Rockies and Giants). Johnny Cueto is the real deal and at home the Reds will get the job done. Santana gives up the gopher ball and in this park you don?t need much to put it out. Take the Reds, this line is too good to pass up.


SAN DIEGO PADRES

It is time for the clock to strike midnight for Kyle Lohse folks. This is a pitcher that hasn?t won more than ten games in five years folks. For his career heading in to this season Kyle is eleven games under .500. He has never had an ERA in the three?s in his life. In fact he has had ERA?s closer to 5.00 than his current mark this season. Kyle has now pitched 120 innings this season, it is that time of the year where those innings take their toll. Last season Kyle pitched just 131 innings, the season prior Kyle only pitched sixty one. Kyle has not pitched over the 175 inning mark since 2005 when he was a member of the Minnesota Twins. Jake Peavy has been the lone bright spot on this pitching staff. This guy is still a guy that you can count on each and every time out there. Jake will pick up right where he left off. Peavy allowed just seven hits in his last two starts and no earned runs. Jake will improve his mark to 8-5 this season. The Padres will get the first game back.


COLORADO ROCKIES

Ubaldo Jimenez goes tonight the Rockies and he has been there second best pitcher by far. Aarron Cook is the Rockies ace, as we saw him throw very well in the All-Star game last night and even get out of a bases load jam. Ubaldo actually has better stuff than Mr. Cook. Jimenez has been throwing the ball very well in his last few starts. We feel that this break will only be a shot in the arm for Ubaldo. He has allowed a total of just four runs in his last three starts, all of which have been quality. Jimenez has an ERA all the way down to the low four?s. Sure his record is bad but the Rockies had a first half to forget. They still play decent at home and Jimenez still loves his home mound. Ubaldo is 3-2 at home with an ERA of just 2.67. Look for the Rockies to get the job done here tonight at home.

 

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Kelso

high rollers 10 unit mets


best bets 10 unit a.l. game of week tigers

 

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Charlies Sports


500* Pads/Cards un 7

30* Mets-125
20* O's -115
20* Rockies -140
10* Mets/Reds un7
10* Pads +115 (free play)

 

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Lenny Del Genio's **LATE-BREAKING** Mismatch

det tigers

 

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Brandon Lang

THURSDAY

10 Dime Tigers

5 Dime Cardinals

FREE - Mets

 

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Gina

ST LOUIS CARDINALS -110

San Diego Padres are just 3-7 in their last 10 road and St. Louis Cardinals are just 3-7 in its last 10 at home. However, St. Louis has beaten San Diego in four of the last five at Busch Stadium and 27 of the last 36. San Diego will send Jake Peavy (7-5, 2.47), to the hill. The right-hander is 2-1 with a 1.35 ERA in his last three starts and went 3-2 with a 2.89 ERA in seven regular-season starts against the Cardinals. St. Louis counters with Kyle Lohse (11-2, 3.39 ERA), the right-hander is 2-0 with a 0.86 ERA in his last three starts, but 0-2 with a 7.04 ERA in three career starts against San Diego. Lohse is 5-1 with a 2.75 ERA in 11 home starts this season. Go with the Cardinals at home with Lohse at the helm. St. Louis fruitless bats will struggle dealing with St. Louis' Kyle Lohse. The Cardinals are 10-1 in Lohse's last 11 starts, 5-0 his last five at home.

 

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BOXER SPORTS THURSDAY'S PLAYS

YTD 197-199-3 +33.35*

San Diego Padres - J Peavy -R @ St Louis Cardinals - K Lohse -R
Play Padres/Cardinals Under 7.5 -110 ( 3* )

Detroit Tigers - K Rogers -L @ Baltimore Orioles - G Olson -L
957 Tigers -105 ( 3* )

 

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Frank Rosenthal

THURSDAY, JULY 17, 2008

MLB
951 NYM-140 SB
954 CARDS-105 SB
956 ROCKIES-140 SB+
NOTE:
PMG=ADVERTISED PITCHERS MUST GO.

 

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WUNDERDOG SPORTS DAILY COMPS

MLB
Game: San Diego at St. Louis (8:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total OVER 7.5 -110

While he has dominated at home, Jake Peavy has been less-than average on the road where he has pitched to a 4.45 ERA. Peavy is also backed by a pen that has served up 2.7 additional runs per game. The Pads are 11-2 OVER on the road the past three seasons vs. winning teams when starting Peavy. A full 60% of Kyle Lohse's pitched games have exceeded this total. The OVER gets the call in this one.


WNBA
Game: Los Angeles at Phoenix (10:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 176 -110

Since their opener, Los Angeles has not seen a game reach this many points except in an OT game with Connecticut, and that includes two games played vs. Phoenix. Phoenix went through a very explosive offensive stretch in the middle of the season where they averaged 94 a game, but has since quieted down some producing just 87 points per game. The Sparks have held Phoenix below those numbers the last two times they have met, and seem to have found a way to slow this team down. The odds makers are still cranking out totals based on the 94 ppg stretch that Phoenix had, yet the numbers aren't as good lately, so we like the UNDER in this one

 

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Ben Burns

MLB 4* Colorado Rockies

MLB 4* Pirates/Rockies under 9.5

 

[ROQQIN RIQ]

ROQQIN RIQ SAYS TO TAKE A SHOT WITH THE ST LOUIS CARDINALS ON THE RUNLINE AT A WHOPPING + 185......CARDS WILL WIN BY 2 AFTER PEAVY IS LONG GONE...GL..:Yep: :Yep:

 

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Just have 1 play for tonight. POD Selections are 61-38 61.62% +80.03 units overall! POD's are 17-6 73.91% 49.25 units since June 22nd. Lets build on that record tonight!

5 units Cincinnati Reds runline +1.5 -130 **POD**

KBHOOPS

 

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Wunderdog -

5* Cards
3* over Cards
2* Pirates

 

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VicMonte - 65-51-1-- +1702 STARS

100* Tigers