The Matchplay
- Thread starter Tommyjay
- Start date
Started a separate thread but wanted to paste my plays here. Stanley would it be possible to be added to your record keeping thread? Thanks and good luck to all today!
YTD 0-0
J Walker -125 over Poulter
Weisberger -135 over Fleetwood
D Johnson -220 over Duboisson
Kirk +15 over scott
Kirk -1 the first two rounds and Scott +4. Scott having putting issues.
Molinari +25 over Casey
Molinari -2 first 2 rounds and Casey even
Molinari hits it very straight. Casey unimpressive so far
Horschel over McIlroy +70
Horshel -7 first 2 rounds and McIlroy -5. Mcilroy hasn't made a bogey first 2 rounds...hard to go three days in a row. Horschel on the other hand has made 9 birdies. Should be a good match...+70 good value
Sned -50 over Dufner
Dufner in a bad spot for several reasons. Divorce has him in a bad spot mentally. Weight loss often a detriment to golf game. Putting is terrible at the moment. Looks like Duf is ready to catch quickest flight out.
YTD 0-0
J Walker -125 over Poulter
Weisberger -135 over Fleetwood
D Johnson -220 over Duboisson
Kirk +15 over scott
Kirk -1 the first two rounds and Scott +4. Scott having putting issues.
Molinari +25 over Casey
Molinari -2 first 2 rounds and Casey even
Molinari hits it very straight. Casey unimpressive so far
Horschel over McIlroy +70
Horshel -7 first 2 rounds and McIlroy -5. Mcilroy hasn't made a bogey first 2 rounds...hard to go three days in a row. Horschel on the other hand has made 9 birdies. Should be a good match...+70 good value
Sned -50 over Dufner
Dufner in a bad spot for several reasons. Divorce has him in a bad spot mentally. Weight loss often a detriment to golf game. Putting is terrible at the moment. Looks like Duf is ready to catch quickest flight out.
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Will do birdieman 
Day 3 plays (4pts unless stated):
Brendon Todd to beat John Senden -110 @ SkyBet, Paddy Power, Ladbrokes and BetVictor [available generally]
Senden played poorly on Wednesday and again yesterday, but when his opponents have been 3-over-par and 5-over-par respectively, he could hardly fail to win both matches. And now that he is 2-0, he has already guaranteed himself a place in the next round so this is an unusual match and not really what the organisers of the new format wanted. In his own words: "I'm going to reserve the energy tomorrow and Brendon Todd is a world class player and we're good friends". There are potentially four more rounds of golf to be played over the weekend, so Senden wants as short a match as possible, whereas Todd - a good friend of Senden's - has pride to play for today. If he takes an early lead, it will suit Senden if this match is over quickly.
Ryan Moore to beat Patrick Reed +163 @ Stan James and BetVictor [available generally]
At these odds, I'll back Moore in an event famous for shocks. Admittedly, he is already eliminated, but as with Todd, that is no guarantee that they will simply fold today - they will want to avoid being 0-for-3 in this new format. Reed hasn't played particularly well this week - he was over-par on Wednesday and, after holing his bunker shot for an eagle on the 1st hole, he managed just one birdie in the rest of the round yesterday. With his attention also on the game behind - he needs Sullivan to beat Willett to have a chance of progressing - there is at least a 50:50 chance in my book that he will lose to Moore today.
Jimmy Walker to beat Ian Poulter -124 @ Pinnacle [available generally]
The organisers of the new format got what they wanted in this group: a 3rd day shootout with the winner progressing to the final 16. Unfortunately, for the organisers, it is a shootout between the two lowest seeds in the group. For Walker, that is a surprise. He has been in very good form with two wins this year already and he has lost both matches only in extra holes, so he is unlucky to be out of this tournament. But Poulter deserves to be ... he has been over-par for both rounds this week and, for all his reputation as a matchplayer, that is in the past: he has progressed beyond the 1st round just once in the last four years and was anything but an 'impact player' in the last Ryder Cup. He is a player who will be keen to get out of here as quick as possible.
Day 3 plays (4pts unless stated):
Brendon Todd to beat John Senden -110 @ SkyBet, Paddy Power, Ladbrokes and BetVictor [available generally]
Senden played poorly on Wednesday and again yesterday, but when his opponents have been 3-over-par and 5-over-par respectively, he could hardly fail to win both matches. And now that he is 2-0, he has already guaranteed himself a place in the next round so this is an unusual match and not really what the organisers of the new format wanted. In his own words: "I'm going to reserve the energy tomorrow and Brendon Todd is a world class player and we're good friends". There are potentially four more rounds of golf to be played over the weekend, so Senden wants as short a match as possible, whereas Todd - a good friend of Senden's - has pride to play for today. If he takes an early lead, it will suit Senden if this match is over quickly.
Ryan Moore to beat Patrick Reed +163 @ Stan James and BetVictor [available generally]
At these odds, I'll back Moore in an event famous for shocks. Admittedly, he is already eliminated, but as with Todd, that is no guarantee that they will simply fold today - they will want to avoid being 0-for-3 in this new format. Reed hasn't played particularly well this week - he was over-par on Wednesday and, after holing his bunker shot for an eagle on the 1st hole, he managed just one birdie in the rest of the round yesterday. With his attention also on the game behind - he needs Sullivan to beat Willett to have a chance of progressing - there is at least a 50:50 chance in my book that he will lose to Moore today.
Jimmy Walker to beat Ian Poulter -124 @ Pinnacle [available generally]
The organisers of the new format got what they wanted in this group: a 3rd day shootout with the winner progressing to the final 16. Unfortunately, for the organisers, it is a shootout between the two lowest seeds in the group. For Walker, that is a surprise. He has been in very good form with two wins this year already and he has lost both matches only in extra holes, so he is unlucky to be out of this tournament. But Poulter deserves to be ... he has been over-par for both rounds this week and, for all his reputation as a matchplayer, that is in the past: he has progressed beyond the 1st round just once in the last four years and was anything but an 'impact player' in the last Ryder Cup. He is a player who will be keen to get out of here as quick as possible.
19-11 +10.5*
Willet +110 *
Leishmaniasis -110 **
Furyk -140 **
Matsuyana +150 *
Casey -130 **
Fowler -110 ***
Gl
Willet +110 *
Leishmaniasis -110 **
Furyk -140 **
Matsuyana +150 *
Casey -130 **
Fowler -110 ***
Gl
Last 16 play (4pts):
Louis Oosthuizen to beat Rickie Fowler +110 @ Bet365 [available generally]
Backing the underdog in this matchup, not just for the nature of his win yesterday against Bubba, but for the way that he has played so far this week: in his three matches so far, he has been 4-under-par, 7-under-par, and 4-under-par. Fowler hit a lower score yesterday, but he was playing without pressure having already secured his place in the last 16, but he shot lower scores than Oosthuizen in both the first two days. While Oosthuizen played better, he still faced a tough match to get through to today. He met that challenge in style yesterday and I'm backing him to reach the quarter-finals for the second year in a row.
Louis Oosthuizen to beat Rickie Fowler +110 @ Bet365 [available generally]
Backing the underdog in this matchup, not just for the nature of his win yesterday against Bubba, but for the way that he has played so far this week: in his three matches so far, he has been 4-under-par, 7-under-par, and 4-under-par. Fowler hit a lower score yesterday, but he was playing without pressure having already secured his place in the last 16, but he shot lower scores than Oosthuizen in both the first two days. While Oosthuizen played better, he still faced a tough match to get through to today. He met that challenge in style yesterday and I'm backing him to reach the quarter-finals for the second year in a row.
Semi-Final play (2pts):
Gary Woodland to beat Danny Willett -119 @ Pinnacle [available generally]
With ten birdies on Saturday and four-under-par in both matches yesterday, Woodland showed that he has the form as well as the game to prosper on this course. Willett matched that score in the morning, but not in the afternoon, but crucially neither of his opponents broke par yesterday. In this form this week, the edge has to be with Woodland in this match.
Gary Woodland to beat Danny Willett -119 @ Pinnacle [available generally]
With ten birdies on Saturday and four-under-par in both matches yesterday, Woodland showed that he has the form as well as the game to prosper on this course. Willett matched that score in the morning, but not in the afternoon, but crucially neither of his opponents broke par yesterday. In this form this week, the edge has to be with Woodland in this match.
