St Jude Classic

[DOGS THAT BARK]

3rd rd
Price -120 over Allenby @ $plays
Hate to throw By's from Aussie in any equation but will look as Price much the better of the 2

Petrovic +105 over Mattiace (-1/2 stroke) @ Wsex
Mattiace horrendous 3rd rd sco ave (167th)
Petrovic very steady with only 1 bogie each rd.

Haas -105 over Gossett (- 1/2 stroke) @ 5 Dimes
5 Dimes getting into the 1/2 stroke picture--and like these odds much better than 365's -138 on Haas @ ties lose which is the same.
Haas ranks in top 15 in scor ave on tour (10th 3rd rd) and Gossett
ranks 94th on tour. Haas has 1.5+ scor adv 3rd rd. Will side with the old timer

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

oops bout forgot at the cut update 72 holes 1-0
Roberts/Baird win
Petrovic/Austin no play austin did not start
pending
Gamez/Kuchar 1 down
Petrovic/mattiace all square
Trip/Huston 4 down

Outrights Petrovic hanging in Gamez waaaay back.

Huston big surprise as usually not much outside fla.

 

[Another Steve]

3RD Round Play

3RD Round Play

Len Mattiace OV/Tim Herron -1.15

Gut play for Len. Both Lumpy and Len have been consistant this year, just have a feeling about the 3RD Round. Len by one.

 

[Another Steve]

I'm having stomach problems.

Lump shows up and Len just plays for another check.

 

[sports student]

4th round (pinnacle)

Haas -116 over Huston

can't see Huston coming back strong after almost imploding yesterday. Haas also has better 4th round avg.

 

[sports student]

4th round (bet365)

K Sutherland -1/2 -125 over Magee

Good luck today everybody!

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

3rd rd results
Price/Allenby win
Haas/Gossett win
Petro/Mattiace loss

Will fade Janzen in this final rd. Do not like to put self in jepordy from no lose possibily to a possible loss for tourney with double fade on against one player but I like these #'s
Herron +115 over Janzen (-1/2 stroke) @ WESX
Tripp -110 over Janzen @ $plays

Janzen ranks 140th in final rd scor ave--a full 2 strokes difference over his before the cut and 3rd rd averages. His score so far has been aided by 3 eagles and has as many bogies or worse than Tripp and Herron combined. While ole Murph always lurks I think the stats side heavily.

 

[Stanley]

3rd round update: 0-3-0; -3.53 units

Sutherland/Begay LOST by 3
Bates/Kuehne LOST by 1
Williamson/McCarron LOST by 3

4th round plays (1 unit):

Stephen Ames to beat Robert Damron +100 @ Five Dimes
Joel Edwards to beat Hank Kuehne -113 @ Five Dimes
Thomas Levet to beat Jose Coceres -127 @ Five Dimes

 

[lostinamerica]

Sunday Matchups for 1* @ 5 dimes:

Crane(-115) over Riley
Gossett(-126) over Peoples
Marsh(-117) over L. Wadkins

GL

 

[Another Steve]

David Toms OV/Nick Price-1.05

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

finals 72 holes 2-1 4th rd 0-1-1
72 holes
Gamez/Kutcher loss
Petro/Mattiace win
Tripp/Huston win
4th rd
Herron/Janzen loss
Trip/Janzen win

outrights Gamez and Petro non contenders

outrights week - 2units ytd +29.8

Matches week 6-3-1 ytd 171-111
units week +2.89 ytd +53.20

 

[Another Steve]

2ND Best Final Round

2ND Best Final Round

Unlucky I had Toms over Price.

 

[Stanley]

4th round update: 0-2-1; -2.40 units

Ames/Damron TIED (Push)
Edwards/Kuehne LOST by 9
Levet/Coceres LOST by 3

Final update:

Matchups: 1-1-0; -0.25 units

Janzen/Begay WON by 5
Gamez/Kuchar LOST by 12

18-holes: 0-6-1; -9.47 units

Outrights: 1-2; -0.75 units

Price 2nd
Haas 9th
Petrovic 40th

What a week! So close with Price who had two storming rounds over the weekend, but faltered at the close on both of them and it proved to be costly. It meant that I picked a top-3 player in each of this week's four events, but still made a loss on all outright plays because none of them finished 1st. I went 17-7-0 in matchups with one loss due to 'ties lose' at SkyBet for a whacking 29-unit profit, but gave back 25 of those units on 18-hole plays! Geez! What a week!

PGA Tour ytd
Matchups: 97-55; +33.58 units
18-holes: 87-88; -23.01 units
Outrights: 21-64; +45.47 units

All Tours ytd
Matchups: 232-163; +71.06 units
18-holes: 179-165; -11.26 units
Outrights: 54-197; +2.56 units

 

[smoothie]

Duplicate Post

Duplicate Post

. . .

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

You are correct Smoothie. It should have read push. I graded it correctly as a tie in the tabulation but errantly wrote win instead of push. It felt like a win when Janzen spit the bit in the end to allow push

email in profile in website.