US Open
- Thread starter cole
- Start date
Round 3 play (4pts):
Danny Willett to beat J.B. Holmes +155 @ 5Dimes [available generally]
I'll take a punt on Willett at these odds. Both players are in 20th place and 11 shots behind Kaymer and that might signal a change in strategy from Holmes who has been very conservative off the tee this week. If he reverts to attacks this course, a very high score could be the result, whereas Willett has a much better type of game for a U.S. Open - he ranks 9th on the European Tour in Total Driving (driving distance + driving accuracy stats; Holmes is 61st on the PGA Tour) and 14th in Greens in Regulation (Holmes is 173rd on the PGA Tour). The Englishman comes into the event in much better form (three top-25 finishes in his last four starts, whereas Holmes has finished mc-75th-mc in his last three starts) and he does have a top-15 finish already in a Major (2013 Open Championship).
Danny Willett to beat J.B. Holmes +155 @ 5Dimes [available generally]
I'll take a punt on Willett at these odds. Both players are in 20th place and 11 shots behind Kaymer and that might signal a change in strategy from Holmes who has been very conservative off the tee this week. If he reverts to attacks this course, a very high score could be the result, whereas Willett has a much better type of game for a U.S. Open - he ranks 9th on the European Tour in Total Driving (driving distance + driving accuracy stats; Holmes is 61st on the PGA Tour) and 14th in Greens in Regulation (Holmes is 173rd on the PGA Tour). The Englishman comes into the event in much better form (three top-25 finishes in his last four starts, whereas Holmes has finished mc-75th-mc in his last three starts) and he does have a top-15 finish already in a Major (2013 Open Championship).
Round 4 plays (4pts):
Martin Kaymer to beat Rickie Fowler -103 @ 5Dimes and Pinnacle [available generally]
I think Fowler's luck will run out today. He shot 67 yesterday to jump 12 places to 2nd, but hit less than 50% of fairways and just 50% of greens in regulation ... he took just 24 putts. He has struggled to stay on the fairway for the last two rounds and ranks 59th (of 67) in driving accuracy so far this week. On this course, you need luck if you consistently miss the fairway and now five shots behind his playing partner, he will certainly not be cautious off the tee today. Will Kaymer come back to the field instead? I don't think so. He is 7-for-8 when the sole leader at the start of the final round and that birdie on the last hole yesterday puts him in a much better position today. Despite leading the U.S. Open and the fact that nine of the last eleven 3rd leaders of this event have failed to win, I'll back Kaymer in this matchup.
Kevin Na to beat Brandt Snedeker +103 @ 5Dimes [also available @ Bet365, Pinnacle, The Greek and Carib]
Snedeker is another who ranks poorly in driving accuracy - 47th of 67 - whereas Na is 6th. Na ranks even higher in greens in regulation so far this week - 3rd - whereas Snedeker is 29th, so it is clearly good putting that has saved Snedeker this week and enabled him to be one shot ahead of Na in 6th place. Without a top-30 finish since March, I doubt that he will manage to stay ahead of Na who is in much better form, having finished 2nd in the Memorial Tournament last time out.
Brandt Snedeker to beat Rickie Fowler +100 @ Paddy Power
Opposing Fowler again. This is only the third time in his last seven events that he has reached Sunday and his record in this position is not good - he is 0-for-14 when starting the final round of a PGA Tour inside the top-5, including twice as leader. I don't think that Snedeker will be a strong challenger today, but I expect Fowler to go backwards significantly.
[unofficial rd4 system plays: Fitzpatrick tb Oosthuizen +163; Haas tb Moore -108]
Martin Kaymer to beat Rickie Fowler -103 @ 5Dimes and Pinnacle [available generally]
I think Fowler's luck will run out today. He shot 67 yesterday to jump 12 places to 2nd, but hit less than 50% of fairways and just 50% of greens in regulation ... he took just 24 putts. He has struggled to stay on the fairway for the last two rounds and ranks 59th (of 67) in driving accuracy so far this week. On this course, you need luck if you consistently miss the fairway and now five shots behind his playing partner, he will certainly not be cautious off the tee today. Will Kaymer come back to the field instead? I don't think so. He is 7-for-8 when the sole leader at the start of the final round and that birdie on the last hole yesterday puts him in a much better position today. Despite leading the U.S. Open and the fact that nine of the last eleven 3rd leaders of this event have failed to win, I'll back Kaymer in this matchup.
Kevin Na to beat Brandt Snedeker +103 @ 5Dimes [also available @ Bet365, Pinnacle, The Greek and Carib]
Snedeker is another who ranks poorly in driving accuracy - 47th of 67 - whereas Na is 6th. Na ranks even higher in greens in regulation so far this week - 3rd - whereas Snedeker is 29th, so it is clearly good putting that has saved Snedeker this week and enabled him to be one shot ahead of Na in 6th place. Without a top-30 finish since March, I doubt that he will manage to stay ahead of Na who is in much better form, having finished 2nd in the Memorial Tournament last time out.
Brandt Snedeker to beat Rickie Fowler +100 @ Paddy Power
Opposing Fowler again. This is only the third time in his last seven events that he has reached Sunday and his record in this position is not good - he is 0-for-14 when starting the final round of a PGA Tour inside the top-5, including twice as leader. I don't think that Snedeker will be a strong challenger today, but I expect Fowler to go backwards significantly.
[unofficial rd4 system plays: Fitzpatrick tb Oosthuizen +163; Haas tb Moore -108]
4th Round Plays
4th Round Plays
I have taken a beating but want to watch some plays today.
2014 US OPEN - BEST FINISH (WITHOUT KAYMER) BRANDT SNEDEKER +665
A BADDELEY (RND 4) +105 (A BADDELEY (RND 4) vrs B TODD (RND 4))
B SNEDEKER (RND 4) -125 (B SNEDEKER (RND 4) vrs K NA (RND 4))
R FOWLER (RND 4) -115 (M KAYMER (RND 4) vrs R FOWLER (RND 4))
4th Round Plays
I have taken a beating but want to watch some plays today.
2014 US OPEN - BEST FINISH (WITHOUT KAYMER) BRANDT SNEDEKER +665
A BADDELEY (RND 4) +105 (A BADDELEY (RND 4) vrs B TODD (RND 4))
B SNEDEKER (RND 4) -125 (B SNEDEKER (RND 4) vrs K NA (RND 4))
R FOWLER (RND 4) -115 (M KAYMER (RND 4) vrs R FOWLER (RND 4))
