U.S. Open

[rrc]

Day +100 over McDowell

 

[lostinamerica]

"My God, I've won the Open."

GL

 

[c20916]

Kuchar +2000 to win
Westwood +1250 to win

Rd 1
Westwood -110 ov Donald

 

[ormond80]

Action!

Action!

Overall: Phil 15-1, Stricker 24-1 KJ Choi 32-1 The Goose 65-1 A.Scott 70-1 R. Moore 110-1 & M. Laird 145-1 alll @ 5 Dimes

72 Holes

Stricker -150 ov. Kaymer
Allenby -120 ov. Sabbatini
R.Moore -110 ov. VanPelt

HAPPY GAMING & HAPPY FATHERS DAY! :0074

 

[Lestat]

All wagers at Pinny.

Outrights:
Westwood +1408
Choi +3022
Day +5037
Snedeker +6048
Woodland +8061
R.Moore +10076
Dufner +22672

1st Round matchups:
Choi +102 ov Kuchar
Jacobson -138 ov Edfors
Jobe -133 ov Points
Cabrera -105 ov Harrington
Will they make the cut:
Quiros - No +166
Yang - No +126

 

[Dallasbetgolf]

Kuchar. 20-1 win, 10-1 place, 5-1 show

Poulter. 60-1 win, 30-1 place, 15-1 show

Rose. 60-1 win, 30-1 place, 15-1 show

Van Pelt 80-1 win, 40-1 place, 20-1 show

Harrington 80-1 win, 40-1 place, 20-1 show

Leishman. 250-1 win, 125-1 place, 62-1 show

Some real longshot....might be crazy.

Good luck to all!

 

[Tommyjay]

Rose to win 66-1
Villegas to win 90-1 SIA

72 holes
Watson over Day -110
Glover over Fowler -110
Toms over Furyk -110
Goosen over Garcia -110
Baddeley over Manasero -110
And the parlay pays 23.76-1

R1 Furyk over Els-Love +137
R1 Moore over Allenby-Sabbatini +160

 

[sharky17]

TOURNAMENT

GRAEME McDOWELL (+120) over DAVID TOMS
RYAN MOORE (-135) over BO VAN PELT

1st ROUND

JJ HENRY (-110) over GREG CHALMERS
ADAM SCOTT (+100) over BUBBA WATSON
AARON BADDELEY (-125) over CAMILO VILLEGAS

WILL THEY MAKE THE CUT?

CAMILO VILLEGAS = NO (+125)
TREVOR IMMELMAN = NO (+105)

:toast:

 

[Skipper]

$10 to win $250 - KJ Choi wins
$10 to win $450 - David Toms wins
$10 to win $550 - Poulter to wins

Taking Choi over Kuchar in round 1 - +105(Risking $100 to win $105)
Taking J. Byrd over Bill Haas in round 1 - -115(Risking $115 to win $100)

Adding 3 more 1st rounders

DA Points +110 over B. Jobe
Sabbatini +100 over R. Moore
Poulter +100 over Fowler

 

[xodale]

Taken Villegas 5 units e/w at 125/1, great stats from last week at St Jude and course will suit him, he's due a good major finish.
Also Stricker and Kuchar 25/1 and 30/1 respectively, both on good form and just the right combination of length and consistent accuracy to both be in top 10.
Would like to take choi but don't think he has the necessary ball flight.

Don't think the europeans will do that well, westwood nor kaymer not in best of form, McIlroy will blow up at some point and mcdowell is way off last years form.

 

[Stanley]

Round 1 play (2pts):

Russell Henley to beat Heath Slocum +100 @ Unibet
Backing the amateur in this matchup. Not only did the University of Georgia senior finish 16th in last year's U.S. Open, but he played in two other Nationwide Tour events last year and made the cut, while he has played in just one Nationwide Tour event this year and won it. He was awarded the Haskins Award last year (for the most outstanding collegiate player) and the list of previous winners reads as roll call of leading players on the PGA Tour, as well as Major champions. He is set to follow in such lofty footsteps and will be more than a match for s struggling Slocum who has missed the cut in four of his last five starts, hasn't recorded a top-50 finish since March (and just one in total since the season-opening, limited-field Tournament of Champions) and has missed the cut in three of four previous attempts at the U.S. Open.

[unofficial rd1 system plays: Henley tb Colsaerts +100; Moore tb Baddeley -111; Westwood tb Donald -105; Dufner tb Wilson M -111; Villegas tb Baddeley +110; Johnson D tb McIlroy +100; Johnson D tb Watney +100; Moore tb Snedeker +120; Villegas tb Snedeker +100]

 

[DerrickTulips]

Took a few weeks off..

Adam Scott -190 to make the cut

I kind of like Cabrera this week, I said it a while back at Oakmont and he won, but I dont like him enough to bet.
Also..

Nick O'Hern (Tourn) -105* vs Nicolas Colsaerts (Tourn)

 

[Another Steve]

Outrights
2011 U.S. OPEN - ODDS TO WIN AARON BADDELEY +6000
2011 U.S. OPEN - ODDS TO WIN ERNIE ELS +4000 (Els is my Pick in the year long contest)
2011 U.S. OPEN - ODDS TO WIN HUNTER MAHAN +1500
2011 U.S. OPEN - ODDS TO WIN JASON DAY +3000
2011 U.S. OPEN - ODDS TO WIN LEE WESTWOOD +1000

1st Round Match Ups
E ELS (1RD) +110 (E ELS (1RD) vrs J FURYK (1RD))
J DAY (1RD) -125 (J ROSE (1RD) vrs J DAY (1RD))
A BADDELEY (1RD) -125 (C VILLEGAS (1RD) vrs A BADDELEY (1RD))
R MCILROY (1RD) -105 (R MCILROY (1RD) vrs P MICKELSON (1RD))

4 Round Match Ups
J DAY -140 (J DAY vrs G MCDOWELL)
R FOWLER -135 (R FOWLER vrs G OGILVY)
A KIM +190 (S CINK vrs A KIM)

I know Kim is sucking just can't pass up the odds

 

[Whalers Rule]

1st round

Villegas +100 over P. Hanson
Frazar +105 over Havret
Garrigus -105 over Rock
Yang +145 over Ishkawa/A Kim
Dickerson +280 over Gonzales/Rocha
E Molinari +220 over Molinari/Manaserro

Outrights 1 unit ew
Justin Rose 80-1

 

[Cie]

Rd1 3-ball:

Scott +187 over Karlsson and Watson
Mahan +125 over Poulter and Fowler

Tournament matchup:

Westwood -110 over Donald
Glover -111 over Fowler
Day -110 over Watson

Top American:

Mahan +700

 

[LA Burns]

any room on the bandwagon left for me???


1st rd


Scott +100 v Watson


board faders and anti-consensus players rejoice!!!


gl out there - LA Burns

 

[lostinamerica]

(A) Congressional:
- - Summing up comments of U.S.G.A. Executive Director Mike Davis when asked during a Golf Channel interview what are unique characteristics of Congressional as an Open venue: (a) It?s a long course; for that reason the fairways are somewhat wider, and they ?play wide? as well. (b) And very fast greens; the slopes and contours and grass characteristics of each venue impact that standard, and these greens will be very fast . . . The USGA under Mike Davis has been very much "on their game" in setting up courses since Shinnecock in 2004, but some concerns seem to be emerging recently about some sections of the new greens, and some of the high traffic areas . . . Seems a consensus the course favors shaping tee shots from right to left, and hitting high approach shots. Looking at the flyovers of the 4th and 15th holes, it?s almost impossible (at least for this narrator) to visualize threading the needle to get the ball in play. Modest winds in a fairly consistent weather forecast would also seem supportive of favoring the chances of the high ball hitters . . . Patience, and holing the putts that keep the patient round going, are always close to the essence of what is required for a U.S. Open examination.


(B) Capping the Majors and Big Events:
- - Everything is prelude for me - whether building and hinting and emerging over this season, or having deeper roots than that - when it comes to capping the storylines for the majors and the big events 4 or 6 or 8 times a year . . . There are multiple schools of thought on almost any aspect of capping, and one of those ?controversies? is whether or not, as a rule, the majors are tougher or easier to cap than the week-in-and-week-out grind of the regular events . . .


(C) Outrights:

- - With no Eldrick Woods hoovering up the action at a price in the +350 range, I?ve been generally disappointed for weeks about the prices on offer across most segments of the board, and such disappointment did not abate this week when the prices in the specialty markets came out. 100/1 (or 45/1 Top U.S.) on Bill Haas, or 50/1 on Jason Day, or 150/1 on Edoardo Molinari, just are not prices that make my eyes bug out. But be that as it may . . .


Phil Mickelson(14/1) e.w. (6 places)
- - I?m about 20 years removed from my first rodeo as a Mickelson fan. I could go down the list of major championships since those early days, and seriously breakdown the dozens of times when I very much liked Phil?s preparation and approach, and/or the venue, and/or the discussion and mindset I was hearing from Lefty and those in his camp, and respected observers on the scene; the many times when I wasn?t liking the stuff I was seeing and hearing; and quite a few times when I wasn?t getting much of a strong feel either way . . . Since Monday it's been nothing but green lights on reasons I?ve liked for letting the 5 times a bridesmaid carry my cash around the nation?s capital this week.

Angel Cabrera(80/1) e.w.

- - From 5.14.11, Cabrera (5 places) has been my only ante-post wager for the event. Since then I haven't cooled on the selection, but I haven't grown more enamored with it either. On the whole, I plainlyl see enough solid capping angles to support the play and place it somewhere far removed from any WTF was I thinking regrets.

Bubba Watson(45/1) e.w. (6 places)
- - During a Golf Channel telecast early in 2010, analyst Billy Andrade broke down the glaring deficiency in Bubba?s game, which was the failure to establish and incorporate pre-shot techniques and routines in his game to calm his mind and set a pattern for success. Andrade sequenced together several instances of Bubba?s virtually random pre-shot techniques, and flatly stated Bubba would never be successful until that basic deficiency was addressed and corrected. . . Move forward just a few months, and fast forward to today, and Bubba has been 3 times a winner since early in 2010. And sure enough, within months of Andrade?s analysis, Bubba had and has developed a routine that IMO still appears more conscientiously employed than instinctively applied (and frequently preceded by lengthy deliberations before finally committing to stepping into the sequences of his routine), but nonetheless a well rehearsed routine which I think Billy Andrade would heartily applaud . . . That maturity is now a platform for letting the genius of his talents make him a formidable threat on golf?s biggest stages, with Golf Boy videos and White House visits sprinkled in as fillers rather than the main course.

Stewart Cink(80/1) e.w. (6 places)
- - For possible surprises, I keep coming back to 5 names most often: Stewart Cink, Webb Simpson, Chad Campbell, Harrison Frazar and Edoardo Molinari, and my trigger finger says the worthy play is on Cink. The likable motherfucker thoroughly gutted me at Turnberry in ways only those who know me can ever begin to appreciate, and I will NEVER get over it unless some time in the future the impossible happens and Tom Watson does the impossible one better . . . Regardless, Cink has been tracking well in recent weeks on my radar (he says it's his driving thats finally coming around), and he should be coming around about now from any 2009 hangover (i.e., per my "Big Boy Game for Big Boy Courses" point of reference under Bill Haas).

Bill Haas(45/1) e.w. Top American (4 places)
- - Has some of the "Big Boy Game for Big Boy Courses" I associate with contenders in major championships, but lacks all the pieces I associate with the likes of Ogilvy or Glover for closing a moment, so I've opted for the Top American market. What I like most is the likelihood of being keyed up after a far too long absence from rubbing elbows at a USGA event, which is somewhat similar to the absence from majors in general by Lucas Glover prior to the 2009 U.S. Open that shot Glover to the head of the class with my plays on that occasion.


Sam Saunders(250/1) e.w. 1st Round Leader (5 places)
- - - - The real chances to make a score come on holes 5 through 9, so I would much prefer someone that wasn't starting on 10 and 11. Bill Haas is also starting on 10 or I would be adding a 1st Round play on him as well . . . Be that as it may, my two favorite specialty markets every year are 1st Round Leader of the U.S. Open and Top Masters Debutante, and Sam is going to carry my cash today for as long as it lasts, whether the thrill lasts 2 holes or until the sun goes down tonight.

Kevin Streelman(100/1) (1st Round Leader) e.w. (5 places)
- - My last moment wager, over Jason Day or Hunter Mahan or Chad Campbell for the tournament; I'll look at in-running.



(D) Matchups:

Mickelson(-120) over Kaymer (Tournament)
Rock(-160) Misses Cut
Watson(+100) over Choi (Tournament)
Mickelson(-180) Finishing Position Un18'


"My God, I've won the Open."


GL

 

[WhatsHisNuts]

Top Ten Finish:

YE YANG +1000

 

[sports student]

1sr round at 5 dimes:

Jimenez -110 over Points

 

[DerrickTulips]

Nice finish by O'Hern :facepalm:

Figured the other guy would struggle being his first event on US soil (i think)