NHL 2010.02.11 final 2 picks:
Washington Capitals @ Ottawa Senators
Today we will have a matchup between two hot teams. Both teams are going well lately, and I will not write about any stats, as there is no edge on that.
Capitals are with a 14-1 record in the last 15 games. At this point, there is no doubt that they are the strongest candidate to Stanley Cup. However, it's earlier to be sure because of the last year. But Capitals, since they had their players back from injuries list, are sweeping everything that they face. They can beat the best home team in their own arena, because their offense is just producing lot's of goals. They are losing 4-1 in the middle of the game? No problem for them, they just activate their offensive mode, and they won the game, like they did against Pittsburgh. They went to NY to a matchup against Rangers. Rangers had a great night, scoring 5 goals. But... that isn't enough, Capitals were able to win in in regular time in the last period. This show how strong the team is, and today they will be this kind of team. And there's why: In the last match, Capitals lost in Montreal. Now, someone will have to deal with an angry team. And if Capitals are really a contenders, they have to show that they also can be mental winners.
Ottawa is going a great period, curiously since they had their players back from injuries list. They can score against anyone and keep their nets with few hits. However, this moment seems to be passing, as they went to Toronto losing 5-0, and then faced Flames at home winning only 3-2, with a game that wasn't so easy. The team have some talents that are not in their best years concerning their physical indices. So, their "momentum" is going away, and the team will have today to host a great team, that's is unlikely that they can hold if they are going to a letdown, something that is likely.
Pick: Washington Capitals 3Way (1X2) +125 (2.25) Bookmaker
Buffalo Sabres @ Carolina Hurricanes
Despite the difference between two teams in standings, we can't despise the recent form. If the Hurricanes took lot's of games to find their best game, Buffalo seems a little bit tired and passing a letdown moment. This is enough to give value to Hurricanes ML, that is over +100. Hurricanes are the kind of team that fight and are hard to beat, specially at home. They never give up, and against a team passing a letdown phase, we have an edge.
Sabres are 2-9 in last 11 games. On road, they are 2-7 in last 9 game and showing a horrible defense. They were playing a great game, but suddenly the good results stop. The team is struggling a lot, they are allowing almost 4 goals per game, and it's been hard for them to score.
Carolina are in a different way. After one of the worst starts of the season, the team is 8-2 in last 10 games. At home, they are 6-2 in last 8 games, and with a overall 14-12 record. A positive record that has been hard to built, but the last games they were able to.
So, despite the the 32 win this seasons that Sabres have, there is value in taking Carolina side today. Carolina only have 22 wins this season, but they are in a hardworking mode and at home they are always strong. When they faces team that approach the game in the wrong way, they usually win, it's always a mistake to underestimate them.
Pick: Carolina Hurricanes ML +105 (2.05) The Greek
*One unit each always. L9: 0-9
