Sevice Plays Saturday 5/17/08

MLBKING

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Scott Rickenbach
NHL 1* (regular play) OVER the total in Detroit vs Dallas @ 1:30 ET

After scoring 11 goals in the first three games of this series, the Red Wings were held to just one goal in Game Four. Detroit lost that game in Dallas by a 3-1 final and, after having their offensive onslaught temporarily halted, we look for them to bounce back in a big way tonight! The Red Wings are plenty capable of putting on a huge showing offensively at the Joe Louis Arena and this has been a house of horrors for goalie Marty Turco of the Stars. The Dallas netminder still is winless in his NHL career here and he?ll be facing a Red Wings team that is looking to lock this series up by leaving no doubt on the scoreboard! The word out of Detroit is that they will go on the attack right away in this one and never let up. They certainly won?t be playing cautious as they want to bury the Stars and advance to the next round.

With the Stars still suffering with some key injuries, the Red Wings can absolutely take advantage! However, besides the prohibitive price on the Red Wings here, the reason we?re on the over rather than Detroit is because Dallas has proven they?re not going to go down without a fight. They battled hard to notch three goals in Game Four and they also scored two goals in the first two periods of Game Three before falling short on home ice in that game. The Red Wings are going to put pressure here on the Stars by looking to score early and often. This will quickly force the Stars to answer so that taking ?chances? and gambling a bit will have to be a part of the Stars philosophy today. This means that this could quickly become a high scoring affair as Dallas will have to gamble knowing it?s their last chance to ?hang around? or it will already be their time to start a summer vacation! Play OVER the total in Detroit as a regular selection.
 

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William Kidd Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, May 17, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: Today we are featuring a QUADRUPLE BASEBALL WINNER!! You can get this GUARANTEED WINNER for just $25 and you will win this game or there will be no charge! We are now 27-9 +$1618 playing just $100 per game in Baseball this year! 5/17/2008

QUADRUPLE BASEBALL WINNER
Cleveland w/Carmona +110 3:55 EST
 

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2-Minute Warning (Won with the LA Lakers yesterday)

HOUSTON (OSWALT) over Texas (Padilla)
 

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Tom Freese Blue Line Club

MLB

Houston at Texas (7:05pm)
Houston is 7-0 with Roy Oswalt when favored by -110 to -150 and they are 49-15 with Oswalt after scoring 5 or more runs in their last game. The Astros are 38-18 with Oswalt vs. losing teams. Texas is 2-7 on Saturday and they are 1-5 in the last 6 Saturday starts made by Padilla and he is 1-5 vs. the Astros with a 5.09 ERA in 6 career starts vs. them. PLAY ON HOUSTON (Oswalt vs. Padilla)
 

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ROCKDEMANSPORTS

TAKE THE ANGELS ONE OF THE BETTER INTER-LEAGUE WINNERS FROM LAST YEAR .
 

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Sean Higgs

Washington vs. Baltimore (MLB) - May 17, 2008 7:05 PM EDT

Play: Total: 9/-105 Orioles/Nationals Under

Taking the UNDER. O's and Nats have gone 12-4-1 under the total last 17. 8 of the last 11 in Baltimore have also gone under
 

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*** EZWINNERS EARLY MLB ***

2 STAR: (959) NY METS (+$125) over NY Yankees
(Listing Santana only)
(Risking $200 to win $250)
12:05PM Central Time

1 STAR: (951) PITTSBURGH (+$213) over Chicago
(Action)
(Risking $100 to win $213)
12:05PM Central Time

1 STAR: (953) TAMPA BAY (+$111) over St. Louis
(Listing Garza only)
(Risking $100 to win $111)
12:10PM Central Time
 

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Frank Rosenthal

SATURDAY, MAY 17, 2008
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NBA PLAYOFFS
CONFERENCE SEMIFINALS
SERIES TIED @ 3-3
SUNDAY'S EARLY LEAD GAME 7
534 CELLTICS-7 SB+
UNDER 175.5 SB+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL
952 CUBS-240 SB
955 BREWERS+145 SB+ GM-2
959 NYM-125 SB
961 TRIBE+105 SB
965 JAYS-110 SB
968 FISH-120 SB
970 BRAVES-140 SB
977 CWS-130 SB
NOTE:
PMG=ADVERTISED PITCHERS MUST GO.
 

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Steven Budin-CEO
SATURDAY'S PICK

25 DIME PLAY
ATLANTA BRAVES
 

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PlusLineSports Daily Baseball Pick


Daily Pick For May 17, 2008

Saturday 5/17 Daily Selection # 1:

Milwaukee(Suppan) vs. Boston(Matsuzaka) Game 1

Boston Red Socks -1.5 (-116)
Pinnacle @ 9:15 am CST on May 17
---------------------------------------------------------
Saturday 5/17 Daily Selection # 2

Milwaukee(Bush) vs. Boston(Wakefield) Game 2

Boston Red Socks -1.5 2.3 (+130)
Pinnacle @ 9:15 am CST on May 17

THESE 2 SELECTIONS SHOULD BE PLAYED JUST AS WE POST AS 2 SEPERATE DAYS
 

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Computer Crushers Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, May 17, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: We were 59-28 in Baseball last year as we are very selective with our baseball selections as you may see four or five plays a week from us. Tonight we have very STRONG 500,000 UNIT BASEBALL COMPUTER CRUSHER WINNER that you can get for just $25 and you will win this game or you will not be charged! We are already 11-2 this season in baseball for PLUS $1005 playing just $100 per game! 5/17/2008

500,000 UNIT BASEBALL COMPUTER CRUSHER WINNER
Baltimore w/Burres -125 7:05 EST
 

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Big Al McMordie

At 6 pm, on Saturday, our Preakness Stakes wager will be a 3-horse Exacta Box of Big Brown, Racecar Rhapsody, and Kentucky Bear.

When you have a situation such as Saturday's 133rd running of the Preakness Stakes where a horse looks unbeatable, it simply doesn't make sense to try and handicap for the win. Big Brown looks as close to peerless in this race as any Triple Crown horse in recent memory and if you didn't believe it before Wednesday's post-position draw, then his 1-2 morning line should have laid any doubts to rest. I can't ever remember any horse in a Triple Crown race (except perhaps Secretariat or Seattle Slew in the Belmont) being given a morning line like that. Of course, it's possible his odds will change, but if his odds go anywhere, it will be down even further. So what we do in this case is handicap the race as if he weren't running in it and then look for value in the exacta wager. After all, there are 13 horses in the race, which means that there is a good chance that there will be a $40 exacta possibility with Big Brown and a longshot horse. The first thing I will do is throw out the second choice, which is the only other Derby horse who is showing up in the race - Gayego. There are plenty of reasons not to like him. He ran very poorly in the Derby and I'm not buying the excuses of a poor trip or getting bumped or anything like that. Second, he has shipped all over the country in the last 4 weeks (California to Arkansas; back to California; then to Kentucky and back to California, and now across the country again to Maryland). No matter what his connections say, this cannot do him any good. And when he won the Arkansas Derby (his first start on dirt), the race was paceless and set up perfectly for him as he held on to win by a 3/4 of a length. That will not be the case in the Preakness. By eliminating Gayego from the possibility of finishing second, we are eliminating what will likely be a sizable chunk of the exacta pool. The next obvious horse is Todd Pletcher's closer, Behindatthebar. His morning line is 10-1, but it's possible that by post time, he will be co-second choice or even ahead of Gayego in the odds. But as much as I liked this horse in the Lexington Stakes, I'm also going to thow him out of the exacta because of his only other start on a dirt track (in the El Camino Real Derby) which was his worst race and the only time he finished out of the exacta in five lifetime tries.

For my longshot horses to use in the exacta, I'm going to look to the two horses with post positions next to Big Brown. First, on the inside of the favorite in the #6 hole is a horse named Racecar Rhapsody. For this horse to be 30-1 in the morning line is absurd. He is one of the biggest closers in the field, has been extremely competitive on both artificial and dirt surfaces, has raced seven times (all with the same very competent jockey, Robby Albarado, which I love to see) and is trained by the very underrated Kenny McPeak. If this horse is anywhere near 30-1 come race time, he must be used in an exacta box with the big favorite.

On the outside of Big Brown is a lightly-raced horse named Kentucky Bear. Unlike Racecar Rhapsody, this horse has some tactical speed, and if the earlier races show that the Pimlico strip is its usual speed-favoring self, then this horse will have the perfect stalking position outside of Big Brown and may be perfectly positioned to challenge him down the stretch. If the pace is soft up front and there are traffic problems for any of the closers (Racecar, Behindatthebar, Yankee Bravo, Stevil) then I like his chances even better. Kentucky Bear's morning line is 15-1 and his connections of Canadian-based trainer Reade Baker and journeyman jockey Jamie Theriot are going to be unknown to all but the most serious racing fans, but that's a good thing as Baker has a very respectable winning percentage in graded stakes (15%) and Theriot was one of the leading riders at the recently concluded Keeneland meet after moving to Kentucky from the Arkansas-Louisiana circuit last year. I wouldn't be surprised to see Kentucky Bear's odds creep up closer to 20-1 by post time, and that is going to be fine by me.

Let's go with an Exacta Box of Big Brown, Racecar Rhapsody and Kentucky Bear, and if we're really lucky, Big Brown will finish 2nd to one of the other two horses, but we'll win so long as two of our three horses finish in the top two spots. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
 

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Winning Points Online

MLB

Saturday, May 17, 2008

NY METS (J. Santana) -125 over NY YANKEES (Pettitte)

Our play on the Mets and Johan Santana last night was
rained out, but that sets up a more attractive scenario
today. As mentioned yesterday, the Yankees have been
pitiful vs. lefthanders (-$440 with only 3.2 runs per
game), but the Mets have been very effective against
southpaws (9-4, +$320). Getting by without Alex
Rodriguez and Jorge Posada has been difficult when
taking on just middle-range lefthanders, now they
must contend with the best in baseball. The price
on the visitor is short under the circumstances, so
go with the Mets in this one.
 

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Gina


Saturday, May 17, 2008 (Eastern Time)

Milwaukee Brewers (20-21) at Boston Red Sox (24-19), 3:55 p.m.
(R) Jeff Suppan (2-2) vs. (R) Daisuke Matsuzaka (6-0)

The Boston Red Sox are coming off a disappointing road trip, 4-6 last 10 on the road, but they are back at Fenway Park and will send Daisuke Matsuzaka to the hill tonight. The right-hander is 6-0 with a 2.45 ERA, unbeaten in 11 starts. Milwaukee counters with Jeff Suppan. The right-hander allowed one run and six hits over seven innings in a 5-3 victory against St. Louis in his last start on Sunday, first win in seven starts. Go with the Red Sox. Boston has played well in interleague action, 105-88 all-time and is 14-3 in Matsuzakas' last 17 starts, 7-0 in his last 7 at home. The Brewers have lost their last 6 road games.

Boston Red Sox -230
 

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Ben Burns


***TOP AFTERNOON TOTAL*** Burns' #1 May TV T.O.M! $20.00
Ben Burns was 9-2 last weekend including a 7-2 winner with the -120 Cubs on Saturday afternoon, his May TV GAME of the Month. After a tough Friday, expect Burns to bounce back in a HUGE way this afternoon with his May TV TOTAL of the Month. Pick up this TOP TIER TICKET right away, as lines are moving and the first pitch goes soon!

Indians/Reds under 8.5
 

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WAYNE ROOT

Chairman- Mariners
Millionaire- Diamondbacks
Money Maker- Rays
Perfect Play- Orioles
 
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