UFC on FOX 12, July 26th, San Jose, California

[kickserv]

Singles:
20 Units on Anthony Johnson -550 over Little Nog

:scared:scared:scared:scared:scared:scared:scared:scared:scared:scared:scared:scared:scared

 

[kickserv]

Brown and Lima NOT fined for missing weight

http://mmajunkie.com/2014/07/video-matt-browns-odd-ufc-on-fox-12-weigh-ins-debacle

 

[bert07]

Brown and Lima NOT fined for missing weight

http://mmajunkie.com/2014/07/video-matt-browns-odd-ufc-on-fox-12-weigh-ins-debacle

What the fuck is that, I wonder what the reason was for not letting him use the 2 hours to try and cut.

 

[akatdrake]

:scared:scared:scared:scared:scared:scared:scared:scared:scared:scared:scared:scared:scared

Horrible bankroll management, period.

However, I have been thinking about how I bet other sports and I am going to test out with confidence level picks. Weight the fighters I really believe in, take chances on one-unit parlays. Been betting off and on for about ten years or so (I know, not very long), and tracking my results over that time. Because of a few horrible years in MLB when I was an action junkie, my percentage is right around 51%. Be a little higher without the baseball, but you have to add your lumps.

Have any of you guys had success weighting your bets or are you flat-bettors?

Thanks guys and enjoy the fights tonight!

 

[gardenweasel]

tough card to bet,imo......might nibble on the fringe ...small stuff just for action...

I`ve been watching the stahl line since it posted......I watched his youtube stuff and he`s pretty big and aggressive for the weight....burns,despite all the hype,is coming up from 155....keep hoping for a +150 but I doubt it gets there....burns is hard to read....the fact that stahl is from gustafsson`s camp only makes it more tempting...pretty sure I`ll bite for a small play...burns is supposedly a jitz beast,though...

I`m getting the feeling that Johnson either blitzes lil nog or has a terrible time with him...lil nog is a good boxer and fairly durable(the only bludgeoning on his record was vs soukoudjou back in the day)..and he`s a lefty(can`t discount that..the 2 guys on Johnson's record that I know are lefties beat him,belfort and clementi).........but lil nog is relatively slow footwork-wise.... lots think this is a foregone conclusion....I`m not one of them...might par Johnson itd with golovkin itd and hedge with lil nog at +450...small just for fun...

was leaning Bermudez until the weigh-in....guida looked naturally bigger...I know Bermudez is strong,but,guida `s pace is tough and if he`s naturally bigger and can smother Bermudez` power,who knows...for the record,i think Bermudez is good...but not chad mendes good...


Thomson/green?..who knows?...green on short notice and the recent passing of his brother make him a ??(was really thinking about it)...Thomson talking potential retirement....
too many questions...still a potentially great fight...

everybody raves about cummins work in the gym....and kingsbury off a layoff...he could get wrestle f`ed....cummins might be parlay material..but he`s so inexperienced...maybe take a fling with cummins and lawler small...

lawler/brown on paper is the best fight you could possibly make....lawler`s better technically...carries more power.....brown doesn`t give a shit about power...he just pressures his opponent until they wilt/quit or die....

can he smother and out-pace lawler?...this thing goes to the mat and lawler can be subbed(so can brown..but I doubt that lawler has the sub game to do it)...other than dong hyun kim(who I`m pretty sure is a lefty),I didn`t see any other southpaws on brown`s resume....so it`s hard to say how that factors in....

pulling for lawler..hard to root against brown...both paid their dues....

great card.....matchmaking seems to get better and better...


btw...anybody else see 6`6" liam mcgeary in bellator last night?...that`s a 205`er to keep your eye on....

 

[kickserv]

adding, so it looks like this now...........


Bobby Green beat Josh Thomson $3.45 (+245) *1 Joe Rogan

Andreas Stahl beat Gilbert Burns $2.35 (+135) *1 Joe Rogan


Parlay
------------------------------------------
Dennis Bermudez
Anthony Johnson

odds = $2.02 (+102) *2 Joe Rogans

 

[kickserv]

Noah Lahat def. Steven Siler via unanimous decision 29-28, 29-28, 29-28


Bad loss for Siler.

+205 odds for Lahat, doggie wins.

 

[kickserv]

noad lohat sucks

He beat Siler:facepalm:

 

[kickserv]

Joanna Jedrzejczyk def. Juliana de Lima Carneiro via Unanimous Decision 30-27, 30-27, 29-28


Juliana Lima misses weight and loses the fight, that is what is supposed to happen.

That Joanna Jedrzejczyk has some good striking, very technical, good stuff.

 

[gardenweasel]

oddsmakers had it right...burns a little more athletic.....

 

[kickserv]

Gilbert Burns def. Andreas Stahl by unanimous decision 29-28, 29-28, 29-28

Lots of love for Stahl......Burns shut him down and got the win, good scrap but Burns was the rightful winner.

 

[Bradjmad22]

Small play

Kyle Kingsbury ml (+180)
$30 to win $54


Gonna post one more before the Lawler fight, but it really think Kingsbury has a shot today. I think either Perpetuo or Kingsbury wins, so I'm pulling for Tim Means!!

 

[kickserv]

Tiago dos Santos def. Akbarh Arreola by unanimous decision 29-28, 30-27, 30-27


Good scrap, both guys went for it. dos Santos a tad more aggressive and that got him the win.

 

[akatdrake]

Gilbert Burns def. Andreas Stahl by unanimous decision 29-28, 29-28, 29-28

Lots of love for Stahl......Burns shut him down and got the win, good scrap but Burns was the rightful winner.

Was a great fight, but Burns really was able to sneak those uppercuts in under the wild strikes from Stahl. That being said Stahl looks strong as heck and should be a decent prospect in the division. Wonder if he got spooked by his broken nose? :scared

 

[kickserv]

Brian Ortega def. Mike De La Torre by submission (rear-naked choke) at 1:39, R1

Well that did not take long, once he got his neck, that was it. First finish of the night.

 

[kickserv]

Wonder if he got spooked by his broken nose? :scared

That always annoys me when that happens to me, just sayin'

 

[akatdrake]

That always annoys me when that happens to me, just sayin'

I tell ya, the first time I saw blood when sparring was a huge issue for me. Same for getting popped and seeing blood on my opponent's gi. You just have to give it time to get used to. Oh well.

 

[kickserv]

good play = tim means

Perpetuo breaking his left hand helped, just sayin'

 

[gardenweasel]

cummins was having trouble staying on top of kingsbury....hopefully,kingsbury gets tired of getting up.....

cummins could screw this up if he isn`t careful...

 

[kickserv]

kyle kingbury is way too slow for cummings


cummings is going bukkake all over kingbury's face, chest and back

TOTAL BUKKAKE......easy win for Cummins.

A 30-24 on the scorecard:scared