Thursday Service Plays 6/26/08

the duke

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Andre Gomes

WNBA
Game: Sacramento Monarchs @ Minnesota Lynx - Thursday June 26, 2008 8:05 pm

Pick: 4 units (Free Play*) ATS: Minnesota Lynx -3.5 (-105)

After five losses in a row, Minny finally won a game again! And they did in a great fashion, having the biggest win of the season. They can be very important for them, as they are a young team with three rookies playing major minutes and when these girls have confidence, Minny is one of the most dangerous teams in the league. In that losing streak, the team never lost by double digits points, in fact they lost 3 of those matches by a maximum of 4 points and their lack of confidence didn't provide them the spark to finish off the games. This is not the case today for Minny, as they won their last game and they will receive Sacramento today. It's curious to see that Sacramento is one of the teams which defeated Minny during their five game losing streak. So like the Liberty in their last game, this will also be a revenge game for the Lynx, a spot that they have handled in a great fashion last Tuesday.

Sacramento comes to this game in a terrible mood, as they lost by 73-78 at Indiana two days ago, a game that the Monarchs leaded by as many as 18 points, but they ended up losing after only being capable to score 26 points during the second half. This is a huge contrast of spirit between Minny and Sacramento. I expect a good revenge game for the Lynx today. My power rankings appointed Minny as favorites by 7 points, so 5 points has a lot of value. Take Minny in here.
 

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Players of America



Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Florida Marlins

3* (30 Units) Florida Marlins +105


Cincinnati Reds vs. Toronto Blue Jays

3* (30 Units)Cincinnati Reds +105



San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Indians

3* (30 Units)Cleveland Indians -150
 

the duke

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Robert Ferringo


2-Unit Play. Take #965 New York Yankees (-140) over Pittsburgh (7 p.m., Thursday, June 26)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #956 Chicago Cubs (-165) over Baltimore (2 p.m., Thursday, June 26)
 

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WUNDERDOG

WNBA

Game: Phoenix at Chicago (9:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total OVER 175.5 +100

Is there a total that can hold this Phoenix team to playing under? Not in this range and in this type of matchup. As the season has progressed the pace has gotten faster, especially when the emphasis has been run, run, and run. They are perfecting this type of play. Over the last four games, they have featured 765 points or 193 a game. The Sky has been no stranger to high-scoring games either, as they have allowed over 90 a game in their last three. These teams played in the 100s last time they met, and we don't see this one staying out of the 90s, so OVER gets the call.
 

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Jeff Scott Sports


Sometimes when your going bad you don't get the breaks. Last night I went 2-4 with 3 of those losses coming in the 9th inning. The Yanks scored a run with 2 outs to put the total at 10 (I had under)... I had the Angels over the Nats and the Nats won it in the bottom of the 9th and then I had Detroit on the RL and they onlty won by 1 and yes it was the bottom of the 9th. A very tough day indeed, but I still felt very good about the card and I was just a reak or two away from turning that 2-4 mark into a 4-2 mark. I'm close to getting back on track. I did win anotyher top play though on the Cubs -1.5 over Baltimore. Here are today's afternoon plays and I will have tonight's plays between 4 and 5 pm.

2 UNIT PLAY

SAN DIEGO/ Minnesota Under 8

The Under is 9-1 in Bakers last 10 starts during game 3 of a series and 11-5 in Bakers last 16 starts as an underdog, while the Under is 7-1 in Padres last 8 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record and 9-2 in Padres last 11 Thursday games, plus the Under is 9-1 in Cuzzis last 10 games behind home plate vs. Minnesota and 7-3-1 in his last 11 games behind home plate vs. San Diego. The pitchng matchup in this game has pitchers duel written all over it. Josh Banks has made 4 starts on the year and has a 2.13 ERA in those starts, plus in his lone home start he allowed just 1 ER in 6 innings of work. Josh's ERA is a bit higher at 3.31 in his last 3 starts, but he has allowed just a .258 OBP in the three games. His starts have averaged 6.5 rpg overall, including 4.5 rpg during the day and 6.7 rpg in his last 3 starts. Scott Baker has also been solid for his team as he comes in with a solid 3.47 ERA overall, including a 3.00 ERA in day games and a nice 2.37 ERA in his last 3 starts overall. Scott's last 3 starts overall have produced just 5.3 rpg, while his days games have averaged just 4.7 rpg. Minnesota's staff ERA has been very good of late as they own a 1.96 ERA in their last 10 games. The Padres score just 3.7 rpg at home with those home games averaging just 7.6 rpg. The Pads also score just 3.8 rpg vs righty starters and have put up just 3 rpg in their last 8. The Twins struggle in day games as they have a .256 BA and score just 3.6 rpg in those games. This game has solid pitching on the mound in a pitchers park, to go along with a solid Under Ump behind the plate. Looks to me like this will be low scoring affing, in the range of 5 or 6 runs.

2 UNIT PLAY

CHICAGO -154 over Baltimore
 

the duke

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Greg Shaker

MLB Total Double-Dime Bet
960 SDP / 959 MIN Under 8 BetUS
Analysis: MLB: Minnesota Twins at San Diego

Padres - Under 8 (Baker/Banks) -120 | Unit Value: 2

Note: There are also some -125's out there but do the best you can on this total line. The liklihood of 9 or more runs being scored in this one are just not that good. The Padre Pitcher has been nothing short of extraordinary with 20 K's in his 5 starts this year and a mighty fine ERA and great ratios across the board. Certainly Petco has been his favorite place to pitch with just 1 run allowed over 14 innings. Baker has been a quality thrower all year, he has great ratios, and he is coming off one of his best performances. The Twins Pen has beeb good all year, the Padres Pen is starting to come around after a slow start. San Diego's Run Production remains low and that is an added benefit for today. The Padres sputtering offense continues to struggle, as it went 1 for 6 with runners in scoring position Wednesday, and is just 3 for 26, in such situations in its last three games. San Diego has scored the second-fewest runs in the majors at 293 and we don't have to wonder why. Sometimes plays can be very obvious and sometimes those are the best kind. This is one of those.



MLB Money Line Double-Dime Bet
952 FLA (+105) BetUS vs 951 TAM
Analysis: MLB: Tampa Bay Devil Rays at Florida

Marlins - Marlins (Garza/Hendrickson) 105 | Unit Value: 2
 

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Wild Bill


Thursday, June 26

Tampa -120 (2 units)
St Louis +125 (5 units)
Under 8 Dodgers-Sox (2 units)
White Sox +110 (2 units)
Under 8 Twins-Padres (2 units)
Under 8 1/2 Phils-A's (4 units)
Phils +185 (4 units)
Cleveland -160 (5 units)
Yankees -140 (5 units)
Reds -110 (1 unit)
Under 8 Reds-Jays (5 units)
Astros -120 (2 units)
 

the duke

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Chris James Sports

(9-2 L5 Days, Won 7 of 8 days)

3* Cleveland
2* Dodgers Under
 
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