Master Capper
I disagree w your order of the Pac 10 & your evaluation of some teams. First, I am not Scott & I dont want to turn this into a namecalling match! Second, I really appreciate the team previews, you have provided for the forum!
My Pac 10 order:
1 USC
2 Cal, ASU, OSU (for arguments sake of course!)
5 UCLA
6 Oregon
7 UW, WSU
9 AZ, Stanford
Now I am going to analyze the conferences top 5's:
USC/(Miami, OU, Michigan, Georgia/LSU)
I dont know what Miami team you have been watching, but they dont play very good football. All that talent withstanding, they are undisciplined & sloppy in my opinion. OU plays such inferior defenses in the Big 12 that it is hard to compare them against other confs. The fact that Tx Tech was able to put up even better #s than OU says alot to me about the defensive weakness of the Big 12. We saw what that OU offense looked like when tested -- confused & defeated! I dont think the Sooners would be able to stop more experienced SC backfield & wideouts. SC just beat Michigan w/ the senior QB. New QB equals, no luck v the Trojans! Georgia, I give the best shot! 2 seasons ago, I thought this should have been the title game! They can go talent for talent & have experience at QB. I think LSU will struggle w new QB, mainly because they struggled w sr QB last yr. Georgia & LSU D units stellar, but they dont face anything like SC in the SEC.
--adv USC over all except GA
(Cal, ASU, OSU)/(FSU, Ohio St, Texas, Georgia/LSU)
Cal, ASU & OSU all have better QBs than anybody FSU, OSU or Texas will be able to put on the field. I give the definite offensive advantages to the Pac 10 squads in any of these matchups, again w the exception of Georgia. FSU no offensive powerhouse anymore, their schemes would seem simple to Pac 10 defenses. Ohio St would be the other exception from this group. I can see their defense winning the games w very little offensive input. The #2 Pac 10 team last yr (WSU), put a whoopin' on Texas. The score was not indicative of how the Cougars physically dominated the Longhorns! Texas a poor defensive team, and always show up soft against equal competition! OSU will give LSU all they can handle early next season. Again, I think LSU will struggle to score w their new QB -- if OSU can get a lead, I think LSU will struggle trying to play from behind in their season opener! Slight lean to LSU over Cal & ASU, on rep only, cause QBs better at both the Pac 10 schools!
-- advantage Ohio St, Georgia/LSU
(Cal, ASU, OSU)/(Va Tech, Iowa, Neb, Fla/Tenn)
Still better QBs at the Pac 10 schools. Cal just beat Va Tech and would do it again next yr, a frantic late comeback made that game seem closer than it really was. Iowa loses too much on offense to think they can score w the Pac 10. Nebraska has no shot whatsoever. They couldnt eat up Mich St on the interior, but, theyre gonna do it to the Pac 10? I dont think so. I give over all nod to the SEC teams because of their defense. The best defensive conf in the country, hands down!
-- advantage Fla/Tenn
(Cal, ASU, OSU)/(Maryland, Purdue, K St, Fla/Tenn)
Same advantage to Fla/Tenn as above. Maryland, in my opinion #2 or better ACC team next yr. I really like that team. I give them the nod over my #2 group, even though I still give offensive advantage to the Pac 10. Purdue is still far removed from a Big 10 title & I dont think they could finish better than any these teams if they played in the Pac 10. K St no world beater. W/o Roberson, I would take Cal in a rematch next yr. The Golden Bears played the Wildcats better than the Sooners did.
-- advantage Maryland, Fla/Tenn
UCLA/(NC St, Mich St/Minn/Wisc, Mizzou, Ark/Ole Miss)
NC St loses the best player in the ACC from last yr. They will struggle to be anywhere near as good as they were last yr. The middle of the Big 10 not impressive to me. I would take the Bruins offensively & defensively over all 3 of those squads. Mizzou still trying to build respectability for their program. Didnt win a significant game last yr. One of the few decent Big 12 D units, but still give Bruins the edge for playing tougher comp. Ark/Ole Miss -- 2 more great Big 12 defenses! Ark has one of the best coaches in college football, so they get the edge. Ole Miss replacing Manning at QB, will fall back to the middle of the pack in the SEC.
-- advantage UCLA over all except Ark
These are my opinions. I think they are fair! My analysis is based mainly on projections for next season only. On reputation, those other confs win by a landslide, but, on the field, is a different story.
By your own #s, Pac 10 win% about 35% v SEC, 42% v Big 12 & 46% v Big 10. Basically, coin flips v 2 out of 3 of those confs. Nothing to be ashamed of! I dont see the utter domination, that you are talking about. The small # of Pac 10/SEC games is a compliment in a way. Since the SEC seeks the weakest teams to play. I'd be willing to bet that the SEC has more games v the Sun Belt & DII schools than the v Pac 10 over whatever timespan those 101 games were played in.
Another thing, those win%'s have to be placed in their proper perspectives. In other words, how well does the Big 12 do v the Big 10 & SEC. I am pretty sure they dont win anywhere near 46% of their games v the Big 10! Ditto for the SEC!
I appreciate all your hard work MC, so please dont take my opinions in a negative way at all.