US Open @ Oakmont

Another Steve

Put Pete In
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I found a few Q&A's I found interesting

6. How brutal will the 288-yard par-3 eighth hole be?

It's the longest par-3 in major championship history and will draw the attention of media and fans, but don't expect No. 8 to play as tough as you might think. The hole features a large, relatively flat green, which means that players who don't reach it in regulation should still be able to get up-and-down for par pretty often. That said, it's still going to be fun to watch. "That's the most talked-about hole in the locker room at the moment," Ogilvy said recently. "We don't have driver or par-3s, so it's going to be interesting to see how that's going to shape up."

8. Can Mickelson's wrist handle the heavy stuff?

Phil Mickelson owns four career runner-up finishes at the Open, including last year's event, when that final-hole double-bogey cost him the title. But he injured his left wrist while hitting a ball out of the rough during preparations at Oakmont a few weeks ago and is reportedly still feeling the ill effects. Even when he won the Players last month, Lefty was hitting plenty of approach shots from the rough; expect him to be more than a bit gun-shy with any buried lies this week.


14. Will Scott bounce back after Memphis?

With a three-stroke lead entering the final round of the Stanford St. Jude Championship on Sunday, Adam Scott seemed to be a solid pick to win his second event of the season. The pessimist will look at the fact that he gave up a whopping 13 strokes to Woody Austin, finishing solo seventh, and figure Scott's game is off entering Open week. The optimist will look at his three strong rounds in Memphis and point to his win prior to Masters week and ensuing T-27 result at Augusta. Perhaps a tough loss will keep him hungry.

16. Will a European finally win a major this decade?

Quite honestly, we're getting a bit weary of writing the same paragraph before every major, but it remains an underlying subplot, as no European-born player has won a major since Paul Lawrie in 1999. There are more than a few worthy candidates to choose from, with Padraig Harrington, who was in contention through the final hole a year ago, topping the list. Just a hunch, perhaps, but we see the next win coming from a more overlooked Euro (Robert Karlsson) or one with a major already to his name (Jose Maria Olazabal).

17. Which top players will miss the cut?

Take a good look at the golf world's most recognizable faces, because you won't be seeing a few of them come Saturday. Ernie Els? Perhaps. Retief Goosen? Maybe. Vijay Singh? Could be. One good rule of thumb: The tougher the scoring conditions, the more unpredictable the leaderboard. Expect a few big-name trunk-slammers this week.
 

Mully

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Playing these 1/4

Furyk 15-1
Verplank 100-1
Stricker 75-1
Toms 50-1 *


Stricker (-115) over Weir for tourney **strong play :SIB

*played late wed night...sorry stan
 
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abc

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I liked steve over appelby. I actually think Weir comes to play this week :SIB
 

captmorgan34

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picks I have on wsex live betting:

9 units of goosen at 3

9 units of stricker at 1

Goosen on match ups everyday.

gl

total= +7:scared
 

captmorgan34

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other plays on wsex

goosen +110 vs vj

Stricker -130 vs mike weir

Davis love +115 vs stephen ames:00x27 :00x23 :00x1 :mj01:
 

Toto

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Early thoughts:
1. If Monty had won 1 major and no Order of Merits would be saying how his 1 major made his career.
2. Looking at prop of low rd. of anyone 67.5. Was
thinking under but no one shot better than 68 last yr. I would think out of 450 rds. by best players in the world someone would shoot -3.
3. Have won several times over the yrs. on Tiger vs. just US players, this prop +140.
4. Don't bet on Mick, my guy has no props on him, I could see him not finishing.
5. Have a prop for low Euro., thinking Padraig @ +550, won Irish Open 2 wks. ago and good Open record.
6. We are having a better day at our house than JD is.....
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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Some interesting top 10 odds @ WW for middle tiered players--Ober still @ 7--Stricker 9.5
--Prefer Stricker at these odds top 10 than top 5 odds I got but since already committed won't use as official play--like Stans selection on Ober at these odds also.

adding out rights to place top 10

Description: Golf Odds to Win 2007 U.S. Open Top Ten Positions 2007 U.S. Open Top Ten Positions 227 Mike Weir +1170

Description: Golf Odds to Win 2007 U.S. Open Top Ten Positions 2007 U.S. Open Top Ten Positions 240 Ian Poulter +1875

Description: Golf Odds to Win 2007 U.S. Open Top Ten Positions 2007 U.S. Open Top Ten Positions 222 Paul Casey +950

Basic criteria for selections was who played well at Open last year and Masters this year

Wier O-6th M-20th
Poulter O-12th-M-13th
Casey O-15th M-10th

T Clark and Allenby were also strong considerations @ odds of 14 and 9.5 respectively

* Note: Only Fisrt 10 players are payed. If 10 place is a tie, 1st Tiebreaker: Player with the most Birdies, 2nd Tie Breaker: Player with most Eagles, 3rd Tie Breaker: Player with least Bogeys
 

Agent 0659

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Love those top 10 props dogs. I have Casey and Poulter high on my list. I think 1 of those will hit.


gl!
 

abc

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Schwartzel -102 over Wetterich

I think this one is going under the radar and its extremly sexy. :SIB
 
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lineguy

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First time posting on the Links forum.have a question for Golf enthusiats.

I have the opprotunity on my book to bet FIRST ROUND MATCHUPS. One that I am focusing on is the Phil Mickelson vs. Jim Furyk matchups which currently sits at Jim Furyk -130.

I feel that with Phil's injury this seems to be a solid bet .Jim might not win this event but he is a consistent golfer and I just dont feel that Phil is 100 % just yet.

Any thoughts.

I undestand anything can happen but I am thinking of going my Max allowed of $500.00 USD on JIm FURYK here.

Help will be appreciated.
Thanks
 

abc

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Im not sure what your normal bet size is. But I do think any bet fading Mickelson is a good one. Furyk, obviously is one of the prime contenders this week. I think if the bet was for the whole tourney, that youd have a lot better chance.. but either way gl
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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couple props to add now--

2007 US Open - Low Single Round Score by Any Golfer
Lowest Single Round Score
18 Holes 06/14/07 (07:00 ET)
Under 67.5 (-105)

2007 US Open - Winning Score (72 Holes)
Winning Score
Winning Score 06/14/07 (07:00 ET)
Under 284.5 (+130)

Light rain just started and may get measureable this evening--if so these will move by am.

Usually love these props but tough to gauge this year as 94 @ Oakmont played par 71 with trees andthis par 70 with 400 more yards and no trees.

Caught between all the hype on how tough it is--and looking back and only one open in last 10 years played over par. Considering these are best players in the world--little wind called for entire tourney and possibilty of rain tonight--I'm going this route

Be back in am--been hectic week--went brain dead at one book and bet several 1st rd when
I thought I was betting 72 holes--then had another brain fart and capped scoring props @ par 71-and had to buy back several --what a dummy I am :mj16:
 

Another Steve

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The fairways are narrow and hilly. The rough is long. The greens are faster than a court-ordered restraining order in the Daly family. The bunkers are plentiful. Yadda, yadda, yadda. We'll spare you the overly dramatic details, the pomp, the circumstance, and all the other crap that always goes along with a major championship and just cut right to the chase with our fantasy preview of this week's festivities at Oakmont Country Club.



The Favorites
At major time, the cream nearly always rises to the top. That makes Tiger Woods the odds-on favorite to win, but the two-time U.S. Open winner has been a factor in only one of the last four championships and has not played well in his last two PGA TOUR events (T37, T15). That could leave the door open a crack for perennial U.S. Open bridesmaid Phil Mickelson. Lefty's near-misses at this event are well-chronicled, as is the wrist injury that caused him to withdraw from each of the last two events. A cortisone shot early last week will reportedly not keep him pain-free as he had hoped, and Phil is practicing with a wrist brace on and didn't even swing a club until Tuesday. Considering he's a couple of jarring blows out of the deep rough from having to withdraw again, there's plenty of risk involved with Mickelson this week. Jim Furyk's game is perfectly suited for the Open, and many forget he was a missed 10-footer away from forcing a playoff with Geoff Ogilvy last year at Winged Foot. The defending champ has been scuffling of late (see below), but he hasn't missed the cut in his last 10 majors and has dropped out of the top 16 just once in the last seven.

Retief Goosen has also been struggling to find his swing recently (again, see below), but the two-time U.S. Open champ is legendary for excelling when the conditions get worse. If it stays dry and scores remain over par, look for the gritty Goosen to be right in the mix. Vijay Singh has seven career top 10s at the Open, but he's finished better than T6 only once. The consistency is great for fantasy owners, but the lack of ability to truly contend for the title is not for those looking to choose a winner this week. Adam Scott has not had success at the U.S. Open in years past, but he was firing on all cylinders before his unexpected meltdown last Sunday in Memphis. It all comes down to the putter for Scott, and if he's hot with the short stick he could bring the trophy Down Under for the second straight year. And finally, 1994 Oakmont champion Ernie Els will bring fond memories to the site of his first major championship. The course itself, now virtually tree-less, barely resembles the track a young Els navigated back in '94, and Ernie has yet to prove he's back to being an elite player since the knee injury that's now two years in the rearview mirror. He's been up-and-down this season, but he simply can't be dismissed based on his historical success not only at Oakmont, but at the U.S. Open in general.


The Best of the Rest
Sergio Garcia has probably lost his title as "best player without a major" to Scott, but he remains an enticing option in major play. As he's wont to do, he's been wildly inconsistent at past Opens, but a T3 in 2005 and a fourth-place finish in 2002 are indications that he can be plenty dangerous. Fellow Euro Tour stalwart Padraig Harrington has had mixed success this season so far as well, but his four top 10s in the last seven Opens prove that he's a force to be reckoned with. Henrik Stenson's status as the No. 6 player on the Official World Golf Ranking list is a bit hollow considering his best finish in a major was a T14 at least year's PGA Championship. Nevertheless, he clearly has the talent to compete with the big boys, and his first top 10 has to come somewhere, doesn't it? Luke Donald is the only member of the world's top 10 we haven't touched on yet. He's had a tough time getting anything going on TOUR this year, but he has two top-three finishes in the last eight majors and tied for 12th in last year's edition of the Open. With his Masters win, Zach Johnson has also thrust himself into the conversation as one of the favorites. He'll have to overcome a historical lack of success in Open play to keep his Grand Slam hopes alive this week, however. Ditto Scott Verplank, who's long been viewed as an ideal Open competitor because of his ability to keep the ball on the short stuff, but who has just one top 10 in 15 previous U.S. Opens. One could argue that he's playing the best golf of his career these days, however, so don't count him out.


Who's Hot?
Justin Rose: He's only played eight times since the European Tour started up during the winter, but Rose has a win, a runner-up, and three other top-five finishes in those eight tournaments.

Paul Casey: Casey has a win and five top-10 finishes on the Euro Tour this year to go along with four top-15 results in six PGA TOUR events thus far.


Who's Not?
Retief Goosen: Since his T2 at the Masters, Goosen has teed it up six times worldwide. His best finish in that span was a T15 in Europe, and he has shot in the 60s just three times in his last 20 competitive rounds.

Geoff Ogilvy: The defending champ has struggled to find his groove lately. Since tying for third at the WGC-CA Championships in March, Ogilvy has registered just one top 10 in his last six events. Most recently, he fired a 78 in the opening round of the Stanford St. Jude Championship last week and missed the cut.


Player Trends
It's not a fool-proof indicator of future success, but golfers who fare well at a particular venue tend to do so time and again. With that in mind, we provide a list of players who have notable trends at this week's event (most recent results are listed first).

The Good
Arron Oberholser (T16, T9)
Colin Montgomerie (five career top 10s, including three runner-ups and a third)
Ernie Els (seven top 10s, including two wins and two other top-five finishes)
Padraig Harrington (5, Cut, T31, T10, T8, T30, T5)
Steve Stricker (T6, Cut, T16, Cut, T27, 5, T5)

The Bad
Rory Sabbatini (Cut, T71, Cut, Cut, Cut)
Zach Johnson (Cut, Cut, T48)
Chad Campbell (Cut, T42, Cut, T35, Cut, Cut, Cut)
John Rollins (Cut, Cut, T48, T53)
Adam Scott (T21, T28, Cut, Cut, Cut)

The Ugly
Rich Beem (Cut, Cut, Cut, Cut, Cut)


Weekly Rankings
1. Tiger Woods
2. Jim Furyk
3. Retief Goosen
4. Adam Scott
5. Padraig Harrington
 

Another Steve

Put Pete In
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US Open Plays

Have Friday off, love the fact it comes on early and stays on all Day.

J SLUMAN OV/R BEEM pick @-1.45
S CINK OV/G OGILVY pick @-1.10
A SCOTT OV/E ELS pick @-1.35
S STRICKER OV/M WEIR pick @-1.30
R PAMPLING OV/I POULTER pick @-1.50
S STRICKER OV/S APPLEBY pick @-1.55
S VERPLANK OV/T CLARK pick @-1.30
S VERPLANK OV/A BADDELEY pick @-1.35


J FURYK wins Match pick @+18.00
S CINK wins Match pick @+40.00
A SCOTT wins Match pick @+22.00
S VERPLANK wins Match pick@ +40.00

May add something later but for sure will be here everyday.

GLTA
 
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abc

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Damn steve i think we are unbeaten when we are the same plays. Sucks for you, that im on none of those. I do like the stricker one. Good Luck bud
 

Another Steve

Put Pete In
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Damn steve i think we are unbeaten when we are the same plays. Sucks for you, that im on none of those. I do like the stricker one. Good Luck bud

Let's See your number 2 on the Yearly Hall of Fame for Matchups and I'm Number...............Shit..I'm in Trouble.

Good Luck Bud
 

Mully

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adding these toruney matchups

Stricker -120 over Oberholser

Verplank -115 over Pampling

:)
 

Whalers Rule

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Variety of long shots for me
Laird 1500-1
P. Hanson 500-1
Curtis 250-1
Durant 250-1
Wagner 800-1
Allenby 100-1
Mcdowell 250-1
Cevear 800-1
A variety of these in top euro,amer, and firts round leader
 

LA Burns

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Played one:

Poulter +140 vs Pampling

bad line - played this for a dime - like most I like Furyk's chances this week and bought him at +1800 for 1.8 units - will see how things shake out before betting more, b/c I feel like betting every match on the board

GL - LA Burns
 
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