Strong Sagarin Plays

Scott4USC

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IE2002 said:
i would say quit while your ahead judging from other 4-6 years.

hopefully you bet them and cashed nicely to bank ..



quote:

I wanted strong plays where his power ratings are different than vegas line.

end of quote:

won't happen over the long haul if you use his.....

Yes you might be right. But I put parameters on it. 1st it must be different by 5 or more pts from the vegas line. 2nd, it must be an UNDERDOG who Sagarin has winning OUTRIGHT!

That gives Sagarin the edge to beat Vegas. We see that he is 4-0 and 3/4 underdogs were outright winners WHICH he predicted! It makes logical sense. I find it very interesting and can't wait to track it the rest of the season. Thought others would too so I posted it and will continue posting it. Might not be any plays next week given the stingy parameters. :)
 
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IE

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been there, done that....and numerous other angles many times.



people like pete, ken, blue, jorgey....etc.... ... have 20 ratings that are better than jeff's garbage to open a number and ask the committee what a good number is to open with......

go ahead if you want and best of luck and hope your cash every bet....im not against you im just shooting caution yellow flags.
 

Scott4USC

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IE2002 said:
been there, done that....and numerous other angles many times.



people like pete, ken, blue, jorgey....etc.... ... have 20 ratings that are better than jeff's garbage to open a number and ask the committee what a good number is to open with......

go ahead if you want and best of luck and hope your cash every bet....im not against you im just shooting caution yellow flags.

I appreciate the yellow flags and I only wagered on TCU last week in this system and was small bet. I bet big AGAINST the system with New Mexico ML and lost! :( The system does excite me. Like I said, will be interesting to see how it plays out. It makes logical sense.

Who are pete, ken, blue, jorgey?
 

Bubba

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Scott I appriciate your youthful enthusiasm, but do you really think you are the first person to discover Sagarin or Massey? If it was that easy they wouldn't bother playing the games. I would use them but they are not the Golden Rule.
IE is an expert, I would listen closely to what he says.
Again, keep going. You have a lot going for you, you're very bright and enthusiastic. Just watch your bet units. Never let a bad day wipe you out.
 

Sun Tzu

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Comical...you use the numbers but ignore the home field he tells you to include?

I repeat, for what two years now, Sagarin is a joke. Following him for much of anything for any length of time is ridiculous.
 

IE

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ex?pert
n.
A person with a high degree of skill in or knowledge of a certain subject.



nope, thats not me...im still learning everyday with this gambling biz....and humbled just like most by big losses such as the hawaii game last night.
 

Scott4USC

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Sun Tzu said:
Comical...you use the numbers but ignore the home field he tells you to include?

That is right. But if you read my post carefully, you would know that if you factor in 3pts to the home team, worst case scenario your team is still 2pts better than vegas line. Remember, my parameter is 5pts or more from vegas #.

Sun Tzu said:
I repeat, for what two years now, Sagarin is a joke. Following him for much of anything for any length of time is ridiculous.

If he is a joke, then you should FADE him? Finding a system that picks consistent (55% or higher) winners or losers is a success. If he is ridiculous, that is great. Then you can fade him for $$$$! :)

I am a big fan of Sagarin. He makes logical sense in his calculations. I am trying to use his power ratings to my advantage. Therefore I tweaked it. So far it looks solid.
 
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