Thursday Service Plays 7/3/08

the duke

Registered
Forum Member
Feb 19, 2007
7,158
0
0
VERNON CROY

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees (MLB) - 7:05 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: -125 New York Yankees Play

20 Unit MLB AL Smash of the Night
New York Yankees -125


20 Units, Take the NY Yankees ML, This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and Andy Pettitte (9-5, 3.98 ERA) has pitched extremely solid over his last 3 starts with an ERA of just 0.95 while striking out 17 batters over 19 innings. The Yankees are 15-7 at home this season when the posted total is 9 to 9.5 and Boston is now just 4-8 in their last 12 games as a road dog of +100 to +125. The Yankees are 7-1 in Pettitte's last 8 starts and the Red Sox are just 2-4 in John Lester's (6-3, 3.48 ERA) last 6 road starts. Take the Yankees at home as my MLB AL Smash of the Week
 

the duke

Registered
Forum Member
Feb 19, 2007
7,158
0
0
King Creole

MLB Total
double-dime bet904 ARI / MIL Under 8

Analysis: 3:40pm ET / MILWAUKEE Brewers with Parra @ ARIZONA Diamondbacks with Webb
2** Play on: UNDER the TOTAL



This afternoon's home plate Umpire in Arizona is ADRIAN JOHNSON. His YTD Record in the 2008 season is fairly strong at 7-13 O/U (65% Unders). Going back to last season, it's 8-20 O/U. In the 'what have you done for me lately' department, we note that he has gone a PERFECT 0-4 O/U in his last 4 games dating back to the middle of June. In those 4 games, he has allowed only 5.2 runs per game. In his most recent game, he worked the pitchers battle between the Angels and the Dodgers on Sunday. In that game, John Lackey took on Derek Lowe. What was the final score? How about 1-0! So don't be afraid that this afternoon's OU line is only 8 runs. It was only SEVEN On Sunday and still went Under by the LOWEST possible outcome that you can have in a baseball game. We also note that Johnson has gone 2-6 O/U in Righty vs Lefty pitching matchups this season... and 5-12 O/U in his short 2.5 year career 'behind the dish'. And finally, in that short career... he is a PERFECT 0-1 O/U "In this Park".

Arizona has had their problems scoring runs lately and as a result, they are 1-7-2 O/U In their last 10 games. And Milwaukee is also on a recent 'UNDER" Pace as well (2-7 O/U last 9). With the D'Backs facing a lefty today in Manny Parra, we note that they are 1-5 O/U in their last 6 home games versus southpaws. Also 0-7-1 O/U when playing off a loss... and 1-5-1 O/U in their last 6 favorite roles. The Brewers are 1-9 O/U as road dogs of +150 or higher... 0-5 O/U when playing off a win... 1-5 O/U vs the NL West... and 1-6 O/U in their last 6 versus righties. For the visitors, Manny Parra has looked REALY sharp in his last 3 starts. In two of 'em, he allowed ZERO earned runs (ERA of only 1.42). His last start on the road vs Minnesota resulted in 7 SGUTOUT innings and only TWO hits allowed. Brandon Webb's ERA at home vs the Brew-Crew is only 1.22 in 3 starts dating back to the 2005 season. He's also 1-4-1 O/U In his last 6 starts overall. Another "Getaway Day' UNDER.
 

the duke

Registered
Forum Member
Feb 19, 2007
7,158
0
0
The Hammer

Guaranteed Selections
Date: Thursday, July 03, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: The Hammer had an OUTSTANDING year in baseball last year as I was 81-38 for the season +$5210 playing just $100 per game! My DIME PLAYERS made over $50,000 last year with my baseball selections! Today we are featuring our PRIVATE INVESTORS CLUB BASEBALL WINNER! You can get this GUARANTEED WINNER for just $25 and you will pay only after you win! 43-26 BASEBALL RUN +$1565!! 7/3/2008

PRIVATE INVESTORS CLUB BASEBALL WINNER
Arizona w/Webb -165 3:40 EST
 

the duke

Registered
Forum Member
Feb 19, 2007
7,158
0
0
David Malinsky


6* NY YANKEES over BOSTON

In turning a 4* ticket against Boston last night there were obviously some Tampa Bay play-on aspects, but much of it still had to do with the current Red Sox state of affairs. We can buck a struggled and troubled team again here. When you have lost five in a row on the road, the last thing that you need is to play a series like this one with no down time, particularly when your bullpen badly needs it.

As noted yesterday, Jonathan Papelbon has not worked since last Friday, largely because they have not been able to get a game to him. It has not been the fault of the starters, with Josh Beckett, Justin Masterson, Tim Wakefield and Daisuke Matsuzaka all pitching well enough to win in the last four games. But the middle relief corps is just a mess right now, and that group becomes magnified because the one starter that did fail in the 0-5 run, Jon Lester, goes front and center tonight. How bad has the bullpen been - how about a 12.60 ERA and a 2.50 WHIP in those five games? With Hideki Okajima in a major funk (dead last in the Major League?s in allowing inherited runners to score), and the absence of Mike Timlin?s poise shaking the middle corps, they are ripe to be exploited by the kind of hitters that they will face here.

As for Lester, there is a major home/away gap in his numbers, both in terms of quality and quantity, and it is something that will bring that bullpen into play. At Fenway it is a solid 2.54 ERA, and 6.2 innings per start. On the road those numbers go to 4.66 and 5.1. He lasted only five innings in his last outing at Houston, where he was knocked around for six runs on nine hits, including a pair of home runs, and that does not have his confidence where it needs to be for his first ever outing at Yankee Stadium. His inability to bridge this game to Papelbon opens up all of those Boston bullpen issues, and is a prime reason why we believe that this one breaks wide open.

The other key to making this one easy is the form of Andy Pettitte. It was not too long ago that he might have suffered the most humbling moment of his long career, an afternoon in which he allowed 10 runs vs. the punchless Royals, capped by a Jose Guillen grand slam in the 7th inning, But Pettitte showed his true professionalism off of that embarrassment - it has been a 4-0/1.00 run since then, with 23 strikeouts vs. only 19 hits allowed over those 27 innings. He is more than capable of being the bridge to Mariano Rivera, and the rest of the Yankee relief corps is also well-set off of last night?s blowout. Their task is made much easier here by the current slumps of Manny Ramirez (10-68) and Jacob Ellsbury (11-59), which have created major holes at the two most important offensive sports in the Boston lineup.

The oddsmakers have set a short price here on a game in which the Yankees bring significant edges over a flawed side. And the price is just low enough for us to be able to go to the 6* level.
 

the duke

Registered
Forum Member
Feb 19, 2007
7,158
0
0
GamblersWorld

TIP OF THE DAY

New York Yankees

Current Line: -130 Over/Under: 9.5 Reason: The fans at Yankee Stadium will be treated to a game between the Boston Red Sox and the New York Yankees when they take their seats on Thursday. Jon Lester will be the starting pitcher for the Red Sox on this day. Lefthander Lester is 6-3 this season with a 3.48 ERA. Starting this game for the Yankees will be Andy Pettitte. The left hander has a 3.98 ERA to go along with a 9-5 record this season. Odds makers currently have the Yankees listed as 130-money line favorites versus the Red Sox, while the game's total is sitting at 9½. The Red Sox were edged 7-6 by the Rays as a +130 road underdog last time out. The game's 11 runs made it OVER the posted over/under (7.5). Dustin Pedroia had four hits with three runs scored and two RBIs, including a solo home run for the Red Sox. Craig Hansen gave up three runs in less than an inning and was tagged with the loss. Jason Giambi belted a grand slam and the Yankees scored seven runs in the seventh inning on Wednesday, as they cruised past the Rangers 18-7. The Yankees won that game as -175 favorites, and the 25 runs sailed OVER the posted over/under (10.5). Giambi finished with six RBIs for the Yankees, and Alex Rodriguez had three RBIs and scored four runs. Edwar Ramirez tossed two shutout innings to earn the victory. Current streak: Boston has lost 5 straight games. Team records: Boston: 50-37 SU New York: 45-40 SU Boston most recently: When playing on Thursday are 6-4 Before playing NY Yankees are 5-5 After playing Tampa Bay are 6-4 After a loss are 5-5 New York most recently: When playing on Thursday are 8-2 Before playing Boston are 7-3 After playing Texas are 6-4 After a win are 6-4 A few trends to consider: Boston is 4-8 SU in their last 12 games when playing NY Yankees Boston is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees Boston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road Boston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games NY Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Boston NY Yankees are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games when playing Boston NY Yankees are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games at home
 

the duke

Registered
Forum Member
Feb 19, 2007
7,158
0
0
Robert Ferringo

2.5-Unit Play. Take #904 Arizona (-165) over Milwaukee (3:40 p.m., Thursday, July 3)

2-Unit Play. Take #906 San Francisco (-135) over Chicago Cubs (7 p.m., Thursday, July 3)

1.5-Unit Play. Take ?Over? 10.5 Florida at Colorado (8 p.m., Thursday, July 3)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #919 Oakland (+115) over Chicago White Sox (8 p.m., Thursday, July 3)

1-Unit Play. Take #902 Houston (+120) over Los Angeles Dodgers (2 p.m., Thursday, July 3)
1-Unit Play. Take #910 Atlanta (+110) over Philadelphia (7 p.m., Thursday, July 3)
1-Unit Play. Take #918 Baltimore (-145) over Kansas City (7 p.m., Thursday, July 3)
 

the duke

Registered
Forum Member
Feb 19, 2007
7,158
0
0
Players of America

WAS vs. CIN
Game: Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds
Star Value: 1* (10 Units) Cincinnati Reds -145



PHI vs. ATL
Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
Star Value: 1* (10 Units) Atlanta Braves +110.0
 

the duke

Registered
Forum Member
Feb 19, 2007
7,158
0
0
Allen Wong

Thursday, July 3, 2008
93-60-2 Last 156 Releases, 19-6 Run last 25
3000 unit 100% Perfect
Lock of a Lifetime!
This will Win or UNTIL ALL STAR BREAK FREE!!

3000 units Chicago Cubs +115
 

the duke

Registered
Forum Member
Feb 19, 2007
7,158
0
0
SAPKOWSKI

88-53

Premium(45-27 L72, Yesterday 1-1 (STL Cardinals"W",CIN Reds"L")
LA Dodgers
DET Tigers


Free picks(43-26 L69, 2-0 Yesterday (CHI White Sox"W",FLO Marlins"W")
WAS Nationals vs. CIN Reds Under 9
FLO Marlins vs. COL Rockies Over 10.5
 

the duke

Registered
Forum Member
Feb 19, 2007
7,158
0
0
I dont understand the people from this forum.
The plays are out there so post them.


Computer Crushers

Guaranteed Selections
Date: Thursday, July 03, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: We are now 42-15 this season in baseball for PLUS $2300 playing just $100 per game! We were 59-28 in Baseball last year as we are very selective with our baseball selections as you may see four or five plays a week from us. Today we are featuring our 5000 UNIT BASEBALL CRUSHER WINNER! You can get this GUARANTEED WINNER for just $25 and pay only after you win! 7/3/2008

5000 UNIT BASEBALL CRUSHER WINNER
St Louis w/Boggs -110 8:15 EST




William Kidd

Guaranteed Selections thx fatso
Date: Thursday, July 03, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: Today we are featuring a QUADRUPLE DIME BASEBALL HOME RUN WINNER!! You can get this GUARANTEED WINNER for just $25 and you will win this game or there will be no charge! We are now 55-24 for +$2634 playing just $100 per game in Baseball this year! 7/3/2008

QUADRUPLE DIME BASEBALL HOME RUN WINNER
Chicago White Sox w/Vazquez -123 8:10 ES
 

the duke

Registered
Forum Member
Feb 19, 2007
7,158
0
0
Bob Akmens

7* Chicago White Sox


Wunderdog

3 units - CWS
3 units - Seattle
3 units - Seattle +1.5
 

the duke

Registered
Forum Member
Feb 19, 2007
7,158
0
0
Tom Freese

20* St. Louis



LT Profits

2* Mets/Cardinals over 9.5


Alex Smart


2* Oakland A's


Brandon Lovell

10* Chicago White Sox -115


Aj Apollo

3* Seattle Mariners (Silva vs Verlander)
 

the duke

Registered
Forum Member
Feb 19, 2007
7,158
0
0
Teddy Covers

Thursday Night American League Report: $19
Here is your chance today to cash a baseball winner with Teddy Covers. Don't miss out on this huge play in American League action tonight for just $19. This play is guaranteed to win or Teddy's next baseball play is yours at no additional charge.

Oakland A's
 

the duke

Registered
Forum Member
Feb 19, 2007
7,158
0
0
Teddy June

MLB Game of the Day
Pick: 5* St. Louis Cardinals

Analysis: My 5* MLB Game of the Day is the St. Louis Cardinals over the New York Mets. I have always been a big proponent of betting on teams off emotional wins and in the same sense betting against teams off emotional losses in baseball. It plays such a key role in baseball with streaks being so important in the everyday grind of a baseball season. I talked about this with the Mariners yesterday when we cashed with them as they were off a late inning comeback win a game they were down 6-3 heading into the 7th and they managed to rally and win on their home field. Tonight, the Cardinals are off a walk off home run by Troy Glaus to grab an 8-7 win over the Mets last night and I like the momentum they will take into ball game tonight. Mitchell Boggs will take the hill for the Cardinals and Mike Pelfrey for the Mets. Boggs has been serviceable for the Cardinals this year and that is all we really need tonight from him. He is 3-0 with a 4.37 ERA and the team is 4-0 in his 4 starts this season. He has actually faced some pretty solid offenses with KC, Boston, Philadelphia and Cincinnati and pitched fairly well in his games. I really liked what I saw out of him in the KC game he has begun to look more confident and is best pitch a hard sinker has looked strong in his last few outings. On the other side Mike Pelfrey gets the start for the Mets and he will be attempting to turn around his road troubles something I expect him to have a very difficult time doing against a potent lineup. Pelfrey in 7 road starts has a 6.38 ERA, 2.10 WHIP and hitters are pounding the ball against him hitting an astounding .353 against him on the road. The Cardinals with Pujols who has been red hot since coming back have a very potent lineup and have been smashing righties at home hitting .281 and scoring almost 5 runs per game; in their last 10 ball games they are hitting .306 overall and scoring 5.3 runs per game. Cardinals are a solid 25-18 at home while the Mets are 19-25 on the road this year and with both Beltran and Castillo not expected to play for the Mets tonight I expect them to really struggle. Expect Cardinals to grab the win and take this series 3-1. I currently have this line at -110. My 5* MLB Game of the Day is the St. Louis Cardinals. As always, Good Luck, Let?s make some money.
Total: 15.00
 
Bet on MyBookie
Top