Smitty's Wimbledon

[Smitty]

Day 9

i like both favs on the men's side to advance, but there's no money there. so let's try these...

sinner -1.5 sets/paul to win a set (+117) 2 units

paul/alcaraz over 38.5 games (-1.5) 2.1 units

and the ladies....

sun (+220) 3 units. she's had a great run, and had to overcome the partisan crowd against raducanu. hopefully she still has something in the tank.

navarro/sun +1.5 sets (+168) 2 units

navarro/paolini over 22.5 games (+105) 4 units

paolini first player to break serve (+110) 2 units

paolini to break navarro over 3.5 times (+100) 2 units

really getting stupid now....

navarro to win in 3 sets (+265) 2 units

this, ladies and gentlemen, is how you blow a sizeable profit.

 

[Smitty]

this, ladies and gentlemen, is how you blow a sizeable profit.

day 9 1-7 (-15.1) didn't matter much in the grand scheme of things, but nice effort from paul in the last 2 sets. 6-2, 6-2, and the match ended in 38 games.

overall
19-34 (+8.3)

2nd day in a row i didn't post my best decision. i put both of these in at the beginning of the 2nd set.

 

[kickserv]

this, ladies and gentlemen, is how you blow a sizeable profit.

You called it

 

[Smitty]

You called it

it was inevitable.

only made one bet today. woot woot! was going to bet mertens/hsieh, but completely forgot. i think they were fairly small favs.



really like musetti against asshole douchebag. +425 is a gift. +1700 for straight sets.

not much for tomorrow. love paolini. -185 is fair, but a steeper price than i want to lay. may just parlay all 3 favs (paolini, rybakina, alcaraz). that is currently +144. you know what? fuck it, it's in now.

paolini/rybakina/acaraz (+144) 5 units. let's see which fav i can jinx.

ok, here's a friendly reminder... always keep a close eye on these books. looking at betMGM... you can bet paolini & rybakina to play in the final at -120. however, you can parlay paolini & rybakina at -109. in fact, let's do that.

paolini/rybakina (-109) 5.5 to win 5 units.

paolini in straight sets (+145) 4 units

paolini to win vekic's first service game (+150) 2 units

 

[kickserv]

ok, here's a friendly reminder... always keep a close eye on these books. looking at betMGM... you can bet paolini & rybakina to play in the final at -120. however, you can parlay paolini & rybakina at -109. in fact, let's do that.

Smitty = math god.

 

[Smitty]

Smitty = math god.

the movie Hidden Figures was actually about me.

 

[yyz]

the movie Hidden Figures was actually about me.

Well, at least you had your own coffee pot, you lucky sumbitch.

 

[Smitty]

Well, at least you had your own coffee pot, you lucky sumbitch.

 

[Smitty]

let's see which fav i can jinx.

definitely not the one i would have expected.

0-4 (-16.5) insane that i'm now down for this tournament. what a roller coaster.

19-38 (-8.2)

 

[kickserv]

0-4 (-16.5) insane that i'm now down for this tournament. what a roller coaster.

If you used hammer1 math you'd be way up.

Just sayin'