My favorite week of the year. Getting one early bet in for now.
Sergio Garcia to win 32.5/1
Sergio Garcia to win 32.5/1
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The Masters
- Thread starter Agent 0659
- Start date
Probabaly be out of puter range from early Sunday till Friday--not much up yet but got a couple
Top 5 David Howell 11/1 @ Cbet
prop
Will winner be former champ (yes) -111 @Pinnacle
Top 5 David Howell 11/1 @ Cbet
prop
Will winner be former champ (yes) -111 @Pinnacle
Here is the field, the players in bold are the only players IMO who have a chance of winning.
Tommy Aaron
Robert Allenby
Stephen Ames
Stuart Appleby
Severiano Ballesteros
Rich Beem
Thomas Bjorn
Jason Bohn
Gay Brewer Jr.
Olin Browne
Bart Bryant
Jack Burke Jr.
Angel Cabrera
Mark Calcavecchia
Chad Campbell
Michael Campbell
Billy Casper
K. J. Choi
Stewart Cink
Tim Clark
Darren Clarke
Charles Coody
Fred Couples
Ben Crane
Ben Crenshaw
Ben Curtis J
ohn Daly
Chris DiMarco
Luke Donald
Dillon Dougherty
David Duval
Steve Elkington
Ernie Els
Nick Faldo
Raymond Floyd
Doug Ford
Fred Funk
Jim Furyk
Sergio Garcia
Lucas Glover
Bob Goalby
Retief Goosen
Todd Hamilton
Padraig Harrington
Mark Hensby
Tim Herron
Charles Howell III
David Howell
Trevor Immelman
Thongchai Jaidee
Miguel Angel Jimenez
Brandt Jobe
Zach Johnson
Shingo Katayama
Bernhard Langer
Tom Lehman
Justin Leonard
Thomas Levet
Peter Lonard
Davis Love III
Sandy Lyle
Kevin Marsh
Shigeki Maruyama
Billy Mayfair
Brian McElhinney
Paul McGinley
Rocco Mediate
Shaun Micheel
Phil Mickelson
Larry Mize
Edoardo Molinari
Colin Montgomerie
Ryan Moore
Byron Nelson
Jack Nicklaus
Arron Oberholser
Clay Ogden
Joe Ogilvie
Geoff Ogilvy
Sean O'Hair
Nick O'Hern
Jose Maria Olazabal
Mark O'Meara
Arnold Palmer
Rod Pampling
Kenny Perry
Carl Pettersson
Gary Player
Ted Purdy
Rory Sabbatini
Adam Scott
Vijay Singh
Craig Stadler
Henrik Stenson
Vaughn Taylor
David Toms
Scott Verplank
Tom Watson
Mike Weir
Lee Westwood
Tiger Woods
Ian Woosnam
Fuzzy Zoeller
And thats assuming for a few of those players that it plays hard and fast. If it rains you are looking at a 10 player field basically.
Tommy Aaron
Robert Allenby
Stephen Ames
Stuart Appleby
Severiano Ballesteros
Rich Beem
Thomas Bjorn
Jason Bohn
Gay Brewer Jr.
Olin Browne
Bart Bryant
Jack Burke Jr.
Angel Cabrera
Mark Calcavecchia
Chad Campbell
Michael Campbell
Billy Casper
K. J. Choi
Stewart Cink
Tim Clark
Darren Clarke
Charles Coody
Fred Couples
Ben Crane
Ben Crenshaw
Ben Curtis J
ohn Daly
Chris DiMarco
Luke Donald
Dillon Dougherty
David Duval
Steve Elkington
Ernie Els
Nick Faldo
Raymond Floyd
Doug Ford
Fred Funk
Jim Furyk
Sergio Garcia
Lucas Glover
Bob Goalby
Retief Goosen
Todd Hamilton
Padraig Harrington
Mark Hensby
Tim Herron
Charles Howell III
David Howell
Trevor Immelman
Thongchai Jaidee
Miguel Angel Jimenez
Brandt Jobe
Zach Johnson
Shingo Katayama
Bernhard Langer
Tom Lehman
Justin Leonard
Thomas Levet
Peter Lonard
Davis Love III
Sandy Lyle
Kevin Marsh
Shigeki Maruyama
Billy Mayfair
Brian McElhinney
Paul McGinley
Rocco Mediate
Shaun Micheel
Phil Mickelson
Larry Mize
Edoardo Molinari
Colin Montgomerie
Ryan Moore
Byron Nelson
Jack Nicklaus
Arron Oberholser
Clay Ogden
Joe Ogilvie
Geoff Ogilvy
Sean O'Hair
Nick O'Hern
Jose Maria Olazabal
Mark O'Meara
Arnold Palmer
Rod Pampling
Kenny Perry
Carl Pettersson
Gary Player
Ted Purdy
Rory Sabbatini
Adam Scott
Vijay Singh
Craig Stadler
Henrik Stenson
Vaughn Taylor
David Toms
Scott Verplank
Tom Watson
Mike Weir
Lee Westwood
Tiger Woods
Ian Woosnam
Fuzzy Zoeller
And thats assuming for a few of those players that it plays hard and fast. If it rains you are looking at a 10 player field basically.
- Feb 26, 2001
- 13,593
- 164
- 63
from betcris...
1
TIGER WOODS
+310
2
ERNIE ELS
+1000
3
PHIL MICKELSON
+600
4
VIJAY SINGH
+1300
5
RETIEF GOOSEN
+875
6
SERGIO GARCIA
+2800
7
LUKE DONALD
+2500
8
PADRAIG HARRINGTON
+4000
9
JIM FURYK
+3300
10
DAVID TOMS
+2800
11
CHRIS DIMARCO
+3000
12
ADAM SCOTT
+4200
13
DAVIS LOVE III
+4000
14
JOSE MARIA OLAZABAL
+1600
15
MIKE WEIR
+4000
16
STUART APPLEBY
+7500
17
DARREN CLARKE
+4200
18
MICHAEL CAMPBELL
+8000
19
DAVID HOWELL
+6600
20
ANGEL CABRERA
+8500
21
HENRIK STENSON
+4000
22
RORY SABBATINI
+8000
23
COLIN MONTGOMERIE
+10000
24
CHAD CAMPBELL
+6600
25
TIM CLARK
+8500
26
AARON OBERHOLSER
+10000
27
ROBERT ALLENBY
+8000
28
KYOUNG JU CHOI
+10000
29
LEE WESTWOOD
+8000
30
JUSTIN LEONARD
+10000
31
FRED COUPLES
+8000
32
STEWART CINK
+11000
33
SCOTT VERPLANK
+4500
34
CHARLES HOWELL III
+10000
35
GEOFF OGILVY
+6000
36
JOHN DALY
+11000
37
MARK HENSBY
+11000
38
ZACH JOHNSON
+8000
39
LUCAS GLOVER
+10000
40
TOM LEHMAN
+10000
41
THE FIELD (ALL OTHERS PLAYERS)
+700
Olazabel and Toms are my dark horses. I will be there on Sunday, and I can't wait to watch it all go down. Also will throw in Luke Donald for my "young gun" pick.
1
TIGER WOODS
+310
2
ERNIE ELS
+1000
3
PHIL MICKELSON
+600
4
VIJAY SINGH
+1300
5
RETIEF GOOSEN
+875
6
SERGIO GARCIA
+2800
7
LUKE DONALD
+2500
8
PADRAIG HARRINGTON
+4000
9
JIM FURYK
+3300
10
DAVID TOMS
+2800
11
CHRIS DIMARCO
+3000
12
ADAM SCOTT
+4200
13
DAVIS LOVE III
+4000
14
JOSE MARIA OLAZABAL
+1600
15
MIKE WEIR
+4000
16
STUART APPLEBY
+7500
17
DARREN CLARKE
+4200
18
MICHAEL CAMPBELL
+8000
19
DAVID HOWELL
+6600
20
ANGEL CABRERA
+8500
21
HENRIK STENSON
+4000
22
RORY SABBATINI
+8000
23
COLIN MONTGOMERIE
+10000
24
CHAD CAMPBELL
+6600
25
TIM CLARK
+8500
26
AARON OBERHOLSER
+10000
27
ROBERT ALLENBY
+8000
28
KYOUNG JU CHOI
+10000
29
LEE WESTWOOD
+8000
30
JUSTIN LEONARD
+10000
31
FRED COUPLES
+8000
32
STEWART CINK
+11000
33
SCOTT VERPLANK
+4500
34
CHARLES HOWELL III
+10000
35
GEOFF OGILVY
+6000
36
JOHN DALY
+11000
37
MARK HENSBY
+11000
38
ZACH JOHNSON
+8000
39
LUCAS GLOVER
+10000
40
TOM LEHMAN
+10000
41
THE FIELD (ALL OTHERS PLAYERS)
+700
Olazabel and Toms are my dark horses. I will be there on Sunday, and I can't wait to watch it all go down. Also will throw in Luke Donald for my "young gun" pick.
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Olazabal and Toms arent darhorses :142smilie They have both won majors and Olazabal has won this tournament twice! :mj07:
ridle, i'm with you on a couple... have played these so far...
Davis Love III 50-1 (1/2 unit)
Angel Cabrera 100-1 (1/4 unit)
Trevor Immelman 200-1 (1/5 unit)
Rich Beem 300-1 (1/5 unit)
Davis Love III 50-1 (1/2 unit)
Angel Cabrera 100-1 (1/4 unit)
Trevor Immelman 200-1 (1/5 unit)
Rich Beem 300-1 (1/5 unit)
Agent 0659 said:
I could be wrong, but I don't think all the buzz in Augusta this week is surrounding Jose and David.
But let me correct myself. Toms and Olazabal are my favorites outside of the big 5: Woods, Singh, Lefty, Goosen, and Els (although I don't know if Els still qualifies)
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EW 1/4 1-5 :
Jim Furyk --> 33/1 SportingBet
Padraig Harrington --> 50/1 SportingBet
K. J. Choi --> 100/1 SportingBet
Jim Furyk --> 33/1 SportingBet
Padraig Harrington --> 50/1 SportingBet
K. J. Choi --> 100/1 SportingBet
Outright plays (total stake per play: 1.5pts)
Vijay Singh to win 14/1 e.w. available generally
Did consider Goosen for this, but 12/1 is just too short for a player who has played three straight weeks coming into a major and finishing 2nd and 4th in the last two of those. Instead, Vijay gets the nod here. A former winner in 2000, he has finished no worse than 7th in five of six attempts this millenium. And he has had particularly good chances to win a second Green Jacket: until finding water at the 13th and 15th holes in 2002 and last year when he hit more greens in regulation than anyone else in the field, but took more putts than anyone else to finish 5th. He has reflected on last year's event and admits that had he putted like he normally does he would probably have won the event, but it also leads him to be confident about this week as, in his own words, "now I'm putting really well and feel like I can make putts." It was the difference between winning and just being placed last year, but with the lengthening of the course and the dry conditions, putting should less important and that is good news for Vijay. It is no coincidence that the longest venue for a major was Whistling Straits (2004 PGA Championship) and won that title. He has shown good form this year without winning, but this week represents his best chance of victory so far. The course conditions really have limited the number of players who can win this week and there should be an absence of unfamiliar names on Sunday's leaderboard.
Sergio Garcia to win 16/1 e.w. @ SkyBet, Bet365, Paddy Power and BetFred ['w/o Big Five' market]
There have been only two years since Augusta National was lengthened considerably in 2001 in which there had been a shortage of rain in the period before the event (2002 and 2004). On both occasions there were thunderstorms and rain during the event to soften the course a little, but these are the best indicators to how the course will play this week as last month was one of the driest Marches in Augusta history. In 2002, the 'Big Five' of Woods, Singh, Mickelson, Els and Goosen filled four of the top-5 places and in 2004, they filled the top-two places. In the wetter years, they filled just one of the top-5 in 2003 and three of the top-nine places last year. And the Big Five have one important common factor: length off the tee. The lengthening of the course and the dry conditions should make this an event in which the Big Five will dominate the leaderboard and that makes this market particularly attractive, especially as there are worries over Garcia's final round nerves when challenging for a major title. In the two dry years, 2002 and 2004, he finished 4th and 8th, which translate into finishes of 2nd and 4th in this market. And with the dry conditions and the winds earlier this week drying out the greens even further, they should be playing particularly fast, which suits Garcia's game perfectly. Like Vijay, he has shown some very good form this year without winning, so I don't see him donning the Green Jacket on Sunday night, but another high finish in a major should be profitable in this market.
Angel Cabrera to win 40/1 e.w. @ SkyBet, Paddy Power and BetFred ['w/o Big Five' market]
Rather more speculative here. He has missed the cut in each of the last two years, though last year he was on a run of successive missed cuts and two years ago it was his only start in a two-month spell, but from 2001 to 2003 he finished 10th, 9th and 15th. He has shown some form this year with a 15th place finish in the Bay Hill Invitational, but it is at the Augusta National that he is most suited. The increases in the length of the course suit his very long driving, it is a classic risk-reward setup and he will take risks as shown by the fact that he is ranked 1st in the 'going for the green' category on the PGA Tour, but he more than just a bomber, he also has a very good touch on the greens as shown by the fact that he is ranked 3rd in the '3-putt avoidance' category on the PGA Tour. These are the attributes that are important this week and with the Big Five expected to fill a lot of the leading positions, there is much better value in this market and 40/1 than the 7/1 on the top-10 finish.
Vijay Singh to win 14/1 e.w. available generally
Did consider Goosen for this, but 12/1 is just too short for a player who has played three straight weeks coming into a major and finishing 2nd and 4th in the last two of those. Instead, Vijay gets the nod here. A former winner in 2000, he has finished no worse than 7th in five of six attempts this millenium. And he has had particularly good chances to win a second Green Jacket: until finding water at the 13th and 15th holes in 2002 and last year when he hit more greens in regulation than anyone else in the field, but took more putts than anyone else to finish 5th. He has reflected on last year's event and admits that had he putted like he normally does he would probably have won the event, but it also leads him to be confident about this week as, in his own words, "now I'm putting really well and feel like I can make putts." It was the difference between winning and just being placed last year, but with the lengthening of the course and the dry conditions, putting should less important and that is good news for Vijay. It is no coincidence that the longest venue for a major was Whistling Straits (2004 PGA Championship) and won that title. He has shown good form this year without winning, but this week represents his best chance of victory so far. The course conditions really have limited the number of players who can win this week and there should be an absence of unfamiliar names on Sunday's leaderboard.
Sergio Garcia to win 16/1 e.w. @ SkyBet, Bet365, Paddy Power and BetFred ['w/o Big Five' market]
There have been only two years since Augusta National was lengthened considerably in 2001 in which there had been a shortage of rain in the period before the event (2002 and 2004). On both occasions there were thunderstorms and rain during the event to soften the course a little, but these are the best indicators to how the course will play this week as last month was one of the driest Marches in Augusta history. In 2002, the 'Big Five' of Woods, Singh, Mickelson, Els and Goosen filled four of the top-5 places and in 2004, they filled the top-two places. In the wetter years, they filled just one of the top-5 in 2003 and three of the top-nine places last year. And the Big Five have one important common factor: length off the tee. The lengthening of the course and the dry conditions should make this an event in which the Big Five will dominate the leaderboard and that makes this market particularly attractive, especially as there are worries over Garcia's final round nerves when challenging for a major title. In the two dry years, 2002 and 2004, he finished 4th and 8th, which translate into finishes of 2nd and 4th in this market. And with the dry conditions and the winds earlier this week drying out the greens even further, they should be playing particularly fast, which suits Garcia's game perfectly. Like Vijay, he has shown some very good form this year without winning, so I don't see him donning the Green Jacket on Sunday night, but another high finish in a major should be profitable in this market.
Angel Cabrera to win 40/1 e.w. @ SkyBet, Paddy Power and BetFred ['w/o Big Five' market]
Rather more speculative here. He has missed the cut in each of the last two years, though last year he was on a run of successive missed cuts and two years ago it was his only start in a two-month spell, but from 2001 to 2003 he finished 10th, 9th and 15th. He has shown some form this year with a 15th place finish in the Bay Hill Invitational, but it is at the Augusta National that he is most suited. The increases in the length of the course suit his very long driving, it is a classic risk-reward setup and he will take risks as shown by the fact that he is ranked 1st in the 'going for the green' category on the PGA Tour, but he more than just a bomber, he also has a very good touch on the greens as shown by the fact that he is ranked 3rd in the '3-putt avoidance' category on the PGA Tour. These are the attributes that are important this week and with the Big Five expected to fill a lot of the leading positions, there is much better value in this market and 40/1 than the 7/1 on the top-10 finish.
Had some first round leader plays as the early tee times attract me
Pampling 100/1 1/4 1-5
Mediate 250/1 1/4 1-5
Dougherty 750/1 1/4 1-5
Molinari 750/1 1/4 1-5 both small !
Immelman 125/1 1/4 1-5
Lehman 100/1 1/4 1-5
Crane 125/1 1/4 1-5
Taylor Vaughn 125/1 1/4 1-5
BTW nice finish by Tataraungi last week pity he had some bad rounds in it!
Pampling 100/1 1/4 1-5
Mediate 250/1 1/4 1-5
Dougherty 750/1 1/4 1-5
Molinari 750/1 1/4 1-5 both small !
Immelman 125/1 1/4 1-5
Lehman 100/1 1/4 1-5
Crane 125/1 1/4 1-5
Taylor Vaughn 125/1 1/4 1-5
BTW nice finish by Tataraungi last week pity he had some bad rounds in it!
Without Big 5:
Event Date Event Selections Odds E/W Terms
1 04/09/2006 US Masters 2006 - Betting Without Woods, Mickelson, Els, Goosen, Singh (To Win Outright) Tom Lehman +6600 5 places 1/4 odds
Remove
Event Date Event Selections Odds E/W Terms
1 04/09/2006 US Masters 2006 - Betting Without Woods, Mickelson, Els, Goosen, Singh (To Win Outright) Tom Lehman +6600 5 places 1/4 odds
Remove
- Feb 26, 2001
- 13,593
- 164
- 63
Nothing too exciting....
Singh 16-1 win (wsex)
Mickelson 10-1 win (wsex)
Garcia 16-1 ew w/o Big5 (betfred) - from Stanley
Stenson 150-1 win (wsex) - from Whalers
Ridle was too quick for me. I thought I was the first to see the tee-times. I only played one.
First Round
Pampling 100-1 ew (betfred)
Singh 16-1 win (wsex)
Mickelson 10-1 win (wsex)
Garcia 16-1 ew w/o Big5 (betfred) - from Stanley
Stenson 150-1 win (wsex) - from Whalers
Ridle was too quick for me. I thought I was the first to see the tee-times. I only played one.
First Round
Pampling 100-1 ew (betfred)
I think DiMarco at 30-1 is great, he has come so close so many times, and Florida just won the National Championship, stay positive Chris.....
:SIB
:SIB
Also going to play:
Tiger, Phil, Vijay, Furyk & Olazabel...
But really rooting for DiMarco...
Dimarco 30-1
Mickelson 6-1 (4X)
Tiger 3-1 (5X)
Singh 15-1 (2X)
Olazabel 25-1
Furyk 30-1
Tiger, Phil, Vijay, Furyk & Olazabel...
But really rooting for DiMarco...
Dimarco 30-1
Mickelson 6-1 (4X)
Tiger 3-1 (5X)
Singh 15-1 (2X)
Olazabel 25-1
Furyk 30-1
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Matchups:
Olazabal(-130) over Johnson (Tournament) @ Infinity
Johnson(+160) over Olazabal (Tournament) @ 5dimes
GL
Olazabal(-130) over Johnson (Tournament) @ Infinity
Johnson(+160) over Olazabal (Tournament) @ 5dimes
GL
