THUNDER--CRITIQUE THREAD

[ppabart]

8% is 8%,

First...let me say I have no dog in the fight as I do not follow THUNDER, but certainly have no problem with him or anyone that wants to actually post plays instead of bitching and moaning.

Having said that....the quote above couldnt be more UNTRUE. 8% on Monday is not the same as 8% on Tuesday or Wednesday, etc.

Think about this.....say your bankroll is $1000 and you have a -50% day on Monday. Your bankroll is down to $500. It would take a 100% Tuesday just to be even on the week......so -50% on Monday and a +100% on Tuesday does not equal +50% on the week.

 

[Wager Jitsu]

First...let me say I have no dog in the fight as I do not follow THUNDER, but certainly have no problem with him or anyone that wants to actually post plays instead of bitching and moaning.

Having said that....the quote above couldnt be more UNTRUE. 8% on Monday is not the same as 8% on Tuesday or Wednesday, etc.

Think about this.....say your bankroll is $1000 and you have a -50% day on Monday. Your bankroll is down to $500. It would take a 100% Tuesday just to be even on the week......so -50% on Monday and a +100% on Tuesday does not equal +50% on the week.

Having to explain that is a classic example of the failure of our public education system. Because I damn well know that Nooon didn't attend college.

 

[Trampled Underfoot]

No one following Thunder's picks will lose money in the long term.

:mj07:

 

[saint]

what's 8% of 0.00? :shrug: :0corn

 

[The Sponge]

Take this silly shit back over to the basketball threads before i am forced to close this thread.

 

[ppabart]

Take this silly shit back over to the basketball threads before i am forced to close this thread.

Admin moved it here :shrug:

 

[The Sponge]

Admin moved it here :shrug:

I'll look into it. Heads may roll. :0corn

 

[shawn555]

Danny, I've tried fishing and I'm no good at it. A lot of people are like me but they may want to eat. Ignore threads you don't like. No one following Thunder's picks will lose money in the long term. Stop asking nasty questions and just ignore his threads.

Good luck to you today.

J

Yeah I have always found the key to long term success is to bet 40+ games a day, and risk up to 200% of my bankroll.

 

[Lumi]

I am going to have a Karnak Moment....
for some you might not have any idea what I am talking about :shrug:

This thread is going to spin out of control.

There are many who bank on Thunders info, myself included, and I also lose, but that is the nature of the business, but Thunder does not dribble, shoot or rebound. Unfortunately there are some turds who live in their parents basement who bet way over their heads and blame everyone but themselves for their dwindling bankroll.

Do you think for one minute Thunder cusses out any member here when he is at home because he loses a close one? NO ! , well at least I don't thinks so ? If you lose blame yourself, you pushed accept bet, plain and simple. Be a man or go to the mall !

Karnak knows,

and he doesn't sell his picks or post juice :toast:

 

[Trampled Underfoot]

You know I don't have a problem with him posting whatever he wants. Its just that most of us have been there. When you start off gambling it takes awhile to realize what the hell is going on. So you try to take a moment to comment about how foolish his posts are and you get hammered. He posts a million games and buys points. Those are two sure ways of losing money. You NEVER buy points in college hoops. Its a losing proposition. If you added up all his picks (minus the totals he gets from RAS) there is no way he is over 52.38% for his last thousand picks. That is using correct lines at the time of his post.

 

[Trampled Underfoot]

Actually by the time he posts those totals the lines have already moved 3-4 usually. So it really doesn't matter.

 

[KotysDad]

Actually by the time he posts those totals the lines have already moved 3-4 usually. So it really doesn't matter.

This is the only complaint I have...and this has nothing to do with Thunder since I really dont follow him much.....but I'm amazed at the incredible foresight the "superstars" have here, and you really see it in football where you have all week to find the best line.

If you're laying 7, I can guarantee they are laying 6 or 6.5 and its always posted 10 min before game time...and if you're getting 2.5 they are getting 3.5 thanks to betting early or dumb locals.

With this kind of foresight knowing the exact time to buy, I imagine these guys make a fucking fortune on the stock market.

Cant remember the last time I coattailed someone and got the same exact line they posted.

 

[R-7]

You can not play percent of bankroll and accurately track it in the same percent won and lost...

Let's start with a $10,000 roll... And make it simple...

Day one - Win 50% of roll, now have $15,000
Day two - Lose 50%, or $7,500, now have $7,500 and down $2,500 or 25%

Second scenario
Day one - Lose 50% or $5000, now at $5000
Day two - Win 50%, or $2500, again at $7500 and down 25%

50% less 50% does NOT equal zero %. Given that, I have no idea, nor do I care if he is up or down money. I do check out his plays as he does get on an occasional hot streak.

My two cents... or 2% of a dollar.

 

[gjn23]

You know I don't have a problem with him posting whatever he wants. Its just that most of us have been there. When you start off gambling it takes awhile to realize what the hell is going on. So you try to take a moment to comment about how foolish his posts are and you get hammered. He posts a million games and buys points. Those are two sure ways of losing money. You NEVER buy points in college hoops. Its a losing proposition. If you added up all his picks (minus the totals he gets from RAS) there is no way he is over 52.38% for his last thousand picks. That is using correct lines at the time of his post.

wait

you mean i cant follow 1 guy for 1 day with 8 games make 59 bets on those 8 games at 3k-9k perbet, put 300k to 1.1 mil at risk and come out ahead????

all the time??

and get favorable odds on every line???

and not pay juice???

that's what i thought gambling was all about.

 

[Sportsaholic]

I'm up $250 on the week and I'm gonna toss $1 on each of his games today. Hopefully I have enough to cover the late games :SIB

 

[ppabart]

You can not play percent of bankroll and accurately track it in the same percent won and lost...

Let's start with a $10,000 roll... And make it simple...

Day one - Win 50% of roll, now have $15,000
Day two - Lose 50%, or $7,500, now have $7,500 and down $2,500 or 25%

Second scenario
Day one - Lose 50% or $5000, now at $5000
Day two - Win 50%, or $2500, again at $7500 and down 25%

50% less 50% does NOT equal zero %. Given that, I have no idea, nor do I care if he is up or down money. I do check out his plays as he does get on an occasional hot streak.

My two cents... or 2% of a dollar.

Did I not say this already :shrug:

 

[yyz]

Did I not say this already :shrug:

If two of us are 50% certain, than you 100% did.

 

[THUNDER]

If two of us are 50% certain, than you 100% did.

ALL I HAVE TO SAY IS FOR MOST OF YOU IS I HOPE YOU ALL WIN EVERYDAY -NO BS- XYZ AND EVERYBODY ELSE THAT IN THIS THREAD- COUPLE FRIENDS SAID CHECK OUT WHATS GOIMG ON IN THE GENERAL FORUM WOW- ALL I CAN TELL IS THIS I HAVE CONFERENCE ON MY OFFICE PHONES I AM SURE IF YOUR REALLY NOSEY ENOUGH BOOKMAKER OR 5 DIMES OR BJ WILL TELL YOU HOW MUCH I AM UP THE LAST 3 MONTHS AND THE LAST TIME I PAID IN AND BALANCE AND MY MAN AT BOOKMAKER SAYS HE WOULD HAVE NO PROBLEM PROVING A POINT -

I WOULD LIKE TO PUT A 8% PLAY ON IT OF COURSE -ANY TAKERS

 

[yyz]

Of course you have a conference on your phone. I wouldn't expect you to make less than 5 or 6 calls at any one time.....

 

[THUNDER]

XYZ GET MY EMAIL FROM JACK THINK YOU WOULD BE SUPRISED WHAT CO I OWN - ONE OF THE LARGEST IN WISKY