Agree with a lot of this. Chargers don’t get near 3 points of home field on these models. More like 1. Even still it’s bonkers. I don’t care. I’m hammering chargers until Herby’s finger falls offlines these days are mostly driven by the computers. i don't have access to the programs used by the linesmakers or the big syndicates. about all i have is the espn "matchup predictor" and sagarin. espn has the chargers at 59% to win this game. that equates to roughly a 2.5 - 3 point favorite. sagarin has these teams just about even, so LA would be favored by whatever they get for home field advantage. i'd assume about 2 points.
another way to look at it is that this line implies detroit would be favored by about 8 at home against LA. which would certainly seem very high and would lead to this same discussion.
the only way it makes sense is if the linesmakers pretty much know herbert is going to continue to be ineffective.
their backup is... drum roll please... easton stick. aka "a less-polished trey lance."I’m hammering chargers until Herby’s finger falls off
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