That Chargers line looks kind of fishy

Smitty

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big time fishy. maybe herbert's injured finger fell off and he's taking this week to get it reattached.

despite back-to-back games against chicago and the jets, the chargers are still giving up more passing yards/game than anyone else. could be a big game for goff.
 
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WildBillPicks7

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What's so fishy about the line Morris? It opened -1 1/2 Detroit, they are off a bye week and now it's -3. Hebert still has the splint on his finger, no other injuries as of today reported by Chargers or Lions. Lions have a better record, so the Lions should have been at least a 1 point favorite. Chargers "D" is solid, they shut down the Jets away, now go from West to East back to West and play a team off a bye week.

No other info found thus far. Detroit is a bigger public team than the Bolts are!
 

Smitty

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lines these days are mostly driven by the computers. i don't have access to the programs used by the linesmakers or the big syndicates. about all i have is the espn "matchup predictor" and sagarin. espn has the chargers at 59% to win this game. that equates to roughly a 2.5 - 3 point favorite. sagarin has these teams just about even, so LA would be favored by whatever they get for home field advantage. i'd assume about 2 points.

another way to look at it is that this line implies detroit would be favored by about 8 at home against LA. which would certainly seem very high and would lead to this same discussion.

the only way it makes sense is if the linesmakers pretty much know herbert is going to continue to be ineffective.
 

Jord20

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lines these days are mostly driven by the computers. i don't have access to the programs used by the linesmakers or the big syndicates. about all i have is the espn "matchup predictor" and sagarin. espn has the chargers at 59% to win this game. that equates to roughly a 2.5 - 3 point favorite. sagarin has these teams just about even, so LA would be favored by whatever they get for home field advantage. i'd assume about 2 points.

another way to look at it is that this line implies detroit would be favored by about 8 at home against LA. which would certainly seem very high and would lead to this same discussion.

the only way it makes sense is if the linesmakers pretty much know herbert is going to continue to be ineffective.
Agree with a lot of this. Chargers don’t get near 3 points of home field on these models. More like 1. Even still it’s bonkers. I don’t care. I’m hammering chargers until Herby’s finger falls off
 
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