Guaranteed Pick: Larry Ness
Game: Akron at Ohio University Mar 4 2008 7:00PM
Prediction: Ohio University
Reason: Ohio has been an easy team to figure out all season. Stay away from the Bobcats on the road (or play AGAINST them) but play on them at home, EVERY time! Ohio has regularly struggled on the road, averaging barely 60 PPG, including a pathetic 57.9 PPG in eight MAC road games. However, the Bobcats are averaging 73 PPG in Athens, going 11-0 SU and 9-2 ATS, which includes a 6-0 SU league mark (average win coming by 10 points). The 6-8 Williams (15.5-10.0) and the 6-6 Tillman (12.4-7.1) are one of the league's best inside duos, while the 6-6 Orr (7.1) completes the starting frontcourt. Walther (11.7-3.3 APG) and Allen (4.3-4.3 APG) have both contributed at the PG spot with the steady Whittington (8.5) giving the Bobcats a solid perimeter trio. As for Akron, the Zips come in 20-8 overall and 10-4 in the MAC East (Kent is 11-3). However, the Zips know all to well that the MAC hasn't received an at-large selection to the NCAAs since 1999, as last year's 26-win team went uninvited after losing in the MAC title game to Miami-Ohio. Winning here will do the Zips little good, as their own route to the "Big Dance" will be a win in the MAC tourney (same goes for every school in the conference, save possibly Kent). Akron's best player, the 6-6 Wood (13.3-8.0), missed four games with an injury but has played in the last two, averaging 12.0 PPG and 10.5 RPG. However, that's NOT the whole story. He's shot just 7-of-23 (30.4) in his two games back, after shooting 51 percent from the floor, prior to his injury. Three 6-7 players join him in the frontcourt, Linhart (8.4-4.6), Milum (7.2-3.7) and McKnight (5.9). The starting guards are solid in Dials (12.8-4.1) and Middleton (9.7), with freshman McNees (6.2) adding depth. However, with both teams peeking ahead to the MAC tourney, which begins March 12, I'm sticking with the Bobcats here on their homecourt. Ohio almost beat the Zips in Akron (Jan 17), losing 55-54 on a tip-in with just four seconds remaining. Las Vegas Insider on Ohio U.