Sunday 3/9/08 Service plays

[the duke]

WINNINGPOINTS


***BEST BET
Philadelphia over *Milwaukee by 7

Unlike most teams, the 76ers usually can be counted on to give a full effort. The 76ers
recently ran the Magic out of the gym and can do the same to the Bucks. Milwaukee
has talent it just doesn?t jell much. The 76ers came into March having covered 12 of
their last 16. Samuel Dalembert can keep the Bucks from penetrating inside with his
shot-blocking. Aside from streaky Michael Redd, the Bucks don?t have a reliable
perimeter shooter

PHILADELPHIA 105-98





SPORTS REPORTER

BEST BET
*TEXAS over OKLAHOMA STATE by 26
Will rarely look to make this kind of big-favorite call, but the tealeaves are right. Cowboys
come in off blood-feud match against Oklahoma in Stillwater, and we?re going to presume
for the moment that Texas will have righted themselves midweek at home against Nebraska
before looking to close out their preliminaries with this appetizer. Too much sheer athleticism
for this foe, at this juncture.

TEXAS 85-59

 

[the duke]

Comps



Florida at KENTUCKY (-4') Sports Gambling Hotline
Winner on Saturday on Louisville plus the points, as the Cardinals just do stay inside the number. Our free play run now stands at 113-94-4 long-term.

Must win situation in Lexington today for both Florida, and Kentucky. While we think the price on this game is a little bloated on the host, we will nonetheless lay the wood with the Wildcats, as we are simply not impressed with Florida's efforts on the road this year.

The Gators are just 2-4 straight up their last 6 on the SEC road, and Billy Donovan's squad is currently on a 2-7 spread run overall their last 9 games, dropping their last pair, and 6 of their last 9 straight up.

Billy Gillispie's team is closing strong, as Kentucky has won 10 of their last 12 games, while covering in 9 of those 12.

Florida did take down Kentucky in overtime earlier this season in Gainsville, as the Gators have now won the last 7 series meetings against the Wildcats. Today we think the tide is going to turn.

Play on the 'Cats.

4♦ KENTUCKY



Michigan State (-2) at OHIO STATE Karl Garrett
,
At 24-6, the G-Man has to believe Michigan State is in the Big Dance. At 18-12, the G-Man has to believe Ohio State is in need of a few more wins to assure themselves a spot in the at-large pool.

The Buckeyes stopped a 4-game slide with Monday's huge home win and cover over a tough Purdue team. A win today would certainly move Ohio State into consideration for a spot in the Big Dance, and with the way Michigan State has really stunk it up on the road of late, the G-Man is going to side with the Buckeyes to get another big home win today.

The Spartans did come up with a rare conference road win at Illinois on Thursday night, but prior to that win, Michigan State had dropped 4 in a row both straight up, and against the spread in conference play on the highway.

The Buckeyes do own a 13-3 straight up mark in Columbus this season, and they are seeking revenge for a loss at East Lansing earlier this season. Michigan State won by 6 as the 8 1/2-point favorite. I don't see a repeat happening today in a game that could mean a ticket to the Field of 65 for the Buckeyes.

I am taking OSU to continue the Spartans road woes.

2♦ OHIO STATE



Maryland at VIRGINIA (-2') Bobby Maxwell

We got a FREE winner with Syracuse as the Orange dominated Marquette Saturday in the Big East. Today we've got a complimentary play on Virginia as the Cavaliers host Maryland in an ACC showdown.

Even without much hope of an NCAA tourney bid, the Cavaliers have been playing some pretty good basketball down the stretch here. So let's go with them to get the best of Maryland in this regular-season finale for both squads.

Virginia has won three of its last five but got drilled by Duke on Wednesday 86-70 as a 6 1/2-point underdog at home. Prior to the Duke game, they went to Georgia Tech and won 76-74 as a 4 1/2-point 'dog and scored a blowout home win over N.C. State, 78-60 as a 5 1/2-point favorite.

Maryland has dropped three of its last four SU and ATS and lost to Clemson a week ago 73-70 as a one-point 'dog. Last year when these two squared off in Virginia, the Cavaliers got a 103-91 victory as one-point favorites.

These teams have had opposite ends to their season and while neither one will probably get into the Big Dance, Virginia has had more fight down the stretch. Let's lay the small chalk and play Virginia in this one.

4♦ VIRGINIA



San Antonio (-1') at PHOENIX Joel Tyson

Lay the samll number when the Spurs visit the Phoenix Suns today. The Suns have covered just two times in their last 11 tries at home.

The Spurs have already picked up one win here on this court this year, and this victory came before Shaq was put in the lineup. Now the O'Neill is playing the Suns have fallen like a bag of rocks from one of the NBA's best to possibly the NBA's worst.

The Suns have lost two straight and four of their last five, while despite losing last time out the Spurs had picked up wins in nine of their last 10.

Play the Spurs to get the win and cover today.

2♦ SPURS




Seattle (+11) at TORONTO Drew Gordon

Split my Freebies Saturday, as Charlotte wins outright over Rhode Island 74-64, but the Nets fall to the Mavericks 111-91. That brings me to 306-285-5 over my L596 Free Play releases!

What Raptors team have the oddsmakers been watching? Because the one I've been watching has lost 4 of their last 5 SUATS, is without their best player in Chris Bosh, and already lost to this Seattle team earlier this season! Say what you will about the Sonics road woes, but the fact of the matter remains they're 7-2 ATS over their last 9 away, and you can make 8-2 after tonight's match up with a short-handed and struggling Toronto team.

After two solid efforts to begin their road trip (outright win at Minnesota, cover at Detroit), the Sonics have produced two lackadasical efforts in their next two away (at Milwaukee, at Philly). After a strong tongue-lashing from coach Carlesimo, I expect this young Seattle team to come out fired up for this one, especially since they know they can beat this Toronto team.

Also, consider that Chris Bosh had 26 points and 13 rebounds in their last meeting, and replacing his production tonight is not likely. Sure, Bargnani has a huge game against Washington in his last one, but in the 3 games before that he scored: 6, 6, and 12 points respectively... Do you really want to trust a maddeningly inconsistent Bargnani to step up once again?!

Finally, if you look over these teams last 5 games, it becomes abundantly clear why the Sonics will cover in this spot - Defense or lackthereof. Guys, both of these teams are allowing upwards of 105 ppg over that span, and that kind of up-and-down game isn't conducive to the Raptors covering a bloated number in this one, plain and simple.

Bottom line, Sonics take advantage of the Bosh-less Raptors in this one, grabbing the cash on the road, like they've done in 7 of their last 9 road games! Look for a high-scoring, relatively competitive contest, as all signs point to a solid Seattle cover in this contest.

Take Seattle plus the points over Toronto in early NBA action.

3♦ SEATTLE

 

[the duke]

Comps

Will Cover


Ohio State/Michigan State UNDER the TOTAL

How low can this one go as the Spartans of MSU head South to take on the Buckeyes who are coming off a huge win over Purdue and need another one to secure a trip to the Big Dance. Defense is the name of the game in this contest as Michigan State has trouble scoring on the Big Ten road, averaging a paltry 53 PPG in their last three away losses in conference play. Ohio State's defense leads the Big 10 in scoring defense and will put the hammer down on the MSU offense. Sparty has already clinched a ticket to the Dance, so Bucks have all the motivation in their favor as they need this one badly and win it with defense.



James Patrick Sports

Kent State vs. Akron 7:00 P.M. EST.
The Golden Flashes are having one of their best seasons in recent times and travel the 11 miles to take on hated rival Akron in the James Rhodes Arena on Sunday evening. Nothing the Zips would like better than to put a dent in the armor of the Golden Flashes heading into the MAC Tournament next week. Akron always a very strong home team and even though a bit out classed, they always come to play in this rivalry. Our Sunday complimentary selection is on #738 Akron Zips in MAC action.


Marc Lawrence

Play On: Milwaukee

Note: Bucks host the 76ers with major revenge on their minds from a 112-69 loss, their worst of the season, suffered in the most recent meeting in this series. Our database tells us that Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS when playing with same season revenge from a loss of 35 or more points, They are also 6-1 ATS in this series when avenging a 15-point or larger defeat. With Philadelphia looking dead ahead to a double-revenger with division rival Boston, and the Bucks off a 2-point home loss, look for the Milwaukee to get its revenge here today.




Alex Smart

Game: San Antonio Spurs vs. Phoenix Suns
Game Time: 3/9/2008 3:30:00 PM
Prediction: under

Reason: San Antonio no matter who they are playing, almost always seem to be able to set the pace of a confrontation. The Suns used to be able to dictate the tempo against all comers, but with big Shaq Oneal now slowing them down, an up tempo assault against this type of physical opponent will not come easily. Bottom line: Look for both teams to partake in a play off style affair, that will have its speedy moments, but for the most part , be fought and decided on the inside and under the glass, rather than the perimeter ,making for a lower scoring tilt than the pundits might expect. Play UNDER

 

[the duke]

Dave Cokin

My free pick of the day is the game between (705) SAN Spurs and (706) PHX Suns. Take "(705) SAN Spurs". The final results aren't in yet, but early returns are indicating that the Suns-Heat deal that brought Shaq to the desert is on its way to being a complete bust for Phoenix. Not only are they losing, it looks to me like their offense is not all out of sync and they appear to be losing confidence. The Suns were absolutely blown out in the fourth quarter of their Friday home loss to Utah. The Spurs also dropped one Friday at Denver, but the defending champs have been razor sharp of late and I like San Antonio's chances here."

San Antonio




Jim Feist

My free pick of the day is the game between (709) SAC Kings and (710) LA Lakers. Take "Under". Oddsmakers have made this total high because these teams have strong offenses, with first-year Sacramento coach Reggie Theus bringing in an uptempo style. However, the offense traded away Mike Bibby, while Artest and Martin are not 100%. The Lakers are one of the best teams in the NBA defensively, allowing 44% shooting by opponents. Only the Celtics, Rockets and Pistons are better.

Kings/Lakers under

 

[the duke]

Big Time Sports

Michigan State at Ohio State


At the end of January, the Ohio State Buckeyes were sitting 15-6, and all was right on the hardcourt in Columbus. But a disastrous 3-6 run since has put Thad Matta's team on the mythical, yet ubiquitous, bubble with one game remaining in the regular season. That game is Sunday at Value City Arena in front of 19,000+, most of whom will be adorned in scarlet and gray.

At 18-12 overall, and a very mediocre 9-8 in conference action, the Buckeyes really need this game, just so they'll remain in consideration for an at-large berth that might come their way next Sunday (16th). The Men of State certainly helped themselves Tuesday night, as they registered an overtime victory against a very good Purdue team. A win in this contest against the boys from East Lansing, (another Top 20 team), might be good enough to get them in to the filed of 64. But then again, it might not. Ohio State has a couple of unsightly blemishes on tehir record; double digit losses at Michigan and at Minnesota. Those two Big Ten disappointments have a combined record of 13-21. And let's not forget a 23 point loss to Texas A&M in late November, and a 19 point defeat against Butler on the first day of December. This was a Final Four team a year ago. They might not be a Final 64 team a week from now.

For Michigan State, it's about winning a tough game in enemy territory, and finishing conference play with a rock-solid 13-5 record. A "W" here would also allow the Spartans to finish the campaign with a stellar 25-6 record overall. But Tom Izzo won't push his kids to their absolute limit. That type of effort should be saved for early round tournament games, and perhaps the Big Ten championship game, if they make it that far. (which is a better than 50/50 proposition). Plus, they're fresh off a Thursday night hard-fought win at Illinois.

Sophomore Raymar Morgan does the dirty work inside (15 ppg at 57% FG's, 6+ boards per contest), while senior Drew Neitzel drills three's at a 40% clip, in between dishing out 4+ assists per game. Freshman Kalin Lucas (10 ppg, 4 apg) and junior Goran Sutton (8 rpg) are also key components in the rotation. Michigan State also plays extremely tough defense. Only 9 of 30 opponents have been allowed to reach the 70 point mark.

This contest should be centered around a theme of defense. The visitor plays it very well naturally, and the host must play it with focus and intensity in order to win. This one will be exciting and frustrating at the same time. We look for a tight contest with points at a premium.

Michigan State / Ohio State Under

 

[the duke]

JEFFERSONSPORTS

Documented records since October 6th

NCAA HOOPS 126-90
NBA 83-61
NHL 45-31
NCAA FOOTBALL 27-11 (10-4 bowl games)

OVERALL RECORD 288-197 (60%) in 5 months

NCAA HOOPS EARLY RELEASE

AKRON-3
Final home game for Akron and they will play with revenge here. If you can find revenge situations on the final game of the season for the home team it is usually a good situation. Akron lost by 6 to Kent st. in the first meeting and Kent shot almost 60% from the field that day and akron lost by only 6. I look for wood, dials, and middleton (senoirs-final home game) to play well and cover the short 3 points.


MID TENN ST-6
I'm going to try and not over think this one. Troy shoots 37% from the field and gives up over 80 points a game. So they cant shoot and they don't play defense. Mid tenn st. just beat them by 23 points so Troy will have revenge. But when you don't play d and you can't shoot, you might be in trouble. I had this line a little higher. I'm gonna lay the 6 points with a team that has covered the last 8 of 11 and i'm gonna go against a team that has NOT covered in 7 of their last 9.
MID TENN ST-6

 

[the duke]

Mike Rose

Utah Blaze @ Cleveland Gladiators u109.0 (-110)
Sun Mar 9 '08 12:30p
The AFL kicked off in fine fashion last week in Cleveland when the franchise won its first game of the season over the NY Dragons in a game that saw 17,000+ pack the Quicken Loans Center to get a glimpse of Cleveland icon Bernie Kosar?s new team. The Gladiators franchise came over from Las Vegas where they turned into one of the worst franchises in the league the last couple seasons. Kosar wanted experienced vets to lead his team in its first year of existence in Cleveland, and that?s exactly what he got. He couldn?t have made a better choice at the QB position when he decided to bring in Raymond Philyaw who had a monster season in KC last year to help lead the Brigade to the post-season in just the franchises second year of existence. He also stacked the D-Line with AFL vets Silas Demary and Joe Minucci who made names for themselves while playing for Los Angeles and Nashville.

The Gladiators proved to be more of a smashmouth team last week when they gained 308 yards overall, but gained 68 of them on the ground. FB/LB Marlion Jackson set the pace on the ground, while QB Philyaw kept the Dragons defense honest by completing 18-of-23 passes for 248 yards and 5 TDs with 1 INT. They won the turnover battle 3:2 and outscored NY 21-14 to pull away for the 61-49 home win and cover.

Head coach Danny White?s Utah Blaze were one of the more entertaining teams to watch in the league last season. Their offense was simply sensational led by QB Joe Germaine who passed for a league record 5,005 yards last season. He picked right back where he left off last week against Arizona when he completed 19-of-31 passes for 236 yards and 5 TDs with 1 INT. The Blaze lost however by a 63-62 final count when K Steve Videtich?s last second FG attempt sailed wide left.

Oddsmakers installed the Gladiators as short 1-point home favorites, but the betting public has bought into Kosar?s team and the line now sits at (-3.5) with the ?total? set at 109. Utah failed to cover the spread in both of their meetings with the Gladiators last season. They won by a 57-47 final tally in ?Sin City? as 10.5-point road chalks, and shockingly lost SU to the Glads at home in the rematch as 17-point favorites. The Under has cashed in 4 of Utah?s L/5 road games, and it?s also cashed in 6 of the Gladiators L/9 home games. Look for Cleveland to look to the control the clock with its ground attack while keeping the potent Blaze offense on the sideline in the process. The ?Under? looks to be an awfully tasty proposition.


San Jose SaberCats -10.5 (-110)
Mon Mar 10 '08 7:00p
The defending Arena Bowl Champions got off to a rough start last week in Chicago in a game that was a tail of two halves. Chicago busted out of the gates to grab a quick 14-0 lead, but the Sabercats stayed calm, cool, and collected and got themselves right back into the game. After Rodney Wright hauled in a 6-yard TD pass from QB Mark Grieb at the 10:50 mark of the second quarter, the Sabercats astonishingly found themselves up 21-14. The All State Arena seemed to be a more tranquil place after that, but the Rush weren?t going to go down quietly. The 2nd quarter expired when K AJ Haglund nailed a 45-yard FG, and the Sabercats went into the break down a point at 28-27. They were right in it, and Head Coach Darren Arbet demanded his men got more physical in the second half to allow them to steal a win.

It didn?t happen however as they were outscored 14-7 in the third quarter and 28-13 in the final quarter. There was a very questionable call made that went against the Sabercats on what was a perceived fumble by WR James Roe, but replay made it clearly apparent that his knee was down before he lost control of the pigskin. Thankfully for the Rush, there is no instant replay in this league. Mark Grieb completed 35-of-46 passes for 353 yards and 5 TDs, but Chicago?s relentless stop unit coaxed him into throwing some errant passes that were picked off three times. They lost the turnover battle 5:2 and only converted 2 of their 6 3rd down tries. All in all, the defending champs got beat up pretty bad and will no doubt take the field against Grand Rapids in search of atonement.

Tonight?s game will be the first of the season for Grand Rapids as they were the lone team off last week. The new look Rampage have a new leader at the helm that goes by the name of Steve Thonn. He was the offensive coordinator for the Georgia Force, who averaged a whopping 62.9 PPG in 2007. They rebuilt their roster through Nashville and Austin folding. The secondary looks rather impressive, headed up by Ahmad Hawkins, who broke the AFL record with 13 INTs in 2007. The offense seems patchwork, but if anyone can build an offense from the ground up, it?s Steve Thonn.

San Jose is an 11-point road chalk with the ?total? set at 106 for this match-up. In the eight games played between these two clubs, San Jose has won 7 of them SU and gone 6-2-1 ATS. The Sabercats have won 4 of its L/5 road games SU, and they?re a solid 9-3-1 ATS its L/13 road contests.

 

[the duke]

Teddy Covers

Weekly Arena Football


3/9/08 AFB Philadelphia +2.5 (157)

ANALYSIS: For Week 2 in the AFL, we?ll need a second release. There are two games that still don?t have lines; we could have action on both, and a third game with key injury information that could move the line in our favor. The second release time will be at 9 AM Pacific Time on Sunday morning.
Last week, very quietly, in a non-TV game on a busy AFL Saturday, the Philadelphia Soul scored 11 touchdowns on 11 possessions in their season opening blowout over Orlando, a model of offensive efficiency. Then, on Monday Night, Chicago took advantage of numerous San Jose breakdowns on both sides of the football to notch what might appear to be a similar result in the nationally televised ESPN2 affair. To the casual bettor, Chicago might look every bit as good as Philadelphia, if not better. But savvy AFL bettors can tell the difference between the two performances quite clearly, giving us tremendous line value in a game where the underdog should be the favorite. Had the Soul been on national TV last week instead of the Rush, they probably would be the favorite, giving us a clear indicator of how misleading Chicago?s Monday Night performance actually was.

Jon Bon Jovi?s Soul just might be the best team in the league right now. Quarterback Tony Graziani battled injuries last year, but in the eleven regular season games that he was healthy enough to play, Philadelphia averaged more than 64 points per game. In the five games that Graziani was hurt, the Soul averaged 41 points per game. Clearly, this is a quarterback that makes an enormous difference to his team when he?s on the field. Last week he threw 15 complete passes. Nine of them were for touchdowns. That?s one heck of a ratio, folks. While Chicago is most assuredly a better defensive team than Orlando, we?re still talking about an elite level offense here, capable of putting up points in bunches.

Chicago ?forced? five San Jose turnovers on Monday Night, but if you watched the game, you know that those turnovers were not ?forced? ? the Sabercats weren?t sharp in any aspect of the game. Rush QB Shedrick Bonner hit wide open receivers downfield repeatedly due to breakdowns in the Sabercats secondary. San Jose fumbled snaps, they ran poor routes, and the Rush were good enough to take advantage. But make no mistake about it ? this is still an offense with six new starters among the eight players on the field, with a seventh starter shifting positions, a team bound to go through their fair share of growing pains in the weeks to come. Aging QB Shedrick Bonner: ?It's going to take a little time for us to see the same things on every play, but each week we're going to get better and better.? Bonner got away with a handful of truly awful passes on Monday Night, but against Philly, those mistakes are likely to come back to haunt him. Take Philadelphia.

 

[the duke]

Bobby Esposito

10,000 Kentucky
1,000 Va Tech
1,000 Indiana
1,000 Purdue

 

[the duke]

Damon Roberts

10,000 Southern Alabama
2,000 Indiana
2,000 Kentucky
2,000 Kent St.

 

[the duke]

Jack Burnett

10,000 Tenn
1,000 Va Tech
1,000 Cent Mich
1,000 Rutgers

 

[the duke]

Kelso Sturgeon


Chairmans Club
10 units Indiana -8.5 @ Penn St

Best Bets
5 units Purdue -5 @ Michigan
3 units Connecticut -13 v. Cinn

 

[the duke]

Marc Lawrence

Double Perfect College Hoops

Last Home Game Play

Play On: Nebraska

 

[the duke]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

NBA

San Antonio (43-18, 28-31-2 ATS) at Phoenix (40-22, 27-33-2 ATS)

The free falling Suns will try to get back on the winning track when they host the Spurs in a Western Conference showdown inside the US Airways Center.
Phoenix has dropped four of its last five games (1-4 ATS) to drop to sixth in the Western Conference playoff race. On Friday night, the Suns blew a nine-point fourth-quarter lead and fell to Utah 126-118 as a 5?-point home favorite. It was their third straight home loss (0-3 ATS), and Phoenix is now just 11-19-1 ATS in the desert this season, including 2-8-1 ATS in the last 11.
San Antonio had its 11-game winning streak snapped Friday in Denver, falling 109-96 as a 2?-point underdog after getting outscored 63-42 in the second half. Even with the loss, Gregg Popovich?s team has still gone 15-2 SU since Jan. 31 (9-7-1 ATS), but the Spurs are just 1-4-1 ATS in their past six.
San Antonio started its current 15-2 streak with an 84-81 win in Phoenix on Jan. 31 as 7?-point ?dogs. The Spurs are 6-3 SU (5-3-1 ATS) in the last nine meetings with the Suns, including last year?s six-game playoff series win the Western Conference semifinals. The SU winner is 9-0-1 ATS in the last 10 head-to-head battles.
The Spurs are on an 8-2 ATS run on Sundays. However, if San Antonio goes off as an underdog today, note that with Friday?s loss to Denver, it is now 1-7 ATS as a pup of less than six points this season. Meanwhile, if the Suns are the underdog, they?re 1-5-1 ATS in their last six as a home pup.
Mike D?Antoni?s squad hasn?t stopped anybody lately, giving up 116.6 points per game on 52.2 percent shooting in its last five. On the flip side, despite giving up 109 at Denver the other night, the Spurs have held their last five opponents to an average of 90.6 ppg on 42.7 percent shooting. Only two of San Antonio?s last 19 foes have reached triple digits.
The under is 7-3 in the last 10 series clashes and 6-2 in the Spurs? last eight against Pacific Division rivals. However, the over is 16-5 in the Suns? last 21 overall, 7-1 in their last eight against the Western Conference and 7-3 in San Antonio?s last 10 Sunday matchups.
ATS ADVANTAGE: SAN ANTONIO and OVER





COLLEGE BASKETBALL


(17) Michigan State (24-6, 11-13-2 ATS) at Ohio State (18-12, 13-13 ATS)
Ohio State (9-8, 8-9 ATS in the Big Ten) snapped a four-game losing streak with an 80-77 overtime victory over Purdue on Tuesday, barely cashing as 2?-point favorites. The Buckeyes, who are looking to boost their NCAA Tournament resume, are just 3-6 ATS in their last nine overall, and they have been outscored by an average of six points per game (72-66) over their last five contests.
Michigan State (12-5, 6-11 ATS in the Big Ten) has won four of five (3-2 ATS) following Thursday?s 59-51 road victory at Illinois as a two-point chalk. The win snapped a four-game SU and ATS road losing skid for the Spartans, who are just 6-13 ATS in their last 19 Big Ten contests dating to last season.
Michigan State took the first meeting between these two on Jan. 15, prevailing 66-60 but failing to cash as 8?-piont favorites back, snapping a three-game losing streak (1-2 ATS) to the Buckeyes. The road team and the underdog is on a 5-0 ATS roll in this rivalry, and the Spartans have cashed in five straight visits to Columbus. Finally, the straight-up winner is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 series clashes
The Buckeyes are 6-2 at home against Big Ten foes but 3-5 ATS, including 1-3 ATS in the last four. They?ve also failed to cash in four straight Sunday outings.
The under is on runs of 7-3 for Ohio State overall, 14-3 for the Buckeyes on Sundays, 17-8-1 for the Spartans on the road and 2-0 in this rivalry.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER



Florida (21-9, 11-10 ATS) at Kentucky (17-11, 13-11-1)

Florida (8-7 SU and ATS in the SEC) is slumping at the wrong time, having lost four of its last six and six of its last nine, going 2-7 ATS during this stretch. Last week, the Gators dropped a pair of SEC home games to Mississippi State (68-59 as 3?-point favorites on March 1) and Tennessee (89-86 as a 2?-point ?dog on Wednesday). The defeats put a serious dent in the two-time defending champion?s NCAA Tournament hopes.
Kentucky (11-4 SU and ATS in the SEC) has turned its season around, winning 10 of 12 overall (9-3 ATS), all in conference, after losing nine of its first 16. On Wednesday, the Wildcats beat South Carolina 71-63 as a three-point road pup, rebounding from Sunday?s 63-60 loss at then-No. 1 Tennessee as a 14?-point underdog. Billy Gillespie?s team has found success on the defensive end lately, limiting the opposition to 36.8 percent shooting and 58.6 points per game in the last five.
The Gators have defeated Kentucky seven straight times (5-2 ATS), including an 81-70 overtime home victory back on Jan. 19, cashing as 7?-point favorites. Last year, the Gators went to Kentucky and got a 64-61 victory, but failed to cover as a 3?-point chalk. The straight-up winner is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 series clashes.
Kentucky is 7-0 at Rupp Arena against SEC foes (5-2 ATS). Meanwhile, Florida is 4-3 in SEC road games (5-2 ATS) and 5-1 ATS in its last six on Sunday.
The under is 11-4 in Kentucky?s last 15 overall and 4-0 in the last four series clashes at Rupp Arena. However, the over is 5-2-1 in the Gators? last eight overall, and the first meeting between these schools back in January soared over the total.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE



Virginia Tech (18-11, 15-11 ATS) at (24) Clemson (21-8, 16-10 ATS)

Virginia Tech (9-6 SU and ATS in the ACC) has rattled off four straight wins and covers in conference, with the last three coming in convincing double-digit fashion. That includes Tuesday?s 80-58 rout of Wake Forest as five-point favorites. The Hokies have put themselves into consideration for an at-large NCAA Tournament berth by going 7-3 SU and ATS in their last 10.
Clemson (9-6 SU and ATS in the ACC ) dropped into a third place tie with Virginia Tech in the conference standings with Thursday?s 80-75 loss at Georgia Tech as a three-point road favorite. The Tigers are still 6-3 SU and ATS in their last 10.
The Tigers have won and covered the last two meetings in this rivalry, including a 75-74 road win as a six-point underdog in last season?s lone battle. The underdog has cashed in each of the last five clashes.
The SU winner has cashed in each of Va-Tech?s last 13 contests and each of Clemson?s last 10 contests. Also, the winner is 4-1 ATS in the last five series meetings (3-0 ATS in the last three).
Clemson has rattled off six straight wins at home (5-1 ATS), where it averages almost 80 points a game while limiting the opposition to 65.2 ppg. For the season, the Tigers are 9-3 ATS at home. Meanwhile, Virginia Tech is 3-4 in ACC road games (4-3 ATS).
The over has been the play the last three times these teams have met and is 12-4 in the Hokies? last 16 ACC games, 10-4 in their last 14 overall and 12-5 in Clemson?s last 17 at home. However, the under is on runs of 8-3 for Virginia Tech on 11 Sundays and 7-3 for Clemson overall.
ATS ADVANTAGE: CLEMSON and OVER




MISSOURI VALLEY TOURNAMENT
(at St. Louis)
Illinois State (24-8, 15-15 ATS) vs. (20) Drake (26-4, 18-7-1 ATS)

Drake (17-3, 12-7-1 ATS) advanced to the Missouri Valley Conference tournament final for the first time in school history with Saturday?s 75-67 victory over Creighton as a 3?-point favorite at the Scottrade Center in St. Louis. The Bulldogs, who crushed in Indiana State 68-46 in Friday?s tournament opener, have set a single-season school record for victories, breaking the mark set by the 1968-69 squad that made it to the Final Four.
Illinois State reached the tournament final courtesy of Friday?s 63-58 win over Missouri State as a 2 ?-point favorite and Saturday?s 56-42 rout of Northern Iowa as a 4?-point chalk. The Redbirds have won six in row, and they?ve followed up a 2-9 ATS slide with four consecutive spread-cover.
During its six-game winning streak, Illinois State is giving up just 49.3 points per game., holding all four of the six foes to less than 50 points.
These teams played two very competitive games in the regular season, with Drake coming out on top in both outings. The Bulldogs won 79-73 as a 4?-point home chalk and 73-70 as a four-point road underdog. That latter victory snapped a 4-0 ATS run by the favorite in this rivalry.
Drake, which has followed up an 0-3 ATS slump with consecutive spread-covers in the first two rounds of this weekend?s tournament, is 13-3 on the highway this season (11-3-1 ATS in lined contests. Meanwhile, the Redbirds have won four straight and five of their last six on the highway (4-2 ATS).
The over is 10-2 in Drake?s last 12 games overall (6-2 on the road). Conversely, Illinois State has stayed under the total in all six games during its winning streak.
ATS ADVANTAGE: DRAKE




WEST COAST CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT
(at San Diego)
Santa Clara (15-15, 14-14 ATS) vs. (22) Gonzaga (24-6, 17-13 ATS)

Gonzaga (13-1, 9-5 ATS in conference) captured its eighth consecutive West Coast Conference regular-season title with Monday?s 88-54 rout of Santa Clara, easily cashing as a 15?-point home chalk. The Bulldogs, who earned a bye through the first two rounds of this event, enter tonight?s semifinal matchup riding a seven-game winning streak (6-1 ATS), with six of the wins coming by double digits.
Santa Clara outscored San Francisco 27-19 in the second half of Saturday?s conference quarterfinal matchup at the Jenny Craig Center in San Diego, holding on for a 51-50 victory but misfiring as a 5?-point favorite. The Broncos (7-8, 8-7 ATS in conference) are still just 3-5 SU in their last eight contests and 3-6 ATS in the last nine, including 0-3 ATS in the last three.
In addition to Monday?s blowout win over Santa Clara at home, Gonzaga topped the Broncos 87-82 in overtime on Feb. 2, coming up short as a 7?-point road chalk.
Gonzaga is 3-1 (2-2 ATS) on neutral courts this season. Also, the Zags won in this venue two weeks ago, beating host San Diego 59-55, but failing to cash as a six-point road chalk. They went 6-1 in conference road games (4-3 ATS). Meanwhile, Santa Clara is now 3-5 SU and ATS on the highway in West Coast Conference action this year.
The over is 6-3 in Gonzaga?s last nine outings, while Santa Clara had a four-game ?over? streak snapped when Saturday?s game against San Francisco stayed well under the total. Prior to the 4-0 ?over? run, the Broncos had gone 13-3 ?under? the total.
ATS ADVANTAGE: GONZAGA

 

[the duke]

ACE ACE

W.MICH-13.5 $400
PITT-11 $400


0-3 Sat -$1800

 

[the duke]

Stu Feiner

1000 DIME PARLAY

Florida +2.5 over Kentucky
Ohio State -1 over MIchigan State

THREE 2000 DIME BEST BETS

Clemson -10 over Va Tech
South Carolina +16 over Tennessee
Phoenix Suns +1.5 over San Antonio

 

[the duke]

Eddie Roman

One & Only 10,000 Unit Stat Match Game of the Year #8

Western Michigan Broncos -13.5 over Ball State

 

[the duke]

Brandon Lang


SUNDAY

10 Dime
Drake
Kentucky

5 dime
South Alabama
Virginia Tech
Western Michigan

Free Pick - Maryland

 

[toopieaire]

Sebastian

Insider

West.Michigan

Baskets NCAA

50* Ohio St, Michigan

20* Clemson, Midd. Tenn, Virg. Comm

Hockey

10* Pitts

 

[eddieh8823]

Arthur Ralph

Arthur Ralph

SP: Akron
Regular Play: Detroit Pistons
Free Play: Nebraska