Statistical Correct Score Betting for Football / Soccer - simplified now

[lovekamina]

Updating Odds, Adding first Results

Just Odds for belgium games this evening are not rdy yet.

European systems:

Bet: Over 2,5 --- Bordeaux - Lille --- 4 units --- odd 2.28 (not 2.32, was not fully matched as I thought) --- result:
Bet: 2-1 --- Bordeaux - Lille --- 0,75 units --- odd 10.0--- result:
Bet: 2-0 --- Groningen - Krekrade --- 1 unit --- odd 10.5 --- result:
Bet: 2-0 --- Djurgardens - Helsingborg --- 1,5 units --- odd 17.5 --- result:
Bet: 2-0 --- AC milan - Napoli --- 1,5 units units --- odd 8.8 --- result:
Bet: 1-0 + 2-0 + 2-1 --- Roeselare - Westerloo --- 0,75 + 0,75 + 0,75 units --- odds --- result:
Bet: 1-0 + 2-0 + 2-1 --- Genk - Kortrijk --- 0,75 + 0,75 + 0,75 units --- odds --- result:
- 20 Bet: 0-0 --- koge - aalborg - --- 2 units --- odd 13.0 --- result:
Bet: 0-0 --- sandefjord - molde --- 1 unit --- odd 14.0 --- result:
Bet: 0-0 --- kongsvinger - odd grenland --- 1 unit --- odd 14.0 --- result:
Bet: 0-0 --- haugesund - stromsgodset --- 1 unit --- odd 13.0 --- result:
- 10 Bet: 0-0 --- 1860 vs frankfurt --- 1 unit --- odd 12 --- result:
Bet: 0-0 --- xanthi - tripolis --- 1,5 unit --- odd 8.8 --- result:
Bet: 0-0 --- Atalanta Bergamo - Livorno --- 1 unit --- odd 9.2 --- result:

Picks based on league specific systems:

Bet: 1-1 + 2-1 --- Koge - Aalborg --- 1 + 0.5 units --- odds 8.6 + 23.0 --- result:
Bet: 1-1 + 2-1 --- Nordsj?lland - Esbjerg --- 1 + 1 units --- odds 7.4 + 11.5 --- result:
Bet: 1-1 + 2-1 --- Odense - Aarhus (OB vs AGF) --- 1 + 1 units --- odds 10.0 + 11.0 --- result:
Bet: 2-0 + 0-0 --- Fulham - Man City --- 1 + 1 units --- odds 20 + 10.5--- result:
Bet: 0-0 --- Oberhausen - Karlsruhe --- 1,5 units --- odd 11.0 --- result:
Bet: 0-0 --- Zurich - Bellinzona --- 0,5 units --- odd 24.0 --- result:
Bet: 0-0 --- Leicester - Coventry --- 1 unit --- odd 11 --- result:

0-0 Half Time System:

- 40 Bet: 0-0 Halftime --- koge - aalborg - --- 4 units --- odd 3.25--- result: loss
Bet: 0-0 Halftime --- sandefjord - molde --- 2 units --- odd 3.15 --- result: --- shortened down from 3 to 2 units
- 20 Bet: 0-0 Halftime --- 1860 vs frankfurt --- 2 units --- odd 3.05 --- result: 1-0
Bet: 0-0 Halftime --- xanthi - tripolis --- 3 units --- odd 2.70--- result:
Bet: 0-0 Halftime --- Atalanta Bergamo - Livorno --- 2 units --- odd 2.68 --- result:
Bet: 0-0 Halftime --- Fulham - Man City --- 2 units --- odd 2.90 --- result:
+ 58.43 Bet: 0-0 Halftime --- Oberhausen - Karlsruhe --- 3 units --- odd 3.05 --- result: 0-0
Bet: 0-0 Halftime --- Leicester - Coventry --- 2 units --- odd 2.92 --- result:

 

[jng]

Thanks. I find it fascinating and will finally use it. Playing the Bordeaux over for a nice sum.

J

 

[jng]

Thanks! 3-1 final.

J

 

[flapjack]

I'm intreaged. I just gotta set aside an hour to figure out what all this means!

 

[kickserv]

3y minus value of pie multiplied by the square route of a rhombus divided by infinity

:SIB

 

[lovekamina]

yesterday was a losing day. details later.

i was away the whole day so i am too late for picks goteborg - hacken 1-0 today wih 1,5 units and brondy vs randers 1-1 & 2-1 each 1 unit.

but there is one pick starting in 30 minutes: angers vs caen 0-0 / 1-0 and 2-0 each 1 unit

 

[lovekamina]

European systems:

+ 48.64 Bet: Over 2,5 --- Bordeaux - Lille --- 4 units --- odd 2.28 (not 2.32, was not fully matched as I thought) --- result:
- 7.50 Bet: 2-1 --- Bordeaux - Lille --- 0,75 units --- odd 10.0--- result: 3-1
- 10 Bet: 2-0 --- Groningen - Krekrade --- 1 unit --- odd 10.5 --- result: 1-0
- 15 Bet: 2-0 --- Djurgardens - Helsingborg --- 1,5 units --- odd 17.5 --- result: 0-1
- 15 Bet: 2-0 --- AC milan - Napoli --- 1,5 units units --- odd 8.8 --- result: 1-1
- 22.50 Bet: 1-0 + 2-0 + 2-1 --- Roeselare - Westerloo --- 0,75 + 0,75 + 0,75 units --- odds ... --- result: 0-0
- 22.50 Bet: 1-0 + 2-0 + 2-1 --- Genk - Kortrijk --- 0,75 + 0,75 + 0,75 units --- odds ... --- result: 1-1
- 20 Bet: 0-0 --- koge - aalborg - --- 2 units --- odd 13.0 --- result: 0-3
- 10 Bet: 0-0 --- sandefjord - molde --- 1 unit --- odd 14.0 --- result: 3-1
- 10 Bet: 0-0 --- kongsvinger - odd grenland --- 1 unit --- odd 14.0 --- result: 1-2
- 10 Bet: 0-0 --- haugesund - stromsgodset --- 1 unit --- odd 13.0 --- result: 2-2
- 10 Bet: 0-0 --- 1860 vs frankfurt --- 1 unit --- odd 12 --- result: 2-1
- 15 Bet: 0-0 --- xanthi - tripolis --- 1,5 unit --- odd 8.8 --- result: 2-0
- 10 Bet: 0-0 --- Atalanta Bergamo - Livorno --- 1 unit --- odd 9.2 --- result: 3-0
- 30 Bet: 0-0 1-0 2-0 --- Angers vs Caen --- 1 + 1 + 1 unit --- ... --- result: 2-2

Total Risk: 247.50
Payout: 88.64
Profit: - 158.64

Picks based on league specific systems:

- 15 Bet: 1-1 + 2-1 --- Koge - Aalborg --- 1 + 0.5 units --- odds 8.6 + 23.0 --- result: 0-3
- 20 Bet: 1-1 + 2-1 --- Nordsj?lland - Esbjerg --- 1 + 1 units --- odds 7.4 + 11.5 --- result: 1-0
- 20 Bet: 1-1 + 2-1 --- Odense - Aarhus (OB vs AGF) --- 1 + 1 units --- odds 10.0 + 11.0 --- result: 2-0
- 20 Bet: 2-0 + 0-0 --- Fulham - Man City --- 1 + 1 units --- odds 20 + 10.5--- result: 1-2
- 15 Bet: 0-0 --- Oberhausen - Karlsruhe --- 1,5 units --- odd 11.0 --- result: 1-0
- 05 Bet: 0-0 --- Zurich - Bellinzona --- 0,5 units --- odd 24.0 --- result: 2-0
- 10 Bet: 0-0 --- Leicester - Coventry --- 1 unit --- odd 11 --- result: 2-2

Risk Total: 105
Payout: 0.00
Profit: - 105

0-0 Half Time System:

- 40 Bet: 0-0 Halftime --- koge - aalborg - --- 4 units --- odd 3.25--- result: 0-1
- 20 Bet: 0-0 Halftime --- sandefjord - molde --- 2 units --- odd 3.15 --- result: --- 0-1
- 20 Bet: 0-0 Halftime --- 1860 vs frankfurt --- 2 units --- odd 3.05 --- result: 1-0
+ 48.45 Bet: 0-0 Halftime --- xanthi - tripolis --- 3 units --- odd 2.70--- result: 0-0
- 20 Bet: 0-0 Halftime --- Atalanta Bergamo - Livorno --- 2 units --- odd 2.68 --- result: 1-0
- 20 Bet: 0-0 Halftime --- Fulham - Man City --- 2 units --- odd 2.90 --- result: 0-2
+ 58.43 Bet: 0-0 Halftime --- Oberhausen - Karlsruhe --- 3 units --- odd 3.05 --- result: 0-0
- 20 Bet: 0-0 Halftime --- Leicester - Coventry --- 2 units --- odd 2.92 --- result: 2-0

Total Risk: 200
Payout: 166.88
Profit: - 33.12

-----------------

New record:

European Picks (EP):
1170.00 ? risked
1532.50 ? payout
---
+ 362.50 ? after 5.0 % commision

League Specific Picks (LSP):
342.50 ? risked
375.99 ? payout
---
+ 32.49 ? after 5.0 % commision

0-0 Half Time Picks (0-0HT):
Total Risk: 365
Payout: 224.83
---
- 140.17 ? after 5.0 % commision --- This Half Time system test ends hear

 

[lovekamina]

Missed a couple of nice wins during the week because the data archive was not up to date and i was too lazy to fill in all results manually.

For today we have...

a few picks, but lets start with 2. Bundesliga:
0-0 --- FSV Frankfurt - Union Berlin --- 2 units @ 10.0

 

[lovekamina]

European systems:

Bet on Correct Score 1-0 + 0-0 --- Lechia Gdansk - Legia Warsaw with 1 + 1 units
Bet on Correct Score 1-0 + 0-0 --- Bastia - Sedan with 1 + 1 units

Picks based on league specific systems:

- 20 --- Bet on Correct Score 0-0 for the game FSV Frankfurt - Union Berlin with 2 units @ 10.0

Bet on Correct Score 2-1 for the game Nimes - Ajaccio with 1 unit
Bet on Correct Score 2-1 for the game Brest - Angers with 1 unit
Bet on Correct Score 2-1 for the game Laval - Nantes with 1 unit
Bet on Correct Score 2-1 for the game Metz - Chatearaux with 1 unit

Bet on Correct Score 2-0 + 2-1 for the game Vannes - Caen with 1 + 1 units

 

[lovekamina]

At a loosing streak atm... but I think it will stop today

European systems:

Bet on Over 2,5 at the game Leverkusen - Schalke with 4 unit(s) @ odds of 2.01 (Pinnacle) --- Result:
Bet on Over 2,5 at the game Dundee Utd - Motherwell with 4 unit(s) @ odds of --- Result:
Bet on Over 2,5 at the game Benfica - Sporting Braga with 4 unit(s) @ odds of 2.21 (Pinnacle) --- Result:

Bet on Score 2-1 at the game Leverkusen - Schalke with 1 unit @ odds of --- Result:
Bet on Score 2-1 at the game Benfica - Sporting Braga with 1 unit @ odds of --- Result:

Bet on Score 2-1 + 2-0 at the game Dundee Utd - Motherwell with 1 + 1 unit @ odds of --- Result:

Bet on Score 2-0 at the game Start Kristiansand - Molde with 1 unit @ odds of --- Result:
Bet on Score 2-0 at the game Hamilton - Johnstone with 1,5 unit(s) @ odds of --- Result:
Bet on Score 2-0 at the game Palermo - Bologna with 1,5 unit(s) @ odds of --- Result:
Bet on Score 2-0 at the game Bristol - Southend with 1,5 unit(s) @ odds of --- Result:

Bet on Score 0-0 at the game Coventry - Sheffield Wed with 1 unit @ odds of --- Result:
Bet on Score 0-0 at the game Macclesfield - Cheltenham with 2 unit(s) @ odds of --- Result:
Bet on Score 0-0 at the game Swansea - Ipswich with 0,5 unit(s) @ odds of --- Result:
Bet on Score 0-0 at the game Hull - Fulham with 1,5 unit(s) @ odds of --- Result:
Bet on Score 0-0 at the game West Ham - Stoke with 1,5 unit(s) @ odds of --- Result:
Bet on Score 0-0 at the game Aberdeen - St Mirren with 1 unit @ odds of --- Result:
Bet on Score 0-0 at the game Malaga - Teneriffe with 1 unit @ odds of --- Result:
Bet on Score 0-0 at the game Hannover - K?ln with 1 unit @ odds of --- Result:
Bet on Score 0-0 at the game Vitesse v Willem II with 1 unit @ odds of --- Result:
Bet on Score 0-0 at the game Polonia Warsaw - Arka Gdynia with 1 unit @ odds of --- Result:
Bet on Score 0-0 at the game Sion - Basel with 1 unit @ odds of --- Result:


League Specific

Bet on Score 2-0 at the game Crystal Palace - Cardiff City with 1 unit @ odds of --- Result:
Bet on Score 2-0 at the game Swansea - Ipwswich with 1 unit @ odds of --- Result:

Bet on Score 0-0 at the game Reading - West Brom with 1,5 unit(s) @ odds of --- Result:
Bet on Draw at the game Reading - West Brom with 1,5 unit(s) @ odds of --- Result:
Bet on Under 2,5 at the game Reading - West Brom with 2 unit(s) @ odds of --- Result:

Bet on Score 0-0 at the game Austria Wien (Vienna) - Wiener Neustadt with 1,5 unit(s) @ odds of --- Result:
Bet on Score 0-0 at the game Nordsj. - Aalborg with 1 unit @ odds of --- Result:
Bet on Score 0-0 at the game St Gallen - Zurich with 1 unit @ odds of --- Result: