Smitty's Wimbledon Thread

[Smitty]

oh, just saw what happened the 2nd-to-last point, when andy ripped his groin. hahahahaha DK has now dropped my cash-out to a $2 profit. something tells me i should probably grab it. in fact, i definitely should. but i'm not that smart.

 

[Smitty]

4-5 (+0.57)

 

[Smitty]

first weekend

ok, this is nuts. but i'm firing away.

lehecka to win (+100)
lehecka -1.5 sets (+170)
lehecka in straight sets (+380)
fucsovics +1.5 sets (+170)
fucsovics to win (+340)
djere to win 2 sets (+270)
djere to win (+400)
jarry to win a set (+100)
berrettini (+110)
bublik (+105)
hurkacz to win a set (+115)
hurkacz to win the 1st set (+425)

saturday parlay (+541)
lehecka +1.5 sets
eubanks
djere +2.5 sets
berrettini +1.5 sets

sat/sun parlay (+1839)
previous 4 plus:
galan not to win a set (for reasons i still don't understand, this specific bet is -210, while sinner to win 3-0 is -245)
bublik

i'm also gonna play several (or many) other variations of these parlays. but it's late, and i don't feel like posting them all. takes too damn long.

 

[kickserv]

ok, this is nuts. but i'm firing away.

galan not to win a set (for reasons i still don't understand, this specific bet is -210, while sinner to win 3-0 is -245)
bublik

Smitty = is nuts....just firing away like a motherfucker



and whatever Sportsbook you are using the oddsmakers there are on crack, obviously that wager is the exact same, thus the odds should be the same.

 

[Smitty]

and whatever Sportsbook you are using the oddsmakers there are on crack, obviously that wager is the exact same, thus the odds should be the same.

that's draftkings. and i don't disagree. i figure it's 50/50 there's a legit reason for it. maybe the 3-0 pays out in the event of a retirement, but the other bet doesn't. something like that. no clue.

record through saturday:

7-13 (-3.33) some real nice choke jobs by lehecka & djere kept me from a really nice day. djere killed my parlays when he absolutely pissed away the 2nd set tiebreaker.

let's throw away some more money and add a sunday parlay...

galan not to win a set
bublik

2 to win 3.76

 

[kickserv]

that's draftkings. and i don't disagree. i figure it's 50/50 there's a legit reason for it. maybe the 3-0 pays out in the event of a retirement, but the other bet doesn't. something like that. no clue.

nope......just lots of crack being consumed there, the selection is the exact same, the rules are the same, thus the odds should be the same. Just lots of crack being thrown around at the DraftKings office parties, that is for sure.

 

[kickserv]

let's throw away some more money and add a sunday parlay...

 

[Smitty]

anyone know what time the bublik match starts?

*sigh*

impressive how he just collapsed when serving down 5-4 in the first. but most impressive... when down 5-4 in the 5th set, and down 30-15, he thought he hit a winner and just stood there and watched as rublev managed to return the ball. shoulda been 30-30.

7-14 (-5.33)

just played some more, because i'm a glutton for punishment.


+1755
berrettini
dimitrov
bencic (live)

+171
rybakina
berrettini to win 2 sets

+352
berrettini
dimitrov

+551
medvedev
dimitrov
rybakina
berrettini to win 2 sets

 

[Smitty]

7-15 (-6.33) with 3 parlays pending

starting to look like i really am a clay court specialist.

you know what they say... when you're in a hole, just keep digging.

andreeva to win a set (-130)
andreeva (+190)
vondrousova (+125) 2 units

parlay (+518)
vondrousova
dimitrov
berrettini +2.5 sets
sinner -1.5 sets

parlay (+174) 2 units
the previous 4, minus vondrousova

 

[kickserv]

you know what they say... when you're in a hole, just keep digging.

Smitty = keeps on fighting

 

[Smitty]

man, so many losers, i'm having trouble keeping track. ok, i think this is my record now.

9-20 (-8.83)

stupid, stupid dimitrov

just an observation... i watched the first set of pegula/vondrousova and some of the second... man, that's some bad tennis, considering they're playing to go to the semis at wimbledon. felt like a high school match. "here, you win this point." "no, thank you, you win it. i clearly don't want it."

betting against pegula in the quarters at majors continues to be very profitable.

 

[Smitty]

it's not just my posted plays when i get shit on. had these two looking good, right until rybakina collapsed late in the 2nd. i also had a small bet on rybakina to win the tournament.

 

[kickserv]

it's not just my posted plays when i get shit on. had these two looking good, right until rybakina collapsed late in the 2nd. i also had a small bet on rybakina to win the tournament.

View attachment 6965145 View attachment 6965146

Sometimes life sucks

 

[Smitty]

Sometimes life sucks

i was definitely cursing out the gambling gods. fucking assholes.

 

[Smitty]

kick, you think sinner's got a shot at beating that POS this year? every match, djokovic has looked vulnerable at some point. right until he doesn't. sinner has been playing very well overall, plus he has the extra motivation from last year.

maybe i'll just bet sinner to win a set at -150. always hating laying that much, but i think it's a very fair price.

 

[kickserv]

kick, you think sinner's got a shot at beating that POS this year?

Sure why not.

And on top of that it would be great to see that shit-head lose at Wimbledon.

 

[Smitty]

Sure why not.

And on top of that it would be great to see that shit-head lose at Wimbledon.

amen to that