Round 4 play (2pts):
Steve Stricker to beat Louis Oosthuizen -150 @ Centrebet and Sportingbet [available generally]
Backing Stricker again. He was well ahead of Westwood and 3-under-par for his round until he three-putted the 10th. Thereafter nothing much happened for him on the back nine and he was overtaken by a resurgent Westwood. Ironically, he is closer to 2nd place now than he was yesterday so I can't see him simply cruising today and he does have a good record in this event and particularly on this course. For Oosthuizen, it was a surprise that he made the cut - he missed the cut on his debut last year, has missed the cut in three of his previous four starts and the only success led to a 73rd place finish in the Malaysian Open. He opened with a 69 to lie 4th after the opening round, but has slipped down the leaderboard each day to 15th and now 21st. He is simply not playing well enough to bounce back today.
[unofficial rd4 system plays: Stricker tb McDowell -130; Simpson tb Chappell -139; Quiros tb Oosthuizen -120; Stricker tb Kuchar +105; Westwood tb McIlroy -110; Henley tb Quiros +177; Senden tb Oosthuizen -111; Haas tb Schwartzel +100; Garcia tb Garrigus -115; Jacobson tb Garrigus -125]