Stanford St Jude Championship
- Thread starter PGS
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- Jul 6, 2008
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woah :shrug:
Having a hard time funding a book right now.. Help us Obama!!
Cashed out too much, thinking i would rebuild it like always, then went cold. :142smilie
Having a hard time funding a book right now.. Help us Obama!!
Cashed out too much, thinking i would rebuild it like always, then went cold. :142smilie
- Jul 6, 2008
- 3,219
- 3
- 0
One swing put a temporary halt to Boo Weekley's season on the PGA Tour.
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Weekley, a Milton High graduate, hit an approach shot on the No. 4 hole during the final round of The Players Championship on May 11 near Jacksonville. The swing sent a shot of pain through his left shoulder. He withdrew seven holes later.
Weekley, who hasn't played a competitive round since, visited acclaimed sports surgeon Dr. James Andrews at the Andrews Institute in Gulf Breeze last Friday and was diagnosed with a tear in his left shoulder. The good news is that Weekley will not require surgery.
"I think the shoulder injury has been with me for a while," said Weekley, who entered the final round of The Players Championship tied for 17th. "But when I hit that shot on No. 4, I stuck (the club) into the ground, and that's where it got worse."
His injury is termed a SLAP tear ? short for the superior labrum from anterior to posterior. It is a common injury in golf and baseball.
"The labrum is the tissue that holds the arm bone in the shoulder socket," said Dr. Josh Hackel, director of primary care sports medicine at the Andrews Institute. "With athletes ? especially golfers or throwers ? it sustains repeated use and abuse, and it can tear."
Andrews suggested that Weekley forgo surgery and rehab the shoulder instead, which will get him back on the PGA Tour in two weeks. Weekley has been working at the Andrews Institute since Monday and will continue to do so next week.
Hackel said recovery from a SLAP tear could range from weeks to months. While Weekley has cut down on his normal practice regimen since the injury, he is back to playing golf regularly.
"I'm feeling better already since I've started (rehab)," Weekley said. "I'm able to stretch it out a little bit and get some more motion in there."
Although Weekley "has broken plenty of bones" before, this is his first substantial injury since becoming a full-time member of the PGA Tour. He will need to continue rehab at home and at tournament sites for the rest of the season.
"If I don't do the rehab right, I might need (surgery) next year," Weekley said. "It should be good enough to at least get me through this winter. I'll be doing whatever Dr. Andrews wants me to do, I can tell you that."
Weekley already planned to take two weeks off following the Players Championship. But he was slated to return for this week's Crowne Plaza Invitation at Colonial, which he will now miss.
The timing of the injury did Weekley no favors. Even with a completed, ho-hum final round at the Players Championship, Weekley would have had his fourth straight top-15 finish and the corresponding six-figure paycheck.
But if everything goes according to plan, he'll be back in the mix in two weeks.
"I wanted to be back for the Memorial, but I'm just not golf ready. It would be kind of a confidence dinger," Weekley said. "My shoulder is a little fatigued. But every day it's getting better."
- Jul 6, 2008
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- 3
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The St Jude Classic for June 11th to June 14th.
The St Jude Classic for June 11th to June 14th.
Outrights to Win the Whole Tournament (Thursday - Sunday) :
3.0 Units : David Toms to Win @ 15 : 1.
Finished second to Brian Gay.
2.0 Units : Tim Clark to Win @ 20 : 1.
.
The St Jude Classic for June 11th to June 14th.
Outrights to Win the Whole Tournament (Thursday - Sunday) :
3.0 Units : David Toms to Win @ 15 : 1.
Finished second to Brian Gay.
2.0 Units : Tim Clark to Win @ 20 : 1.
.
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The St Jude Classic for June 11th to June 14th.
The St Jude Classic for June 11th to June 14th.
Whole Tournament Matchups for 72 holes for Thursday thru Sunday :
Seven Units :
David Toms over Padraig Harrington @ - 145. WON (BY 11) ON CUT! Harrington cut.
Four Units :
Sergio Garcia over Henrik Stenson @ - 130. Won by 5 on cut. Both cut.
Aaron Baddeley over Anders Romero @ - 135. Lost by 6 on cut. Both cut.
Three Units :
Scott Verplank over Ben Crane @ - 125. Lost by 8.
Jason Dufner over Marc Leishman @ - 125. Won by 7.
John Senden over Graeme McDowell @ - 125. Won by 1.
Charles Howell III over Andres Romero @ - 130. Lost by 1 on cut. Both cut.
Wish I could have played this one out.
Tim Clark over Henrik Stenson @ - 130. Won (by 11) on cut. Stenson cut.
Two Units :
Dean Wilson over Michael Letzig @ + 140. Lost (by 5) on cut. Wilson cut.
Stephen Ames over Robert Allenby @ - 105. Lost (by 13) on cut. Ames cut.
Ted Purdy over Will MacKenzie @ - 110. Won by 2 on cut. Both cut.
David Toms over Justin Leonard @ - 110. Won (by 12) on cut. Leonard cut.
Tim Clark over Camilo Villegas @ - 115. Push. Blew a 4 stroke margin.
Bob Estes over Tim Herron @ - 130. Won by 9.
One Unit :
Carl Pettersson over Chris DiMarco @ + 120. Lost (by 12) on cut. Pettersson cut.
Scott Verplank over Robert Allenby @ - 105. Lost by 13.
Brian Gay over Stephen Ames @ - 110. Won (by 14) on cut. Ames cut.
Brian Gay over Woody Austin @ - 115. Won by 8.
Woody Austin over Boo Weekley @ - 120. Won (by 8) on cut. Weekley cut.
John Senden over Ben Crane @ - 120. Won by 5.
Fredrik Jacobson over Tim Herron @ - 125. Won by 7.
** Note : First Seven unit play of the year so I'm listing it early.
There has only been one six unit play and a handful of five unit plays.
Most plays are just four, three, two, or one unit plays.
.
The St Jude Classic for June 11th to June 14th.
Whole Tournament Matchups for 72 holes for Thursday thru Sunday :
Seven Units :
David Toms over Padraig Harrington @ - 145. WON (BY 11) ON CUT! Harrington cut.
Four Units :
Sergio Garcia over Henrik Stenson @ - 130. Won by 5 on cut. Both cut.
Aaron Baddeley over Anders Romero @ - 135. Lost by 6 on cut. Both cut.
Three Units :
Scott Verplank over Ben Crane @ - 125. Lost by 8.
Jason Dufner over Marc Leishman @ - 125. Won by 7.
John Senden over Graeme McDowell @ - 125. Won by 1.
Charles Howell III over Andres Romero @ - 130. Lost by 1 on cut. Both cut.
Wish I could have played this one out.
Tim Clark over Henrik Stenson @ - 130. Won (by 11) on cut. Stenson cut.
Two Units :
Dean Wilson over Michael Letzig @ + 140. Lost (by 5) on cut. Wilson cut.
Stephen Ames over Robert Allenby @ - 105. Lost (by 13) on cut. Ames cut.
Ted Purdy over Will MacKenzie @ - 110. Won by 2 on cut. Both cut.
David Toms over Justin Leonard @ - 110. Won (by 12) on cut. Leonard cut.
Tim Clark over Camilo Villegas @ - 115. Push. Blew a 4 stroke margin.
Bob Estes over Tim Herron @ - 130. Won by 9.
One Unit :
Carl Pettersson over Chris DiMarco @ + 120. Lost (by 12) on cut. Pettersson cut.
Scott Verplank over Robert Allenby @ - 105. Lost by 13.
Brian Gay over Stephen Ames @ - 110. Won (by 14) on cut. Ames cut.
Brian Gay over Woody Austin @ - 115. Won by 8.
Woody Austin over Boo Weekley @ - 120. Won (by 8) on cut. Weekley cut.
John Senden over Ben Crane @ - 120. Won by 5.
Fredrik Jacobson over Tim Herron @ - 125. Won by 7.
** Note : First Seven unit play of the year so I'm listing it early.
There has only been one six unit play and a handful of five unit plays.
Most plays are just four, three, two, or one unit plays.
.
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Both
Both
For me to like a play this much, it has to be BOTH "pro" Toms AND "anti" Harrington, PLUS value in the line. However, first off, keep in mind, Stanley, Another Steve, DTulips, AK, c2, TJ and many others are far better golf cappers than myself. I've done OK on my three units and above but I play alot of "action" plays for one and sometimes two units more for fun and VERY minimal amounts.
Initially I have to have value in the line. I almost never play a three unit or above unless I have some "Value". At - 145, I seemed to be getting a favorable line comparatively. In fact, I checked this line an hour later, and it was bumped up by the minimum amount to - 150. Certainly I'm too small of a player to effect it but it gave me confidence. Also, I felt it was a line that was going to go up as Toms has been bet the past month and Harrington has been faded at books in the past month. That is why I listed it early, which is very unlike me. My suspicions were confirmed as another book I monitor bumped it up while another did stay status quo.
In addition, my six unit play and most of my five unit plays were underdogs that I certainly thought should be favored. Thus value in the line and that's what I look for. However, this one is a favorite that I think is undervalued and certainly should win.
As far as "pro" Toms, it's easy. He won the St Judes back to back in '03 and '04 and nearly tripled when he finished second to Leonard in '05. He also has a third and fourth here so certainly this appears to be his favorite and most successful event. He is in good form with three rounds in the 60's last week as well as two top ten finishes in his last five events and six top tens for the year. Most importantly, this course requires driving accuracy. Well, David Toms ranks #1 on the tour in driving accuracy!!! He follows that up with being 18th in putting per hole. All "pro" Toms.
For "anti" Harrington, this one I'm finally catching onto. I've actually been playing on Padraig more so than not and it has been costing me. I kept thinking he was going to revert back to his majors form from last year and it just hasn't happened. Time for me to change my opinion and realize his recent struggles. He has missed the cut in two of his last three and was 49th in the other one so his current form is awful! He's also missed two other cuts this year and doesn't have a top ten finish on the PGA tour in 2009. The best was 11th at Bay Hill. So certainly nothing at all like last year. Then to complete the cycle, I discussed the importance of hitting straight and Padraig is 168th in driving accuracy and follows that up with being 140th in putting per hole on the PGA tour. All "anti" Harrington.
Now all that form and stats needs to transpire on the course. On paper, it appears to be a mismatch to me. On the course, well that's why we play the game. Good luck.
Both
For me to like a play this much, it has to be BOTH "pro" Toms AND "anti" Harrington, PLUS value in the line. However, first off, keep in mind, Stanley, Another Steve, DTulips, AK, c2, TJ and many others are far better golf cappers than myself. I've done OK on my three units and above but I play alot of "action" plays for one and sometimes two units more for fun and VERY minimal amounts.
Initially I have to have value in the line. I almost never play a three unit or above unless I have some "Value". At - 145, I seemed to be getting a favorable line comparatively. In fact, I checked this line an hour later, and it was bumped up by the minimum amount to - 150. Certainly I'm too small of a player to effect it but it gave me confidence. Also, I felt it was a line that was going to go up as Toms has been bet the past month and Harrington has been faded at books in the past month. That is why I listed it early, which is very unlike me. My suspicions were confirmed as another book I monitor bumped it up while another did stay status quo.
In addition, my six unit play and most of my five unit plays were underdogs that I certainly thought should be favored. Thus value in the line and that's what I look for. However, this one is a favorite that I think is undervalued and certainly should win.
As far as "pro" Toms, it's easy. He won the St Judes back to back in '03 and '04 and nearly tripled when he finished second to Leonard in '05. He also has a third and fourth here so certainly this appears to be his favorite and most successful event. He is in good form with three rounds in the 60's last week as well as two top ten finishes in his last five events and six top tens for the year. Most importantly, this course requires driving accuracy. Well, David Toms ranks #1 on the tour in driving accuracy!!! He follows that up with being 18th in putting per hole. All "pro" Toms.
For "anti" Harrington, this one I'm finally catching onto. I've actually been playing on Padraig more so than not and it has been costing me. I kept thinking he was going to revert back to his majors form from last year and it just hasn't happened. Time for me to change my opinion and realize his recent struggles. He has missed the cut in two of his last three and was 49th in the other one so his current form is awful! He's also missed two other cuts this year and doesn't have a top ten finish on the PGA tour in 2009. The best was 11th at Bay Hill. So certainly nothing at all like last year. Then to complete the cycle, I discussed the importance of hitting straight and Padraig is 168th in driving accuracy and follows that up with being 140th in putting per hole on the PGA tour. All "anti" Harrington.
Now all that form and stats needs to transpire on the course. On paper, it appears to be a mismatch to me. On the course, well that's why we play the game. Good luck.
Robert Allenby 30-1 Win, 15-1 Place, 7 1/2 Show
Scott Verplank 40-1 Win, 20-1 Place, 10-1 Show
Brian Gay 40-1 Win, 20-1 Place, 10-1 Show
John Senden 50-1 Win, 25-1 Place, 12 1/2 Show
Jason Day 60-1 Win, 30-1 Place, 15-1 Show
Best of luck to all of you!
Scott Verplank 40-1 Win, 20-1 Place, 10-1 Show
Brian Gay 40-1 Win, 20-1 Place, 10-1 Show
John Senden 50-1 Win, 25-1 Place, 12 1/2 Show
Jason Day 60-1 Win, 30-1 Place, 15-1 Show
Best of luck to all of you!
1 play at CRIS ...
S Garcia EV vs P Mickelson ...
had a bunch of other leans but the prices are more than accounted for, such as ...
Toms over Harrington
Letzig over D Wilson
Dimarco over Pettersson
R S Johnson over Snedeker
Leonard over Goosen ...
just did the Garcia play for now
gl
S Garcia EV vs P Mickelson ...
had a bunch of other leans but the prices are more than accounted for, such as ...
Toms over Harrington
Letzig over D Wilson
Dimarco over Pettersson
R S Johnson over Snedeker
Leonard over Goosen ...
just did the Garcia play for now
gl
Chip---That was an excellant write-up. Very sound reasoning.
I see this Memphis Open deal as a tossup between Leonard and Toms. I could give tons of reasons for betting on either one. I believe Lefty himself is here for practice and not an intentional threat to win. He might, but it will be by accident. Leonard and Toms, Toms and Leonard, ok let me pick one. I pick Toms, but I bet on Dean Wilson, for the exact reasons Chip went into---value.
D. Wilson to win 111.00 sia
72 hole match-up, my book had 5 or 6 choices, I have got to get more outs. I wanted Toms over Pod very badly, but noooo, mine had Goosen and Pod matched up. So I reluctantly wagered on---
T Clark over Villegas -110
Because I had Clark as a finalist, of 5 or 6, for the win, and Villegas hasn't seemed to click on yet this year. I'm not a huge Clark fan, but he has shown signs of life, so far.
I see this Memphis Open deal as a tossup between Leonard and Toms. I could give tons of reasons for betting on either one. I believe Lefty himself is here for practice and not an intentional threat to win. He might, but it will be by accident. Leonard and Toms, Toms and Leonard, ok let me pick one. I pick Toms, but I bet on Dean Wilson, for the exact reasons Chip went into---value.
D. Wilson to win 111.00 sia
72 hole match-up, my book had 5 or 6 choices, I have got to get more outs. I wanted Toms over Pod very badly, but noooo, mine had Goosen and Pod matched up. So I reluctantly wagered on---
T Clark over Villegas -110
Because I had Clark as a finalist, of 5 or 6, for the win, and Villegas hasn't seemed to click on yet this year. I'm not a huge Clark fan, but he has shown signs of life, so far.
- Jul 6, 2008
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sorry for no writeups..
but if you guys google brandt and boo u will see why these are good fades. Or you can go to rotoworld and my buddy in his previews mentioned this morning the same thing :toast:
but if you guys google brandt and boo u will see why these are good fades. Or you can go to rotoworld and my buddy in his previews mentioned this morning the same thing :toast:
Fading Boo as well.......
Woody Austin -120 over Boo
Phil has no intentions on winning this thing, I made the mistake of backing him before a Us Open a few years back. hell id be surprised if he made the cut this wk.. specially after seeing him doing us open prep at bethpage earlier this week.
Woody Austin -120 over Boo
Phil has no intentions on winning this thing, I made the mistake of backing him before a Us Open a few years back. hell id be surprised if he made the cut this wk.. specially after seeing him doing us open prep at bethpage earlier this week.
Outrights To Win
ODDS TO WIN ST JUDE CLASSIC BOB ESTES +6000
ODDS TO WIN ST JUDE CLASSIC SERGIO GARCIA +1600
ODDS TO WIN ST JUDE CLASSIC DAVID TOMS +1400
1st Round Match Ups
B GAY -135 (B GAY vrs C HOWELL III)
JM OLAZABAL -135 (JM OLAZABAL vrs S LEANEY)
S MICHEEL -135 (S MICHEEL vrs S LOWERY)
4 Round Match Ups
J LEONARD -105 (P MICKELSON vrs J LEONARD)
B GAY -110 (S AMES vrs B GAY)
B ESTES -135 (B ESTES vrs T HERRON)
ODDS TO WIN ST JUDE CLASSIC BOB ESTES +6000
ODDS TO WIN ST JUDE CLASSIC SERGIO GARCIA +1600
ODDS TO WIN ST JUDE CLASSIC DAVID TOMS +1400
1st Round Match Ups
B GAY -135 (B GAY vrs C HOWELL III)
JM OLAZABAL -135 (JM OLAZABAL vrs S LEANEY)
S MICHEEL -135 (S MICHEEL vrs S LOWERY)
4 Round Match Ups
J LEONARD -105 (P MICKELSON vrs J LEONARD)
B GAY -110 (S AMES vrs B GAY)
B ESTES -135 (B ESTES vrs T HERRON)
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Round 1 plays (1pt):
Tim Clark to beat Henrik Stenson -125 @ FiveDimes
Opposing Stenson who has been very hit-and-miss this year. He followed two top-3s in the Middle East with a first round exit in the World Matchplay and finished virtually last in his next event; he then finished 3rd in the Houston Open, but then was nowhere in his next two events before winning the Players Championship. Since then, he has played in two European Tour events and missed the cut badly both times. The week before a Major, he's far more likely to have another 'miss' particularly with no previous course experience. Clark, by contrast, has been extremely consistent this year and held the lead after 54 holes last year on this course.
Sergio Garcia to beat Henrik Stenson -120 @ Carib [available generally]
Garcia has also been much more consistent and having finished one shot out of the playoff last year, he looks to be a better value bet this week (and next).
Jeff Overton to beat James Nitties +100 @ Stan James [tie loses]
Backing Overton for a good week, particularly as he is not using this event as a tune-up for next week. Experience tends to fare better than youth on this course, but he has still managed to make every cut in three attempts, including a top-10 finish two years ago. He has been playing well recently and if the conditions are wet, as expected, he should not struggle ... the last time that he played an opening round in the rain (2008 Turning Stone Resort Championship), he held the lead at the end of the day.
Jeff Overton to beat Ted Purdy -115 @ Carib
With equivalent current form, this play is based on the forecasted weather conditions and course form. Purdy returned to this event two years ago for the first since 2004, but has fared very badly: his average score over the last two years here is 78.3; and the last time that he opened an event in wet conditions was also at the 2008 Turning Stone Resort Championship ... he finished the day 11 shots behind Overton.
Jeff Overton to beat Jerry Kelly -120 @ Bet365
Opposing Kelly who has played in this event just six times and with good reason: he has finished inside the top-70 just once. He may have shot the lower first round score last week, but that was the first time in eight common events and is unlikely to happen again on this course.
Tim Clark to beat Henrik Stenson -125 @ FiveDimes
Opposing Stenson who has been very hit-and-miss this year. He followed two top-3s in the Middle East with a first round exit in the World Matchplay and finished virtually last in his next event; he then finished 3rd in the Houston Open, but then was nowhere in his next two events before winning the Players Championship. Since then, he has played in two European Tour events and missed the cut badly both times. The week before a Major, he's far more likely to have another 'miss' particularly with no previous course experience. Clark, by contrast, has been extremely consistent this year and held the lead after 54 holes last year on this course.
Sergio Garcia to beat Henrik Stenson -120 @ Carib [available generally]
Garcia has also been much more consistent and having finished one shot out of the playoff last year, he looks to be a better value bet this week (and next).
Jeff Overton to beat James Nitties +100 @ Stan James [tie loses]
Backing Overton for a good week, particularly as he is not using this event as a tune-up for next week. Experience tends to fare better than youth on this course, but he has still managed to make every cut in three attempts, including a top-10 finish two years ago. He has been playing well recently and if the conditions are wet, as expected, he should not struggle ... the last time that he played an opening round in the rain (2008 Turning Stone Resort Championship), he held the lead at the end of the day.
Jeff Overton to beat Ted Purdy -115 @ Carib
With equivalent current form, this play is based on the forecasted weather conditions and course form. Purdy returned to this event two years ago for the first since 2004, but has fared very badly: his average score over the last two years here is 78.3; and the last time that he opened an event in wet conditions was also at the 2008 Turning Stone Resort Championship ... he finished the day 11 shots behind Overton.
Jeff Overton to beat Jerry Kelly -120 @ Bet365
Opposing Kelly who has played in this event just six times and with good reason: he has finished inside the top-70 just once. He may have shot the lower first round score last week, but that was the first time in eight common events and is unlikely to happen again on this course.
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