Projecting ATS winners is a snap when teams play to their strengths instead of playing for the long haul of the season (ie. starters playing less minutes or riding the bench). That goes for playoff-bound teams, as well as teams tanking for the lottery. The model’s success the past two weeks is down to both realities, as well as very odd, often wildly inflated lines coming from Vegas sportsbooks. All dogs are covering at a 53% rate, with TOR and WAS leading the pack. Straight-up, the model’s record is barely holding above 60%, but the Totals’ record is downright abysmal, and if it doesn’t hit on half its picks the next 3 days, I’m going to dump it. I’ve re-shaded the current standings to reflect cutoffs for the play-in and playoffs. Sticking to the Saturday to Friday posting schedule, this week will be abbreviated to 3 days only. GLTA
