3rd Rd Matchups (1u)
Choi ov O'Hair -110
Chalmers ov Lynn -105
Crane ov Curtis -120
Scott ov McIlroy -110
Choi ov O'Hair -110
Chalmers ov Lynn -105
Crane ov Curtis -120
Scott ov McIlroy -110
The Players
- Thread starter cole
- Start date
3rd Round Match Ups
B VAN PELT (RND 3) -120 (B WATSON (RND 3) vrs B VAN PELT (RND 3))
KJ CHOI (RND 3) -110 (M KAYMER (RND 3) vrs KJ CHOI (RND 3))
B CRANE (RND 3) -120 (B CURTIS (RND 3) vrs B CRANE (RND 3))
A SCOTT (RND 3) -110 (A SCOTT (RND 3) vrs R MCILROY (RND 3))
B VAN PELT (RND 3) -120 (B WATSON (RND 3) vrs B VAN PELT (RND 3))
KJ CHOI (RND 3) -110 (M KAYMER (RND 3) vrs KJ CHOI (RND 3))
B CRANE (RND 3) -120 (B CURTIS (RND 3) vrs B CRANE (RND 3))
A SCOTT (RND 3) -110 (A SCOTT (RND 3) vrs R MCILROY (RND 3))
for rd 3, playing:
kaymer -115 vs choi
a bit of a contrarian style play here as kj has been playing a lot of golf lately and is pretty fresh in people's minds while kaymer has been a bit under the radar since, well prob since his PGA triumph 3-4 years ago - martin has improved his finishing position every year he has played tpc sawgrass, starting with a t-55 in 2009 up to a t-15 last year - KJ a former champ here but his results have been a bit more uneven over the years - and as mentioned before, despite the fact that KJ skipped Quail Hollow lw he had played 4 straight weeks before that so in Kaymer we get the fresher golfer imo
may be back with more, but as always, good luck no matter which golfers you choose
LA Burns
kaymer -115 vs choi
a bit of a contrarian style play here as kj has been playing a lot of golf lately and is pretty fresh in people's minds while kaymer has been a bit under the radar since, well prob since his PGA triumph 3-4 years ago - martin has improved his finishing position every year he has played tpc sawgrass, starting with a t-55 in 2009 up to a t-15 last year - KJ a former champ here but his results have been a bit more uneven over the years - and as mentioned before, despite the fact that KJ skipped Quail Hollow lw he had played 4 straight weeks before that so in Kaymer we get the fresher golfer imo
may be back with more, but as always, good luck no matter which golfers you choose
LA Burns
Round 3 plays (4pts):
Chris Kirk to beat Jerry Kelly -125 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, The Greek and Carib]
Easy to oppose Kelly in this matchup: Kirk leads him 17-4-0 h2h over the last 12 months. With just one top-20 finish in 13 starts this year, I can't see him hanging on to his current top-20 position whereas Kirk has been much more consistent, missing just one cut in 12 starts this year.
Steve Stricker to beat Jason Dufner -120 @ Paddy Power
A similar dominance in this matchup: Dufner has finished ahead of Stricker just once in their last ten common events. Stricker's restricted schedule has seen him play well this year and currently inside the top-15, he looks set to continue reaping the rewards from that regime change.
Chris Kirk to beat Martin Laird -105 @ Bet365
And another dominant matchup in terms of the head-to-heads: in the last 10 months, Laird has finished ahead of Kirk just once. He did win the Texas Open five weeks ago, but he had missed the cut the week before and missed the cut in both starts since that win. He has clearly made the cut this week, but his game is clearly unreliable so I'll oppose him with Kirk at these underdog odds.
Kevin Streelman to beat Peter Hanson -106 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, Stan James, The Greek and Carib]
Hanson was more consistent yesterday, but he still ranks outside the top-100 this week for both driving accuracy and greens in regulation ... that lack of ball-striking does not bode well for the weekend. Streelman lies 4th in greens in regulation this week and so warrants his top-20 position, a position that he secured on this course two years ago and a position that he was in until the final round last year. With a win in March and finishes of 3rd and 6th in his last two starts, he is certainly playing well enough to continue his good form on this course.
Tiger Woods to beat Sergio Garcia -163 @ Pinnacle [available generally]
Short odds, but one stat clinches it for me: in the last 10 times that these have been paired together, Sergio has never shot the lower score (Tiger on 7 occasions and 3 ties). I'll never forget Medinah and I'm it is hard for Sergio to not do the same until he wins a Major.
Chris Kirk to beat Jerry Kelly -125 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, The Greek and Carib]
Easy to oppose Kelly in this matchup: Kirk leads him 17-4-0 h2h over the last 12 months. With just one top-20 finish in 13 starts this year, I can't see him hanging on to his current top-20 position whereas Kirk has been much more consistent, missing just one cut in 12 starts this year.
Steve Stricker to beat Jason Dufner -120 @ Paddy Power
A similar dominance in this matchup: Dufner has finished ahead of Stricker just once in their last ten common events. Stricker's restricted schedule has seen him play well this year and currently inside the top-15, he looks set to continue reaping the rewards from that regime change.
Chris Kirk to beat Martin Laird -105 @ Bet365
And another dominant matchup in terms of the head-to-heads: in the last 10 months, Laird has finished ahead of Kirk just once. He did win the Texas Open five weeks ago, but he had missed the cut the week before and missed the cut in both starts since that win. He has clearly made the cut this week, but his game is clearly unreliable so I'll oppose him with Kirk at these underdog odds.
Kevin Streelman to beat Peter Hanson -106 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, Stan James, The Greek and Carib]
Hanson was more consistent yesterday, but he still ranks outside the top-100 this week for both driving accuracy and greens in regulation ... that lack of ball-striking does not bode well for the weekend. Streelman lies 4th in greens in regulation this week and so warrants his top-20 position, a position that he secured on this course two years ago and a position that he was in until the final round last year. With a win in March and finishes of 3rd and 6th in his last two starts, he is certainly playing well enough to continue his good form on this course.
Tiger Woods to beat Sergio Garcia -163 @ Pinnacle [available generally]
Short odds, but one stat clinches it for me: in the last 10 times that these have been paired together, Sergio has never shot the lower score (Tiger on 7 occasions and 3 ties). I'll never forget Medinah and I'm it is hard for Sergio to not do the same until he wins a Major.
Stenson looking good. I think he has a hell of a chance of pulling this one out. Followed him for a few holes on the front nine today. Very focused.
Hope you cash!
Round 4 plays (4pts):
Adam Scott to beat Webb Simpson -124 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, The Greek and Carib]
A former winner of this event and a winner of the Masters last time out or a player whose best finish on this course in 69th from four attempts? Looks straightforward to me and is only confirmed by the quality of Scott's play from tee-to-green this week - he should be higher than his current 26th position.
Rory McIlroy to beat Daniel Summerhays -175 @ Stan James and BetVictor [available generally]
McIlroy has slid down the leaderboard, but is just six shots off the lead so it not completely out of contention. I'll certainly back him not to lose to Summerhays more than once in every three rounds given that his opponent has secured just one top-25 position in 13 starts this year.
Sergio Garcia to beat David Lingmerth -200 @ BetVictor [available generally]
Partnered with Sergio in the final group of the Players Championship and with Tiger in the group in front, this is an intimidating situation for Lingmerth. He didn't cope well when in the one time in this position on the Web,com Tour (2012 Price Cutter Charity Championship) and with just two cuts made (best-finish: 50th) in his last 10 starts, I can't see Lingmerth staying in this company today.
Chris Kirk to beat Sang-Moon Bae -150 @ Paddy Power [also available @ Bet365 and Stan James]
Kirk's triple-bogey at the last was very costly for me yesterday, but I'll back him to beat Bae whom he has finished ahead in 12 of 16 events in the last 12 months.
David Lynn to beat Jeff Maggert -140 @ 5Dimes [available generally]
I didn't expect Lynn to be such a success on the PGA Tour and he is again in the top-10. It is very much a surprise that Maggert is in the top-10 as his best finish this year in ten starts is 46th. The confidence of Lynn should carry him today; I just can't see Maggert turning back the clock in the final round of the Players Championship.
Adam Scott to beat Webb Simpson -124 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, The Greek and Carib]
A former winner of this event and a winner of the Masters last time out or a player whose best finish on this course in 69th from four attempts? Looks straightforward to me and is only confirmed by the quality of Scott's play from tee-to-green this week - he should be higher than his current 26th position.
Rory McIlroy to beat Daniel Summerhays -175 @ Stan James and BetVictor [available generally]
McIlroy has slid down the leaderboard, but is just six shots off the lead so it not completely out of contention. I'll certainly back him not to lose to Summerhays more than once in every three rounds given that his opponent has secured just one top-25 position in 13 starts this year.
Sergio Garcia to beat David Lingmerth -200 @ BetVictor [available generally]
Partnered with Sergio in the final group of the Players Championship and with Tiger in the group in front, this is an intimidating situation for Lingmerth. He didn't cope well when in the one time in this position on the Web,com Tour (2012 Price Cutter Charity Championship) and with just two cuts made (best-finish: 50th) in his last 10 starts, I can't see Lingmerth staying in this company today.
Chris Kirk to beat Sang-Moon Bae -150 @ Paddy Power [also available @ Bet365 and Stan James]
Kirk's triple-bogey at the last was very costly for me yesterday, but I'll back him to beat Bae whom he has finished ahead in 12 of 16 events in the last 12 months.
David Lynn to beat Jeff Maggert -140 @ 5Dimes [available generally]
I didn't expect Lynn to be such a success on the PGA Tour and he is again in the top-10. It is very much a surprise that Maggert is in the top-10 as his best finish this year in ten starts is 46th. The confidence of Lynn should carry him today; I just can't see Maggert turning back the clock in the final round of the Players Championship.
4th Round Match Ups
B SNEDEKER (RND 4) EV (R MCILROY (RND 4) vrs B SNEDEKER (RND 4))
J DUFNER (RND 4) -120 (J DUFNER (RND 4) vrs L OOSTHUIZEN (RND 4))
B SNEDEKER (RND 4) EV (R MCILROY (RND 4) vrs B SNEDEKER (RND 4))
J DUFNER (RND 4) -120 (J DUFNER (RND 4) vrs L OOSTHUIZEN (RND 4))
