Tuesday Service Plays 8/5/08

[the duke]

RON RAYMOND

5* MLB O/U GAME OF THE WEEK


Cleveland ? Tampa Bay: UNDER 9.0 -130

Keys to selection: Today?s baseball pick will be the UNDER 9.0 -130 between the Indians and Rays. The Indians have been involved in some low scoring games of late, as the UNDER is now 4-0 in their last 4 contests and they send Fausto Carmona to the Hill this evening vs. Erwin Jackson. The UNDER is 22-10-2 for Cleveland in their last 35 games at home or away vs. AL East opponents.
Furthermore, the UNDER is 6-3-1 when Cleveland travels to Tampa Bay in their last 10 games and the last 4 games in Tampa Bay have gone UNDER the posted total.
Here?s a great system on the season that backs up our UNDER selection tonight.

Whenever you have a -120 to -140 Home Favorite this season playing under these current situations:

? During a night game
? Vs. Right handed pitchers
? Coming off a 1 game loss
? Coming off a lost in game 1 of a series

The UNDER is 17-2-0 for the Home Faves in this role this season.

 

[the duke]

GINA

Tuesday, August 5, 2008 7:05 p.m. est.
Florida Marlins (59-53) at Philadelphia Phillies (61-50)
(R) Josh Johnson (1-0) vs. (L) Jamie Moyer (10-6)
Philadelphia Phillies have won four of the last five games against the Florida Marlins in Philly and will start lefty Jamie Moyer, who has been very successful against the Marlins. Moyer is 10-0 with a 3.03 ERA in 10 career starts versus the Marlins. Look for the veteran to stay unbeaten versus the Marlins.

Go with the Phillies! Philadelphia is 7-1 in their last 8 games, 7-1 in its last 8 at Citizens Bank Park and has won Jamie Moyer's last 10 starts against the Marlins, including the last 5 at home.

Philadelphia Phillies -145



MR A

Tuesday, August 5th, 2008 10:05 PM EST.
Baltimore Orioles (53-58) at Los Angeles Angels (70-42)
(L) Chris Waters (0-0) vs. (R) Jon Garland (10-6)
The Baltimore Orioles have lost five of the last six meetings versus the Los Angeles Angels and six of its last seven at Angel Stadium.

Baltimore's Chris Waters (0-0, 0.00 ERA) will make his major league debut. The southpaw went 3-6 with a 5.70 ERA in 18 games, including 16 starts with Triple-A Norfolk.

Los Angeles' Jon Garland (10-6, 4.30 ERA) is 2-0 with a 5.00 ERA in his last three starts. The right-hander is 7-2 with a 4.40 ERS in 11 career outings, including 9 starts versus the Orioles

Take the Angels at home with Jon Garland on the mound. Los Angeles has taken 11 of the last 14 games against Baltimore played at Angel Stadium and right-hander Garland has won his last six starts against them, 2-0 with a 4.05 ERA this season.

Los Angeles Angels -200




JB's Computer Plays


7:10 p.m. San Diego Padres at New York Mets
(R) Chris Young (4-4) vs. (R) Mike Pelfrey (9-7) New York Mets -170

8:11 p.m. Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox
(L) Nate Robertson (6-8) vs. (R) Gavin Floyd (11-6) Chicago White Sox -145

10:05 p.m. Baltimore Orioles at Los Angeles Angels
(L) Chris Waters (0-0) vs. (R) Jon Garland (10-6) Los Angeles Angels -210

 

[the duke]

The King Maker

2-Units BOS -1.5 (-110) vs KAN

For KC, Soria and Tejeda are now unavailable, and Mahay is currently running a gaudy 16.20 ERA over his last three games. That means that KC's bullpen is missing its ACE closer, and their ACE set-up man is crapping out.

The remaining options are not going to stop a late inning run by the Red Sox.

Nunez, Peralta, The Ramirez boys, And Mahay are all sitting above 4.50 on their ERA's over the last three appearances, and that simply won't hold a lead, or allow the Royals to catch up.

THE BACK DOOR IS WIDE OPEN.

For Boston, Okajima, Papelbon, Lopez, and Delcarmen are looking STELLAR over the last few starts. Something has changed! They can hold our lead, or let us catch a two run win.

On a Run Line wager you MUST make sure of two things!

1. The enemy pen must be in disarray.

2. Your pen must be in optimal condition.

We have that!

As far as the Starters?????

Beckett is being underrated due to a string of shaky games, but the public doesn't see the fact that he had to face the Yankees and the Angels TWICE in 4 of his last 5 starts!

That's 207 pitches to Angels Bats.

That's 212 pitches to Yankee Bats.

That would kill anyone's splits!!!!!

Before that stretch, he faced Houston Cincy, and Arizona and allowed only 4 earned runs over 22 innings. I think we can expect Beckett to get back on track, as the Royals are more like Houston, Cincy, and Zona, and they also haven't seen Beckett this year. He has a 19/3 K/BB Ratio against KC batters. In 82 at bats there were 7 runs scored. Royals batters have never hit a Home Run or a Triple against Josh.

I will ride that set-up anyday!

 

[the duke]

Ben Burns


MLB Money Line
double-dime bet904 PHI (-155)Bodog vs 903 FLA

Analysis: I'm laying the price with PHILADELPHIA. Give the Marlins credit, as they've managed to hang around in the playoff race for a lot longer than most people would have expected. They're in tough tonight though. They just dropped two of three vs. the Rockies, including a disheartening loss on Sunday, which saw them blow a lead which they held for most of the game. Now they travel to Philadelphia to face a red hot Phillies team which has won seven of eight games. Making matters worse, they're up against a pitcher who they've never beaten.

In 10 career starts against the Marlins, Jamie Moyer has gone a perfect 10-0. All 10 of those starts came as a member of Philadelphia and the Phillies won by a combined score of 63-27. Moyer had a 3.03 ERA in those games with an outstanding 0.98 WHIP. Philadelphia closer Brad Lidge had this to say about Moyer's dominance of the Marlins: "He's such a good pitcher, sometimes he can use a team's aggressiveness against them. Florida has a very aggressive team - they hit a lot of home runs. Jamie's style matches up good against them. He's such a master of what he's doing, he can see what they're swinging at and move it a couple of inches." Moyer will be opposed by Josh Johnson, who's coming off his first win since August of 2006. While Johnson has been relatively solid for the Marlins, he's still only made two road starts. He has a 4.36 ERA and 1.549 WHIP in those games and has averaged just 5.2 innings per start. Nothing too impressive about that. He also has a poor 4.64 ERA in five career appearances against the Phillies. Look for Moyer to continue his series dominance as the Phillies remain red hot and pad their lead in the East. *Annihilator




double-dime bet906 CIN (-124)Bodog vs 905 MIL

Analysis: I'm playing on CINCINNATI. I won with the Reds yesterday and I feel that they provide us with excellent value again today. Volquez is 13-3 as a starter (13-4 overall) with an excellent 2.74 ERA. That's significantly better than Bush's 5-9 record and 4.73 ERA in his 19 starts. That doesn't tell the whole story about Bush though. To get a better idea about Bush we need to look more closely at his stats.

For starters, Bush really prefers to pitch during the day. In five daytime starts, he's 3-2 with a 3.53 ERA. On the other hand, in 15 night appearances (14 starts) he's gone 2-7 with a 5.18 ERA. His home/road numbers are even more revealing. In 11 home starts, Bush is 4-3 with a solid 3.30 ERA. However, in eight road starts he's 1-6 (Brewers are 1-7) with a brutal 7.11 ERA. This isn't just a one-year fluke either. Last season, he had a 4.26 ERA at home but a 6.14 ERA on the road. In 2006, he was 9-4 with a 3.53 ERA and but 3-7 with a 5.38 ERA on the road. You get the idea.

In addition to his problems on the road, Bush has really struggled vs. the Reds. Indeed, in eight career starts vs. Cincinnati, all of them as a member of the Brewers, he's gone 1-3 with an awful 8.38 ERA and 1.862 WHIP. Not surprisingly, Milwaukee lost the last five of those games, going 2-6 overall. The Brewers are 0-5 in Bush's five starts at Cincinnati losing by a combined score of 51-26. In those games, Bush allowed 29 earned runs in just 18 1/3 innings. That's a 14.24 ERA! Meanwhile, Volquez was dominant in his lone start against the Brewers, which came just a few weeks ago. In that game, Volquez allowed just one run through 7 1/3 innings, striking out 10, en route to a 8-2 Milwaukee win. Look for Volquez to get the better of Bush as the Reds hand the Brewers their third straight loss.



double-dime bet922 TEX / 921 NYY UNDER 11.5 Bodog

Analysis: I'm playing on the Rangers and Yankees to finish UNDER the number. It's true that both these teams can put up plenty of runs. We saw that last night, as the series opener sailed above the total. The betting public was all over the 'over' in that game and they'll be favoring the over again. That has helped caused the over/under line for tonight's game to be significantly higher, which I feel has provided us with excellent value. It's important to note that last night's game featured a pair of right-handed starters. However, tonight's game features a pair of southpaw starters.

Pettitte gets the call for the visitors and he's seen the UNDER go 8-2 his last 10 starts and a highly profitable 17-6 on the season, including 9-2 on the road. Note that he has a excellent 3.50 ERA in those 11 road starts. Pettitte has also seen the UNDER go 7-2-1 his last 10 starts against Texas. Harrison goes for Texas and his numbers admittedly aren't too great. However, he has shown flashes of real potential, like when he held the best team in the league (Angels) to just two runs through seven innings, en route to a 3-2 Texas victory. Note that he'll have the advantage of facing the Yankees for the first time.

The Rangers entered last night's game with an impressive .302 average against right-handed starters while scoring a whopping 6.2 runs per game. Conversely, they enter tonight's game averaging just 4.6 vs. left-handed starters with a .265 average. The Yankees entered last night's game hitting .275 against right-handers, while averaging exactly five runs per game. However, they enter tonight's game averaging 4.4 runs vs. left-handers with a .264 batting average. They've seen the UNDER go 6-1 their last seven games against southpaw starters with ALL seven of those games producing 11 runs or less. Looking back further and we find the UNDER is 20-12-1 against southpaws this season and a highly profitable 67-48-6 the past three years. Look for tonight's game to be lower-scoring than expected once again with the final combined score falling beneath the inflated number.

 

[matdoctor]

Thank Duke

Thank Duke

Thanks Duke,
Hope you keep posting the service plays for football, as well
dr. bob, etc...although he was off last year

thanks again

 

[the duke]

Thanks Duke,
Hope you keep posting the service plays for football, as well
dr. bob, etc...although he was off last year

thanks again

Football is a must so no problem

I see plenty of guys in other forums that I wish can help out.

This is not my personal service plays thread and I encourage anyone to help find and post the plays.

Good Luck All

 

[the duke]

FRANK ROSENTHAL

903 MARLINS SB
907 PADRES+150 SB
910 CARDS UNDER 8 SB
915 BRAVES OVER 8 SB+
921 YANKS-155 SB
OVER 11 SB+
926 CWS-140 SB
929 TWINS-135 SB

 

[the duke]

BIG AL McMORDIE

#1 NATIONAL LEAGUE TOTAL OF THE WEEK! $35.00
Al McMordie lost last night with the 'under' in the Pittsburgh/Arizona game, and looks to rebound with another Totals play in the "Senior Circuit." It's Big Al's #1 National League Total of the Week, and it's backed by 2 Winning Angles. Don't miss out on this Tuesday. Hop on board right now.


San Francisco/Atlanta Over

 

[RollTide84]

Anyone have Big Al's 5 star MLB?

 

[the duke]

STAN SHARP

TRIPLE DIME REVENGE BIG BET
Price: $20.00
RARE TRIPLE DIME PLAY! Stan Sharp is unloading on a Game tonight as he has a outstanding situation that has gotten the money 14 of 17 times this year! Stan has posted 9 Winning Weeks out of the last 11 and today is making just this one bet but it's a Big One! Stan is making this Play his TRIPLE DIME REVENGE BIG BET. Stan is up 15.1 Units for the Baseball Season which means Dime Players are up $15,100 on the Year. Since Nov 2nd Stan has gone 153-109 with all his plays. Get STAN'S TRIPLE DIME REVENGE BIG BET now for just $20.

Tampa Bay DevilRays

 

[the duke]

TONY STEVENS

MILWAUKEE BREWERS

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES -1.5

TORONTO BLUE JAYS -1.5

COLORADO ROCKIES -1.5

 

[the duke]

Players of America


Today's Selections

DET vs. CHW
Sport: Major League Baseball
Game: Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox
The Play: Chicago White Sox -135.0
Play Description:
Star Value: 3* (30 Units)
Writeup: Right back to how things should be, 2-0 yesterday +22 units. Cleveland led the entire game and cashed with ease and the OVER in Colorado was handed to us early in the game. Time to glance at Tuesday's action...

At 8:10PM EST on Tuesday, the White Sox rise and shine in their own home as they host the divisional rival Detroit Tigers. Chicago comes in after a rest day and a rather shaky performance out in Kansas City along with a lot of chaotic brawling action.

Guillen and the Sox staff elect to put righty Gavin Floyd on the mound to face that explosive line up of the Tigers. Floyd comes in at a solid 11-5 overall with a WHIP of 1.21 and an ERA of 3.43. He's 1-1 his last three outings with a very attractive ERA of just 2.28 in over 19 innings. Gavin is a competitor. If you've ever watched this kid, he loves to win games and he gives it all each and every time out...not something all pitchers do in this league. Gavin simply has Detroit's number. He has faced this squad three times already this season winning each and every match up. Chicago has a slight edge in the heads up battle between these two at 7-5, but don't think these guys don't open up the newspaper every morning and see themselves right next to the Twins. It's a close knit battle for both teams, and both were never expected to be in the position they are now. From a roster standpoint, the White Sox are pretty healthy all the way around with the only injury being Joe Crede who is dealing with a back injury and is listed on the 15 day DL.

The Tigers come into this one and they should be a little scared...especially putting this guy on the mound. Nasty Nate Robertson has been nothing short of a go-off this season. He is incredibly streaky and that's not a good thing against a potent line up like Chicago's. Nate is a meager 6-8 on the year giving up over 165 hits in 127 innings and flaunting a weak ERA of 6.06. Even more eye catching, Robertson HAS A WHIP OF 2.56 AND AN ERA OF 14.29 IN HIS LAST THREE GAMES! This guy has been getting shelled left and right, and we truthfully expect that to carry over in Chicago. Another concern for Detroit comes after Nate finishes his show. The Tigers are without a reliever and a closer as Joel Zumaya is out with a sore shoulder and Todd Jones has been placed on the 15 day DL with tendinitis in his pitching shoulder. Detroit's available bullpen has an averaged ERA of 5.06 tonight, and a WHIP of 1.46 on the season.

Chicago comes out firing on all cylinders. These guys are in a big time hunt in this division and they are going to be a prime time money making team come the post season. We're not backing away from that Detroit offense here. Chicago is just as solid all the way around, and we're willing to put some cash on the line with the Sox Tuesday night. 10 units on the Chicago White Sox as they steam roll the Tigs at home.

TRENDS OF THE GAME:
- The Tigers are 16-36 in Robertson's last 52 road starts.
- The Tigers are 2-7 in Robertson's last 9 starts versus the White Sox.

Chicago 8, Detroit 2



NYY vs. TEX
Sport: Major League Baseball
Game: New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers
The Play: New York Yankees -155.0
Play Description:
Star Value: 1* (10 Units)
Writeup: Next, we're going to jump back on the Yankee train tonight as they play Game #2 of their set with Texas. The Rangers stole one late from New York last night in a shoot out and the Yankees come into this one looking for some revenge...and more importantly, playoff hopes.

Left hander Andy Pettitte will start for New York. Andy comes in at 12-8 on the season with an ERA higher than normal at 4.18. Despite his ERA, his games are commonly low scoring this year. Pettitte is 2-1 in his last three starts. The Yankees pen has been spectacular, even without closer Mariano Rivera as of late. They've got an ERA of just 2.75 in over 200 innings thrown. The Yankee line up is healthy for the most part and waiting to explode tonight.

Matt Harrison gets the ball for Texas. Matt has been a weak spot in this Texas rotation all season at 2-2 so far. His ERA is skyrocketing at 7.40 and his WHIP of 1.85 is a joke too. Harrison is 1-2 in his last three starts with an ERA up over 8.00 in just 14 short innings. The Rangers will be without all-star Milton Bradley tonight as he is listed as doubtful with a quadricep injury.

Neither pitcher has seen their opponent so far on the season, so this one is wide open. We realize the number is relatively high here, so a run line wager would not be a dumb play. HOWEVER, despite the high total on this one...we have a strange feeling it could come down to a run. We're going to go ahead and lay the chalk here with New York on the money line. The Yankees need to get things back on track, and it starts right here in Texas on Tuesday night. Let's lay 10 more units on Andy and the crew.

TRENDS OF THE GAME:
- The Yankees are 21-7 in their last 28 meetings with Texas.
- The Yankees are 6-2 in Pettitte's last 8 starts versus Texas.

New York 10, Texas 4



BOS vs. KC
Sport: Major League Baseball
Game: Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals
The Play: Under 8.5
Play Description:
Star Value: 1* (10 Units)
Writeup: Our next release takes place in Kansas City at 8:10PM EST. The Red Sox return to the home of the Royals where they lost as big favorites last night, and really struggled to get anything going. We're confident Boston wins this one, but with the inconsistency of these guys on the road lately...we're looking deeper into the match up to pull something out.

Josh Beckett and Brian Bannister are the scheduled starters for tonight's game. Both have been par at best all season long, but both were touted as possible aces for each respective squad in the preseason. Combined, these two have gone UNDER the total 21 times this season, and four of the last six times out too. Boston and KC both have respectable bullpens, and the available heavers are fully capable of keeping games in line and holding on to a lead. These teams have met five times already this season, and the total has a catchy trend of staying UNDER the quoted total four of those games.

With the above being said, something here has to give. This one seems a little high, so we want to throw 10 units on it and put it to the test. Look for a hard fought battle by both sides, with one team squeaking out the win in the late innings.

TRENDS OF THE GAME:
- The UNDER is 11-2 in the Royals last 13 overall.
- The UNDER is 4-1 in the Red Sox and Royals last five meetings.

Boston 4, Kansas City 2



LAD vs. STL
Sport: Major League Baseball
Game: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
The Play: Under 8.0
Play Description:
Star Value: 1* (10 Units)
Writeup: There is another attractive total on the board tonight. This one comes to us from the NL where the Cardinals host the Dodgers in St. Louis. First of all, LA loves to play some defense, keeping their match ups under the total 63 times already this season. The Cards, likewise, have done so 53 times.

This is a show for the ages. Two very, very solid pitchers are scheduled to start and we could see both go deep. We bet against Chris Carpenter of the Cardinals last week and he bit us in the butt. He's recouped better than expected from his injuries and really seems to have recovered nicely. Chris will start for St. Louis tonight, and right hander Chad Billingsley for LA.

Chad has thrown 21 games this year. 15 of those games have stayed UNDER the total number. His ERA is impressive at 3.05 and Carpenter comes in at 2.25. This isn't going to be some slugfest like in Texas tonight. The Dodgers bullpen has a combined ERA of 2.92 all season long-one of the best in the majors. STL's isn't that bad either at just over three and a half. These two squads have met up three times this year, each and every game staying wayyyyy under the total with scores like 4-0, 4-3, and 2-1. Nothing changes here...let the trend continue. LA has gone UNDER eight of their last ten heading into tonight's game.

Vegas thinks their adjusting to the trend by setting this line at 8, but it should be lower. This one will be a star-studded event as both pitchers shine. Expect a one or two run game with a late long ball to decide the winner here. We're laying 10 units on this UNDER as well.

TREND OF THE GAME:
- The UNDER is 4-0 in the Dodgers and Cardinals last four meetings.

Los Angeles 2, St. Louis 1

 

[the duke]

IndianCowboy

Baseball Preview


Tuesday's MLB Research

Oakland vs. Toronto

Smith has given up 15 runs in his last 17 innings which has done wonders for his era and his overall record, he does have a 3 era and a 0 era against the Bluejays this year and has fared well against them, but as I've always mentioned it is tough for a pitcher to beat a team 3 times in a row and the Bluejays should do better today, after all, they only got 6 hits from him last time and 0 runs, but that was at home, so I expect Smith to struggle a bit on the road today as he has done of late, Richmond in his first start had a 5.07 era last time at home and he looks to bounce-back today. I'm not overly excited about this game after all, why would someone take up a -130 on a newbie pitcher, but of course, Toronto looks not to get beat 3 times in a row to Smith, so in that regard, a small lean on Toronto, but just don't trust Richmond enough to pull the trigger.

Cleveland vs. Tampa Bay

Fausto came back with a strong start at home against Detroit, but now has to try to repeat that on the road, keep in mind that Fausto has to take more of a leadership role in this rotation given that Sabathia will not be around, he has yet to face Tampa Bay this year and Edwin Jackson has come through with back to back solid performances, and has given up just 4 runs in the last 10 innings on the road, he has done worse at home by .4 runs oddly, and I just don't want to tack on the juice here, no thanks.

Yankees vs. Rangers

Pettitte had a 15+ era in his last start at home against the Angels, giving up 11 hits and 9 runs in just over 5 innings, he hasn't faced Texas this year, the Yankees lost to a walk-off grandslam against the Rangers who looked to have their closer blow it for them only to come back and win by 4 runs, I like Pettitte on the bounce-back today similar to Lee, we're able to get good value considering that Pettitte is on the road and the Yankees are on a bounce-back here as well, note that Harrison to is on a bounce-back and another Ranger game at home went over, having said that, this might be the first under in quite a long time in a Texas home game, lean on the under here as the juice on Pettitte on the road is ridiculous. I also think the Harrison kid shows up to pitch against the Yankees at home as he is in desperate need of a bounce-back as well.

Boston vs. Kansas City

Beckett is on a bounce-back after an 11 ERA at home against the wrecking crew known as the Los Angeles Angels who look to be the team to beat right now in the AL, in fact, I am tempted to take this team to win the World Series at the odds that are currently presented as from pitching to hitting to defense, I think they have the complete package, not to mention bullpen and coaching and a fan base that is great for having to be divied up between so many california teams, as per this game, Beckett is on a bounce-back, he defeated KC with a 1.8 era last year, I was on KC myself last night so Boston is on a bounce-back here overall similar to the Yankees with the better pitcher on the road today, Bannister has pitched back to back quality starts and has revenge from a 11+ era against Boston last time out, as he gave up 12 hits in just over 5 inns, if anything a lean on the under here.

Detroit vs. White Sox

Robertson had a 24 era in his last start, miraculously his team still won 14-12 in the road game vs. Cliff Lee, he is 3-5 with a 7.62 era on the road, he has faced the Whitesox 3 times this year with eras of 9, 4.27 and 4.50 as his team lost 2 of 3 of those ballgames, it's been 4 strats since Robertson actually had a decent start, Floyd comes off a great start on the road against the Twins and he has helped his team win 5-3, 7-0, and 6-5, so he is likely to have yet another quality start here today as well, but at -139 and at 65% public backing and Floyd looking to beat the Tigers 4 times in a row, no thanks.

.

 

[the duke]

Kelso Sturgeon


High Rollers Club
15 units Twins


Best Bets Club
10 units White Sox

 

[the duke]

Sports Pro Unlimited

5 Units Tampa Bay
5 Units CHI White Sox
5 Units Seattle

 

[the duke]

WINNERS EDGE - 8/5/08

Atlanta Braves + 125 , 2 units

Cleveland Indians + 115 , 1 unit

Brewers/Reds over 9 -110 , 1 unit

 

[the duke]

ROBERT FERRINGO.

3-Unit Play. Take #929 Minnesota (-135) over Seattle (10 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 5)
Scott Baker is 11-6 in his 17 starts this season and has surrendered three runs or less in 14 of his 17 outings. The Mariners stole a win last night with a late rally but I see them coming back down to earth a bit today. R.A. Dickey is 3-7 as a starter for the M's and I see the Twins' lefty bats getting to him in a big way today. It seems like Seattle can only hit lefties, as they are 4-12 in their last 16 home games against right-handed starters. The Twins have been a very strong play over the last two months so we will have confidence that they can get it done in Seattle.

2-Unit Play. Take #908 New York Mets (-155) over San Diego (7 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 5)
Getting home after a four-game losing streak was key for the Mets. But having the day off yesterday was even more crucial. I think they have their heads right and the home crowd will give them a big boost today. They have some serious revenge working for them because of that bizarre four-game sweep out in San Diego earlier in the year. Chris Young is not the same arm that he was last year and the Mets have won 10 of Mike Pelfrey's last 12 starts. The Mets snap their slide and get Game 1 of this series.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #920 Tampa Bay (-130) over Cleveland (7 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 5)
The D-Rays have been dominant at home this season and I don't know if they will lose two in a row. They too have revenge for a sweep at the hands of the Indians and I think that they managed to get it done against the Tribe today. Fausto Carmona has not been sharp in his last three outings, sporting a 14.34 ERA in those three starts. Tampa is 40-12 in its last 52 home games and Cleveland is 12-30 in its last 42 road games, so I think a road sweep here is out of the question.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #129 Colorado (-160) over Washington (9 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 5)
1-Unit Play. Take #912 Colorado (-1.5, +120) over Washington (9 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 5)
Of all the upsets that occurred yesterday I think that this Nationals game was the strangest! Colorado is 7-1 against the Nats in Coors Field and is 13-3 against Washington overall. The Rockies crush left-handed pitching and the Nationals are 2-10 in John Lannan's last 12 starts. Jorge de la Rosa is one of my favorite fades, but he has won five of six home starts and I think he manages a decent outing today against one of the N.L.'s worst hitting teams against lefties.

1-Unit Play. Take #902 Chicago Cubs (-1.5, -110) over Houston (2 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 5)
Looking for a bounceback game out of the Cubs today. Wandy Rodriquez has been solid this year on the road but his career numbers as a visitor are enough to make me feel confident in this one. Rich Harden has been stellar as a Cub and I think he is able to lock down the Astros this afternoon. Houston does not hit right-handed pitching and Harden is one of the best in the N.L. Conversely, the Cubs are No. 2 in the league against lefties and after a day off I look for D-Lee to lead the charge.

1-Unit Play. Take #906 Cincinnati (-120) over Milwaukee (7 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 5)
We're playing against Team Turmoil here. Clearly there is a lot of frustration in the Brewers clubhouse as they slide further and further away from the Cubs for the Central lead. Now they have to go up against Ed Volquez today. Not good. The Reds are 6-4 against the Brewers this year and I think they just have Milwaukee's numbers. Dave Bush has done nothing to warrant any confidence in him and I think Cincy prolongs Milwaukee's misery - this time via a bullpen blowout from the Brewers.

1-Unit Play. Take #917 Oakland (+115) over Toronto (7 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 5)
Greg Smith has pitched better than his record indicates and I just have to think that if Oakland is going to snap out of its funk Toronto wold be the place to do it. The A's had won three straight series in the Rogers Centre and are 8-2 in their last 10 in Toronto. The A's are in a slide, but I think they will find a way to scum out one victory in this series.

1-Unit Play. Take #926 Chicago White Sox (-140) over Detroit (8 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 5)
I wanted to stay out of this series but this opening matchup is just too juicy. Nate Robertson is a mess. He really just isn't a very good pitcher and he is the wrong guy to have leading off a key series if you are the Tigers. Robertson has an ERA over 5.00 in his career against the Sox and he will be facing a team that is a little desperate after losing its toehold in first place. His counterpart is Gavin Floyd, who is 7-2 with a 2.49 ERA at home this year. I think the Sox strike first here - although Detroit will win one in this series - and get us a W.

NOTE: Also, take a look at my free play today. I highly, HIGHLY, recommend getting on that game today as well!

Today's Totals
4.5-Unit Play. Take Over 10.0 Baltimore at Los Angeles Angels (10 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 5)
Note: This is our Total of the Week.

Baltimore obviously hasn't done much of a SCOUT ing report on the Angels. Because if they had they would know not to throw a left-handed pitcher into the fire as a call-up. Los Angeles smokes left-handed pitchers and the O's called up young Chris Waters to make his MLB debut against the best team in baseball. The 'over' is 21-6-1 in Baltimore's last 28 road games and is 5-1 in L.A.'s last six games overall. Baltimore burned through its bullpen yesterday and is facing a letdown after a late loss so I expect them to get rocked. Oh yeah, and our home plate ump is 15-5 against the total this year and 13 of his last 18 games behind the dish have seen double digits in runs.

1-Unit Play. Take Under 8.0 San Diego at New York Mets (7 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 5)
1-Unit Play. Take Under 9.0 Milwaukee at Cincinnati (7 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 5)
1-Unit Play. Take Over 11.5 New York Yankees at Texas (8 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 5)
1-Unit Play. Take Over 7.0 Houston at Chicago Cubs (2 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 5)

 

[the duke]

GREG SHAKER

MLB Total Double-Dime Bet
910 STL / 909 LOS Under 8 BetUS
MLB: Los Angeles Dodgers at St. Louis Cardinals - Under 8 (Billingsley/Carpenter) -115 | Unit Value: 2

Note: Two very solid throwers for this contest tonight. Only once in the last 10 games has the Dodger Pitcher been involved in a game with more than 7 runs scored total. He is throwing very well and coming off a shutout. Carpenter looked nice in his first start back. Both Pens are performing well and especially the Dodgers with an ERA Under 1 run over the last 12 games played. The Cards bats have been overall hot last 10 played but they will face their toughest task tonight. I do think 9 runs scored is going to be a large chore indeed.



MLB Money Line Double-Dime Bet
906 CIN (-120) BetUS vs 905 MIL
Analysis: MLB: Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds - Reds (Bush/Volquez)-120Unit Value: 2

A very nice Away/Home situation tonight in Cincinnati with the Reds starter being very good at this park and Bush really not performing at all on the road. In 9 road ventures, Bush has an ERA right at the 7 mark. He has never had any success verses these Reds with 37 runs allowed in just over 38 innings. I will grab the much better thrower here and a Reds team that has been very competitive at this park. Nice odds as well for Volquez.

 

[the duke]

Charlies Sports

500* Mariners/Twins under 8
30* Blue Jays -130
20* Reds -130
20* Cardinals -110
10* Mariners +110
10* Giants -125

 

[the duke]

Brandon Lang

10 Dime - Phillies Run Line
10 Dime - Dodgers
10 Dime - White Sox
5 Dime - Twins
5 Dime - Reds

FREE - Blue Jays