OUTRIGHTS:
Ernie Els(10/1) e.w. (ante-post) @ Bet365
- - Augusta is the right place for Ernie's "return" to the majors. Back in January, every scenario I could spin for Ernie's season had him present and accounted for on the leaderboard this week - a place where the same faces thrive year after year. Almost three months later, the storyline that seems to have taken shape - which was one of the specific scenarios contemplated in January - has featured game killing pressing of late, on top of other arguable discombobulations; now on the grounds of the place and tournament he genuinely loves seems the right moment when Els plays golf and more or less instinctively stops focusing on his swing and mechanics . . . The fire beneath an uncharacteristic display of frustration on the 9th hole of the Players Championship was OK to see from The Big Quitter (i.e., Tom Meeks of the U.S.G.A.), but what had my eyes rolling was his decision to unveil a center shafted putter - that was not the right answer in my book . . . But if memory serves, there is some helpful precedent: Maybe it was an earlier year, but wasn't it 2004 when Phil Mickelson unveiled a potato masher contraption, instead of his classic blade putter, for the greens at Doral and elsewhere in Florida, but common sense prevailed, the right choice was made at Augusta, and the rest is history . ? .? .
Phil Mickelson(+650) e.w. @ GolfingGods
- - Lefty's wedge play around the greens has definitely been a little off this season, and now the plan is to add a second driver; regardless, if his genius around the greens is on display again this week, the winner of 2 of the last 8 majors will not be finishing outside the Top 5.
Stephen Ames(80/1)(1/4 for 1-2-3-4-5-6) e.w. @ GolfingGods
- - "9 and 8" and the circumstances that earn you that moniker among your peers is not likely to be just another incident in the course of an otherwise long and cyclical season - it seems much more likely to be tied up in defining a season by setting you back for a while or making you significantly stronger . . . During decades of watching LOTS of meaningful golf, the run by Stephen Ames that was on display in 2004 constituted perhaps the finest zone of precise ball striking through the late spring and summer months that I've ever witnessed by any player without a list of championships as long as their sleeve, and is a level of form I'll always associate with his name. With that salient fact safely tucked away from 2004, it requires noting that Ames' putting can now look second to none, which is something I don't recall about his game when he first emerged in 2004 (although his chipping and pitching from close to the green still remain the weakest links in his game), and IMO his comportment and maturity in Sunday style situations have also progressed noticeably, so when Mr. "9 and 8" dropped hints of nothing but rounding into form in recent weeks, there was absoluetley zero chance I would hesitate and let a spot that maybe owed Ames something (Craig Perks????) slip by . . . I'm not about to pick up the marker from the biggest winning wager of my life and still feel like I'm deserving of ever winning another wager, but the fact of the matter is that I don't foresee Stephen and his brother Robert having their act turn immediately stale.
Stephen Ames(60/1)(1/4 for 1-2-3-4-5) e.w. for 1st Round Leader @ GolfingGods
- - Requires an exception to the rule of typical Thursday openers from good ol' 9 and 8. It works for me.
Tiger Woods(+400) WIN Only @ GolfingGods
- - As ever, I make a wager in the Grand Slam events as some sort of insurance against; last year's concession on my part that, "it's been long enough that I could easily pull for the Chosen One (Big Occasion Cablinasian, Eldrick of Windermere, History, Major Major, Money, Sam, T, the Man, the Show, the Striped One, the Terminator, the Universal Child, the Zone, Urkel) in the right situation," was in stark contrast to my usual rooting interest as a golf fan, but that sentiment is definitely off the table in 2006 after Tiger added two more scalps last year before deciding Monday at Baltusrol wasn't worth his while.
Chris DiMarco(33/1) e.w. (ante-post) @ Bet365
- - I can still believe (hope) that an ante-post wager holds lots of merit without retaining its value.
ODDS AND ENDS:
(1) Props to
DTB for last year's post on the course setup:
Friday should let up a little
- - "(Thursday) has a 90 percent chance of being brutal, with pins tucked and tees tipped. Friday should let up a little, giving players a chance to shoot for the cut line. Saturday will turn harsh again, separating contenders from pretenders . . . Then Sunday will be fair pins with scoring conditions optimal and 100 percent chance of high drama . . . "If it ain't broke, don't fix it," Masters (Tournament) Chairman Hootie Johnson said of the formula that has worked for more than 70 years . . . "We've been doing this 68 years," he said. "We know the golf course" . . . We try to test all parts of the game all week with a bias toward the finesse players," said Will Nicholson, the former USGA president who leads the Masters' rules and competition committees. "On Sunday, we let the shotmakers take over."
(2) Overall, with posted plays at Madjack's from 2002-2006, the Masters, Open Championship and Players Championship have been exceptionally good events for me, while the U.S. Open and P.G.A. have been definite disappointments . . . As ever, it's been prelude up to now, and the culmination of the first chapter of another season is at hand.
(3) Lots of intriguing storylines among the debutantes; for at least a month I've fancied Ogilvy in that specialty market, but I still need to pull the trigger. Goosen on glassy greens and in good form is hard to overlook. The "Without Big 5" market needs to be dabbled in.
GL
1966 - Augusta National - 2nd Tee