Soccer 2017 August-December

BASON

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I agree Sub and did the same just could not post since I did it about 30 seconds before the game started. And....2-1 halftime. As we have discussed before those money moves are right more than they are wrong and are a key piece in capping (as I learned once again the hard way yesterday).
 

BASON

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I am adding a small play on Hoffenheim +.5 -125. It is very tough to bet against Leipzig, but I just have a feeling they are looking ahead to CL, so we may not get their best effort here.

Also jumping on Everton with Kid. Think they start to turn it around.
 
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BASON

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VR in Germany once again has my blood boiling this morning. Premier better be very careful about adding this as I think it has been an unmitigated disaster in Germany. Already big impact on 2 games today. Especially pissed when the ref gives a yellow and then replay turn it into a red. Not what replay should be for in my opinion.

Going to buy out my Leverkusen bet at half.
 

BASON

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I will never make another bet in a Spurs game as long as I live. Should have had a great day and then this shit team screws me once again. 1-1 at half, a red card and then shit play by both teams. Then a fucking hand ball at the end of the game not called. Can't tell you how much this game pissed me off. I hate everything about this team.

I am taking Arsenal +135 to end my soccer weekend as I move to football.
 

PittsburghKid

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Everton should Not be - against anyone with that said I?ll Bite

Everton 3.3* to win 3*
West brom pk 3* to win 2*
Man U +.5 5.1* to win 3*


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2 wins and a push

West ham +2.5 2* to win 2*


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PittsburghKid

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2 wins and a push

West ham +2.5 2* to win 2*


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West ham FH +1 2* to win 2.3*


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+50.2 with full game hammers pending .

I agree with Bason i cant stand video review in Soccer at all. I hate it in all sports actually but soccer is just awful. Ruining the game


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PittsburghKid

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+52.2* to second. Have some futures that will be completed as well soon with CL groups

December 10

Man U 5* to win 13*
Man U PK 10* to win 16*
Man U +.5 12* to win 10*

This is how I?ve felt for a few weeks and if i lose, i lose with the play i love




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PittsburghKid

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Champs league

Final day of group stage lots don?t like these games that hAve no meaning for some teams but I love them and think they are highly profitable

Chelsea only needs a point and atletico needing a miracle is an understatement. I see a draw here.

Atletico/Chelsea draw 2* to win 5*
Napoli -1 4.6* to win 2*
Napoli/feyennord over 3 2.8* to win 2*
Shakhtar 3* to win 3.9*
Shakhtar FH pk 4.2* to win 3*
Shakhtar 15* to win 10*
Sevilla FH 5.4* to win 3*
Sevilla -1.5 5.7* to win 3*
Liverpool FH 4.5* to win 3*
Sporting Lisbon +1.5 2.9* to win 2*
Porto 3.8* to win 2*
Spurs FH 9.5* to win 5*
Real FH 3.3* to win 3*

Dortmund nothing to play for, they may get
Boat-raced but going with an early lead by real


I like leipzig in a meaningless game for besitkas but not sure a way to play it , don?t like the spread and ML super high

I?m with Bason I hate spurs team, last year i had same issues with that team burning me.. with that said they have to win group and can?t imagine them playing for just a tie




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PittsburghKid

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2 champion league group futures I like.

Liverpool wins group 16* to win 10* 2 out of last 3 at home and Maribor is next at home that?s 3 easy points.

Atletico to advance 4* to win 5* not as confident but against 2 our of 3 at home.


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Liverpool can wrap this up this week , atletico is a loser I?ll add to record for both after this week
 

BASON

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Posting all of CL as I am away the next few days. Looks like Kid beat me to it, so will only post complementary or different plays.

Tuesday

Basel+140 - Benfica is finished and I see no motivation for them in this game. They have been a great play against team. Basel has everything to play for. A win and they are in. I expect them to be very motivated against a team that has to focus on the League. Great price for this situation.

Bayern +150 - Full strength I think PSG is the better team. However, they have little to play for here and there seems to be some rumblings of discontent on the team after the weekends loss. Would not be surprised to see a couple line up changes here. I see this as a pride game for Bayern. They were beaten handily 3-0 in Paris so they will want to win this game.

Celtic -110 - At home against a team they beat 3-0 and they can advance to Euro. Sounds like a good spot to me.


Wednesday

Porto -1.5 -110 - Monaco has been a great play against all of CL and now they have to travel to Portugal to play a team that has to win to advance. I think this is a 3-0 game.

Napoli -1.5 -110 - Must win game for them against a poor side. They have to hope City comes to play but they can not leave any doubt.

Shakhtar Pk -130- Totally agree with Kid here. They only need a draw to advance and City has no motivation for this game especially with the Manchester Derby on deck. I will play the pick to protect against the draw.

Liverpool Ov 3 -135 - They have to win as they have to assume Sevilla beats Maribor. Spartak also have to be aggressive if they have any chance so there should be plenty of goals in this game.


Kid, I agree on Leipzig. They are focused on this game. Initially I thought the play was the Over, but now I think it is Leipzig FH -135. Leipzig will be very aggressive to start so they can get the early lead and hopefully get Besiktas to lose interest in the game. Besiktas has made me a lot of money this round so I am a little hesitant to play against them. If Porto game goes as I think it could be over at halftime which could dampen Leipzig's motivation in the second half.

Dortmund is in really bad shape right now. They got lucky this weekend with a really bad red card for Leverkusen and still only got the draw. Real is not in great form either but I expect them to win this game.

Man U is tempting but the look ahead has me thinking they do not put forth their best effort either.

Should be a fun couple of days to watch. Once I get back I will start to focus on the world cup draw and post some initial thoughts. I know it is very, very early, but I start mapping games out the beginning of the year to get a feel for how the tournament may go. This has proven to be very successful for me. If you can successfully predict the opening rounds of the tournament you can clean up. Last world cup was wide open with high scoring games while the previous one was a draw and under dream, so I like to try to get a feel how this one will go based on the groups. I will probably start a World Cup thread for all of that so I don't clutter this one up even more.
 

PittsburghKid

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Soccer 2017 August-December

Hey Bason just wondering if anything I played you have a different feel or opinion on? Not often but sometimes I hear something that makes me go hmm and i buy out of possible.. I think you helped me once before . I?m not one that cares if you post something that?s opposite or opinion on a game that differs I like that and feel all info and opinions can be valuable

God bless you thinking of World Cup already lol I couldn?t anytime soon haha


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PittsburghKid

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I do like Celtic now that you brought it up, i didnt realize they were home.. if I do play it I?ll post


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BASON

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There is nothing that I really disagree with, for the most part we are on the same page. There are a couple I just decided were not worth a bet.

No way I am betting Spurs as I mentioned before.

Went back and forth on the Chelsea game. Atletico has been very hard to figure this year. They keep pulling draws out of their ass. At first I like the over since I think Atletico has to be more offensive in this game, but in the end I just do not trust them so I decided to lay off.

While I do not trust Barca right now, I do not like betting against them at home. Sporting has a very long shot to advance so thinking they may open up a little too much which could lead to a couple easy Barca goals late in the game.

Real is hard to gauge right now also and Dortmund is a mess, so this is one I just decided to lay off.

I am trying to limit the plays I post to the ones I like best. I will likely play some more games especially some FH's (like Leipzig) that I don't usually post. I also tend to play some halftimes but I do not like posting those since many are plays simply based on the bets I have pending and are not relevant to everyone, plus its difficult from a timing perspective.
 

PittsburghKid

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Not a bad day. 1-1 tie in chelsea game was nice. Stoppage time own goal against sporting sucked. Would of been nice to get both. Big day ahead tomorrow


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PittsburghKid

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Shakhtar line has went opposite since i bet it . Shrug. I?m standing firm with them but wish i had the 3 way line at the new +170 vs +130. pk down to even.. i just don?t see why City would play anyone if meaning in this game.. they can gain absolutely nothing from it


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BASON

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Up to +195 now. That kind of move has scared me off this game. I am also backing off Napoli and sticking more to the games I really like. Sorry had some time this morning before my travel so I am making those changes. Should have laid off Celtic yesterday but good + winners with Basel and Bayern.

I am definitely taking Leipzig in the FH at -130.

Liverpool over is now at 3.5 but I still like it.

No time to adjust previous post. Today I am playing

Leipzig FH
Liverpool Over
Porto -1.5
 

PittsburghKid

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I?m not real happy about the move either especially with the price I got but i an staying the course and hoping my initial instincts are good


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