GREG SHAKER
Sun, 11/25/07 - 1:00 PMGreg Shaker | NFL Total
triple-dime bet216 TAM / 215 WAS Under 38.0 BetUS
Analysis: NFL: Washington Redskins at Tampa Bay
Buccaneers - Under 38 -110 | Unit Value: 3 DIME "Terrific Total"
Game Date: 11/25/2007
Note: This line opened at 36.5 and has climbed to the magical 38 point mark. That is a key number when betting NFL totals and time to jump at it. The Redskins are coming off one of their better efforts this year, losing to the Cowboys, but playing them very well. They are very likely to come out flat today and that is not what you want when you have to face a defense as good as Tampa Bay is. The Skins have not been an offensive machine away from home this year, scoring just 17 per contest. What makes us think they will come close to that playing the Bucs? We don't think that. TB is thriving on NFL offenses, allowing just 15 per contest and a measily 12 here at this park. Tampa Bay home affairs have averaged just 34 points and most of that is due to their offense, and defensive TD's. Jason Campbell has a hurt pinky and will play today but might be hampered by whatever contraption he will have on that hand. That is a bonus but not as important as the fact that he will not be able to scramble as effectively today against these active TB Linebackers. They have additional injuries along the line of scrimmage and a couple of key skill position players. As we move closer to the end of the NFL Regular season, we are going to see more D played as always. That always happens with TB and a primary reason why UNDER is usually a good play with this team. They love to play on grass as well, as does most good D Teams, and are 38-18 UNDER doing so. The last 2 meetings between these two have played UNDER this posted mark. The Bucs are going to run the ball a lot, we are going to see a short clock because of that, and seeing 40+ points in this one is not going to happen very often.
Sun, 11/25/07 - 1:00 PMGreg Shaker | NFL Total
triple-dime bet216 TAM / 215 WAS Under 38.0 BetUS
Analysis: NFL: Washington Redskins at Tampa Bay
Buccaneers - Under 38 -110 | Unit Value: 3 DIME "Terrific Total"
Game Date: 11/25/2007
Note: This line opened at 36.5 and has climbed to the magical 38 point mark. That is a key number when betting NFL totals and time to jump at it. The Redskins are coming off one of their better efforts this year, losing to the Cowboys, but playing them very well. They are very likely to come out flat today and that is not what you want when you have to face a defense as good as Tampa Bay is. The Skins have not been an offensive machine away from home this year, scoring just 17 per contest. What makes us think they will come close to that playing the Bucs? We don't think that. TB is thriving on NFL offenses, allowing just 15 per contest and a measily 12 here at this park. Tampa Bay home affairs have averaged just 34 points and most of that is due to their offense, and defensive TD's. Jason Campbell has a hurt pinky and will play today but might be hampered by whatever contraption he will have on that hand. That is a bonus but not as important as the fact that he will not be able to scramble as effectively today against these active TB Linebackers. They have additional injuries along the line of scrimmage and a couple of key skill position players. As we move closer to the end of the NFL Regular season, we are going to see more D played as always. That always happens with TB and a primary reason why UNDER is usually a good play with this team. They love to play on grass as well, as does most good D Teams, and are 38-18 UNDER doing so. The last 2 meetings between these two have played UNDER this posted mark. The Bucs are going to run the ball a lot, we are going to see a short clock because of that, and seeing 40+ points in this one is not going to happen very often.
