Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
MLB Money Line
triple-dime bet904 SFG (-143)Bodog vs 903 WAS
GIANTS By rallying for three runs in the bottom of the eighth last night the Giants were able to overcome a 4-3 deficit and knock off the Nationals 6-4. They also won Tuesdays game 6-3 and today, they are now going for the sweep! This really should come as no surprise as the Giants, despite their overall struggles this season, have had absolutely no problems with the Nationals this year! San Francisco is now a perfect 6-0 against Washington this season and the wins have often featured domination! Thats why the Giants have outscored the Nationals 37-13 in the six games. Thats an average win of 6-2 and with Matt Cain on the bump for the Giants this afternoon, the domination should absolutely continue! San Francisco is simply loaded with confidence against the Nationals and their starting pitcher, Cain, also has plenty of reason to be confident about todays game too! The Giants have lost Cains last three starts but hes posted a respectable 3.79 ERA while striking out 19 in 19 innings. Cain already defeated the Nationals earlier this season on June 9th and hes got a solid 3.00 ERA in his five career starts against Washington. What has been most impressive about Cain in his young career is his ability to dominate at home. He may not have the victories to show for it but the right-hander has a stellar .223 BAA at home and an impressive 3.49 ERA in his career starts at AT & T Park. Also note that opponents are hitting just .214 against Cain in his career daytime outings. Hes matched up with Tim Redding of the Nationals and the right-hander is on the fade now after a surprisingly strong start to the season. Redding is coming off of a loss at Atlanta where he was hammered for six runs in just four innings! Even though it was Reddings first loss in quite some time, his recent outings have shown some return to normalcy after his impressive numbers early this season. One area was his numbers are certainly not impressive is against the Giants. Versus San Francisco, Redding is 0-4 with a 6.49 ERA in 7 games (5 starts). Look for more struggles this afternoon as Redding has given up 29 hits in his last 21 innings over his last four starts. Averaging only about five innings per start is not a good sign for the Nationals either as that means that their subpar bullpen will be exposed here. This one is all Giants and thats why this play has been elevated to GOY status!
double-dime bet912 BAL / 911 TOR Under 8 Bodog
UNDER Orioles Some of this analysis was presented with yesterdays play as it was a total we got somewhat burned on. Yesterdays game was suspended with a 2-1 score as they were heading to the bottom of the 6th inning. As noted in yesterdays analysis: A low total was posted on this game and many will be jumping on the over because of the recent results for these two clubs. However, the key here is the pitching match-up as the old adage is true that good pitching stops good hitting. The Orioles have scored 40 runs in their 6 games since the All Star Break. All but one of those has gone over the total. As for the Blue Jays, they have scored 26 runs in their last 4 games and all four games went over the total. However, all this slugfest activity comes to an end on Thursday afternoon courtesy of Roy Halladay of the Jays and Daniel Cabrera of the Orioles. Halladay has defeated the Orioles seven straight times and, overall, the Jays ace is 16-4 with a 3.09 ERA in his 23 career games against Baltimore. Halladay is coming off of a loss in his most recent start but it was his first defeat since mid-June. It was really one pitch, Evan Longorias grand slam, that cost him the game. That said, look for him to bounce back and come up with another strong effort on Thursday afternoon. The key to the Under in this match-up is that Halladay will be matched by his counterpart, Cabrera, pitch for pitch today. The Orioles Cabrera is coming off of a rough start versus the Tigers in his most recent outing but note that he was simply done in by a tough first inning. That rough start came at Camden Yards but in his prior home start he pitched a complete game against the Royals and got the win as he allowed just two earned runs in a very impressive home outing! Cabrera is undefeated at home in his eight starts at Camden Yards this season and we expect more domination this afternoon. With the bats finally quieted in this series, todays Game Four stays well UNDER the total thanks to a pitchers duel between Halladay and Cabrera, two very capable workhorses
