The online wagering at Bet365 was very interesting.
After 3 rounds, Valuev was still favorite, but all the way down to -138, with Holyfield at +100.
At this stage, players obviously had been jumping all over Holyfield.
By the 8th round, though, Valuev was -250; Holyfield +175.
This indicated that the players felt that Valuev was taking over the fight.
Hi Graham, thanks for posting.
Regarding Bet365's live betting, recall the Ishe Smith/Pawel Wolak fight from a few months ago. I had bet big on Smith but missed the first 8 rounds, when I found a stream and checked Bet365's live lines. After the 8th round or so, Wolak was over -1000, and Smith over +500. I assumed that Wolak was handily winning, so I made no play, and considered my wager lost. The stream I found was Eurosport, and the commentators said that Wolak had won at least 6 of the 8 rounds. They also gave Wolak the final 2 rounds. I thought Smith clearly won the final 2 rounds, but didn't think much of the discrepancy.
Of course, the decision was a UD for Smith. At first I thought I was just extremely lucky, but when reading posts in other forums, it sounded like Smith had dominated the action from the opening bell. I had essentially passed up better than +500 odds on a fighter who was well ahead.
There are multiple possible explanations for it, but betting sites aren't necessarily correct. I haven't seen the full Wolak/Smith fight, but I can tell you that the Eurosport commentators were crying bloody murder at the decision, while American posters thought Smith had won a wider decision.
Recall that Bernard Hopkins was available for roughly +150 after 6 rounds against Pavlik, all of which he had won. I played Hopkins and Pavlik both for + money simultaneously at BetFair and Bet365.
I have bet live basketball games a few times, during the Celtics/Lakers final, you would not believe the wild swings that take place. Within a few minutes of gameplay, the lines for a team could go from +200 to +8000. Every basket changed the lines dramatically, and whichever team went on a run prior to the commercial break would become several dollars more expensive to bet. I made a small profit by just betting whichever team was on the bad end of a run.
None of those live betting figures were accurate.
In my experience, the overriding concern of a judge is to get it right and not to be the odd judge out if the fight ends in a split decision. I know of world-class judges (obviously I cannot name them) who were mortified when their decisions were pilloried. They felt terrible.
First name to pop in my head was Glen Hamada, who scored Katsidis over Juan Diaz. I don't recall any particularly bizarre decisions from him in the past, he took a lot of heat for it and commented publicly post-fight.