Sunday Sevice Plays 8/17/08

[kozski61]

PlayByPlayInc. NFL

8/17/2008 DETROIT at
CINCINNATI Over 36.5


MJP sports NFL

8/17/2008 NEW ENGLAND -1.5



WILD BILL

Patriots +2 (5 units)




Football Jesus Early Baseball
saturday results: NFLX 2-2 - jets, Chagers, saints and a big play on Seahawks. season total 11-6-1,

SAT baseball jays, rangers, padres, dodgers.3-1


SUNDAY early baseball plays for 10 am PST, Royals+220 Marlins+125





MIGHTY QUINN

Mighty hit with the Rockies again Saturday night.

Sunday it's the Rockies. The surplus is 340 sirignanos.




armvin Sports Nfl
8/17/2008 New England 2


armvin Sports Mlb
8/17/2008 Florida Marlins 125




JEFFERSONSPORTS

Hit 17 of last 21 plays (81%)

75-47 last 122 plays (62%)

MLB record
+41.67 units (+4167 playing 100.00 dollars a game)

MLB EARLY RELEASE
PHILADELPHIA-170

More in morning around 830 pacific.




Scott Ferrall


BASEBALL LOCKS FOR SUNDAY

Cincy -110 over St.Louis

Pirates +180 over Mets--upset special as Karstens beats Santana

SF-145 over Atlanta

Colorado -145 over Washington

Texas +120 over Tampa

Oakland (even odds) over ChiSox

Minnesota -220 over Seattle

Toronto +190 over Boston--Marcum over Beckett (you've got to have nuts)

Baltimore +140 over Detroit

Just go with me on these and see what kind of damage I do daily on the moneyline


BASEBALL OVER-UNDERS FOR SUNDAY

TB-TEX UNDER 10 RUNS

CHISOX-OAK OVER 8.5 RUNS

SEATT-MINN OVER 9.5 RUNS

TOR-BOS UNDER 8.5 RUNS

BALT-DET OVER 11 RUNS

TRIBE-ANGELS UNDER 9 RUNS

KC-NY OVER 9 RUNS

MILW-LA UNDER 8 RUNS

PHILLY-SD OVER 7.5 RUNS

HOUS-ARIZ UNDER 8 RUNS

COLO-WASH OVER 8.5 RUNS

SF-ATL UNDER 8 RUNS

NY-PITT UNDER 8 RUNS

CARDS-REDS UNDER 9 RUNS

CUBS-MARLINS OVER 8.5 RUNS


SUNDAY'S PRE-SEASON NFL LOCKS

Cincinnati -3.5 to the Lions--The Game is in the Queen City and I liked the way the Bengals handled themselves against the Packers on the road--now they are at home against the crappy Lions, who always suck balls---OVER 36.5

New England +2 from the Bucaneers in Tampa--The Patriots aren't losing two straight to anybody ! They'll slowly start getting their act together this week after looking lousy against the Ravens in a loss last week in their pre-season opener--OVER 33.5


BASEBALL FREE B's FOR SUNDAY

Cleveland +125 over the Angels

Mussina -220 over the Royals in the Bronx

Dodgers and Kershaw -130 over the Brewers

Hamels and Phils -180 over the Padres

Ariz -105 over Houston--UNIT over Oswalt

Cubs -140 over the Marlins




Jeff Scott Sports


LA Angels -143 over CLEVELAND

The Angels are 20-6 in Saunders' last 26 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance and 23-8 in their last 31 games vs. a left-handed starter, while the Indians are 1-8 in Sowers' last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record and 4-12 in their last 16 Sunday games. I had this play yesterday and will come right back with it today. The Angels are the best team in baseball right now and tey also have the best road record in baseball. LA is 39-22 on the road, scoring 4.6 rpg, while allowing just 3.9 rpg. This offense has been hot of late as they are averaging 6.8 rpg in their last 8 games, plus they score 4.6 rpg and allow 3.4 rpg when they face a lefty starter. Jeremy Sowers has not been good for the tribe this year, going 1-6 with a 6.28 ERA overall, including 0-1 with a4.63 ERA at home. His counterpart, Joe Saunders, has not had many problems this year as he is 14-5 with a 3.07 ERA overall, including a solid 8-3 mark with a 2.45 ERA on the road. Joe is also 2-0 with a 1.25 ERA in 3 career starts vs the Tribe. LA barely squeaked by with teh 4-3 win yesterday, but against Sowers their offense should have a better showing today, while Saunders will shut down this struggling tribe offense.


2 UNIT PLAY

Colorado -150 over WASHINGTON

The Rockies are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Washington, while the Nationals are 8-20 in their last 28 games vs. a right-handed starter and 4-12 in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing record. The Nats offense has been even more pathetic than usual of late as they come in .220 and scoring just 2.6 rpg in their last 10 games. Washington doesn't hit righty starters that well as they are hitting just .233 and scoring just 3.5 rpg vs them on the year, plus they also hit .240 and score just 3.7 rpg in day games. The Rockies really hit lefties well as they are scoring 5.6 rpg and hitting .284 vs them on the year. Their offense does come in hot after putting 13 runs on the board last night and they are now averaging 5.6 rpg in their last 6 games. Aaron Cook comes in struggling with a 1-2 mark and a 6.87 ERA over his last 3 starts, but he is still 14-8 with a 3.82 ERA overall, including an 8-3 mark with a 3.63 ERA on the road. Odalis Perez has pitched well of late with a 2-0 mark and a 2.79 ERA in his last 3 starts, but overall he is 5-8 with a 4.12 ERA, and despite a solid 2.50 ERA at home he still has a 1-4 mark there. The Nats only score 2.9 rpg for him at home. The Nats can't score right now and behind a solid effort from Aaron Cook, the Rockies will hand Washington their 10th straight loss.


1 UNIT PLAY

NY Mets/ Pittsburgh Under 8

The Under is 7-3-2 in Santanas last 12 starts with 4 days of rest, while the Under is 5-1-1 in Pirates last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter. Jeff Karsten's has been super since his trade to the Pirates as he owns a 1.23 ERA s 3tarts thus far, with those 3 starts averaging just 3.7 rpg. All 3 of those starts went Under the total. Johan has been good this year with a solid 2.89 ERA overall, including a 2.66 ERA in his last 3 starts. Those last 3 starts have averaged 8 rpg. Johan also has a 2.13 ERA in 2 starts vs the Pirates. The Pirates are not scoring well of late as they are averaging just 2.9 rpg in their last 10 games. The Mets have been scoring better of late, Karstens is pitching too well right now and he has the advantage of Met hitters never seeing him before, so don't look for the Mets to get many off him. I say about 6 runs in this one.


WILD BILL

Patriots +2 (5 units)



Rocco Spacamuro
100* Tamps -2 NFLX




Dwayne Bryant
1:05 PM ET
Major League Baseball
Los Angeles Angels (Saunders) at Cleveland Indians (Sowers)
Free Play On: Los Angeles Angels (Listed Pitchers) -145
LA's Joe Saunders owns a 2.45 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and .285 OOBP in 11 road starts this season (8-3). Saunders also has an impressive 2.84 ERA in his last three starts, which included outings against the Yankees and Red Sox. The Angels have won all five of Saunders' starts since the All-Star break. The left-hander has been outstanding in three career starts against the Indians, going 2-0 with a 1.25 ERA.
Cleveland's Jeremy Sowers owns a subpar 4.63 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and .353 OOBP in six home starts this season. Sowers will be seeking his first home win in nearly two years. He is 0-4 with a 5.11 ERA in 12 starts at Progressive Field since beating Detroit on Aug. 25, 2006. Sowers has won just twice in his last 28 starts overall, posting a 6.07 ERA. Sowers has faced the Angels three times in his career, going 0-1 with a 4.74 ERA.
The Angels have won all seven of Saunders' day starts this season. In fact, LA is 23-9 in day games this season, as well as 23-9 vs. lefty starters. Cleveland is 13-18 vs. lefty starters and 14-22 in day games this season. The Angels (3.36 road ERA) also own a huge edge in the bullpen over the Indians (4.82 home ERA, 5.35 ERA overall). The Indians are 1-6 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series and 1-8 in Sowers' last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

 

[the duke]

Sean Michaels

25 DIME PLAY

CHICAGO WHITE SOX

 

[the duke]

LT Profits

Cincinnati Reds -105

Edinson Volquez of the Cincinnati Reds appeared to regain his great form in his last start, which is bad news for the St. Louis Cardinals here today.

Volquez may have been the favorite to win the Cy Young Award at the All-Star break, but he has now probably fallen out of contention due to a poor second half. However, he was given a couple of extra days off prior to his last start, and he responded by allowing just one run and five hits in 6.2 innings vs. the Pirates. Volquez should be doubly tough on a St. Louis lineup that has yet to face him.

Meanwhile, Cardinal starter Kyle Lohse continues his descent after pitching over his head ealier in the year. Lohse has now gone four consecutive starts without recording a Quality Start, posting a dreadful 7.48 ERA over those outings. In fact, he has struggled on the road all year despite his 6-3 record, as he has a 5.40 ERA and a poor 1.66 WHIP away from home.

Not only do the Reds have the better starting pitcher here, but they also have the better bullpen, ranking sixth in the majors with a 3.49 pen ERA. Thus, this seems like a modest price at home.

Reds -105


Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.0

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and New England Patriots have opposite philosophies when it comes to preseason, and because of this look for the Bucs to come out on top in this contest broadcast nationally on NFL Network Sunday night.

The Patriots are now 7-8 against the spread in preseason since 2004, including their opening 16-15 home loss to the Baltimore Ravens last week. Coach Belichick oftentimes holds out his stars in these games for precautionary reason, such as with Tom Brady last week.

Brady is expected to play the entire first quarter this time around, but the rest of the contest could be an adventure as none of the three backup quarterbacks distinguished themselves last week. That trio of Matt Cassel, Matt Gutierrez and Kevin OConnell collectively completed just 17 of 33 passes with two interceptions.

Tampa Bay quarterback Jeff Garcia and starting running back Earnest Graham are both expected to see their first action of the preseason this week, and this game actually means something to the Bucs. After all, it would be a major morale booster if they can beat the Super Bowl favorites in front of their home fans and a national TV spotlight.

Finally, somewhat surprisingly, Tampa Bay has flourished as preseason favorites, going 9-3 against the spread in this role the last five years

Buccaneers -2

 

[the duke]

Keep it coming Kozski

GL

 

[the duke]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS


NFL PRESEASON

Detroit (1-0, 0-0-1 ATS) at Cincinnati (1-0 SU and ATS)
The Lions look to start off the preseason 2-0 for the second straight year when they visit the Bengals
Detroit held off the Giants 13-10 in its preseason opener nine days ago, pushing as a three-point home favorite. The Lions, who got outgained 310-298 last week, are 3-2 in August (1-3-1 ATS) since coach Rod Marinelli took over last year, but 0-2 on the road (1-1 ATS). In fact, Detroit is mired in preseason ATS slumps of 4-12-1 overall, 2-8 on the road and 3-9 as an underdog.
Cincinnati spotted Green Bay a 10-0 first-quarter lead Monday, then rallied for 17 second-quarter points en route to a 20-17 victory, cashing as a three-point road underdog. The Bengals gave up 383 total yards (271 passing), but they forced three turnovers. Despite the win over the Packers, Cincinnati is still only 11-10 SU and 12-9 ATS since Marvin Lewis took over as coach in 2003, but 7-3 at home (6-4 ATS).
After being on the field for only about 10 snaps in Week 1, the Lions? starters on both sides of the ball are expected go a bit longer tonight, with Marinelli anticipating 18 to 22 snaps for his first-stringers. That includes top QB Jon Kitna, who will be followed by Dan Orlovsky and Drew Stanton.
It?s unknown how long the Bengals? starters, including QB Carson Palmer, will be on the field tonight, as Lewis didn?t make his plans public. Last week, Palmer played into the second quarter and went 5 of 9 for 33 yards and a touchdown. If Lewis sticks to the same rotation as last week, Ryan Fitzpatrick will replace Palmer, followed by Jeff Rowe. Palmer?s brother, Jordan, may see mop-up action.
The Bengals traveled to Detroit in Week 1 of last year?s preseason and lost 27-26, but covered as a three-point underdog.
The over is 3-1 in Detroit?s last four preseason road games and 4-1 in Cincy?s last four overall in the summer.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER



New England (0-1 SU and ATS) at Tampa Bay (1-0 SU and ATS)
The Buccaneers try to continue their preseason dominance of the Patriots, whom they?ve defeated six straight times in August, in a nationally televised clash at Raymond James Stadium.
With stars like Tom Brady and Randy Moss on the sidelines throughout, the Patriots dropped a 16-15 decision to Baltimore in Week 1, getting upset as a 4?-point home favorite. New England ? which went 2-2 SU each of the previous three exhibition seasons ? has been a bad bet on the road in August recently, going 3-5 SU and 3-4-1 ATS, including 2-3-1 ATS as an underdog. One positive for the Patriots: They?re 3-1 ATS in their last four preseason games following an outright loss.
Tampa Bay had no trouble with in-state rival Miami a week ago, throttling the Dolphins 17-6 as a two-point road underdog. The Bucs are now 14-8 SU and 13-7-2 ATS in the last five-plus preseasons, including 4-1 SU and ATS going back to last year. They?ve also been tremendous at home in August since coach Jon Gruden arrived (9-3 SU, 7-4-1 ATS) and they?re 9-3 ATS as a preseason chalk dating to 2005.
On the downside for the Bucs: They?ve lost three straight Week 2 preseason games, going 0-3 ATS.
Tampa Bay QB Jeff Garcia will sit out for the second straight week because of an injury, leaving the starting chores in the hands of veteran Brian Griese. Once Griese departs, Luke McCown, who started last week?s game, will take over for the rest of the first half, with Chris Simms playing the majority of the second half.
As usual, Patriots coach Bill Belichick was tight-lipped about playing time for tonight?s contest. However, Brady most likely will start under center but probably will play only a couple of series. From there, the three QBs battling to be Brady?s backup ? Matt Cassell, rookie Kevin O?Connell and Matt Gutierrez ? will divvy up the snaps
These teams opened the 2007 preseason against each other, with the Buccaneers pulling out a 13-10 win, barely cashing as a 2?-point home favorite. Going back to 1999, Tampa is 5-0 SU and ATS in preseason action against New England.
The under is 4-2 in New England?s last six preseason road games (2-0 last year) and 3-1 in Tampa?s last four at home in August.

ATS ADVANTAGE: TAMPA BAY and UNDER




NATIONAL LEAGUE
Chicago Cubs (75-48) at Florida (64-60)
The Marlins send impressive rookie pitcher Chris Volstad (4-2, 3.03 ERA) to the mound in the rubber match of a three-game series against the Cubs and Ryan Dempster (13-5, 2.92).
Chicago had its five-game overall and nine-game road winning streaks snapped in Saturday?s 2-1 loss to the Marlins. Despite that setback, the Cubs have still won eight of 10 and 15 of their last 19 to build a commanding lead in the N.L. Central. They?re on further streaks of 5-1 against the N.L. East, 4-0 on Sundays and 17-8 with Dempster on the hill.
While the Cubs have been surging, the Marlins have been floundering, losing four of their last six overall and five of their last seven at home. They?re also 1-4 in their last five against a right-handed starter and 2-5 in their last seven versus the N.L. Central. On the bright side, Florida is now 13-3 in the last 16 meetings with Chicago, including 7-1 in the last eight played in South Beach.
Dempster has been rock-solid for Chicago virtually all season, including recently as he?s allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts (1.65 ERA) and seven of the last eight, with the Cubs going 5-3 during this stretch, including 3-0 on the road. However, for the season, the veteran right-hander is only 2-3 as a visitor despite a 3.17 ERA.
Dempster held the Marlins to a run on two hits and six walks in six innings back on July 25, but the Cubs lost 3-2 at home. It was Dempster?s first career start against Florida, but including 10 relief appearances, he?s 1-1 with a 2.40 ERA against the Fish.
Volstad got his fourth major-league win Tuesday, yielding three runs on five hits in five innings of a 4-3 home victory over St. Louis. The right-hander has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five of his six outings, and he?s surrendered just one home run in 38 2/3 innings. At home, though, he?s 1-2 with a beefy 5.62 ERA in three starts.
For the Cubs, the over is on streaks of 6-1 overall, 19-8 on the road, 4-0 on Sundays, 5-1 against the N.L. East, 8-2 against winning teams and 4-0 when Dempster works on the highway. Also, the over is 18-9 in the last 27 series meetings between these clubs and 8-3 in the last 11 in Florida. Conversely, the under is 7-2 in the Marlins? last nine home games and 6-0 in Volstad?s first six big-league starts.

ATS ADVANTAGE: CHICAGO CUBS and OVER




Milwaukee (71-53) at L.A. Dodgers (63-60)
The streaking Dodgers hand the ball to 20-year-old rookie Clayton Kershaw (2-3, 4.56) as they wrap up a three-game series against the Brewers and Jeff Suppan (8-7, 4.56) at Dodger Stadium.
Milwaukee pulled out a 4-3, 10-inning victory on Saturday to improve to 9-2 in its last 11 games. The Brewers are also on runs of 7-2 against the N.L. West, 14-4 on the highway, 6-1 versus lefty starters, 8-2 on Sundays and 6-1 in Suppan?s last seven starts.
Los Angeles had a five-game winning streak snapped with last night?s defeat. However, the Dodgers are still on surges of 7-3 overall, 13-4 at home (7-1 in their last eight), 8-4 against the N.L. Central and 5-1 on Sundays. Also, L.A. is 42-21 in the last 63 meetings with Milwaukee (3-2 this year), including 21-9 against the Brew Crew in the past 30 battles at Dodger Stadium.
Kershaw has been brilliant over his last four starts, going 2-0 with a 1.44 ERA. He got a no-decision Tuesday against Philadelphia, giving up three runs in six frames, with the Dodgers prevailing, 4-3. The southpaw is 1-2 with a 3.08 ERA in seven home starts and 2-2 with a 1.97 ERA in six daytime outings.
Suppan has been lights out over his last three starts ? all on the road ? going 3-0 with a 2.05 ERA, including an impressive 5-2 win in San Diego on Monday as he yielded just two runs and four hits in eight innings. With his last three victories, Suppan is now 6-5 with a 4.79 ERA outside of Milwaukee.
Today marks Kershaw?s first career start against Milwaukee, but Suppan has faced the Dodgers nine times in the regular season, going 4-4 with a 4.02 ERA. Throw in a playoff start when he was with the Cardinals in 2004, and Suppan has allowed three earned runs or fewer in eight of his 10 outings against L.A.
The under is 9-3-2 in the Brewers? last 14 games overall, 12-2-1 in their last 15 road tilts, 3-0 in Suppan?s last three starts overall and 10-4 in Suppan?s 14 road starts this year (4-0 last four). For Los Angeles, the under is on streaks of 10-5-1 overall, 20-9-1 at Dodger Stadium, 4-0 on Saturdays, 17-7 against the N.L. Central, 5-1-1 when Kershaw pitches at home and 5-0 in Kershaw?s five daytime starts.

ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. DODGERS and UNDER

 

[the duke]

Nostradamus

Angels -150
Florida +130
Cards/Cincy Over 9
White Sox -115

Tampa Bay -2

 

[kozski61]

Vegas Sports Experts

The VSE NFL Power Play for Sunday is:

10* Take Tampa Bay (-1) over New England (NFL Power Play)
8:00 PM EST

Tampa Bay
? 4-1 SU & ATS in pre-season vs. AFC East Opponents the last 3 years
? 4-1 SU & ATS in pre-season when the line is between +3 and -3
? 4-1 ATS in pre-season when the total posted is 35 points or less



ATS=Against the Spread
SU=Straight Up



VEGAS-RUNNER is Killing It.
12-4 L/2 Days
3-0 NFL Sweep
49-23 in August
33-15 in MLB
15-8 in NFL
6-1 on NFL Teasers
+$4,372 in August at $100 per unit and only one 3unit per day. The rest are 1s & 2s.
Those are some sick ass numbers and he posts his results everyday. Good and Bad at Pregame. Go Runner Go

 

[kozski61]

Keep it coming Kozski

GL

Thanks Duke. Just trying to help out. -Koz :SIB

 

[kozski61]

*** EZWINNERS MLB ***

3 STAR: (911) ARIZONA (-$110) over Houston
(Listing Johnson only)
(Risking $330 to win $300)
1:05PM Central Time

2 STAR: (902) FLORIDA (+$123) over Chicago
(Action)
(Risking $200 to win $246)
12:10PM Central Time

2 STAR: (920) CLEVELAND (+$139) over LA Angels
(Action)
(Risking $200 to win $278)
12:05PM Central Time

2 STAR: (928) OAKLAND (+$106) over Chicago
(Action)
(Risking $200 to win $212)
3:05PM Central Time



Be careful today guys with the Ness plays. Yesterday he went 1-5. I'm not sure how he bounces back if it is strong or if when he loses big one day he loses big the next.

For today:

Larry Ness' Weekend Wipeout Winner:13-4 run

LA Angels



Larry Ness' 15* Underdog GOW (60-44 TY / 181-94 two-year run with GOW plays)

Milwaukee Brewers



Larry's Pitching Mismatch GOW


SF Giants




THE SPORTS ADVISORS


NFL PRESEASON

Detroit (1-0, 0-0-1 ATS) at Cincinnati (1-0 SU and ATS)
The Lions look to start off the preseason 2-0 for the second straight year when they visit the Bengals
Detroit held off the Giants 13-10 in its preseason opener nine days ago, pushing as a three-point home favorite. The Lions, who got outgained 310-298 last week, are 3-2 in August (1-3-1 ATS) since coach Rod Marinelli took over last year, but 0-2 on the road (1-1 ATS). In fact, Detroit is mired in preseason ATS slumps of 4-12-1 overall, 2-8 on the road and 3-9 as an underdog.
Cincinnati spotted Green Bay a 10-0 first-quarter lead Monday, then rallied for 17 second-quarter points en route to a 20-17 victory, cashing as a three-point road underdog. The Bengals gave up 383 total yards (271 passing), but they forced three turnovers. Despite the win over the Packers, Cincinnati is still only 11-10 SU and 12-9 ATS since Marvin Lewis took over as coach in 2003, but 7-3 at home (6-4 ATS).
After being on the field for only about 10 snaps in Week 1, the Lions? starters on both sides of the ball are expected go a bit longer tonight, with Marinelli anticipating 18 to 22 snaps for his first-stringers. That includes top QB Jon Kitna, who will be followed by Dan Orlovsky and Drew Stanton.
It?s unknown how long the Bengals? starters, including QB Carson Palmer, will be on the field tonight, as Lewis didn?t make his plans public. Last week, Palmer played into the second quarter and went 5 of 9 for 33 yards and a touchdown. If Lewis sticks to the same rotation as last week, Ryan Fitzpatrick will replace Palmer, followed by Jeff Rowe. Palmer?s brother, Jordan, may see mop-up action.
The Bengals traveled to Detroit in Week 1 of last year?s preseason and lost 27-26, but covered as a three-point underdog.
The over is 3-1 in Detroit?s last four preseason road games and 4-1 in Cincy?s last four overall in the summer.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER



New England (0-1 SU and ATS) at Tampa Bay (1-0 SU and ATS)
The Buccaneers try to continue their preseason dominance of the Patriots, whom they?ve defeated six straight times in August, in a nationally televised clash at Raymond James Stadium.
With stars like Tom Brady and Randy Moss on the sidelines throughout, the Patriots dropped a 16-15 decision to Baltimore in Week 1, getting upset as a 4?-point home favorite. New England ? which went 2-2 SU each of the previous three exhibition seasons ? has been a bad bet on the road in August recently, going 3-5 SU and 3-4-1 ATS, including 2-3-1 ATS as an underdog. One positive for the Patriots: They?re 3-1 ATS in their last four preseason games following an outright loss.
Tampa Bay had no trouble with in-state rival Miami a week ago, throttling the Dolphins 17-6 as a two-point road underdog. The Bucs are now 14-8 SU and 13-7-2 ATS in the last five-plus preseasons, including 4-1 SU and ATS going back to last year. They?ve also been tremendous at home in August since coach Jon Gruden arrived (9-3 SU, 7-4-1 ATS) and they?re 9-3 ATS as a preseason chalk dating to 2005.
On the downside for the Bucs: They?ve lost three straight Week 2 preseason games, going 0-3 ATS.
Tampa Bay QB Jeff Garcia will sit out for the second straight week because of an injury, leaving the starting chores in the hands of veteran Brian Griese. Once Griese departs, Luke McCown, who started last week?s game, will take over for the rest of the first half, with Chris Simms playing the majority of the second half.
As usual, Patriots coach Bill Belichick was tight-lipped about playing time for tonight?s contest. However, Brady most likely will start under center but probably will play only a couple of series. From there, the three QBs battling to be Brady?s backup ? Matt Cassell, rookie Kevin O?Connell and Matt Gutierrez ? will divvy up the snaps
These teams opened the 2007 preseason against each other, with the Buccaneers pulling out a 13-10 win, barely cashing as a 2?-point home favorite. Going back to 1999, Tampa is 5-0 SU and ATS in preseason action against New England.
The under is 4-2 in New England?s last six preseason road games (2-0 last year) and 3-1 in Tampa?s last four at home in August.

ATS ADVANTAGE: TAMPA BAY and UNDER




NATIONAL LEAGUE
Chicago Cubs (75-48) at Florida (64-60)
The Marlins send impressive rookie pitcher Chris Volstad (4-2, 3.03 ERA) to the mound in the rubber match of a three-game series against the Cubs and Ryan Dempster (13-5, 2.92).
Chicago had its five-game overall and nine-game road winning streaks snapped in Saturday?s 2-1 loss to the Marlins. Despite that setback, the Cubs have still won eight of 10 and 15 of their last 19 to build a commanding lead in the N.L. Central. They?re on further streaks of 5-1 against the N.L. East, 4-0 on Sundays and 17-8 with Dempster on the hill.
While the Cubs have been surging, the Marlins have been floundering, losing four of their last six overall and five of their last seven at home. They?re also 1-4 in their last five against a right-handed starter and 2-5 in their last seven versus the N.L. Central. On the bright side, Florida is now 13-3 in the last 16 meetings with Chicago, including 7-1 in the last eight played in South Beach.
Dempster has been rock-solid for Chicago virtually all season, including recently as he?s allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts (1.65 ERA) and seven of the last eight, with the Cubs going 5-3 during this stretch, including 3-0 on the road. However, for the season, the veteran right-hander is only 2-3 as a visitor despite a 3.17 ERA.
Dempster held the Marlins to a run on two hits and six walks in six innings back on July 25, but the Cubs lost 3-2 at home. It was Dempster?s first career start against Florida, but including 10 relief appearances, he?s 1-1 with a 2.40 ERA against the Fish.
Volstad got his fourth major-league win Tuesday, yielding three runs on five hits in five innings of a 4-3 home victory over St. Louis. The right-hander has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five of his six outings, and he?s surrendered just one home run in 38 2/3 innings. At home, though, he?s 1-2 with a beefy 5.62 ERA in three starts.
For the Cubs, the over is on streaks of 6-1 overall, 19-8 on the road, 4-0 on Sundays, 5-1 against the N.L. East, 8-2 against winning teams and 4-0 when Dempster works on the highway. Also, the over is 18-9 in the last 27 series meetings between these clubs and 8-3 in the last 11 in Florida. Conversely, the under is 7-2 in the Marlins? last nine home games and 6-0 in Volstad?s first six big-league starts.
ATS ADVANTAGE: CHICAGO CUBS and OVER




Milwaukee (71-53) at L.A. Dodgers (63-60)
The streaking Dodgers hand the ball to 20-year-old rookie Clayton Kershaw (2-3, 4.56) as they wrap up a three-game series against the Brewers and Jeff Suppan (8-7, 4.56) at Dodger Stadium.
Milwaukee pulled out a 4-3, 10-inning victory on Saturday to improve to 9-2 in its last 11 games. The Brewers are also on runs of 7-2 against the N.L. West, 14-4 on the highway, 6-1 versus lefty starters, 8-2 on Sundays and 6-1 in Suppan?s last seven starts.
Los Angeles had a five-game winning streak snapped with last night?s defeat. However, the Dodgers are still on surges of 7-3 overall, 13-4 at home (7-1 in their last eight), 8-4 against the N.L. Central and 5-1 on Sundays. Also, L.A. is 42-21 in the last 63 meetings with Milwaukee (3-2 this year), including 21-9 against the Brew Crew in the past 30 battles at Dodger Stadium.
Kershaw has been brilliant over his last four starts, going 2-0 with a 1.44 ERA. He got a no-decision Tuesday against Philadelphia, giving up three runs in six frames, with the Dodgers prevailing, 4-3. The southpaw is 1-2 with a 3.08 ERA in seven home starts and 2-2 with a 1.97 ERA in six daytime outings.
Suppan has been lights out over his last three starts ? all on the road ? going 3-0 with a 2.05 ERA, including an impressive 5-2 win in San Diego on Monday as he yielded just two runs and four hits in eight innings. With his last three victories, Suppan is now 6-5 with a 4.79 ERA outside of Milwaukee.
Today marks Kershaw?s first career start against Milwaukee, but Suppan has faced the Dodgers nine times in the regular season, going 4-4 with a 4.02 ERA. Throw in a playoff start when he was with the Cardinals in 2004, and Suppan has allowed three earned runs or fewer in eight of his 10 outings against L.A.
The under is 9-3-2 in the Brewers? last 14 games overall, 12-2-1 in their last 15 road tilts, 3-0 in Suppan?s last three starts overall and 10-4 in Suppan?s 14 road starts this year (4-0 last four). For Los Angeles, the under is on streaks of 10-5-1 overall, 20-9-1 at Dodger Stadium, 4-0 on Saturdays, 17-7 against the N.L. Central, 5-1-1 when Kershaw pitches at home and 5-0 in Kershaw?s five daytime starts.
ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. DODGERS and UNDER

 

[kozski61]

GAMBLERS WORLD

Tip of the Day

Sport: MLB

Game: 8:05PM, Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers

Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays

Current Line: -135

Over/Under: 10

Reason: The Tampa Bay Rays and the Texas Rangers will both be gunning for a victory on Sunday when they meet at Rangers Ballpark.

Ace lefthander Scott Kazmir will take the mound for the Rays to start this game. Kazmir is 8-6 this season with a 3.22 ERA.

It'll be Dustin Nippert toeing the rubber for the Rangers in this contest. Righthander Nippert is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA so far this season.

Oddsmakers currently have the Rays listed as 135-moneyline favorites versus the Rangers, while the game's total is sitting at 10.

Matt Harrison allowed just three hits and whiffed eight batters on Saturday, as the Rangers defeated the Rays 3-0. The Rangers won the game as +105 underdogs, and the team's played UNDER the posted over/under (11.5).

Ian Kinsler had two hits in five trips to the plate, including a solo home run.

Edwin Jackson gave up one run off five hits over six innings in the loss.

Oddsmakers had the Rays as -115 favorites in that game.

Team records:
Tampa Bay: 74-48 SU
Texas: 62-62 SU

Tampa Bay most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 6-4
Before playing LA Angels are 6-4
After playing Texas are 4-6
After a loss are 8-2

Texas most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 7-3
Before playing Detroit are 4-6
After playing Tampa Bay are 7-3
After a win are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing on the road against Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Tampa Bay's last 17 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas's last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas's last 10 games

 

[kozski61]

WILD BILL

Royals +235 (5 units)
Laa Angels -150 (5 units)
Orioles +150 (5 units)
Marlins +125 (5 units)
Florida Marlins +120 (5 units)
Dbacks -110 (5 units)
Giants -130 (5 units)
Mariners +195 (5 units)
White Sox -115 (5 units)
Brewers+135 (5 units)
Rays -120 (5 units)
Phils-Padres Over 7? (5 units)
Tigers-Oriole Under 11 (5 units)
Marlins-Cubs Under 8? (5 units)
Pirates-Mets Under 8 (5 units)
Astros-D-backs Under 8 (5 units)


Patriots +2 (5 units)



Insider Sports Report

Arizona -110 over Houston (MLB)



MR A

Sunday August 17th, 2008 2:05 PM EST.
Arizona Diamondbacks (64-59) at Houston Astros (62-61)
(L) Randy Johnson, (10-8, 4.18) (R) Roy Oswalt, (10-8, 4.52)
The hot Astros continue to have a tough time against the Diamondbacks. Houston has lost eight of last nine games versus Arizona and is just 3-7 in its last 10 at home against them.

Arizona's Randy Johnson is 2-1 with a 1.86 ERA in his last three starts, 6-1 with a 1.77 ERA In his last seven. The Diamondbacks are 6-0 in Johnson's last 6 starts versus the Astros.

Houston's Roy Oswalt is 2-0 with a 3.60 ERA in his last three starts. The Astros are 7-1 in Oswalt's last 8 starts versus the Diamondbacks.

Take Arizona for a sweep of the Astros this afternoon. The Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Johnson's last 4 road starts.

Arizona Diamondbacks -110



THE VEGAS STEAMLINE

Sunday: Take WHITE SOX (Vazquez) pk over Oakland

 

[kozski61]

GINA

Sunday, August 17, 2008 1:35 p.m. est.
New York Mets (67-56) at Pittsburgh Pirates (55-68)
(L) Johan Santana, (10-7, 2.89) (R) Jeff Karstens, (2-1, 1.23)
The New York Mets have won four of the last five meetings in Pittsburgh, including Saturday's 7-4 win against the Pirates. Let's go with the Mets with their ace Johan Santana on the hill again tonight against the struggling Pirates. The Mets have won sixth straight and their last five games on the road, while Pittsburgh has dropped their last six at PNC Park.

New York Mets -200



Carlo Campanella

Game: Tampa Bay Rays at Texas Rangers
Aug 17 2008 8:05PM
Prediction: over

Reason: Tampa Bay leads this series 3-1 this season and face teh Ranger's Padilla on the mound in Texas on Sunday. Texas has gone "Over" in 10 of 13 games this year when Padilla starts on the mound as a Dog between +100 and +150.

7* Play On OVER



CAPPERS ACCESS

Sun (MLB) Marlins
Sun (MLB) A's
Sun (NFL) Buccaneers



JIMMY THE MOOSE

Game: Detroit Lions at Cincinnati Bengals Aug 17 2008 7:30PM
Prediction: Cincinnati Bengals

Reason: Both teams winning their 1st games last week but a more impressive win by the Bengals in Green Bay. We will see more the Bengals high powered offence in this one tonight that will give the Lions problems. Bengals have taken the cash 5 straight times over the Detroit, 3 straight in the preseason. Play on Cincinnati -.



Jeffmoney

Giants -120 (pod)
Cubs -140

 

[kozski61]

MJP sports NFL
8/17/2008 NEW ENGLAND -1.5

MJP sports MLB
8/17/2008 FLORIDA MARLINS 125

8/17/2008 ST LOUIS CARDINALS -105

8/17/2008 SAN DIEGO PADRES 164

8/17/2008
Best Bet! LOS ANGELES ANGELS -145

8/17/2008 CHICAGO WHITE SOX -115



3G-Sports MLB

8/17/2008
Best Bet! NEW YORK YANKEES -250




NSA

20* New England +2
10* OVER 36 Det/Cincy
10* Detroit +3.5

10* Cubs -
10* White Sox -
10* Dodgers -

 

[kozski61]

PARSONS *TOTAL* PUNISHER *SPECIAL* 25-7 (78%) RUN!

Under Col/Was

 

[kozski61]

RACE #9 - SARATOGA RACE COURSE - 5:18 PM EASTERN POST

The John's Call Stakes


13.0 FURLONGS TURF FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $80,000.00 PURSE

#9 EVENING ATTIRE
#2 JUST AS WELL
#8 BIGGERBADDERBETTER
#5 SUMMER PATRIOT
#9 EVENING ATTIRE qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony," takes a class drop (-9) this afternoon, and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in each of his last three starts, including an 8 length, "POWER RUN WIN" facing better company in his last outing. #2 JUST AS WELL is the pace profile leader, and has hit the board in four of his last five starts, including back-to-back "Circle Trips" in his 2nd and 3rd races back.

 

[kozski61]

PARSONS NL GAME OF THE MONTH *6-1 BIG GAME RUN*

SF Giants



Matt F*rgo **80.2% No Doubt Absolute Road Blowout**

SF Giants




Youngstown Connection Guaranteed Selections
Date: Sunday, August 17, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed:

Arizona w/Johnson +102 2:05 EST




Tom Freese 10-0 MLB RUN! 10* Pitching Mismatch!

Chicago Whitesox

 

[the duke]

PLUSLINE SPORTS

Daily Baseball Selection

2 SELECTIONS TODAY

Sunday August 17, 2008 MLB Daily Selections:

#1

Kansas City Royals(Bannister) vs NY Yankees(Mussina)

NYY -1.5 Runline (-122) Moneyline (-255)

Line Origin: Pinnacle August 17

Game Time: 12:05 CST August 17

#2

Seattle Mariners(Feirabend) vs Minnesota (Perkins)

Minnesota-1.5 Runline (-105) Moneyline Line (-210)

Line Origin: Pinnacle August 16

Game Time is 1:10 pm CST August 17

 

[the duke]

CHARLIES SPORTS
nfl. cincinnati-3' (500*)
nfl. detroit @ cincinnati over 36 (30*)
mlb. dodgers-145 (20*)
mlb. houston-110 (20*)
mlb. reds-110 (10*)
nfl. tampa bay-2 (10*) free play

 

[the duke]

Pointwise Phones

NFL
3* Cincinnati (-3 1/2)

 

[the duke]

Players of America


NYM vs. PIT
Sport: Major League Baseball
Game: New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
The Play: Over 8.0
Play Description:
Star Value: 1* (10 Units)
Writeup:
Welcome back. We had all intentions of respectively passing all selections until tomorrow (Monday), but we're going to have to lay one wager down for this afternoon. At 1:35PM EST, the Pirates are set to host the Mets in downtown Steel City. New York comes into this match up eleven games over the .500 mark, while the Pirates are virtually out of any type of contention at 55-68 this season. The side of this event is difficult to predict, but the listed total can be exploited.

Two very solid starters will be squaring off in Pittsburgh tonight. First, the Mets elect to put the highly touted Johan Santana on the rubber. The lefty is has a very solid ERA of almost 3.00, and he is 10-7 record-wise. Final scores have flown over the quoted total 13 times already this season when Johan starts for his team. After Santana does his work, he hands things over to that streaky bullpen. The pen for the Mets have thrown 16 innings in the last three games and racked up an ERA approaching 6.00. In the other dugout, the Pirates are putting right hander Jeff Karstens on the mound. Jeff has only pitched 22 innings for the Bucos and comes in 2-1 overall. The bullpen of Pitt is a similar story. The estimated available pitchers in the pen combine for an ERA of 4.10 this afternoon.

This is a perfect spot to capitalize. Odds makers in Vegas think their being sly by setting this total at just 8 and even juice, but no chance. These teams, with many of the same players, met six times last season...all of which SOARED over the total. This year they've met five times already, and four have gone over the total number. There are many, many trends and attractive statistics for this play. Don't let the ERA of these two pitchers steer you away. It's a great spot. Both of these teams can knock the seams off the ball, and tend to do so quite often. Pittsburgh has gone over the total 67 times already this year, and New York 63. Combined, that's almost 30 more OVER's than UNDER's between these two. Neither of these two teams have significant injuries that will inhibit the offensive explosion within the line up, so let's get this one.

We'll lay ten units down for a 1* wager on the OVER with this fish line. The Mets and the Pirates slug it out starting at 1:35PM EST.

TRENDS OF THE GAME:
- The OVER is 6-2 in the Mets last 8 games overall
- The OVER is 6-2 in the Mets last 8 games on grass
- The OVER is 10-1 in the Mets and Pirates last 11 meetings
- The OVER is 4-1 in the Mets and the Pirates 5 meetings this season
- The OVER was 6-0 in the Mets and Pirates 6 meetings last season

New York 6, Pittsburgh 4