Thread watched CNOTES 2023-2024 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

[Cnotes53]

NBA NOVEMBER BEST BETS !

11/18/2023....................................6 - 5...............................54.54%........................+ 2.50
11/17/2023.....................................9 - 7..............................56.25%........................+ 6.50
11/16/2023.....................................3 - 1..............................75.00%........................+ 9.50
11/15/2023.....................................6 -5...............................54.54%........................+ 2.50
11/14/2023......................................5 - 10...........................33 .33%.......................- 30.00
11/13/2023......................................3 - 3..............................50.00%.......................- 1.50
11/12/2023....................................10 - 7............................58.82%........................+ 11.50
11/11/2-23......................................3 - 3..............................50.00%........................- 1.50
11/10/2023.....................................6 - 6..............................50.00%.........................- 3.00
11/09/2023.....................................3 - 1.............................75.00%..........................+ 9.50
11/08/2023....................................10 - 9............................52.63%..........................+ 0.50
11/06/2023.....................................7 - 8.............................46.66%...........................- 9.00
11/05/2023.....................................1 - 6.............................14.28%..........................- 28.00
11/04/2023.....................................4 - 9.............................30.76%...........................- 29.50
11/03/2023.....................................6 - 4.............................60.00%...........................+ 8.00
11/02/2023.....................................4 - 4 - 0.......................50.00%..........................- 2.00
11/01/2023.................................10 - 10 - 0.....................50.00%..........................- 5.00

TOTALS........................................96 - 98 - 0.......................49.48%..........................- 60.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Sunday’s 6-pack:
All-time passing yards leaders for the Cincinnati Bengals:
32,838 yards— Ken Anderson
31,594— Andy Dalton
27,149— Boomer Esiason
22,694— Carson Palmer
15,134— Jeff Blake
14,083— Joe Burrow

Quote of the Day
“That does mean a lot to be quite honest with you. Being at Purdue, we worked hard to win games. Getting to the Big Ten championship was as good as any accomplishment I had there, and we had some big wins. So, we come here, Year 1, to find a way to get to this championship game means a whole lot.
It just shows that if you’re willing to put in the work, surround yourself with good people, allow others to buy in and work together, take the blame when things aren’t going well, good things can normally happen.”
Louisville coach Jeff Brohm

Sunday’s quiz
Michigan coach Jim Harbaugh was an NFL QB for 14 years, playing for four different teams; what team did he play the most games with?

Saturday’s quiz
Luxor Hotel/Casino in Las Vegas is shaped like a pyramid.

Friday’s quiz
In 1996, Cleveland Browns moved to Baltimore and re-branded as the Ravens; Vinny Testaverde was the Ravens’ QB that first season in Baltimore.

********************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a college football Saturday……..​

Before we start, why the BLEEP is Alabama playing Chattanooga in football?
Why would one of the best programs in the country play a I-AA team?
Do they charge less for tickets to this game, which ended 66-10?
(I know, they probably don’t)
Seriously, play a Sun Belt team, play a MAC team, play a service academy team or some other stiff, but for Pete’s sake, DO NOT play a freakin’ I-AA team. It is spineless.

— New Mexico State 31, Auburn 10
Boosters at Auburn ain’t going to be happy with this score.
From 2018-21, New Mexico State was 8-30 SU.
In two years under Jerry Kill, Aggies are 16-9- they’ve covered 9 in a row.
Auburn is 6-5; they play Alabama next. Oy.

— UCLA 38, USC 20
Trojans lost five of last six games, after a 6-0 start.
USC allowed 34+ points in each of their last eight games.
UCLA is 7-4, will be favored next week; does this save Chip Kelly’s job?

— UNLV 31, Air Force 27
UNLV trailed 27-14 at halftime; AF didn’t score in 2nd half.
Rebels averaged 11.7 yards/pass attempt.
UNLV plays San Jose State next week; they could go to MW title game.
No matter what, Rebels are going bowling for first time since 2013.

— Louisville 38, Miami 31
Louisville threw 58-yard TD pass with 4:17 left for game-winning TD.
Cardinals will play in ACC title game for first time (vs Florida State)
Last year, Jeff Brohm led Purdue to their first Big 14 title game- good coach.
Miami is 6-5, 11-12 in two years under Mario Cristobal.

— Florida State also played a I-AA team this week, North Alabama; Seminoles’ QB Jordan Travis hurt his ankle and is done for the season. Big loss for Florida State.

— Appalachian State 26, James Madison 23 OT
First loss of the season for James Madison.
JMU tied game on an 11-yard TD pass with 0:57 left.

— Upsets of the Week:
New Mexico State (+25.5) 31, Auburn 10
Appalachian State 26 (+9), James Madison 23 OT
UCLA (+6.5) 38, USC 20
Old Dominion (+6) 20, Georgia Southern 17
Michigan State (+4) 24, Indiana 21
Army (+4) 28, Coastal Carolina 21

— Word of the Day: Loyalty- a sense of duty or devoted attachment to something or someone.

— SMU 38, Memphis 34
Mustangs threw for 286 yards (12.4 yards/attempt).
SMU is 9-2, 7-0 in the AAC.

— Tulane 24, Florida Atlantic 8
Tulane has won nine games in a row, four of them by 7 or less points.
Green Wave is 10-1, 7-0 in the AAC

— Iowa 15, Illinois 13
Sixth straight Iowa game to stay under the total.
Hawkeyes scored winning TD on a 30-yard run with 4:43 left.
First score of the game was a safety for Iowa.

— Arizona 42, Utah 18
From 2018-22, Arizona was 15-38; this year? 8-3, with five straight wins.
Arizona blocked punt for TD, led 21-0 after first quarter.
Wildcats converted 7-11 third down plays.

— Washington 22, Oregon State 20
11-0 Huskies led 22-10 at halftime, hung on for the win.
Neither team completed half their passes.
Beavers ran 73 plays, Washington 48, but OSU had three turnovers.

— Texas Tech 24, UCF 23
Down 23-17, UCF scored TD with 5:30 left; the PAT was blocked.
Knights led 14-0 after the first quarter.
UCF was 8-14 on third down, Tech 3-9.
Red Raiders are bowl eligible; UCF needs another win.

 

[Udog]

PHILADELPHIA is 32-16 Over (14.4 Units) when playing 6 or more games in 10 days in the last 3 seasons.

Monty Williams is 76-50 Over when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) (All games)

INDIANA is 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

J.B. Bickerstaff is 0-15 ATS (-16.5 Units) after a game where they were called for 10+ less fouls than opponent (Coach of CLEVELAN...

DALLAS are 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

BOSTON is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in road games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons.

UTAH is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-17 Over (13.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) in home games against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

 

[Udog]

NBA

Sunday, November 19

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Philadelphia @ Brooklyn
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Detroit @ Toronto
Detroit
Detroit is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Toronto
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Toronto is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games at home

Orlando @ Indiana
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Orlando's last 11 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games

Denver @ Cleveland
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games on the road
Denver is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cleveland's last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Cleveland's last 19 games

Sacramento @ Dallas
Sacramento
Sacramento is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Sacramento is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games at home

Phoenix @ Utah
Phoenix
Phoenix is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Utah
Phoenix is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Utah
Utah
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah's last 7 games at home
Utah is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Boston @ Memphis
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Boston is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing Memphis
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Memphis's last 16 games when playing at home against Boston

Oklahoma City @ Portland
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland
Oklahoma City is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Portland's last 10 games when playing Oklahoma City

Houston @ LA Lakers
Houston
Houston is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
LA Lakers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, November 19

 

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, November 19

 

[Cnotes53]

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 19​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
PHI at BK	03:00 PM	BK +3.5 U 224.5	+500 +500
DET at TOR	04:00 PM	DET +9.0 O 219.5	+500 +500
ORL at IND	05:00 PM	IND -4.5 O 235.0	+500 +500
DEN at CLE	06:00 PM	DEN -3.0 U 215.5	+500 +500
SAC at DAL	07:30 PM	SAC -2.0 O 245.5	+500 +500
BOS at MEM	08:00 PM	BOS -10.5 O 220.5	+500 +500
PHO at UTA	08:00 PM	UTA +5.0 O 239.5	+500 +500
OKC at POR	09:00 PM	OKC -7.0 U 224.5	+500 +500
HOU at LAL	09:30 PM	HOU +5.0 O 220.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
11/19/2023	8-10-0	44.44%	-1500	Detail
11/18/2023	7-5-0	58.33%	+750	Detail
11/17/2023	12-10-0	54.55%	+500	Detail
11/16/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail
11/15/2023	8-8-0	50.00%	-400	Detail
11/14/2023	6-14-0	30.00%	-4700	Detail
11/13/2023	4-4-0	50.00%	-200	Detail
11/12/2023	11-11-0	50.00%	-550	Detail
11/11/2023	5-3-0	62.50%	+850	Detail
11/10/2023	8-9-1	47.22%	-950	Detail
11/09/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail
11/08/2023	12-16-0	42.86%	-2800	Detail
11/06/2023	13-11-0	54.17%	+450	Detail
11/05/2023	3-7-0	30.00%	-2350	Detail
11/04/2023	4-12-0	25.00%	-4600	Detail
11/03/2023	9-5-0	64.29%	+1750	Detail
11/02/2023	4-4-0	50.00%	-200	Detail
11/01/2023	12-14-0	46.15%	-1700	Detail

 

[Cnotes53]

NBA NOVEMBER BEST BETS !

11/19/2023....................................6 - 8...............................42.85%........................- 14.00
11/18/2023....................................6 - 5...............................54.54%........................+ 2.50
11/17/2023.....................................9 - 7..............................56.25%........................+ 6.50
11/16/2023.....................................3 - 1..............................75.00%........................+ 9.50
11/15/2023.....................................6 -5...............................54.54%........................+ 2.50
11/14/2023......................................5 - 10...........................33 .33%.......................- 30.00
11/13/2023......................................3 - 3..............................50.00%.......................- 1.50
11/12/2023....................................10 - 7............................58.82%........................+ 11.50
11/11/2-23......................................3 - 3..............................50.00%........................- 1.50
11/10/2023.....................................6 - 6..............................50.00%.........................- 3.00
11/09/2023.....................................3 - 1.............................75.00%..........................+ 9.50
11/08/2023....................................10 - 9............................52.63%..........................+ 0.50
11/06/2023.....................................7 - 8.............................46.66%...........................- 9.00
11/05/2023.....................................1 - 6.............................14.28%..........................- 28.00
11/04/2023.....................................4 - 9.............................30.76%...........................- 29.50
11/03/2023.....................................6 - 4.............................60.00%...........................+ 8.00
11/02/2023.....................................4 - 4 - 0.......................50.00%..........................- 2.00
11/01/2023.................................10 - 10 - 0.....................50.00%..........................- 5.00

TOTALS.......................................102 - 106 - 0.......................49.03%..........................- 74.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Monday’s 6-pack:
— Liberty 71, Vermont 61- Flames win Myrtle Beach tournament.
— Houston 69, Dayton 55- Cougars win the Charleston Classic.
— St John’s 91, Utah 82- Red Storm made 13-26 on the arc.
— Texas 81, Louisville 80- Surprisingly close game in NYC.
— Miami 91, Kansas State 83- Hurricanes led by 19 at the half.
— Providence 71, Georgia 64- Friars only played 7 guys; they shot 63% inside arc.

Quote of the Day
“We’re going to have a talk. I guess, I should say, as a team. That’s the best way I can say it. … There’s just a lot of stuff that just goes around that you guys don’t see. I’m just at a point where I’m just tired of this shit.”
Steelers’ RB Najee Harris

Monday’s quiz
In 1996, Cleveland Browns moved to Baltimore and re-branded as the Ravens; Vinny Testaverde was the Ravens’ QB that first season in Baltimore.

Sunday’s quiz
Michigan coach Jim Harbaugh was an NFL QB for 14 years, playing for four different teams; he played the most games (89) with the Chicago Bears, 53 more with the Colts.

Saturday’s quiz
Luxor Hotel/Casino in Las Vegas is shaped like a pyramid.

*****************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a football Sunday…….​

Lions 31, Bears 26
— Bears led 26-14 with 4:00 left in the game.
— Lions then had TD drives of 75-73 yards to win the game.
— Detroit threw INT’s on first two drives of game.
— Fields is now 6-26 as an NFL starter; he ran ball for 104 yards.
— Lions are 8-2 for the first time since 1962.
— Detroit is 7-1 SU/6-2 ATS in last eight games.
— Lions converted 8-11 on third down, Chicago 5-13.
— Opponents converted only 19 of last 56 third down plays.

Packers 23, Chargers 20
— WR Allen caught 10 passes for 116 yards and a TD.
— He dropped two other TD passes, cost Chargers 8 points.
— Ekeler lost a fumble on the Green Bay 2-yard line.
— Chargers are 0-5 TY in games decided by 3 or fewer points.
— Packers drove 51 yards, scored game-winning TD with 2:33 left.
— Green Bay converted a 3rd-and-20 (PI penalty) on winning drive.
— Both teams converted 7-14 third down plays.
— Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.

Browns 13, Steelers 10
— Browns drove 43 yards, kicked game-winning FG with 0:05 left.
— Cleveland is 5-1 since its bye week.
— Browns are 5-0 giving up less than 24 points, 2-3 allowing 24+.
— Browns held Pittsburgh to only 2.5 yards/pass attempt.
— Pittsburgh’s only TD was a 74-yard run in third quarter.
— Pittsburgh has been outgained in every game this year.
— Steelers scored 26-23-17-24-20-23 points in wins, 7-6-10-10 in losses.
— Steelers lost four of last five visits to Cleveland.

Texans 21, Cardinals 16
— Cardinals had ball in Houston territory on last 3 drives, scored no points.
— Texans were 9-13 on third down, Arizona 3-10.
— Cardinals have lost 20 of last 24 games SU (10-11 ATS in last 21).
— Five of six Arizona road games stayed under the total.
— Texans in first half: 42 plays, 333 yards, 21 points.
— Texans in 2nd half: 26 plays, 87 yards, no points.
— Houston is 6-2 SU/5-3 ATS in its last eight games.
— Texans’ last four games were decided by 2-2-3-5 points.

Jaguars 34, Titans 14
— Jaguars ran 69 plays for 389 yards.
— Titans ran 38 plays for 235 yards.
— Tennessee is 0-6 SU in true road tilts (1-5 ATS)
— Titans are 3-0 scoring 27+ points, 0-7 scoring 16 or less.
— Jaguars’ 1st six drives: 51 plays, 330 yards, 27 points.
— Jacksonville is 7-0 when it scores 20+ points.
— Under Pederson, Jags are 16-13-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— Jaguars won/covered five of their last six games.

Giants 31, Commanders 19
— Rookie QB DeVito was 18-26/246 passing, with three TD’s.
— Washington turned ball over five times (minus-5)
— Barkley had 83 rushing yards, 57 receiving, with two TD’s.
— Giants beat Washington twice TY (1-8 vs everyone else)
— Commanders are 1-4 SU/0-5 ATS at home this year.
— Commanders ran for 174 yards, but they had five turnovers.
— Washington is 7-15-1 ATS in last 23 NFC North home games.
— Washington lost seven of its last nine games.

Dolphins 20, Raiders 13
— Raiders’ first three drives: 15 plays, 120 yards, 10 points.
— Raiders rest of game: 46 plays, 176 yards, 3 points.
— Last five games, Las Vegas is 18-61 on third down.
— Under is 9-2 in Raider games this season.
— WR Hill caught 10 passes for 146 yards and a TD.
— Miami outgained Raiders, 422-296, but had three turnovers.
— Last seven games, Miami is minus-6 in turnovers (7-13).
— Tagovailoa is 28-16 as an NFL starter.

Cowboys 33, Panthers 10
— Dallas outgained the Panthers, 311-187.
— Cowboys are 10-4 ATS in last 14 games as a road favorite (3-1 TY)
— Cowboys won/covered four of last five games.
— Seven Dallas wins were by combined score of 253-77 (36-11 average).
— Panthers averaged 2.1 yards/pass attempt.
— Last four games, Carolina was held to 224-275-213-187 total yards.
— In four post-bye games, Panthers scored 3 TD’s on 36 drives.
— Carolina is 1-4 SU/1-3-1 ATS at home, losing by 3-8-14-23 points.

49ers 27, Buccaneers 14
— Bucs lost five of last six games, but covered last four.
— Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS as a road underdog this year.
— Bucs were 7-14 on third down, 49ers 4-10
— Under is 8-2 in Tampa Bay’s games this season.
— SF’s first six drives: 46 plays, 378 yards, 27 points.
— SF outgained the Buccaneers, 420-287.
— 49ers are 7-0 when they score more than 17 points.
— 49ers have outscored opponents 122-66 in 2nd half.

Rams 17, Seahawks 16
— Seattle’s first three drives: 35 plays, 205 yards, 13 points.
— Rams’ first three drives: 12 plays, 19 yards, no points.
— Rams outscored Seattle 10-0 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Seahawks are 0-4 when they score less than 20 points.
— Rams’ first eight drives: 36 plays, 120 yards, 7 points.
— Rams’ last two drives: 23 plays, 149 yards, 10 points.
— LA drove 75 yards, kicked game-winning FG with 1:34 left.
— Rams broke a 9-game losing streak in November games.

Bills 32, Jets 6
— Jets lost last three games, 27-6/16-12/32-6.
— In four post-bye games, Jets scored one TD on 48 drives.
— Jets are 9-14 ATS in last 23 games as a road underdog.
— Jets have been outscored 130-70 in first half of games.
— Bills’ first three drives: 27 plays, 124 yards, 3 FG’s.
— Bills’ first two drives of 2nd half: 10 plays, 146 yards, 2 TD’s.
— Buffalo is 15-11-1 ATS in last 27 games as a home favorite.
— Bills are 13-9 ATS in last 22 games coming off a loss.

Broncos 21, Vikings 20
— Broncos’ only TD (on their 10th drive) came with 1:09 left.
— Denver did kick five field goals on first nine drives.
— Denver won its last four games, giving up 17 ppg.
— Underdogs are 6-0 ATS in Denver’s home games this year
— Loss ends Minnesota’s five-game winning streak.
— Vikings led 17-9 after the third quarter.
— Vikings outgained Denver, 385-295.
— Last five Bronco games stayed under the total.

Grey Cup
Montreal 28, Winnipeg 24
Alouettes threw a 19-yard TD pass with 0:13 left for the win.
Blue Bombers led 17-7 at halftime.
Winnipeg lost last two Grey Cups by total of five points, after winning the previous two.
Montreal wins CFL title for first time since 2010.

 

[Udog]

DETROIT is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.


BOSTON is 22-6 ATS (15.4 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=48% over the last 2 seasons.


MILWAUKEE is 38-19 ATS (17.1 Units) in road games as a favorite in the last 3 seasons.


MINNESOTA is 26-56 ATS (-35.6 Units) off a road win by 3 points or less since 1996.


NEW ORLEANS are 15-5 Under (9.5 Units) in home games when the total >=230 over the last 2 seasons.


CHICAGO is 11-0 Under (11 Units) in home games against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.


SAN ANTONIO is 27-47 ATS (-24.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses in the last 3 seasons.


HOUSTON is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in November games in the current season.

 

[Udog]

NBA

Monday, November 20

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Milwaukee @ Washington
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington
Milwaukee is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Milwaukee

Boston @ Charlotte
Boston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Charlotte's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Charlotte's last 14 games at home

Denver @ Detroit
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Denver's last 9 games on the road
Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 9 games when playing at home against Denver

LA Clippers @ San Antonio
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of San Antonio's last 10 games

Miami @ Chicago
Miami
Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami

Sacramento @ New Orleans
Sacramento
Sacramento is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Sacramento is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games at home

New York @ Minnesota
New York
New York is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Houston @ Golden State
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games
Houston is 7-0-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, November 20

 

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, November 20

 

[Cnotes53]

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 20​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
DEN at DET	07:00 PM	DEN -9.0 U 223.0	+500 +500
MIL at WAS	07:00 PM	WAS +10.0 O 245.5	+500 +500
BOS at CHA	07:00 PM	BOS -8.5 U 234.0	+500 +500
NY at MIN	08:00 PM	NY +2.5 U 214.5	+500 +500
LAC at SA	08:00 PM	SA +9.0 O 230.5	+500 +500
MIA at CHI	08:00 PM	CHI +1.0 U 209.0	+500 +500
SAC at NO	08:00 PM	SAC -1.0 O 237.0	+500 +500
HOU at GS	10:00 PM	HOU +7.0 U 220.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
11/20/2023	3-13-0	18.75%	-5650	Detail
11/19/2023	8-10-0	44.44%	-1500	Detail
11/18/2023	7-5-0	58.33%	+750	Detail
11/17/2023	12-10-0	54.55%	+500	Detail
11/16/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail
11/15/2023	8-8-0	50.00%	-400	Detail
11/14/2023	6-14-0	30.00%	-4700	Detail
11/13/2023	4-4-0	50.00%	-200	Detail
11/12/2023	11-11-0	50.00%	-550	Detail
11/11/2023	5-3-0	62.50%	+850	Detail
11/10/2023	8-9-1	47.22%	-950	Detail
11/09/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail
11/08/2023	12-16-0	42.86%	-2800	Detail
11/06/2023	13-11-0	54.17%	+450	Detail
11/05/2023	3-7-0	30.00%	-2350	Detail
11/04/2023	4-12-0	25.00%	-4600	Detail
11/03/2023	9-5-0	64.29%	+1750	Detail
11/02/2023	4-4-0	50.00%	-200	Detail
11/01/2023	12-14-0	46.15%	-1700	Detail

 

[Cnotes53]

NBA NOVEMBER BEST BETS !

11/20/2023....................................3 - 9...............................25.00%........................- 34.50
11/19/2023....................................6 - 8...............................42.85%........................- 14.00
11/18/2023....................................6 - 5...............................54.54%........................+ 2.50
11/17/2023.....................................9 - 7..............................56.25%........................+ 6.50
11/16/2023.....................................3 - 1..............................75.00%........................+ 9.50
11/15/2023.....................................6 -5...............................54.54%........................+ 2.50
11/14/2023......................................5 - 10...........................33 .33%.......................- 30.00
11/13/2023......................................3 - 3..............................50.00%.......................- 1.50
11/12/2023....................................10 - 7............................58.82%........................+ 11.50
11/11/2-23......................................3 - 3..............................50.00%........................- 1.50
11/10/2023.....................................6 - 6..............................50.00%.........................- 3.00
11/09/2023.....................................3 - 1.............................75.00%..........................+ 9.50
11/08/2023....................................10 - 9............................52.63%..........................+ 0.50
11/06/2023.....................................7 - 8.............................46.66%...........................- 9.00
11/05/2023.....................................1 - 6.............................14.28%..........................- 28.00
11/04/2023.....................................4 - 9.............................30.76%...........................- 29.50
11/03/2023.....................................6 - 4.............................60.00%...........................+ 8.00
11/02/2023.....................................4 - 4 - 0.......................50.00%..........................- 2.00
11/01/2023.................................10 - 10 - 0.....................50.00%..........................- 5.00

TOTALS.......................................105 - 115 - 0.......................47.72%..........................- 108.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Interesting college football spreads for this week:
— Missouri (-7) @ Arkansas
— Air Force @ Boise State (-4)
— Oregon State @ Oregon (-13)
— Florida State (-7) @ Florida
— Kentucky @ Louisville (-7)
— Clemson (-9) @ South Carolina

Quote of the Day
“I think he should go back to Division III football where he belongs. Look, this guy. Look at his resume, man. I mean, I’m sorry. He spent one year coordinating a team that my wife could coach with Aaron Donald and all those guys. Stop it. And trust me, she’d do a hell of a lot better job than this guy’s doing with his defense. They’re the second-highest payroll in the National Football League and they’re the second-worst. Like, this team is atrocious.”
ESPN’s Rex Ryan, talking about Chargers coach Brandon Staley

Tuesday’s quiz #1
The last time the Angels made the baseball playoffs was 2014; what team swept them in the divisional round?

Tuesday’s quiz #2
Who is the all-time leading in passing yardage for the Rams?

Sunday’s quiz
Michigan coach Jim Harbaugh was an NFL QB for 14 years, playing for four different teams; he played the most games (89) with the Chicago Bears, 53 more with the Colts.

***************************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….​

— ESPN needs to bring Jon Gruden out of retirement to do the interviews he does with QB prospects for the NFL Draft. This is going to be a fascinating year for drafting QB’s, and Gruden is the best I’ve seen at grilling kids and learning what they’re about.

— Eagles 21, Chiefs 17
Kansas City led 17-7 at halftime.
Swift ran ball 12 times for 76 yards and a TD.
Eagles won nine of first ten games (6-2-2 ATS)
Hurts is 34-14 as an NFL starter.
Chiefs in first half: 38 plays, 200 yards, 17 points.
Chiefs in 2nd half: 37 plays, 137 yards, no points.
Last three games, KC was outscored 38-0 in second half.
Chiefs averaged only 3.8 yards/pass attempt.

— Next football season, I’m going to change the definition of turnover in my stats, to include teams who go for it on 4th down outside of field goal range and don’t get the first down. It is basically the same as a turnover, maybe worse.
Chargers-Packers game, both teams went for it in 4th down around midfield on their first series of the game, and both failed. I know it is 2023 and all, but field position is still important.

— 45 years ago Sunday was the infamous Joe Pisarcik fumble, when the Giants were going to beat the Eagles in a close game, but teams didn’t take a knee at the end back then, they just handed the ball off to a RB, but Pisarcik fumbled the handoff, and Herm Edwards ran the ball into the end zone for a very unlikely, disturbing loss for the Giants.
As a Rams fan, the game turned out to be oddly significant; Dick Vermeil was coaching the Eagles back then; 23 years later, he won a Super Bowl coaching the Rams.
Back then, John McVay was coaching the Giants, Sean McVay’s grandfather.

— Cleveland Browns signed QB Joe Flacco to be a backup for Dorian Thompson-Robinson; Flacco has played 15 years in the NFL— he started four games for the Jets last year.
From 2010-12, he went 40-16 as the Ravens’ QB, winning the Super Bowl 11 years ago, but since 2019, he is 3-14 as an NFL starter. Lot of experience, though.

— Jets are benching Zach Wilson, he won’t even be the backup this week. Tim Boyle (0-3 as an NFL starter) will get the start, with Trevor Siemian the backup.

— Falcons will start QB Desmond Ridder this week; Taylor Heinicke started Atlanta’s last couple games.

— Cowboys’ DB DaRon Bland has four pick-6 touchdowns this year, giving him as many TD’s this season as the Raiders’ star WR Davante Adams.

— We need an LSU-Iowa bowl matchup; under is 10-2 in Iowa games, over is 11-0 in LSU games.
Iowa played three games in a row that ended 15-6/12-10/10-7.
LSU lost a game 55-49, won other games 49-39/52-35.
Contrast of styles make for interesting bowls.

— USC’s football team the last two years:
2022- 11-3, they were +21 in turnovers
2023- 7-5, they’re minus-2 in turnovers.

— There are ten I-A college football coaches who are the head coach at their alma mater.

— Word of the Day: Doppelgänger- A double of a person; having a keen resemblance between two otherwise unrelated people.
Example: Lakers’ GM Rob Pelinka and the actor Rob Lowe.

— Happy birthday to the great actress Sally Field, who turned 77 last week; she was the star of The Flying Nun when I was a kid, kind of a weird show. She’s won two Academy Awards, and recently played the mother of Lakers’ owner Jerry Buss in HBO’s Winning Time.
Happy 79th birthday to Danny DeVito, who was Louis DePalma in Taxi and was great in Other People’s Money and The Rainmaker. Now we see him all the time in Jersey Mike’s commercials.

— Long Beach State 94, Michigan 86
This win helps raise the Big West’s profile.
Illinois State 61, Long Beach State 52
This loss doesn’t raise the Big West’s profile.

— San Diego State 100, Washington 97, OT
This game was played late Sunday night, after I had posted yesterday’s Den.
Aztecs led by 12 with 4:23 left in regulation; they blew that lead, but won in OT- they were 31-41 on the foul line. Washington was 18-21.

— Washington-Washington State won’t be in the same league anymore after this season, but the good news is, the schools agreed to play each other in football every year thru 2028, with next year’s Apple Cup game in Seattle, then the next four years at campus sites.

— Syracuse fired football coach Dino Babers, who went 41-55 coaching the Orange; he had gone 18-9 in two seasons at Bowling Green, but couldn’t parlay that success into winning in the ACC.

— Phillies signed P Aaron Nola to a 7-year deal worth around $24.5M a year.

— This is a great week for college basketball, lot of good tournaments, but I do miss the Great Alaskan Shootout, which used to always be this week. ESPN killed the event by hosting their tournaments in warm weather places, more appealing for players/fans to go to.
But the Alaskan Shootout was unique; the last first round game the first two nights would begin around 2am here in the east, so you could watch ball all night.
Dwyane Wade, Klay Thompson were both MVP’s of the Shootout; one year, Cincinnati beat Duke in the final— they attracted really good teams. It was fun to watch.

— Tennessee 73, Syracuse 56
Last time Jim Boeheim wasn’t the Syracuse coach, I was in 10th grade, long time ago; they play man-to-man defense now, and try to run more. Syracuse shot 35% in this game, which isn’t going to win many games, especially against good teams.

— Purdue 73, Gonzaga 63
Boilers outscored Gonzaga 43-28 in second half.
Zags were 6-32 behind the arc.
Purdue big guy Edey had 25 points, 14 rebounds.

— Kentucky 96, St Joe’s 88, OT
Underdog Hawks made 15-37 on the arc.
Kentucky outscored Hawks 18-9 on foul line.
Wildcats played eight guys, including five frosh and a sophomore.

 

[Udog]

TORONTO is 56-33 Under (19.7 Units) after a game committing 10+ less turnovers than opponents since 1996.

CLEVELAND is 35-64 ATS (-35.4 Units) in road games in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 since 1996.

ATLANTA is 20-5 ATS (14.5 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.

PORTLAND is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games after a blowout loss by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 40-22 Under (15.8 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 since 1996.




NBA

Tuesday, November 21

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Trend Report
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Toronto @ Orlando
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Toronto's last 14 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Toronto is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games when playing Orlando
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Orlando's last 14 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games at home

Indiana @ Atlanta
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games on the road
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Atlanta's last 12 games at home

Cleveland @ Philadelphia
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Portland @ Phoenix
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games
Phoenix is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Portland

Utah @ LA Lakers
Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games
LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Utah
LA Lakers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home


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NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, November 21

 

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, November 21