INDIAN COWBOY
Rockies/Cardinals Under 9.5 (POD)
Yesterday: 4-1 MLB, 6-3 Overall, 2-0 POD, 6 of 8 POD Winners, 5 of 7 NBA POD Winners, +9.54 Units in the MLB Season (yesterday was the first day of the Card). +22 Units on the 07-08' NBA Season.
For the line to be this high this year it is surprising, sure 11 runs were scored yesterday between these 2 teams but that game was going well under until a blow up inning late. Thompson is a solid pitcher that is pitching at home, that has given up 1 run total in 11 innings against the Brewers and Astros last year to close out the year, while Jiminez was great for the Rockies last year, giving up 5 runs in his last 22 innings and pitched in 4 straight unders and given that these 2 lineups are not potent as the Rockies score far fewer runs on the road and the Cards are not a power house lineup, this spots up for a 4-2 or 3-2 type of ballgame to be had here.
Kansas City Royals +159 (vs. Tigers)
There is no reason why the Royals should be this much of an underdog today. You saw, they are the Royals, they are horrible - are they? This team sits at 2-0. You say their offense is questionable - is it? This team has scored 9 runs. You saw this team's pitching is questionable? Is it? This team has given up 4 runs in the first game and 0 in its second game. The Royals are a scrappy team that plays their guts out. Greinke was once considered an ace on this staff until they went out and made a few trades and he is on a come-back season this year. Sure, the Tigers look to bounce-back after starting 0-2, but folks, this is not basketball, this is baseball and home field only has so much advantage, as I believe the Royals would win this game half the time given this pitching matchup and getting nearly +160 is well worth a shot here on this scrappy Royals team. I think Bonderman pitches well today but still gives up about 3-4 runs in 6 innings and Greinke can either be incredible or bust today, but he went 5 innings and gave up 0 runs last time he faced the Tigers and he closed last year very strong and I will take a shot on him today on his bounce-back season. This is a long season and Greinke and the Royals are well worth the risk here for the reward. This is what the MLB season is all about. May the Dogs bite.
Houston Astros +131 (vs. dbacks)
Is Randy Wolf getting this much respect? Wolf is a 31 year old pitcher, who has given up 29 runs in 33 innings. Folks, that's terrible. I cannot overstate how weak those numbers are. Now, Shawn Chacon is no savior, but he can have his spots. He pitches for the first time after coming from a sound Yankees team and then moving to the Pirates before coming to the Astros who are willing to give him a shot in the rotation. The bottom line in this game is that you have two teams with equitable offenses and the Astros with the better and more consistent pitcher on the mound - yes, Chacon I believe was coming on strong last year and is more consistent than Wolf. The Astros have a decent middle of the lineup with Berkman and Lee who can provide the necessary pop to put up some runs on Wolf here as I see Chacon holding down the fort for this new ballclub today. The Padres do come off a tough loss last night as Hoffman blew a save, but I don't even think Hoffman gets a chance to blow a save today as the Astros surprise some folks and end up winning this game by a score of around 6-3 as I have it.
