- Sep 1, 2012
- 9,684
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I’m all in for Balty and Lamar this year after Buffalo lost to KC. In case you didn’t know…Taylor Swift is single handedly responsible for the most viewed NFL game this year. Why is Smith in Balty?
Let’s examine these eye popping stats!
*Home teams have a 55.4 win percentage since Smith entered the league as a referee. (That number drops to 40.8% when Smith refs the game.)
The disparity between Smith and the other referees is steep when factoring in point spread.
“Across the NFL in the last three seasons, home teams have covered 49.4% of spreads... Under Smith, home teams are only 17-29-3 against the spread (37.0%) in the last three years,”
Smith tends to penalize the home team at a higher rate than his counterparts. One example: The number of false starts.
“Leaguewide over the last three seasons, in games Smith did not officiate... 4.6% more false start penalties (were called) on the road team,”
Conversely, in games Smith does officiate, he “has called 34.8% more false starts on the home teams,”!
Let’s examine these eye popping stats!
*Home teams have a 55.4 win percentage since Smith entered the league as a referee. (That number drops to 40.8% when Smith refs the game.)
The disparity between Smith and the other referees is steep when factoring in point spread.
“Across the NFL in the last three seasons, home teams have covered 49.4% of spreads... Under Smith, home teams are only 17-29-3 against the spread (37.0%) in the last three years,”
Smith tends to penalize the home team at a higher rate than his counterparts. One example: The number of false starts.
“Leaguewide over the last three seasons, in games Smith did not officiate... 4.6% more false start penalties (were called) on the road team,”
Conversely, in games Smith does officiate, he “has called 34.8% more false starts on the home teams,”!
