Thread watched CNOTES 2023-2024 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

[Cnotes53]

NBA NOVEMBER BEST BETS !

11/27/2023.....................................4 - 6 - 0........................40.00%.......................- 13.00
11/26/2023.....................................6 - 5 - 1........................54.54%.......................+ 2.50
11/25/2023.....................................2 - 8..............................20.00%.......................- 34.00
11/22/2023..................................13 - 9..............................59.09%........................+ 15.50
11/21/2023....................................5 - 3...............................62.50...........................+ 8.50
11/20/2023....................................3 - 9...............................25.00%........................- 34.50
11/19/2023....................................6 - 8...............................42.85%........................- 14.00
11/18/2023....................................6 - 5...............................54.54%........................+ 2.50
11/17/2023.....................................9 - 7..............................56.25%........................+ 6.50
11/16/2023.....................................3 - 1..............................75.00%........................+ 9.50
11/15/2023.....................................6 -5...............................54.54%........................+ 2.50
11/14/2023......................................5 - 10...........................33 .33%.......................- 30.00
11/13/2023......................................3 - 3..............................50.00%.......................- 1.50
11/12/2023....................................10 - 7............................58.82%........................+ 11.50
11/11/2-23......................................3 - 3..............................50.00%........................- 1.50
11/10/2023.....................................6 - 6..............................50.00%.........................- 3.00
11/09/2023.....................................3 - 1.............................75.00%..........................+ 9.50
11/08/2023....................................10 - 9............................52.63%..........................+ 0.50
11/06/2023.....................................7 - 8.............................46.66%...........................- 9.00
11/05/2023.....................................1 - 6.............................14.28%..........................- 28.00
11/04/2023.....................................4 - 9.............................30.76%...........................- 29.50
11/03/2023.....................................6 - 4.............................60.00%...........................+ 8.00
11/02/2023.....................................4 - 4 - 0.......................50.00%..........................- 2.00
11/01/2023.................................10 - 10 - 0.....................50.00%..........................- 5.00

TOTALS.......................................135 - 146 - 1....................48.04%..........................- 129.00

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Six NFL head coaches fired during their first season on the job:
2023- Frank Reich, Panthers
2022- Nathaniel Hackett, Broncos
2021- Urban Meyer, Jaguars
2007- Bobby Petrino, Falcons
1978- Pete McCulley, 49ers
1976- Lou Holtz, Jets

Quote of the Day
“Your happiness is your responsibility.”
Anonymous

Tuesday’s quiz
Hall of Fame QB Troy Aikman played college football at which two schools?

Monday’s quiz
Marshall Thundering Herd is the college football team, with minimum of 10 bowls played, that has the best winning percentage in bowl games— they’re 13-5 (72.2 winning %) in bowls.

Sunday’s quiz
Tennessee Titans used to be known as the Houston Oilers.

*****************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

— Bears 12, Vikings 10
Chicago kicked a 30-yard FG with 0:13 left for the win.
Bears had five drives in 2nd half: kicked 3 FG’s, lost 2 fumbles.
DJ Moore caught 11 passes for 114 of Chicago’s 217 passing yards.
QB Fields ran ball 12 times for 59 yards, 24 yards more than any other Bear.

Dobbs threw 17-yard TD pass with 5:54 left, Minnesota’s only TD.
Vikings’ first four drives: 16 plays, 44 yards, 2 INTs, no points.
Chicago was 8-18 on third down, Vikings 2-9.
Under is 8-2 in Minnesota’s last ten games.

— Before Monday, NFL teams were 0-28 this season when they didn’t score a TD.
Now, they’re 1-28.

— So far this year in the NFL……..
divisional home favorites are 18-15 ATS
divisional home underdogs are 9-14-1 ATS

Overall, divisional favorites are 32-24-1 ATS

— Carolina Panthers fired coach Frank Reich after their 1-10 start; two ofter offensive assistant coaches were also told to take a hike.

Panthers are averaging:
15.7 points/game (29th)
4.1 yards per play (T31st)
Panthers are converting 37.2% of their third down opportunities (20th).

You play a rookie QB, your job is in jeopardy; they should have sat Bryce Young, let him learn while watching and played veteran Andy Dalton. Maybe they’d still have their jobs now.

Carolina fired Matt Rhule last year, with $40M left on his contract.
Carolina fired Reich Monday, with $30M left on his contract.

Panthers owner David Tepper is richest owner in the NFL, but he isn’t the most patient one.

— If the 2024 NFL Draft was today……..
1) Bears (from Carolina)
2) Cardinals
3) Patriots
4) Bears
5) Commanders
6) Giants

— Denver Broncos have won five games in a row; in their last four games, Denver has 14 takeaways- they’re +11 in turnovers in those four games.

— In his career, Bills’ QB Josh Allen is 0-6 in overtime games.

— NFC South standings:

Falcons 5-6
Saints 5-6
Buccaneers 4-7
Panthers 1-10

If the Wild Card playoffs were this week, Dallas would be a significant road favorite at whatever team wins the NFC South.

— NFL Draft is a fascinating process; some teams are just so much better at it than others. Chargers’ RB Austin Ekeler is a really good RB, but he wasn’t drafted; he went to college at Western Colorado, which makes you wonder what the Broncos’ scouts are thinking about, such a good player at a D-II school in Denver’s backyard.

— TV show of the day: The White Shadow (1978)- An NBA player retires from the pro game and gets a job as a basketball coach in an inner-city high school.

Ken Howard played the coach; he was excellent in this role. Basketball scenes were well done.

Creator of the show was Bruce Paltrow, Gwyneth Paltrow’s father.

— Tough week for college football coaches:
Indiana fired its coach; he got $15.5M to go away.

New Mexico fired its coach, who they praised in a statement, but when you go 11-32, they tell you to take a hike, even if you’re a New Mexico alumnus.

Middle Tennessee fired its longtime coach after going 3-8 this year, the Blue Raiders’ third losing season in the last five years. The coach was 113-111 in 18 seasons at MTSU, but this is a “what have you done for me lately?” world, and MTSU hasn’t done much lately.

Houston fired its coach, who had three losing seasons in his five years as the Cougars’ head coach, going 31-28 overall. Houston went 4-8 this year, their first year in the Big X; it is better to be a big fish in a small pond, than a smaller fish in a big pond.

Texas-El Paso fired its coach, after he went 20-49 in six seasons with the Miners.

Texas A&M hired Duke coach Mike Elko to fill their coaching vacancy; he was 16-9 in two years as Duke’s coach- before that, he was the defensive coordinator at Texas A&M. Aggies just fired their head coach, even though he had a 45-25 record.

Mississippi State hired Oklahoma OC Jeff Lebby; since 2019, his offenses have scored 50+ points 14 times, most of anyone in the country during that time. Lebby used to be OC at Ole Miss, the Bulldogs’ biggest rival.

— Random trivia: Back in the mid-1950’s, at Van Nuys High School in Los Angeles, Robert Redford, Don Drysdale and Natalie Wood were all students there.

They must’ve had a really good drama club there, plus you had Roy Hobbs on the same baseball team as a Hall of Fame pitcher. Pretty, pretty good.

— Switching to basketball, VCU beat Penn State Sunday; last spring, the Penn State coach left VCU to go coach at his alma mater, an interesting decision.

My question is this: is Penn State a better basketball coaching job than VCU?

Obviously, they’re in a better league, but Penn State is a football school located in an area that isn’t real close to any basketball hotbeds (190 miles from Philadelphia), while VCU is a basketball school, kind of an eastern version of Gonzaga.

VCU has been in 10 of last 12 NCAA tournaments, under three different coaches; Penn State has been in two NCAA tournaments since 2002 (they would’ve made it had there been a tournament in 2020).

If someone asked me which job was better, without knowing the $$$ end of it, I’d say VCU, because winning is a lot more fun that losing.

— Baseball stuff:
St Louis Cardinals have been aggressive in rebuilding their starting rotation, adding free agent pitchers Lance Lynn, Kyle Gibson, Sonny Gray.

Detroit Tigers added P Kenta Maeda.

Winter meetings start Sunday, should be lot of stuff going on.

— Oakland 78, Xavier 76
Good win for 13-point underdog Oakland, and the Horizon League.
Grizzlies outscored Xavier 12-7 over final 3:49.
Oakland was minus-14 on boards, but shot 69.7% inside arc.

— Utah 78, Saint Mary’s 71
Gaels were picked to win WCC, but they’re off to a shaky 3-4 start.
This was first game in eight days for Utah.
Utes are the tallest college team in America.

— Cal-Santa Barbara 69, Fresno State 65
UCSB was 1-5 on arc for whole game, Fresno 7-31.
Fresno led by 7 with 16:25 left in game.
Gauchos didn’t play any seniors; Fresno started five seniors.

 

[Udog]

NEW YORK is 12-2 Over (9.8 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 107-169 ATS (-78.9 Units) vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents since 1996.

TORONTO is 4-20 ATS (-18 Units) in road games after 2 straight games being called for 5+ less fouls than opponent since 1996.

MILWAUKEE is 39-19 ATS (18.1 Units) in road games as a favorite in the last 3 seasons.

BOSTON is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 11-2 Under (8.8 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

DALLAS are 8-25 ATS (-19.5 Units) in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 41-65 ATS (-30.5 Units) in road games in the last 3 seasons.

 

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, November 28

 

[Udog]

NBA

Tuesday, November 28

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Chicago @ Boston
Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Chicago is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Boston
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games at home

Toronto @ Brooklyn
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Brooklyn is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Atlanta @ Cleveland
Atlanta
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games

Milwaukee @ Miami
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Miami
Milwaukee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Charlotte @ New York
Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games on the road
Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
New York
New York is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
New York is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte

Oklahoma City @ Minnesota
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Minnesota
Minnesota is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Minnesota is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

Houston @ Dallas
Houston
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games
Dallas
Dallas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Houston

Golden State @ Sacramento
Golden State
Golden State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games
Sacramento
Sacramento is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Golden State


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, November 28

 

[Cnotes53]

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
— Clemson 85, Alabama 77- Tigers start 4 seniors; they were 11-21 on arc.
— Kentucky 95, Miami 73- Wildcats scored 1.32 points/possession.
— UNLV 72, Akron 70- Rebels led by 18 with 13:33 left, hung on for the win.
— Portland State 75, Portland 74- Vikings were down 5 with 2:09 left.
— McNeese State 81, UAB 60- Former LSU coach Will Wade is the McNeese coach.
— Oregon State named DC Trent Bray its new football coach.

Quote of the Day
“I am so tired of hearing how I was the reason that Barry Sanders never won a Super Bowl. I’m so tired of hearing how I was not a good QB.”
Former Detroit Lions’ QB Scott Mitchell (32-41 as an NFL starter, 27-32 in Detroit)

Wednesday’s quiz
Which college football team is the last team to beat Georgia?

Tuesday’s quiz
Hall of Fame QB Troy Aikman played college football at Oklahoma, then UCLA.

Monday’s quiz
Marshall Thundering Herd is the college football team, with minimum of 10 bowls played, that has the best winning percentage in bowl games— they’re 13-5 (72.2 winning %) in bowls.

**************************************

Wednesday’s Den: An early primer on the college basketball season​

We’re 23 days into the college basketball season; this is when we gather information and learn as much as possible. It is still really early, but this is what we’ve learned so far:

— Indiana State 77, Southern Illinois 48- This is the only conference game that’s been played so far this season. Salukis shot 30.4% from floor; Indiana State shot 57.1% inside the arc.

— Six teams in country with the best continuity:
1- Columbia
2- Florida Atlantic
3- Marquette
4- Drexel
5- Cal-Davis
7- Weber State

Six teams in country with the worst continuity:
361- New Mexico State
360- Iona
359- Utah State
357- Idaho
356- Notre Dame
355- Southern Utah

— Purdue won Maui Classic, becoming first team in 13 years to beat a top 15 team three days in a row. Last team to do it was UConn, in 2011 Big East tournament.

— Teams that’ve played easiest schedules so far:
362- TCU
361- Cal-Northridge
360- Tulsa
359- Valparaiso
357- Cal Baptist
356- Georgetown

Teams that’ve played hardest schedules so far:
3- Eastern Washington
4- Rider
8- Morehead State
9- Northern Iowa
10- Cal-Fullerton
12- Boise State

— Some of teams playing fastest tempo in country:
4- George Washington
5- James Madison
6- New Mexico
7- Marshall
8- Western Kentucky
9- Hampton

Some of teams playing slowest tempo in country:
362- Virginia
361- Towson
360- Air Force
359- North Texas
357- Northwestern
356- Saint Peter’s

— Teams with the best FG% defense inside the arc:
1- Illinois
2- Rutgers
3- Providence
5- Virginia
6- Iowa State
7- UConn

Teams with the worst FG% defense inside the arc:
358- Wright State
355- Toledo
348- Drake
347- Cornell
346- Rice
345- Nebraska-Omaha

— Word of the Day: authenticity- being true to your own personality, values, and spirit, regardless of the pressure that you’re under to act otherwise.

— Teams getting highest %age of points on 3-pointers:
1- Creighton
2- Sacramento State
3- St Joe’s
4- Cal-Riverside
6- BYU
10- San Jose State

Teams getting lowest %age of points on 3-pointers:
362- Rio Grande Valley
361- Indiana
359- Western Kentucky
358- IUPUI
357- Cal-Northridge

— James Madison started the season with overtime wins at Michigan State/Kent State; they’re only team in the last 30 years to start a season with back/back overtime wins, both on the road.

— Field of 68’s top 6 mid-major teams:
1- Drake
2- Cal-Santa Barbara
3- Yale
4- Akron
5- Charleston
6- Furman

— According to Kenpom.com, these are the six best conferences in the country:
1- Big X
2- Big East
3- SEC
4- Big 14
5- Pac 12
6- ACC

These are the six worst conferences in the country:
32- NEC
31- SWAC
30- MEAC
29- Patriot
28- Southland
27- Ohio Valley

— Teams forcing highest % of turnovers:
1- Iowa State
2- Houston
3- Florida International
4- Rutgers
5- TCU
6- Cal-Davis

— Teams playing their subs the least:
361- Princeton
360- Murray State
359- West Virginia
358- Oral Roberts
357- Air Force
356- Gonzaga

— Most experienced teams (experience is different than continuity; teams that poach lot of transfers have experienced guys, but guys that haven’t played together very much):
1- St Bonzaventure
2- Washington
3- TCU
4- St John’s
5- North Carolina
6- James Madison

— Least experienced teams
362- Idaho
361- Siena
360- Valparaiso
359- Notre Dame
358- VMI
357- North Carolina A&T

 

[Udog]

ORLANDO is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

DETROIT is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

PHOENIX is 9-1 Over (7.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% in the current season.

Willie Green is 62-41 Under versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% (Coach of NEW ORLEANS)

UTAH is 56-25 Under (28.5 Units) off a close home win by 3 points or less since 1996.

HOUSTON is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) in November games in the current season.

LA CLIPPERS are 13-3 Over (9.7 Units) in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons.

 

[Udog]

NBA

Wednesday, November 29

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Washington @ Orlando
Washington
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Orlando
Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Orlando is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

LA Lakers @ Detroit
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
Detroit is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

Phoenix @ Toronto
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
Toronto is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home

Utah @ Memphis
Utah
Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Utah's last 14 games when playing Memphis
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Memphis's last 14 games when playing Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing at home against Utah

Philadelphia @ New Orleans
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans
New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games

Houston @ Denver
Houston
Houston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Denver
Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston

LA Clippers @ Sacramento
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Clippers's last 8 games
Sacramento
Sacramento is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, November 29

 

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, November 29

 

[Cnotes53]

Thursday’s 6-pack:
Interesting NFL spreads this week:
— Seahawks @ Dallas (-9)
— Colts (-1) @ Tennessee
— Chargers (-6) @ New England
— Lions (-4) @ New Orleans
— Falcons (-3) @ Jets
— Cardinals @ Pittsburgh (-5.5)

Quote of the Day
“Make no mistake that a good quarterback in the portal costs, you know, a million to $1.5M to $2M right now, just so we’re all on the same page. Let’s make sure we all understand what’s happening. There are some teams that have $6M or $7M players playing for them.”
Nebraska football coach Matt Rhule

Thursday’s quiz
Who is the all-time leader in passing yards for the Houston Texans?

Wednesday’s quiz
Alabama is the last team to beat Georgia, 41-24 in the 2021 SEC championship game.

Tuesday’s quiz
Hall of Fame QB Troy Aikman played college football at Oklahoma, then UCLA.

************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..​

— Arkansas 80, Duke 73- Duke put only two players in double figures. Arkansas struggled against pressure defense in the last 3:00, but they get a big non-conference win.

— St Joe’s 78, Villanova 65- Hawks lost in overtime at Kentucky, beat Villanova here; they haven’t had a winning season since 2016, but they’re off to a terrific start this year.

— North Carolina 100, Tennessee 92- Game was 61-39 at halftime; Vols are struggling, losing their last three games. Tar Heels were 32-38 on the foul line.

— Colorado State 88, Colorado 83- Are Niko Medved’s Rams the best team in Mountain West? They already have wins over Creighton, Colorado.

— College football has its conference championship games this weekend; here are some quick trends on each conference title game, over the last five years:
AAC- favorites 3-2 against spread. Teams that won three of last five titles have moved on to other leagues.
ACC- favorites 5-0 against spread. Four of those five years the winner was Clemson; they’re not in this year’s game.
Big 14- favorites 3-2 against spread, all double digit spreads, Favorites were either Michigan or Ohio State- they won all five games SU.
Big X- underdogs 3-2 against spread.
C-USA- underdogs 4-1 against spread. Teams that won last five title games have moved on to better leagues.
MAC- underdogs 4-1 against spread. Four different teams won last five titles.
Mountain West- underdogs 4-1 against spread. UNLV is in this game for first time; Boise State is in its for 5th time in last six years, but they haven’t won this game since 2019, and they’ve already fired their coach this season.
Pac-12- underdogs 3-2 against spread. Average total, last four years- 56.5. Oregon (2-1) is in this game for 4th time in five years. Washington is in it for first time since 2018, when they won it.
SEC- underdogs 3-2 against spread. Average total: 68.6. Georgia is 1-3 in this game the last five years, Alabama 3-0.
Sun Belt- underdogs 2-2 against spread (2020 game was cancelled).

— Long time ago, a shortstop named Garry Templeton made the 1979 All-Star Game, but he told the Cardinals’ radio guy (Jack Buck) “If I ain’t starting, I ain’t departing”
Little did he know is that his statement now sums up lot of quarterback situations in college football, except now it is “If I ain’t starting, then I will be departing”
College football has turned into baseball, with QB’s bolting into free agency at a high rate:
Grayson McCall, Coastal Carolina- he played five years there, with 10,000+ PY.
Athan Kaliakmanis, Minnesota
Blake Shapen, Baylor
Riley Leonard, Duke
Will Rogers, Mississippi State
Max Johnson, Texas A&M- already surfaced at North Carolina
Tyler Van Dyke, Miami
Will Howard, Kansas State
Jake Rubley, Kansas State- His dad TJ Rubley played in the NFL/CFL; he also coached Keanu Reeves in his role as the starting QB for the fictional Washington Sentinels in the movie, The Replacements.
Spencer Petras, Iowa
E.J. Warner, Temple- Kurt Warner’s son
Gerry Bohanon, South Florida
This isn’t a complete list; has to be crazy being a college coach these days, recruiting high school kids while also re-recruiting all your current players.

— HBO or Showtime should hook up with some college program to do a reality show based on recruiting and the transfer portal— it would be excellent television.

Put it this way; this season, 55.7% of the starting quarterbacks were transfers.

— Word of the Day: catalyst- a person or thing that precipitates an event.

— College football coaching changes:
Oregon State promoted defensive coordinator Trent Bray to head coach, replacing Jonathan Smith, who bolted to Michigan State. Like Smith, Bray is an Oregon State alum.
San Diego State hired Sean Lewis, who used to coach Kent State; he was offensive coordinator at Colorado this season.

— Mississippi State’s new coach, Jeff Lebby, banks a $1M incentive if his Bulldogs win a national championship. Good luck with that one.

— This season and last, in Sunday night/Monday NFL games, under is 49-17. I can’t come up with a good reason why this is happening, but it is happening.

— Richmond Spiders’ starting G DeLonnie Hunt hurt his wrist, is out 6-8 weeks.

— Lakers 133, Detroit 107- Pistons have lost 15 games in a row, are 0-14 in November.

— 23 years ago, Mark Cuban bought the Dallas Mavericks for $285M; this week, word is out that he is selling a majority stake in the Mavericks, for $3.5B, that’s billion, with a B.
Cuban is cashing out on most of his ownership status, but he will retain full control over the Mavericks’ basketball operations, which is what makes this so unusual.

— New York Mets had some activity Wednesday:
Mets signed P Luis Severino for one year, $13M
Mets signed IF Joey Wendle for one year, $2M (plus incentives)

— Friend of mine found the old TV show White Shadow on YouTube this week, so I’ve spent the last few late-nights catching up with one my all-time favorite TV shows.
Ken Howard is a basketball player who retires from the NBA and gets a job as a basketball coach in an inner-city high school in Los Angeles- his friend from college is the school’s principal.
Hadn’t seen this show in 35-40 years; it was only on for three seasons, but it was well done. Creator of the show was Bruce Paltrow, Gwyneth Paltrow’s father.

— Delaware is moving from the CAA to Conference USA; they’ll be going I-A in football, starting in 2025-26.

 

[Udog]

PORTLAND is 8-0 Under (8 Units) in road games after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

MIAMI is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) in home games after one or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

NEW YORK is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game in the current season.

CHARLOTTE is 10-1 Under (8.9 Units) off 2 or more consecutive road losses over the last 2 seasons.

ATLANTA is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.

MILWAUKEE is 40-19 ATS (19.1 Units) in road games as a favorite in the last 3 seasons.

UTAH is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 9-25 ATS (-18.5 Units) off a road win in the last 3 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 11-1 Over (9.9 Units) in home games when the total is 22-229.5 over the last 2 seasons.

 

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, November 29

 

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, November 30

 

[Udog]

NBA

Thursday, November 30

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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Portland @ Cleveland
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Portland's last 8 games
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Portland
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland

Charlotte @ Brooklyn
Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Charlotte's last 14 games
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
Brooklyn is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Detroit @ New York
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Detroit's last 13 games
New York
New York is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
New York is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit

Indiana @ Miami
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Indiana's last 13 games
Miami
Miami is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 10 games at home

Atlanta @ San Antonio
Atlanta
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio
San Antonio is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Antonio's last 12 games at home

LA Lakers @ Oklahoma City
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
Oklahoma City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Milwaukee @ Chicago
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chicago's last 10 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games

Utah @ Minnesota
Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Minnesota is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games

LA Clippers @ Golden State
LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Clippers's last 9 games
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Clippers


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[Cnotes53]

Friday’s 6-pack:
There are six D-I basketball coaches who are 70+ years old:
— Cliff Ellis, Coastal Carolina- 78 years old, 829 wins.
— Dan D’Antoni, Marshall- 76 years old, 164 wins.
— Leonard Hamilton, Florida State- 75 years old, 630 wins.
— Fran Dunphy, LaSalle- 75 years old, 599 wins.
— Jim Larrañaga, Miami- 74 years old, 730 wins
— Rick Pitino, St John’s- 71 years old, 713 wins

Quote of the Day
“We can’t guard a stop sign.”
Washington Wizards’ Kyle Kuzma. Wizards are 3-15 this season.

Friday’s quiz
Which team is the last one that beat the Dallas Cowboys at home?

Thursday’s quiz
Matt Schaub (23,221) is the all-time leader in passing yards for the Houston Texans.

Wednesday’s quiz
Alabama is the last team to beat Georgia, 41-24 in the 2021 SEC championship game.

******************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here………​

— Cowboys 41, Seahawks 35
Only 5th regular season game ever where neither team punted.
Seattle scored a touchdown on five of its first seven drives.
Seattle in 4th quarter: 3 drives- 20 plays, 78 yards, no points.
Seahawks are 15-9-1 ATS in its last 25 games as road dog (3-2 TY).
Dallas had nine drives: four touchdowns, four field goals.
Cowboys drove 54 yards, scored game-winning TD with 4:37 left.
Seahawks covered four of last five visits to Dallas.
Last four games, Cowboys are 27-52 on third down.

— NFL juggled its TV schedule for Week 15, two weeks from now:
Eagles @ Seattle moves to Monday night.
Chiefs @ New England gets moved to 1:00 Sunday.
There is a tripleheader on Saturday, December 16:
1:00- Vikings @ Cincinnati
4:30- Steelers @ Indianapolis
8:15- Broncos @ Detroit

— Butler 103, Texas Tech 95, OT
Tech led by 5 with 3:10 left in regulation.
Butler shot 12-27 on arc, Tech 13-26.
Not often a team scores 1.25 points/possession and loses.

— Illinois State 69, Ill-Chicago 64
Ill-Chicago led by 13 in first half.
Redbirds shot 66.7% inside the arc.
State starts 5 seniors, but they’re #312 in eFG%.

— UCLA 66, Cal-Riverside 65- Narrow escape for the Bruins.

— Oregon State QB DJ Uiagalelei, who transferred from Clemson last year, is going in the portal again; UCLA QB Dante Moore is also in the portal.
College football has evolved into a situation where every decent QB goes on the open market every December, with lot of money on the table. Not great.

— Clemson fired two assistant coaches, its offensive line coach and its defensive end coach.

— Word of the Day: Consequence- the result of a particular action or situation.

— SEC-ACC have already played 20 basketball games against each other this season:
SEC teams are 14-11 straight up, 15-10 against spread.
SEC teams are 7-2 ATS at home, 6-3 on neutral floors.
ACC teams are 5-2 ATS at home.

— When Duke lost at Arkansas the other night, it was first time in 32 years that Duke played a basketball against an SEC team in an SEC arena.

— San Jose State-Coastal Carolina get rewarded for their good seasons by getting matched up to play in the Hawai’i Bowl. Going to Hawai’i for a bowl must be excellent.
Put it this way; there are bowls in Boise, Boston, Bronx, Maryland, Albuquerque; I’d rather not freeze my butt off during the game. Hawai’i would be just fine.

— Indiana tabbed James Madison coach Curt Cignetti as its new football coach; Dukes are 19-4 the last two years, 13-3 in the Sun Belt Conference. Overall, he went 52-9 at James Madison.

— Cincinnati Reds bolstered their bullpen, adding Emilio Pagan, Nick Martinez as free agents.

— Ole Miss announced that 7-foot center Moussa Cisse, a transfer from Oklahoma State, has cleared by the NCAA to play for Rebels. Cisse was the 2021-22 Big 12 Defensive Player of the Year for Oklahoma State; he started his college career at Memphis.
Ole Miss is off to a 6-0 start, with a win over NC State; they play Memphis Saturday.

 

[Udog]

ORLANDO is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after one or more consecutive overs in the current season.

BOSTON is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS are 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) in road games as a dog in the last 3 seasons.

NEW YORK is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in road games when playing 6 or less games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons.

NEW ORLEANS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Mike Malone is 45-75 ATS (-37.5 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins (Coach of DENVER)




NBA
Dunkel

Friday, December 1

NBA

Friday, December 1

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Trend Report
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Washington @ Orlando
Washington
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Orlando
Orlando
Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Orlando is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Philadelphia @ Boston
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Boston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

New York @ Toronto
New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing Toronto
New York is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Toronto
Toronto is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against New York
Toronto is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against New York

Memphis @ Dallas
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas
Dallas is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis

San Antonio @ New Orleans
San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of San Antonio's last 13 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 16 of San Antonio's last 21 games
New Orleans
New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio

Denver @ Phoenix
Denver
Denver is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Denver's last 13 games on the road
Phoenix
Phoenix is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Phoenix's last 8 games at home


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[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, December 1

 

[Cnotes53]

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 1​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
WAS at ORL	07:00 PM	WAS +11.0 O 238.0	+500 +500
NY at TOR	07:30 PM	TOR -2.5 O 216.0	+500 +500
MEM at DAL	07:30 PM	DAL -7.0 U 226.0	+500 +500
PHI at BOS	07:30 PM	BOS -6.5 O 224.5	+500 +500
SA at NO	08:00 PM	NO -13.0 U 237.0	+500 +500
DEN at PHO	10:00 PM	DEN -3.0 O 224.0	+500 +500