Shell Houston Open
- Thread starter sharky17
- Start date
Round 2 plays (2pts):
Sang-Moon Bae to beat Paul Casey -155 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, The Greek and Carib]
Casey is a former Houston Open champion on this course, but that was back in 2009 and that was a different Paul Casey. The current Paul Casey missed the cut on his return here last year and has a scoring average of 74.86 on the PGA Tour this year. With eight cuts made from nine starts this year, Bae should certainly be able to capitalise on Casey's struggles.
Steve Stricker to beat Rory McIlroy +110 @ Paddy Power [also available @ Bet365 and William Hill]
McIlroy is another who is struggling (95th in greens in regulation in rd1) and again he sits outside the cut line. Stricker also had a poor rd1 yesterday, but with top-5 finishes in all three starts this year and top-11 in four of his last six visits to the Tournament Course at Redstone, he looks far more likely to bounce back today.
Bill Haas to beat Jimmy Walker -145 @ 5Dimes
Two players in good form who arrested poor histories on this course to finish day one inside the top-10. The difference is that Walker did it in the calm conditions in the morning; Haas did it in the windier conditions in the afternoon when the scoring average was 1.52 shots higher than in the morning. With the forecast the same for today, I'll back the morning player.
J.J. Henry to beat Matt Every -130 @ 5Dimes
Two players at the bottom of the leaderboard. For Every, it is no surprise: he has missed the cut here on both previous visits and in three of the last four weeks. For Henry, it is a surprise: he has made the cut in four of the last five years and in seven of eight starts this year. On that basis, I'll back Henry as the more likely to bounce back.
John Senden to beat Jonas Blixt -110 @ Stan James
Senden remains one of my go-to players before the cut. His record on this course was highlighted above; his dominance of Blixt iis illustrated by a 11-4 h2h record since the start of last season. In terms of the pre-cut rounds, that dominance is further confirmed by a 21-6-3 h2h record againt Blixt in rd1 and rd2 over the same period.
Sang-Moon Bae to beat Paul Casey -155 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, The Greek and Carib]
Casey is a former Houston Open champion on this course, but that was back in 2009 and that was a different Paul Casey. The current Paul Casey missed the cut on his return here last year and has a scoring average of 74.86 on the PGA Tour this year. With eight cuts made from nine starts this year, Bae should certainly be able to capitalise on Casey's struggles.
Steve Stricker to beat Rory McIlroy +110 @ Paddy Power [also available @ Bet365 and William Hill]
McIlroy is another who is struggling (95th in greens in regulation in rd1) and again he sits outside the cut line. Stricker also had a poor rd1 yesterday, but with top-5 finishes in all three starts this year and top-11 in four of his last six visits to the Tournament Course at Redstone, he looks far more likely to bounce back today.
Bill Haas to beat Jimmy Walker -145 @ 5Dimes
Two players in good form who arrested poor histories on this course to finish day one inside the top-10. The difference is that Walker did it in the calm conditions in the morning; Haas did it in the windier conditions in the afternoon when the scoring average was 1.52 shots higher than in the morning. With the forecast the same for today, I'll back the morning player.
J.J. Henry to beat Matt Every -130 @ 5Dimes
Two players at the bottom of the leaderboard. For Every, it is no surprise: he has missed the cut here on both previous visits and in three of the last four weeks. For Henry, it is a surprise: he has made the cut in four of the last five years and in seven of eight starts this year. On that basis, I'll back Henry as the more likely to bounce back.
John Senden to beat Jonas Blixt -110 @ Stan James
Senden remains one of my go-to players before the cut. His record on this course was highlighted above; his dominance of Blixt iis illustrated by a 11-4 h2h record since the start of last season. In terms of the pre-cut rounds, that dominance is further confirmed by a 21-6-3 h2h record againt Blixt in rd1 and rd2 over the same period.
Round 3 play (4pts):
Bob Estes to beat Boo Weekley +101 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, The Greek and Carib]
It may be a few years since his last top-10 on this course, but Estes still has three top-10 finishes in seven starts on the Tournament Course at Redstone. Currently 18th, he has a chance to make it four from eight and continue the orm that has seen him record top-40 finishes in five of six starts this year. Weekley does have a couple of top-10 finishes this year, but they are both from off-the-pace. When in contention at this stage, he record is not too impressive. In the last ten occasions that he has finished 36 holes in the top-10, he has fallen out of the top-10 after the 3rd round in eight of those ten. So, little wonder that Estes has a 13-3-1 h2h advantage over Weekley in weekend rounds over the last two years.
Bob Estes to beat Boo Weekley +101 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, The Greek and Carib]
It may be a few years since his last top-10 on this course, but Estes still has three top-10 finishes in seven starts on the Tournament Course at Redstone. Currently 18th, he has a chance to make it four from eight and continue the orm that has seen him record top-40 finishes in five of six starts this year. Weekley does have a couple of top-10 finishes this year, but they are both from off-the-pace. When in contention at this stage, he record is not too impressive. In the last ten occasions that he has finished 36 holes in the top-10, he has fallen out of the top-10 after the 3rd round in eight of those ten. So, little wonder that Estes has a 13-3-1 h2h advantage over Weekley in weekend rounds over the last two years.
Third Rd Matchups (1u)
Bradley ov Westwood -120 ? Bradley has a 6-0-1 h2h per round record against Westwood on the weekend in 2013 with a 17-11-4 h2h/round weekend advantage since 2012. He has three straight top 10?s in past three events while Westwood finished 63-25-9 over the same events. Bradley also has good course form with a 4th last year.
Walker ov De Jonge -122 ? Walker has finished higher in seven of eight events this year against De Jonge with a 7-4-1 record vs. De Jonge on the weekend. Walker has also been more consistent in 2013 with no missed cuts and only finishing outside the top 30 once in eight events with three top 10?s while De Jonge is coming off a missed cut last week, another missed cut at NTO and only one Top 10 in 2013.
Tringale ov Cabrera -140 ? Tringale has a 5-0-1 h2h per round record on weekend in 2013 against Cabrera and has finished above Cabrera in four of five events this year. Tringale also finished 8th last year, improving off his maiden 73rd place in 2011 while Cabrera finished 21 last year after four straight cuts in this event.
Bradley ov Westwood -120 ? Bradley has a 6-0-1 h2h per round record against Westwood on the weekend in 2013 with a 17-11-4 h2h/round weekend advantage since 2012. He has three straight top 10?s in past three events while Westwood finished 63-25-9 over the same events. Bradley also has good course form with a 4th last year.
Walker ov De Jonge -122 ? Walker has finished higher in seven of eight events this year against De Jonge with a 7-4-1 record vs. De Jonge on the weekend. Walker has also been more consistent in 2013 with no missed cuts and only finishing outside the top 30 once in eight events with three top 10?s while De Jonge is coming off a missed cut last week, another missed cut at NTO and only one Top 10 in 2013.
Tringale ov Cabrera -140 ? Tringale has a 5-0-1 h2h per round record on weekend in 2013 against Cabrera and has finished above Cabrera in four of five events this year. Tringale also finished 8th last year, improving off his maiden 73rd place in 2011 while Cabrera finished 21 last year after four straight cuts in this event.
That was my next question. Family. You got friends and family coming in for support?
STEVE WHEATCROFT: My fiancee is on a 6:30 flight. She'll be here in the morning. Other than that, I have no idea. My phone has been blowing up in my pocket
If youre leading your first ever PGA event going into the weekend, dont bring your hot ass blonde girlfriend in town. I will bet against that everytime,
STEVE WHEATCROFT: My fiancee is on a 6:30 flight. She'll be here in the morning. Other than that, I have no idea. My phone has been blowing up in my pocket
If youre leading your first ever PGA event going into the weekend, dont bring your hot ass blonde girlfriend in town. I will bet against that everytime,
$250.00 $3,750.00 Pending 3/31/13 8:30am Golf PGA +1500 Shell Houston Open - Ben Crane
$147.00 $140.00 Pending 3/31/13 1:25pm PGA Golf 430 Ben Crane (4th Rnd) -105* vs Stewart Cink (4th Rnd)
$147.00 $140.00 Pending 3/31/13 1:25pm PGA Golf 430 Ben Crane (4th Rnd) -105* vs Stewart Cink (4th Rnd)
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Round 4 plays (2pts):
Cameron Tringale to beat Kevin Chappell -158 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, The Greek and Carib]
Tringale starts the final in the top-10 for the ninth time on the PGA Tour: he has shot a sub-70 final round in seven of the previous eight occasions. Together with a top-10 finish on this course last year and also two weeks ago in Tampa, this week's leader in the GIR stats looks set for another top-10 finish. For Chappell, confidence cannot be high after missing his last five cuts.
Cameron Tringale to beat Angel Cabrera -120 @ Stan James [also available @ Bet365]
Cabrera is another who has been playing well below his best: his best finish in six starts this year is 30th. With a 16-3-0 h2h record in his favour since the start of 2011, Tringale should be a stronger favourite in this matchup.
Lee Westwood to beat Billy Horschel -150 @ Stan James [available generally]
Westwood is yet another who has been playing below his best, but he still has top-10 finishes in the Dubai Desert and Honda Classics and he does have a good record on this course: top-30 finishes in each of the last four years. I'll back him to continue the better form that he has shown this week over a player that has made every cut this year, but has been finishing further down the leaderboard as each week progresses.
Lee Westwood to beat Louis Oosthuizen -104 @ Pinnacle [available generally]
In his previous three events to this event, Oosthuizen has missed two cuts and exited the World Match Play at the 1st round. He does start the final round alongside Westwood in 7th place, but ranks 48th in greens in regulation so his game is clearly far from the level that it should be.
Keegan Bradley to beat Bill Haas -123 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, The Greek and Carib]
With four missed cuts from four previous visits to the Tournament Course at Redstone, Haas is an unlikely leader at the start of the final round. So I'll certainly oppose him with a player who has finished 4th, 7th and 3rd in his last three events and finished 4th here last year.
Cameron Tringale to beat Kevin Chappell -158 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, The Greek and Carib]
Tringale starts the final in the top-10 for the ninth time on the PGA Tour: he has shot a sub-70 final round in seven of the previous eight occasions. Together with a top-10 finish on this course last year and also two weeks ago in Tampa, this week's leader in the GIR stats looks set for another top-10 finish. For Chappell, confidence cannot be high after missing his last five cuts.
Cameron Tringale to beat Angel Cabrera -120 @ Stan James [also available @ Bet365]
Cabrera is another who has been playing well below his best: his best finish in six starts this year is 30th. With a 16-3-0 h2h record in his favour since the start of 2011, Tringale should be a stronger favourite in this matchup.
Lee Westwood to beat Billy Horschel -150 @ Stan James [available generally]
Westwood is yet another who has been playing below his best, but he still has top-10 finishes in the Dubai Desert and Honda Classics and he does have a good record on this course: top-30 finishes in each of the last four years. I'll back him to continue the better form that he has shown this week over a player that has made every cut this year, but has been finishing further down the leaderboard as each week progresses.
Lee Westwood to beat Louis Oosthuizen -104 @ Pinnacle [available generally]
In his previous three events to this event, Oosthuizen has missed two cuts and exited the World Match Play at the 1st round. He does start the final round alongside Westwood in 7th place, but ranks 48th in greens in regulation so his game is clearly far from the level that it should be.
Keegan Bradley to beat Bill Haas -123 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, The Greek and Carib]
With four missed cuts from four previous visits to the Tournament Course at Redstone, Haas is an unlikely leader at the start of the final round. So I'll certainly oppose him with a player who has finished 4th, 7th and 3rd in his last three events and finished 4th here last year.
Fourth Rd Matchups (1u)
Kirk ov Perez -122 ? Kirk has a 4-0 h2h record against Perez on Sundays (11-6-1 h2h overall) in 2013 having finished ahead of Perez in five of six events this year.
Bradley ov Haas -125 ? Bradley is 9-2-2 on Sundays h2h against Haas since 2012 (3-1 this year) with better course form and slightly better current form
Kirk ov Perez -122 ? Kirk has a 4-0 h2h record against Perez on Sundays (11-6-1 h2h overall) in 2013 having finished ahead of Perez in five of six events this year.
Bradley ov Haas -125 ? Bradley is 9-2-2 on Sundays h2h against Haas since 2012 (3-1 this year) with better course form and slightly better current form
Back to the well. Keegan bogeyed 18 to cost me the W yesterday, but thems the breaks.
Round 4
Bradley over Oosthuizen
Round 4
Bradley over Oosthuizen
Sportsbook.com.....
Sportsbook.com.....
Has NO ACTION on Westwood over Hass. They have Westwood and Hass both shooting 72 when Westwood actually shot 70.:mj03: :mj03:
Sportsbook.com.....
Has NO ACTION on Westwood over Hass. They have Westwood and Hass both shooting 72 when Westwood actually shot 70.:mj03: :mj03:
