Snafu's EURO extravaganza !

Snafu

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Thanks guys :smilies8

Italy just had to score own goal :smilies3

23 - 14 +22.77u

Slovakia +244 2u - Ukraine
Slovakia HT / Slovenia FT +450 1u
cards Ukraine ml -110 3u (draw = void)
i still can't see why Ukraine is favorite here

Austria +109 2u - Poland
Austria tt O1½ +100 1u

Netherlands - France DRAW +220 2u
both teams are ok with this. Mbappe might return with a face mask, not sure if it's good or bad for them. i think it might have been good idea to let the team play once without Mbappe. now it's going to all for messi-direction. not good for talented team like France.


keeping units down and at least trying to avoid splashing them around like Teddy KGB...

GL :smilies8
 

Snafu

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26 - 16 +25.95u

late match : O2½ +110 3u
i know this is in contrast vs draw but... i hope W1-L1 at least

ok... Teddy KGB splash:
carded player
Dembele +650
Veerman +450

1u each

:smilies4
 

Snafu

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Should have stuck with a draw...

Veerman didn't start so that's a void one, other than that 0.40 u profit

27 - 19 +26.35u

Georgia - Czech -125 3u

GL :smilies8
 

Snafu

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Georgia - Czech HT / Czech FT +187 2u

Turkey - Portugal -163 3u
Portugal tt O1½ -150 2u
HT Portugal / FT Portugal +160 2u



Belgium game later, might actually fade them.... :smilies25
 
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johnnyb

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Georgia - Czech HT / Czech FT +187 2u

Turkey - Portugal -163 3u
Portugal tt O1½ -150 2u
HT Portugal / FT Portugal +160 2u



Belgium game later, might actually fade them.... :smilies25
good luck today, bud. i'm tailing ya. thanks for posting
 
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Snafu

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Way to go Turkey :smilies3

Some luck back from Czech match, another "i can't believe how they didn't score another"-match...
 

Snafu

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Belgium HT/FT +120 2u - Romania
Belgium corners O5½ -150 2u
cards O3½ -120 2u


chickened out from playing Romania, Belgium has wasted so many competitions with a poor performances and i guess even Lukaku scores at some point, or at least gets shots on goal...

Lukaku shots on goal O1½ +110 2u

GL:smilies8
 

Snafu

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imo Hungary has been better than Scotland who after Die Mannschaft handling bounced back to lucky draw vs Switzerland. Hungary needs to win and if draw happens i think both are out from the knock out stage.

Hungary +150 2u
Hungary tt O1½ +120 2u
1st half corners O4½ -102 2u
team corners Hungary O4½ -125 2u


GL :smilies8
 
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Snafu

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2-4 -4.00u Hungary saved the day with that late late goal

35 - 26 +29.00u

i have to say that refereeing was a bit questionable vs Germany, two cases where forward was wrestled down no pk and then slight contact (that didn't effect outcome) leading to early 1-0 goal being disallowed.

this ref is top candidate to ref final match " :smilies20 "

oh well, Spain is through and this is a match of the century for Albania. AND Spain has a bit of history losing these "meaningless" matches like losing to Japan in WC-22 (and then facing Morocco in 1st qual round...)

Albania +650 1u and +½ +165 1u- Spain
O2½ -125 3u
BTTS YES +100 2u


Croatia - Italy DRAW +220 2u
U2½ -110 3u
correct score 0 - 0 +850 1u
Croatia tt U½ +200 1u


what can you except from Italy except absolute minimum to get a result that puts them through... and i think they in practice are through already even if they lose this match.

GL :smilies4
 
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BigGaycapper

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somewhere over the rainbow
2-4 -4.00u Hungary saved the day with that late late goal

35 - 26 +29.00u

i have to say that refereeing was a bit questionable vs Germany, two cases where forward was wrestled down no pk and then slight contact (that didn't effect outcome) leading to early 1-0 goal being disallowed.

this ref is top candidate to ref final match " :smilies20 "

oh well, Spain is through and this is a match of the century for Albania. AND Spain has a bit of history losing these "meaningless" matches like losing to Japan in WC-22 (and then facing Morocco in 1st qual round...)

Albania +650 1u and +½ +165 1u- Spain
O2½ -125 3u
BTTS YES +100 2u


Croatia - Italy DRAW +220 2u
U2½ -110 3u
correct score 0 - 0 +850 1u
Croatia tt U½ +200 1u


what can you except from Italy except absolute minimum to get a result that puts them through... and i think they in practice are through already even if they lose this match.

GL :smilies4
Lets hit some big dogs today! I have a nice Croatia to finish bottom of the group ticket so I'll be rooting for you. GL
 
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Snafu

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37 - 32 +26.65u

One goal from Albania would have helped a lot but i'm ok with Italy scoring late goal.. so yeah. This is how these last group stage matches will be. I doubt we see many goals and teams just gets done with it. Groups are still evolving so i doubt teams care about winning a group vs making sure they get through.

Really hard to find anything...

France - Poland U3 -112 3u
France to nil -110 2u


Netherlands - Austria DRAW +220 2u
U2½ -125 2u

Denmark +120 2u
- Serbia
Denmark tt O1½ +137 2u

England - Slovenia +1250 1u and +½ +230 2u
U2½ -110 2u


GL :smilies8

edit typos...
 
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Snafu

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40 - 38 +24.55u

bleeding units daily... damn VAR and BS penalty kick calls/no calls... last group matches :

Slovakia +225 2u - Romania

Ukraine - Belgium -163 2u
Belgium tt O1½ -138 2u

Czech +175 2u
- Turkey

imo odds are good enough to go for the win instead of draws. "best third" and knock out pairings are still wide open for these teams. for example winner of the early matches group faces Netherlands or Slovenia.

it goes to goal difference in "best third"-group so i'm not excepting a lot of goals... just like i didn't except goals yesterdays Netherlands match...

:smilies4
 
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Snafu

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Romania questionable pk
Czech red carded
Belgium was just shit

looks like a total mess today
 

Snafu

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40 - 42 +14.53u

halved my profits in third round... i was surprised how teams played these last matches. for example Belgium had a chance of the lifetime to take easy route but they decided take France/Germany/Spain side of the knock out tree. good luck with that.

early knock out plays:

France -110 4u - Belgium
France HT/France FT +220 2u
France tt O1½ +120 2u

Germany -167 3u -
Denmark
i think this line goes down before kick off... -200 wouldn't surprise
 

Snafu

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Italy to reach semi finals +275 2u

England to reach semi finals -163 3u


I might look down to Switzerland a bit too much, but they won only Hungary and weren't able to win Scotland (two VARred goals though but only 1.03xG). Then again Italy looked like shit vs Croatia and almost blew it. Without extra time goal to tie the game they would have been out of the knock out stage. I hope that was the last wake up call for this team.

I think Italy is the team that has more headroom to improve, they met -21 Euros and Italy won easyishly 3-0 (group stage). Both have been allowing goals in every match they have played so far in this tournament.

Imo it goes to Donnarumma vs Sommer performance and there is just one winner:

Switzerland - Italy +150 3u
Italy tt O1½ +200 2u

Italy to qualify -138 5u



adding more units to Germany since the line is up a bit (i already had Germany -167 3u - Denmark)
Germany -154 3u - Denmark
 
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