Tennis Picks
- Thread starter TennisTapir
- Start date
Beck -185 (Meusberger): 10.00/5.41 (friday) ADDED ON COMPLETION
going max on this. i dont think this will even be close. i expect this line to go nowhere but toward beck so i'm hitting it right now. think this line ought to be -450. upon research, the line is probably because beck is 1-2 vs meus, but imo this is exactly where we get the advantage because beck is 19, and a whole year's development means she is a very different player from last year. beck all the way.
going max on this. i dont think this will even be close. i expect this line to go nowhere but toward beck so i'm hitting it right now. think this line ought to be -450. upon research, the line is probably because beck is 1-2 vs meus, but imo this is exactly where we get the advantage because beck is 19, and a whole year's development means she is a very different player from last year. beck all the way.
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2-parlay
Sijsling -310 (Russell) loss
Przysiezny +425 (Mahut)
.85/5.05 loss
-59.08 units
Sijsling -310 (Russell) loss
Przysiezny +425 (Mahut)
.85/5.05 loss
-59.08 units
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should be looking at a beck-halep final in budapest. [may not be any play in newport, storms] <---wrong
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Przysiezny +460 (Mahut): 1.00/4.60 loss
flyer: przy has played m tough in past; m has been playing over his head, might come down to earth here. ... loss..great effort by prz, not quite enough.
-60.08 units
flyer: przy has played m tough in past; m has been playing over his head, might come down to earth here. ... loss..great effort by prz, not quite enough.
-60.08 units
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Vinci, what a stud. It's hard to understand these lines. Hercog is a good player, but Vinci almost always wins this type of match, and this one's in Italy. Why is the line 170 instead of 280 or 340? I don't know.
her / yes
annika beck
yes, im probably too enthusiastic about this, but i think even if i'm wrong, it means meus takes a set or makes it two hard ones. beck hits harder and is more precise. or i could be entirely wrong and lose... not the first time. from what i saw of meusberger, she's going to have to play a lot better than last match to win, and don't think she can. she's older, doesn't play much, on the way down, while beck is rising. the standard of play beck has exhibited the last ten matches is better than anything meusberger can come up with.
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Paire-Hanescu 22 under -110: 2.20/2.00 win
Haas-Fognini 22 under -114: 2.28/2.00 win
Monfils-Kohlschreiber 23 under -120: 2.40/2.00 win
[reposting] Beck -185 (Meusberger): 10.00/5.41 loss
-61.71 units
Haas-Fognini 22 under -114: 2.28/2.00 win
Monfils-Kohlschreiber 23 under -120: 2.40/2.00 win
[reposting] Beck -185 (Meusberger): 10.00/5.41 loss
-61.71 units
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misread beck match, early set 2, whether she comes back or not. lately all my big bets have lost while average bets and parlays have done well. and all of a sudden no feeds from hungary, wtf? C'MON BECK, you can come back and win this.
also, i wouldnt consider this a moving line. if it stays within 20 points, it's basically flat. this line went up to 190 then back down. no real movement, as i would judge it. real movement would have been to 220 or 150. i simply misread it. i knew beck was 1-2, but they were matches from a while back, beck has gotten better, meus hardly plays anymore. could say meus has crafty vet angle, but ive seen her play, and watched her struggle to overcome larsson, and i've seen the last 10 beck matches at least. beck should be able to handle her. but it's been a point by point struggle, neither holding serve easily, and meus has done better. but cant see it as there's no feed today for some unknown reason.
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watch beck's character here, down a set and 1-3, she will fight hard, whether she can get the break back or not.
ugh... best bet crushed like a bug. meus barely beats larsson, then bests beck pretty easily. should have been meus being overcome, and beck pulling away in second or third set.
it's a long haul, with many missteps along the way.
it's a long haul, with many missteps along the way.
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3-parlay
Halep -980 (Babos) w
Errani -1500 (Soler) w
Candela -195 (Voracova) w
3.44/2.68 win
-59.03 units
Halep -980 (Babos) w
Errani -1500 (Soler) w
Candela -195 (Voracova) w
3.44/2.68 win
-59.03 units
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