Snafu's NHL 2018-19

Snafu

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Finnish hockey

4-2 +6.25u

saturday, IFK plays b2b but travelling isn't far and they need to improve their game even after win:

Lukko - HIFK -112 2u and -1? +250 1u
probably very low scoring game :shrug:

well, 5-3 loss, IFK was 3-2 up at 38min but lost


4-4 +3.01u

wednesday

IFK has some core player injuries, so taking away team:
HIFK - Pelicans +141 2u
i don't see why this shouldn't go over too... O5 -121 2u
 

Snafu

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Pelicans wins 2-4, 6-4 +7.83u

NHL
10u swing for Edm losing ot... but actually it was Clb home loss that cost home teams bet

1-3 -5.20u
44-45 +8.83u


wednesday

Vancouver +222 1u

grand salami U24? -108 2u
Fla is only team out of eight playing today that has more O's than U's

GL
 

Snafu

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HIFK plays tomorrow friday Tappara that's better team and above in standings. This match also is an celebration match for former IFK icon Kuhta and his shirt will be frozen in a ceremony before the match.
I can't remember IFK winning single one "celebration match", you know those team 100 years and so on matches. Rumour is some still injured players are hurried back to the line up so that doesn't soung good either. IFK is still missing core players and i was surprised to see IFK as a favorite.

edit: forgot to mention that IFK's current 1st coach didn't get contract extension and will be replaced with current 2nd coach. Hard to see that improving team spirit in this difficult situation where game isn't going well and injuries pile up.
Wouldn't be surprised to see #1 go in a few weeks if team doesn't start to win matches.

friday

HIFK - Tappara +109 3u and -1? 1u +310



minisweep in nhl
2-0 +4.22
44-45 +13.05u


:toast:
 

Snafu

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thursday


Philadelphia +145 2u
O5? -120 2u

Montreal +110 2u

LA@Min O5? +104 2u

Anaheim +150 2u

Vancouver +173 2u


leaning GS U but 58? +110 is a tad low
Bos, Buf, Arz returning from 4(+) match away trip, playing against them.

GL
 

Snafu

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another sweep in row... wait :facepalm:

0-6 -12.40u
46-51 +0.65u :0074

HIFK won 4-0... 6-6 +3.83u

IFK plays today TPS, 1u for 60min DRAW +330. Out of last ten between these two 5 has been 60min draws.

:toast:
 

Snafu

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nice... 0-3 with 4-19 goals difference :142smilie

0-3 -6.48u
46-54 -5.83u

Dallas -145 2u

Ottawa +210 2u

:0008
 

Snafu

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nice run going on in nhl : three days 0-11

monday Finnish league match:

HIFK -129 3u
 

Snafu

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46-58 -10.73u

really busy IRL...

New Jersey -149 3u & -1? +168 1u

Nashville +110 2u

NYI +141 2u


GL
 

Snafu

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IFK plays midtable team KooKoo away. 1st goalie out, fired one of the best forwards and some injury problems... Kookoo has played well lately.

Kookoo +105 2u and -1? +290 1u - HIFK

:0corn
 

Snafu

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my only nhl play yesterday was Col@Van 1st O1?... one goal in 1st... seven in 2nd... :facepalm::facepalm:


Finnish league: 7-7 +1.06u

saturday
crippled IFK plays b2b after losing ot yesterday

SaiPa -111 3u - HIFK
O4? -135 2u


:0008
 

Snafu

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2-1 -0.45u
48-59 -11.10u

saturday

TB@Mon O5? -122 2u

NYI +102 3u

Minnesota +110 2u

Chi@Cal 1st O1? -115 2u

salami O71? -123 2u


GL


Valladolid just hit the crossbar.. i hope they get one soon... :0corn
 

Snafu

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3-2 +2.36u
51-61 -8.74u

sunday

Buffalo +109 3u

i hope they avoid let down after 9-2 win.
NYR plays 1st home match after 4 game away trip.


:0008

Finnish league: 9-7 +6.06u
 

Snafu

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51-62 -11.74u

monday

Pittsburgh -167 2u & -1? +170 2u
very strong "game after +4 goals loss at home"-angle here

Dallas +136 2u

Washington -134 3u


:shrug:
 

Snafu

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They lost first home game after four game road trip. usually pretty strong angle.

+money system in the other hand picks Edmonton (EDM +$420 vs WSH -$315). i was going to start playing that after teams reach 15 matches and quit system at the end of the january. that's been most profitable period last three seasons.



GL IE
 

IE

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angles aside respectely,

Pheonix Copley will start Monday night against Edmonton.

This will be Copley's first start since Oct. 27 when he surrendered three goals on 30 shots in a 4-3 shootout win over Calgary. He has a 1-1-1 record this year with a 3.55 goals-against average and .882 save percentage.




The Oilers will try for their third straight win and their sixth victory in seven games. The Capitals have lost two in a row (0-1-1) and have one win in their past four games (1-2-1).


D Brooks Orpik Lower-body injury ,out
 

Snafu

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thanks, i had that copley info too. i hope he doesn't suck completely....

i pretty much presume that goalies and line up changes are included in odds already so i don't give them much weight when making plays. i know it sounds crazy but i can't calculate 2ng goalie value better than bookies do so i rather take slightly higher odds when other players are playing against 2nd goalie and stick with my angles.
 

Snafu

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fucking pens.. second 4 or more loss at home...

1-2 -4.34u
51-62 -16.88u

tuesday

Montreal -105 2u

Dallas +137 2u

Vancouver +107 3u

StLouis -101 2u

Minnesota +136 2u

GL
 

Snafu

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1-4 -7.10u
52-66 -23.98u :facepalm:

thursday

Edmonton +135 3u

Arizona +118 3u

Chicago -100 2u and -1? +265 2u

San Jose -120 2u



GL
 
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